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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Nov 2020

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COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MEXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES.

TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES.

Publicado en: Economía y finanzas
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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Nov 2020

  1. 1. ENCUESTA GLOBAL DE RESILIENCIA DE NEGOCIOS BUSINESS RESILIENCE GLOBAL SURVEY NOVIEMBRE / NOVEMBER 2020
  2. 2. ENCUESTA ELABORADA POR / SURVEY PREPARED BY EN ALIANZA CON / IN PARTNERSHIP WITH
  3. 3. OBJETIVO COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MÉXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES. NÚMERO DE EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 136 SEGMENTACIÓN POR TAMAÑO DE EMPRESA 53% PEQUEÑA 29% MEDIANA 18% GRANDE PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE OBJECTIVE TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES. NUMBER OF COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED THE SURVEY 136 SEGMENTATION BY COMPANY SIZE 53% SMALL 29% MEDIUM 18% LARGE
  4. 4. EN DÓNDE OPERAN LAS EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 17% NORTE, CENTRO Y SUDAMÉRICA 14% OPERACIONES GLOBALES 63% SOLO MÉXICO 2% EUROPA 2% ASIA 2% ÁFRICA SECTORES ECONÓMICOS 27% SERVICIOS PROFESIONALES 17% COMERCIO 16% FINANCIERO 6% MANUFACTURA 5% BIENES RAÍCES 5% TECNOLOGÍAS DE LA INFORMACIÓN 5% EDUCACIÓN 4% SALUD 4% ENERGÍA 2% TURISMO 1% AGRICULTURA 8% OTROS PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE WHERE DO THE COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED OUR SURVEY OPERATE 17% AMERICAS 14% GLOBAL OPERATIONS 63% MEXICO ONLY 2% EUROPE 2% ASIA 2% AFRICA ECONOMIC SECTORS 27% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 17% TRADE 16% FINANCIAL 6% MANUFACTURING 5% REAL ESTATE 5% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 5% EDUCATION 4% HEALTH 4% ENERGY 2% TOURISM 1% AGRICULTURE 8% OTHER
  5. 5. RESULTADOS RESULTS
  6. 6. 1: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno comercial ACTUAL en el que opera su empresa? 1: How would you rate the CURRENT business environment in which your company operates? 45% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones ACTUALES de negocio como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador MEJORA en este mes, pasando de 50% el mes pasado. 45% of surveyed companies find the CURRENT business conditions as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator IMPROVED this month, moving from 50% in the last month.
  7. 7. 2: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno de negocios PROSPECTIVO hacia los próximos seis a doce meses? 2: How would you rate the PROSPECTIVE business environment towards the next six to twelve months? 45% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones de los PRÓXIMOS 6 a 12 MESES como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador MEJORÓ, pasando de 53% en el mes anterior. 45% of surveyed companies find the conditions of the NEXT 6 TO 12 MONTHS as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator IMPROVED, moving from 53% in the previous month.
  8. 8. 3: En comparación con el MES ANTERIOR, la condición general de su empresa es: 3: Compared to the PREVIOUS MONTH, the overall condition of your company is: 34% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio PEORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador PERMANECIÓ prácticamente sin cambio en relación al mes anterior. 34% of surveyed companies report WORSE business conditions than the previous month. This indicator REMAINED virtually unchanged from the previous month. 32% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio MEJORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador MEJORÓ, pasando de 28% en el mes anterior. 32% of surveyed companies report BETTER business conditions than the previous month. This indicator IMPROVED, moving from 28% in the previous month.
  9. 9. 4: ¿Cuál es el MAYOR RETO para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 4: What is the BIGGEST CHALLENGE for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales riesgos reportados por las empresas encuestadas: • Falta de demanda • Falta de liquidez • Falta de rentabilidad (empatado con Disrupción en Cadenas de Suministro). Three main risks reported by surveyed companies: • Lack of liquidity • Lack of demand • Lack of profitability (tied with Supply Chain Disruption).
  10. 10. 5: ¿Cuál es la MAYOR OPORTUNIDAD para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 5: What is the BIGGEST OPPORTUNITY for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales oportunidades reportadas por las empresas encuestadas: • Nuevos Mercados / Nuevos Productos • Menor Competencia a Causa de la Crisis • Mejoras en capacidades digitales y de IT Three main opportunities reported by surveyed companies: • New Markets / New Products • Less Competition Due to the Crisis • Improvement in digital and IT capabilities
  11. 11. 6: ¿Qué tan probable es que su compañía considere ADQUIRIR un negocio o entrar en una ALIANZA ESTRATÉGICA en los próximos seis a doce meses? 6: How likely is that your company will consider ACQUIRING a business or entering into a JOINT VENTURE in the next six to twelve months? 38% de las empresas encuestadas reportan que SÍ ESPERAN ENTRAR en alguna transacción de M&A o Joint Venture en los próximos 6 a 12 meses. Este indicador MEJORÓ pasando de 34% en el mes anterior. 38% of surveyed companies report that they DO EXPECT TO ENTER into some M&A or Joint Venture transaction in the next 6 to 12 months. This indicator IMPROVED, moving from 34% in the previous month.
