4. The new engl and jour nal of medicine
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality of a safe, efficacious Covid-19 vaccine
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+ 1000+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
Regulatory
Review
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality of a safe, efficacious Covid-
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+ 1000+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2 Y
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
R
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
w engl and jour nal of medicine
y use live virus to a reality of a safe, efficacious Covid-19 vaccine
ment Pathway.
10+ 100+ 1000+
2–10 Yr 1–2 Yr
g
s,
d
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
Regulatory
Review
linical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Dose Regimen
Selection
標的の発見
と検証
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
because they use live virus to a reality of a safe, efficacious Covid-19 vaccine
cine Development Pathway.
10+ 100+ 1000+
Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2 Yr
Manufacturing
Development
nitial bioprocess,
ormulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
Regulatory
Review
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
onal
entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
前臨床段階
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
itional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+ 1000+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2 Yr
reclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
Regulatory
Review
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
製造開発
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+ 1000+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
Regulatory
Review
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
初期バイオプロセス
製剤化、分析
フェーズ 1
安全性
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality of a safe, ef
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Sa
re
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
L
ne
e
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
フェーズ 2
安全性および
免疫原性
The new engl and jour nal o
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a realit
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+
3–8 Yr 2–
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
i
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regim
Selectio
The new engl and jour nal of m
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+
3–8 Yr 2–10
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
imm
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regime
Selection
The new engl and jour
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+
3–8 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
Do
フェーズ 3
安全性・有効性
規制当局の承認
The new engl and
notoriously variable because they use live viru
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
3–8 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
販売後調査
3-8年 2-10年 1-2年
The new engl and jour nal of medicine
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality of a safe, efficacious Covid
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+ 1000+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr 1–2
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenicity
Phase III
Safety, efficacy, and
regulatory approval
R
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody) Innovative
Clinical Trials
Large sample size
needed for safety and
efficacy evaluation
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
トランスレーショナル
医療
The new engl and jour nal of medici
notoriously variable because they use live virus to a reality of a safe
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
10+ 100+
3–8 Yr 2–10 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Phase I
Safety
Phase II
Safety and
immunogenic
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
Dose Regimen
Selection
臨床分析の
最適化
(抗体)
The new engl and jo
notoriously variable because they use live virus
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine Development Pathway.
<
<
1
3–8 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufacturing
Development
Initial bioprocess,
formulation, and
analytics
Pha
Sa
Clinical Assay
Optimization
(antibody)
Translational
medicine entry
投与量・回数
の選別
Th
notoriously variable becaus
Figure 1. Traditional Vaccine De
<
<
3–8 Yr
Discovery
and
Target
Validation
Preclinical
Stage
Manufa
Develo
Initial bio
formulati
analy
Translational
medicine entry
革新的臨床研究
安全性・有効性の評価のために
大規模なサンプルサイズが必要
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMe2025111
5. Classical platforms Next-generation platforms
Whole-inactivated virus
Example: Polio vaccine
COVID-19:
PiCoVacc in phase 1
clinical trials
Viral vector
Example:
VSV-Ebola vaccine
COVID-19:
AZD1222, Ad5-nCoV
in phase 1/2/3 clinical trials
DNA
Example:
Not currently licensed
COVID-19:
INO-4800 in phase 1
clinical trials
Live-attenuated virus
Example: MMR vaccine
COVID-19:
in preclinical stage
RNA
Example:
Not currently licensed
COVID-19:
mRNA-1273, BNT162
in phase 1/2 clinical trials
Protein subunit
Example: Seasonal
influenza vaccine
COVID-19:
NVX-CoV2373 in
phase 1/2 clinical trials
Antigen-presenting cells
Example:
Not currently licensed
COVID-19:
LV-SMENP-DC,
COVID-19/aAPC
in phase 1/2 clinical trials
Virus-like particle
Example: Human
papillomavirus vaccine
COVID-19:
in preclinical stage
SARS-CoV-2
Nucleocapsid
protein
RNA
Spike protein
Fig. 1 | An overview of the different vaccine platforms in development against COVID-19. A schematic representation is shown of the classical vaccine
Nature Materials volume 19, pages810‒812(2020)
全粒子不活化ワクチン
生ワクチン
蛋白サブユニットワクチン
ウイルス様粒子ワクチン
例:ポリオワクチン
新型コロナワクチン:
PiCoVacc(Phase I)
例:インフルエンザワクチン
新型コロナワクチン:
VX-CoV2373(Phase I/II)
例:MMRワクチン
新型コロナワクチン:
臨床前試験
例:HPVワクチン
新型コロナワクチン:
臨床前試験
ウイルスベクターワクチン
例:VSV-エボラワクチン
新型コロナワクチン:
AZD1222, Ad5-
nCoV(Phase I/II/III)
RNAワクチン
例:未承認
新型コロナワクチン:
mRNA-1273,
BNT162(Phase I/II)
DNAワクチン
例:未承認
新型コロナワクチン:
INO-4800(Phase I)
抗原提示細胞ワクチン
例:未承認
新型コロナワクチン:
LV-SMENP-DC,
COVID-19/
aAPC(Phase I/II)
古典的プラットフォーム 新世代プラットフォーム
新型コロナウイルス
ヌクレオカプシ
ドタンパク質
スパイクタンパク質
18. BRIEF COMMUNICATION
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01407-5
Mass vaccination has the potential to curb the current COVID-
19 pandemic by protecting individuals who have been vacci-
nated against the disease and possibly lowering the likelihood
of transmission to individuals who have not been vaccinated.
