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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Mar 2021

COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MEXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES.

TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES.

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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Mar 2021

  1. 1. ENCUESTA GLOBAL DE RESILIENCIA DE NEGOCIOS BUSINESS RESILIENCE GLOBAL SURVEY MARZO / MARCH 2021
  2. 2. ENCUESTA ELABORADA POR / SURVEY PREPARED BY EN ALIANZA CON / IN PARTNERSHIP WITH
  3. 3. OBJETIVO COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MÉXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES. NÚMERO DE EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 161 SEGMENTACIÓN POR TAMAÑO DE EMPRESA 66% PEQUEÑA 24% MEDIANA 10% GRANDE PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE OBJECTIVE TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES. NUMBER OF COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED THE SURVEY 161 SEGMENTATION BY COMPANY SIZE 66% SMALL 24% MEDIUM 10% LARGE
  4. 4. EN DÓNDE OPERAN LAS EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 24% NORTE, CENTRO Y SUDAMÉRICA 12% OPERACIONES GLOBALES 58% SOLO MÉXICO 3% EUROPA 2% ASIA 1% ÁFRICA SECTORES ECONÓMICOS 34% SERVICIOS PROFESIONALES 17% FINANCIERO 9% COMERCIO 7% MANUFACTURA 6% BIENES RAÍCES 4% TECNOLOGÍAS DE LA INFORMACIÓN 4% SALUD 4% TURISMO 2% AGRICULTURA 1% EDUCACIÓN 1% ENERGÍA 11% OTROS PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE WHERE DO THE COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED OUR SURVEY OPERATE 24% AMERICAS 12% GLOBAL OPERATIONS 58% MEXICO ONLY 3% EUROPE 2% ASIA 1% AFRICA ECONOMIC SECTORS 34% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 17% FINANCIAL 9% TRADE 7% MANUFACTURING 6% REAL ESTATE 4% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 4% HEALTH 4% TOURISM 2% AGRICULTURE 1% EDUCATION 1% ENERGY 11% OTHER
  5. 5. RESULTADOS RESULTS
  6. 6. 1: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno comercial ACTUAL en el que opera su empresa? 1: How would you rate the CURRENT business environment in which your company operates? 47% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones ACTUALES de negocio como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador EMPEORÓ con respecto al mes anterior, aumentando de 34%. 47% of surveyed companies find the CURRENT business conditions as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator WORSENED from the previous month, moving from 34%.
  7. 7. 2: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno de negocios PROSPECTIVO hacia los próximos seis a doce meses? 2: How would you rate the PROSPECTIVE business environment towards the next six to twelve months? 36% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones de los PRÓXIMOS 6 a 12 MESES como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador EMPEORÓ en relación al mes anterior, aumentando de 33%. 36% of surveyed companies find the conditions of the NEXT 6 TO 12 MONTHS as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator WORSENED in comparison to the previous month, moving from 33%.
  8. 8. 3: En comparación con el MES ANTERIOR, la condición general de su empresa es: 3: Compared to the PREVIOUS MONTH, the overall condition of your company is: 30% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio MEJORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador ha permanecido RELATIVAMENTE ESTABLE desde Agosto de 2020. 30% of surveyed companies report BETTER business conditions than the previous month. This indicator has remained RELATIVELY STABLE since August 2020. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
  9. 9. 4: ¿Cuál es el MAYOR RETO para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 4: What is the BIGGEST CHALLENGE for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales riesgos reportados por las empresas encuestadas: • Falta de demanda • Falta de liquidez • Falta de rentabilidad Three main risks reported by surveyed companies: • Lack of demand • Lack of liquidity • Lack of profitability
  10. 10. 5: ¿Cuál es la MAYOR OPORTUNIDAD para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 5: What is the BIGGEST OPPORTUNITY for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales oportunidades reportadas por las empresas encuestadas: • Nuevos Mercados / Nuevos Productos • Menor Competencia por la Crisis • Mejoras en Capacidades Digitales y de IT Three main opportunities reported by surveyed companies: • New Markets / New Products • Less Competition as a Result of the Crisis • Improvement in digital and IT capabilities
  11. 11. 6: ¿Qué tan probable es que su compañía considere ADQUIRIR un negocio o entrar en una ALIANZA ESTRATÉGICA en los próximos seis a doce meses? 6: How likely is that your company will consider ACQUIRING a business or entering into a JOINT VENTURE in the next six to twelve months? 40% de las empresas encuestadas reportan que SÍ ESPERAN ENTRAR en alguna transacción de M&A o Joint Venture en los próximos 6 a 12 meses. Este indicador ha ido MEJORANDO desde Diciembre 2020. 40% of surveyed companies report that they EXPECT TO ENTER into some M&A or Joint Venture transaction in the next 6 to 12 months. This indicator HAS BEEN IMPROVING since December 2020. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
  12. 12. 7: ¿Cuánto tiempo cree que pasará hasta que regresemos a la normalidad? 7: How much time do you think will pass until we go BACK TO NORMAL? 53% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará ENTRE UNO Y DOS AÑOS. Tan solo 17% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará MÁS DE DOS AÑOS. 53% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN ONE AND TWO YEARS. Only 17% of the companies surveyed think that the return to normality will take MORE THAN TWO YEARS. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% ¿Cuánto tiempo cree que pasará hasta que regresemos a la normalidad? (MÁS DE DOS AÑOS)