  12. 12. 7: ¿Cuánto tiempo cree que pasará hasta que regresemos a la normalidad? 7: How much time do you think will pass until we go BACK TO NORMAL? 43% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará ENTRE UNO Y DOS AÑOS. 21% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará MÁS DE DOS AÑOS. 43% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN ONE AND TWO YEARS. 21% of the companies surveyed think that the return to normality will take MORE THAN TWO YEARS.37% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará SEIS A DOCE MESES. Este es el mejor registro en este indicador desde que iniciamos la encuesta. 37% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN SIX AND TWELVE MONTHS. This is the best scoring in this indicator since we started the survey.
  13. 13. 8: ¿Cómo calificaría la gestión de esta crisis por parte de AUTORIDADES GUBERNAMENTALES? (Promedie su respuesta para considerar niveles federales, estatales y municipales) 8: How would you rate the management of this crisis by your GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS? (Average your answer to consider federal, state and city levels) 85% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el desempeño de las autoridades federales, estatales y municipales ha sido MALO o MUY MALO. Este indicador no ha bajado de 85% desde que iniciamos la encuesta en el mes de mayo. 85% of surveyed companies think that the performance of federal, state and city authorities has been BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator has not dropped below 85% since we started the survey in May.
  14. 14. 9: ¿Qué posibilidades hay de que su empresa no cumpla con algunas obligaciones contractuales en el futuro cercano debido a la crisis pandémica (por ejemplo, no pague el alquiler, no pague un préstamo o no entregue ciertos productos o servicios)? 9: How likely is it that your company will fail to comply with some contractual obligations in the near future because of the pandemic crisis (for example, miss a rent payment, default on a loan, or fail to deliver certain products or services)? 38% de las empresas encuestadas estiman caer en incumplimiento de obligaciones contractuales debido a la pandemia. Este indicador LLEVA TRES MESES por encima de 35%. 38% of surveyed companies estimate that they will breach some contractual obligations due to the pandemic. This indicator has been above 35% for THREE CONSECUTIVE MONTHS.
  15. 15. 10: En su empresa, ¿cuántos casos de COVID se han registrado al día de hoy? 10: In your Company, how many cases of COVID have been recorded to date? 70% de las empresas encuestadas reportan al menos UN CASO DE COVID. 25% de las empresas encuestas registran SEIS O MAS casos de COVID. 70% of surveyed companies report at least ONE COVID case. 25% of surveyed companies report SIX OR MORE COVID cases.
  16. 16. Las empresas encuestadas ven muchos más riesgos que oportunidades actualmente: RIESGOS • CARTERA VENCIDA • MENOR FLUJO DE EFECTIVO • DESCONFIANZA EN POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS • DESEMPLEO A CAUSA DE LA CRISIS • INCREMENTO EN CASOS DE COVID • CORRUPCIÓN • POLÍTICAS FISCALES INEFICIENTES • DEBILITAMIENTO DEL ESTADO DE DERECHO • POCA O NULA INVERSIÓN PRIVADA OPORTUNIDADES • TRANSFORMACIÓN DIGITAL • MENOR COMPETENCIA PRINCIPALES RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES MAIN RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES The surveyed companies see far more risks than opportunities today: RISKS • PAST DUE PORTFOLIO • WEAKER CASH FLOW • DISTRUST IN PUBLIC POLICIES • UNEMPLOYMENT DUE TO THE CRISIS • INCREASE IN COVID CASES • CORRUPTION • INEFFICIENT TAX POLICIES • WEAKENING OF THE RULE OF LAW • LITTLE OR NO PRIVATE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES • DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION • LESS COMPETITION
  17. 17. NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
  18. 18. WE SUPPORT SENIOR MANAGEMENT IN THE RESOLUTION OF SPECIAL OR CONFIDENTIAL PROJECTS.  Ideal to tackle those projects that are crucial but sometimes difficult to deliver internally.  Teams of highly experienced consultants.  Our consultants have on average 20/25 years of professional experience.  Reduced learning curve / More productivity.  High degree of flexibility.  Solid specialization in Finance, Audit, Tax and Accounting.  Big Four / Big Consulting background. Who are we?
  19. 19. COMPANY PROFIT Our Firm at a glance Key Facts Industries • 50 CONSULTANTS • MULTIDISCIPLINARY • BIG 4 BACKGROUND • INTERNATIONAL EXPOSURE • ACTIVE ACROSS MEXICO • ABLE TO TRAVEL IN LATAM • FLEXIBILITY • BILINGUAL / BICULTURAL Professional Organizations Our Service Portfolio • MANUFACTURING • FINANCIAL SERVICES • PROFESSIONAL SERVICES • TRADING • RETAIL • ADVERTISING • EDUCATION • PRIVATE EQUITY • FAMILY BUSINESS • MEXICAN INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS • MEXICO CITY ACCOUNTANCY BOARD • MEXICAN INSTITUTE OF FINANCIAL EXECUTIVES • ILLINOIS ACCOUNTANCY BOARD • AMERICAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE • EXTERNAL AUDIT • INTERNAL AUDIT • PART TIME CFO’S • INTERIM MANAGEMENT • FORENSIC • TAX • TRANSFORMATIONS • ADVISORY BOARD For more information: www.nuricumbo.com EY PWC. BBVA / BANAMEX ZIMAT CIT METLIFE LESAFFRE KPMG DELOITTE. INTERPUBLIC BOMBARDIER +GF+ GM KANDEO 1990 1995 2000 2004 2005 2010 2015 2020 Formal launch as independent consultancy Professional Experience as Employees History Some of our interventions as Consultants