The high effectiveness of the widely administered BNT162b
vaccine from Pfizer–BioNTech in preventing not only the dis-
ease but also infection with SARS-CoV-2 suggests a potential
for a population-level effect, which is critical for disease erad-
ication. However, this putative effect is difficult to observe,
especially in light of highly fluctuating spatiotemporal epi-
demic dynamics. Here, by analyzing vaccination records and
test results collected during the rapid vaccine rollout in a large
population from 177 geographically defined communities, we
find that the rates of vaccination in each community are asso-
ciated with a substantial later decline in infections among a
cohort of individuals aged under 16!years, who are unvacci-
nated. On average, for each 20!percentage points of individu-
als who are vaccinated in a given population, the positive test
fraction for the unvaccinated population decreased approxi-
mately twofold. These results provide observational evidence
that vaccination not only protects individuals who have been
data. Capitalizing on differences in vaccination rates among
geographically distinct communities, and on the availability of an
unvaccinated bystander cohort of individuals below 16years of age
for whom the vaccine was not authorized in the first stages of vac-
cine rollouts, we asked whether and to what extent the fraction of
patients vaccinated in each community affects the risk of infection
in an unvaccinated cohort of individuals under 16years old within
this same community.
We focused our analysis on the vaccination rates and test
results of 177 distinct communities with a presumed low rate of
natural immunization as inferred by a low fraction of individu-
als infected with SARS-CoV-2. We retrieved the vaccination dates
and test results, from 9December2020 to 9March2021, of mem-
bers of Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS), Israel’s second larg-
est healthcare maintenance organization. We defined geographical
communities based on residence codes, and identified 246 commu-
nities that each comprised a sufficient number of tests and people
(Methods). As both vaccination and natural infection could render
individuals immunized, thereby possibly conferring protection to
unvaccinated individuals, high infection rates could mask the effect
of vaccination-induced immunity. To minimize the confounding
Community-level evidence for SARS-CoV-2
vaccine protection of unvaccinated individuals
Oren Milman1,5
, Idan Yelin! !1,5
, Noga Aharony1
, Rachel Katz2
, Esma Herzel2
, Amir Ben-Tov! !2,3
,
Jacob Kuint2,3
, Sivan Gazit! !2
, Gabriel Chodick! !2,3
, Tal Patalon! !2
and Roy Kishony! !1,4
177の地域・集団を対象にワクチン接種率と感染者との関連を調査した研究による
と、ワクチン接種率が高い地域では、接種を受けた人だけでなく、接種していない
16歳未満も感染者が減っていた。
接種率が20%上がるごとに、ワクチンを受けていない集団の新型コロナの感染が約2
倍減少したとのことで、これらの結果は、ワクチン接種が、接種を受けた人を守るだ
けでなく、その地域の未接種者をも保護することを示している。
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01407-5
19. F COMMUNICATION NATURE MED
30
1
4
0
1
8
3
2
4
7
3
4
1
3
5
6
3
0
8
2
7
7
2
1
0
2
2
3
2
2
0
1
1
3
1
0
4
9
0
4
5
4
7
4
6
2
2
1
2
5
6
7
7
1
3
1
4
4
2
5
6
3
6
3
7
1
3
3
1
2
8
1
5
1
1
1
4
3
0
2
3
4
3
7
2
6
8
2
8
5
29
28
27
26
25
24
23
Ct
Mean Ct, days 1–11
Mean Ct, days 12–37
RdRp gene
1 28
21 35
7
14
Days after first vaccine dose
ecreased SARS-CoV-2 viral load after 12 d post-vaccination. Mean Ct values of the RdRp gene for positive tests after vaccination are plot
vaccination day in which the sample was taken. The dashed line on day 21 indicates inoculation with the second dose. The number of pos
ts for each day is indicated below (in total, n!=!4,938). Black error bars and green or magenta shading indicate the standard error of the m
初回接種からの日数
Threshold
Cycle(Ct)
平均Ct値、発症後1∼11日
平均Ct値、発症後12∼37日
陽性人数
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01316-7
20. REVIEW ARTICLE | FOCUS NATURE MEDICINE
Viral
load
Detection unlikely PCR positive PCR negative
Fatigue
Decline in quality of life
Muscular weakness
Joint pain
Dyspnea
Cough
Persistent oxygen requirement
Anxiety/depression
Sleep disturbances
PTSD
Cognitive disturbances (brain fog)
Headaches
Palpitations
Chest pain
Thromboembolism
Chronic kidney disease
Hair loss
Nasopharyngeal
After symptom onset
Viral isolation from
respiratory tract
SARS-CoV-2
exposure
Before symptom onset
Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 12 6 months
Week 1
Week –1
Week –2
Acute COVID-19 Post-acute COVID-19
Subacute/ongoing COVID-19 Chronic/post-COVID-19
Fig. 1 | Timeline of post-acute COVID-19. Acute COVID-19 usually lasts until 4!weeks from the onset of symptoms, beyond which replication-competent
SARS-CoV-2 has not been isolated. Post-acute COVID-19 is defined as persistent symptoms and/or delayed or long-term complications beyond 4!weeks
from the onset of symptoms. The common symptoms observed in post-acute COVID-19 are summarized.