  20. 20. Managing Partner of Nuricumbo + Partners. His career started as Audit Manager with PWC Mexico. After a few years, he moved into the advertising industry where he held Internal Audit positions with Y&R and IPG, two international advertising groups, working in New York City for five years. He returned to Mexico as CFO for the New Business division of McCann Group Worldwide. Started his career as independent consultant delivering audit work for several multinationals in Latam and leading several fraud investigations in Mexico. Won a contract with Bombardier Transportation to work for three years in Canada and Europe on a financial transformation initiative. Worked with the American Consultancy RGP as their Country Manager. Today, Nuricumbo + Partners is specialized on subjects such as financial due diligence for M&A, internal and external audit, independent process assessments, debt/equity solutions, on-demand financial talent, anti-corruption initiatives, enterprise risk management, and corporate governance. Nuricumbo + Partners have become trusted business advisors for companies of all sizes, providing direct support to CEOs and CFOs in special or confidential projects. Armando has held different positions at the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants, including Vice President of the Business Sector, President of the International Affairs Committee, and Member of the Audit Quality Control Committee. He is member of Editorial Committees at Mundo Ejecutivo and AAPAUNAM. He is Treasurer and Board Member at the British Chamber of Commerce, as well as the Anglo-Mexican Foundation. He was President of the charity Amistad Británico-Mexicana. He is member of the Mexican Institute of Financial Executives. He has been Board Member or Comisario at many companies. His opinions have been referenced by El Financiero, Reforma and Canal 40. Armando graduated as a public accountant, Summa Cum Laude, from the National University of Mexico (UNAM). He is certified in Mexico by the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants and in the U.S. by the Illinois Accountancy Board. He has a Masters Degree in Asian Studies by the University of Tamkang in Taiwan. He recently completed the program “Leading Professional Service Firms” at Harvard Business School. Armando Nuricumbo Managing Partner
  21. 21. Apoyo cierre de año RECURSOS TEMPORALES PARA PROYECTOS ESPECIALES Nos especializamos en áreas de contabilidad, impuestos y finanzas. Recursos con amplia trayectoria en empresas multinacionales y ambientes complejos. Esquema altamente flexible que permite atacar proyectos especiales de forma rápida y efectiva. NUESTRA PROPUESTA DE VALOR Nuestros recursos pueden atender proyectos especiales con alto profesionalismo y confidencialidad. Pueden trabajar bajo modelo implant para proporcionar capacidades adicionales por el tiempo estrictamente necesario, y son un excelente back-up en caso de rotación de personal clave dentro de su organización. Mayores informes: contacto@nuricumbo.com
  22. 22. COMPANY PROFIT More Information: contacto@nuricumbo.com / www.nuricumbo.com First-hand knowledge of business environment Our business DNA is Mexico. Our Firm has extensive experience working with multionationals and local companies all across the country. 40+ 1 20+ Translators of local language and culture We can facilitate productive cooperation between parent and subsidiary. We understand corporate requirements as well as local business practices. We can be your eyes and ears in the field Taking the correct business decisions is never easy. We can provide you with the business intelligence you need to be successful in Mexico. ROME Do you need support with your operations in Mexico? Mexic City Multi-disciplinary consultants Average years of work experience Objective: Supporting your Company What can we do for your company - Interim Management - Fraud Investigations - Financial Due Diligence - Business Process Outsourcing - Debt/Equity Solutions - Trust Management - Tax Advice - Special Audits
  23. 23. WHAT WE THINK Winning an election does not resolve our problems The reinvention of big global cities North America: From shared prosperity to failed state Who will win the U.S. elections? Will we avoid another lost decade? Inequality is not a good business The Lebanese mirror Wirecard, external audit and the public interest OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL Walter Buchanan: US Elections 2020 Vestiga Consultores: Información y pandemia Historic Lessons of the 1918 Pandemic Willingness to Pay & Value Stick James Francum – Perspective from Germany Toshiyuki Yasui: Chief Happiness Officer Antonio Prida: Mediación Oscar Becerril: Cómo superar COVID-19 OTHER Encuesta Resiliencia Económica: Octubre 2020 Riesgo Global: Relación Estados Unidos - China Ranking Empresas Zombies Mexico: Q2 2020 Mexico’s Top 25 CFO’s of 2017 ¿Por qué medir la confianza económica? Perspectivas internacionales 2020 Nuricumbo + Partners in the Media
  24. 24. Estamos a la orden para profundizar sobre cualquier aspecto relacionado con la encuesta. We are at your service in case you require more information about any aspect of the survey. contacto@nuricumbo.com Muchas gracias Thank you very much

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