REVIEW ARTICLE | FOCUS NATURE MEDICINE
急性期 後遺症
亜急性期 / 急性期症状の遷延 慢性期
PCR陽性 PCR陰性
潜伏期
怠感
生活の質の低下
筋力低下
関節痛
呼吸苦
咳嗽
遷延する酸素需要
不安/抑うつ
睡眠障害
PTSD
認知機能障害
頭痛
動悸
胸痛
血栓塞栓症
慢性腎臓病
脱毛
1週目 2週目 3週目 4週目
1週前
2週前 12週目 6ヶ月
鼻咽頭
Detection unlikely PCR positive PCR negative
Fatigue
Decline in quality of
Muscular weaknes
Joint pain
Dyspnea
Cough
Persistent oxygen requir
Anxiety/depressio
Sleep disturbance
PTSD
Cognitive disturbances (b
Headaches
Palpitations
Chest pain
Thromboembolism
Chronic kidney dise
Hair loss
Nasopharyngeal
After symptom onset
Viral isolation from
respiratory tract
RS-CoV-2
exposure
Before symptom onset
Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 12
Week 1
Week –1
Week –2
Acute COVID-19 Post-acute COVID-19
Subacute/ongoing COVID-19 Chroni
PCR
ウイルス培養
発症後
発症前
ウイルス
曝露
ウイルス量
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01283-z
21. Miyazato Y, Morioka S, et al. OFID accepted.
発症60日後も嗅覚障害(19%)、呼吸苦(18%)、
だるさ(16%)、咳(8%)、味覚障害(5%)が持続
発症120日後も呼吸苦(11%)、嗅覚障害(10%)、
だるさ(10%)、咳(6%)、味覚異常(2%)が持続
Open Forum Infectious Diseases, ofaa507
症状
咳
味覚障害
嗅覚障害
呼吸苦
怠感
痰
咳
だるさ
痰
味覚障害
呼吸苦
嗅覚障害
発症からの日数
頻度(%)
0 50 100 150 200
22. 脱毛
Miyazato Y, Morioka S, et al. OFID accepted.
新型コロナの遅発性の症状としての脱毛
全体約2割の人でみられた 症状持続期間は平均76日
コロナ発症時には全くみられないが、
発症後30日くらいから出現し、発症後120日くらいまでみられる
Open Forum Infectious Diseases, ofaa507
発症からの日数
頻度(%)
0 50 100 150 200
29. Table 1. Vaccine Effectiveness against Infection and against Disease in Qatar.
Type of Infection or Disease PCR-Positive Persons PCR-Negative Persons Effectiveness (95% CI)*
Vaccinated Unvaccinated Vaccinated Unvaccinated
number of persons percent
Infection
PCR-confirmed infection with the B.1.1.7
variant†
After one dose 892 18,075 1241 17,726 29.5 (22.9–35.5)
≥14 days after second dose 50 16,354 465 15,939 89.5 (85.9–92.3)
PCR-confirmed infection with the B.1.351
variant‡
After one dose 1329 20,177 1580 19,926 16.9 (10.4–23.0)
≥14 days after second dose 179 19,396 698 18,877 75.0 (70.5–78.9)
Disease§
Severe, critical, or fatal disease caused by
the B.1.1.7 variant
After one dose 30 468 61 437 54.1 (26.1–71.9)
≥14 days after second dose 0 401 20 381 100.0 (81.7–100.0)
Severe, critical, or fatal disease caused by
the B.1.351 variant
After one dose 45 348 35 358 0.0 (0.0–19.0)
≥14 days after second dose 0 300 14 286 100.0 (73.7–100.0)
Severe, critical, or fatal disease caused by
any SARS-CoV-2
After one dose 139 1,966 220 1,885 39.4 (24.0–51.8)
≥14 days after second dose 3 1,692 109 1,586 97.4 (92.2–99.5)
* Vaccine effectiveness was estimated with the use of a test-negative case–control study design,2
with persons found positive by polymerase-
chain-reaction (PCR) testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) serving as cases in the analysis and those
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc2104974