  13. 13. 8: ¿Cómo calificaría la gestión de esta crisis por parte de AUTORIDADES GUBERNAMENTALES? (Promedie su respuesta para considerar niveles federales, estatales y municipales) 8: How would you rate the management of this crisis by your GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS? (Average your answer to consider federal, state and city levels) 87% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el desempeño de las autoridades federales, estatales y municipales ha sido MALO o MUY MALO. Este indicador mejoró en diciembre de 2020 pero desde entonces no se ha recuperado. 87% of surveyed companies think that the performance of federal, state and city authorities has been BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator improved in December 2020 but has not recovered since. 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95%
  14. 14. 9: ¿Qué posibilidades hay de que su empresa no cumpla con algunas obligaciones contractuales en el futuro cercano debido a la crisis pandémica (por ejemplo, no pague el alquiler, no pague un préstamo o no entregue ciertos productos o servicios)? 9: How likely is it that your company will fail to comply with some contractual obligations in the near future because of the pandemic crisis (for example, miss a rent payment, default on a loan, or fail to deliver certain products or services)? 33% de las empresas encuestadas estiman caer en incumplimiento de obligaciones contractuales debido a la pandemia. Este indicador EMPEORA LIGERAMENTE, aumentando de 29% el mes pasado. 33% of surveyed companies estimate that they will breach some contractual obligations due to the pandemic. This indicator WORSENS SLIGHTLY, increasing from 29% last month. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% ago.-20 sep.-20 oct.-20 nov.-20 dic.-20 ene.-21 feb.-21 mar.-21
  15. 15. 10: ¿Cuál es su opinión general sobre las cripto- monedas como un activo para inversión? 10: What is your general opinion of crypto- currencies as an investment asset? 52% de las empresas encuestadas opinan que las criptomonedas ofrecen ganancias interesantes pero con volatilidad de alto riesgo. 33% opinan que las criptomonedas son activos altamente especulativos. 9% opina que son una buena opción de inversion de corto plazo, pero no mantendrían posiciones en el largo plazo. Solo 6% opina que son una excelente opción de inversión. 52% of the companies surveyed believe that cryptocurrencies offer interesting returns but with high-risk volatility. 33% believe that cryptocurrencies are highly speculative assets. 9% believe that they are a good short-term investment option, but would not hold positions in the long term. Only 6% think that they are an excellent investment option.
  16. 16. NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
  17. 17.  Internal and External Audit.  Special reviews (financial, process, operational, compliance, forensic, etc.)  Financial Due Diligence for M&A.  Tax Compliance.  Comisarios. Board Members. Advisory Board.  Interim C-Level Executives (CEOs, CFOs, etc.)  Interim Project Teams.  Specialized Training Programs.  Debt/Equity Solutions.  Fintech Trusts (Fideicomisos). How do we help some of our clients?
  18. 18. Managing Partner of Nuricumbo + Partners. His career started as Audit Manager with PWC Mexico. After a few years, he moved into the advertising industry where he held Internal Audit positions with Y&R and IPG, two international advertising groups, working in New York City for five years. He returned to Mexico as CFO for the New Business division of McCann Group Worldwide. Started his career as independent consultant delivering audit work for several multinationals in Latam and leading several fraud investigations in Mexico. Won a contract with Bombardier Transportation to work for three years in Canada and Europe on a financial transformation initiative. Worked with the American Consultancy RGP as their Country Manager. Today, Nuricumbo + Partners is specialized on subjects such as financial due diligence for M&A, internal and external audit, independent process assessments, debt/equity solutions, on-demand financial talent, anti-corruption initiatives, enterprise risk management, and corporate governance. Nuricumbo + Partners have become trusted business advisors for companies of all sizes, providing direct support to CEOs and CFOs in special or confidential projects. Armando has held different positions at the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants, including Vice President of the Business Sector, President of the International Affairs Committee, and Member of the Audit Quality Control Committee. He is member of Editorial Committees at Mundo Ejecutivo and AAPAUNAM. He is Treasurer and Board Member at the British Chamber of Commerce, as well as the Anglo-Mexican Foundation. He was President of the charity Amistad Británico-Mexicana. He is member of the Mexican Institute of Financial Executives. He has been Board Member or Comisario at many companies. His opinions have been referenced by El Financiero, Reforma and Canal 40. Armando graduated as a public accountant, Summa Cum Laude, from the National University of Mexico (UNAM). He is certified in Mexico by the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants and in the U.S. by the Illinois Accountancy Board. He has a Masters Degree in Asian Studies by the University of Tamkang in Taiwan. He recently completed the program “Leading Professional Service Firms” at Harvard Business School. Armando Nuricumbo Managing Partner
  19. 19. WHAT WE THINK Book Review: Freakonomics The Biden Adminstration and Mexico Trade The Strategy in Times of Covid 2021: Year of Healing and Recovery Winning an election does not resolve our problems The reinvention of big global cities Will we avoid another lost decade? Wirecard, external audit and the public interest OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL Book Review: Why Nations Fail ¿Cómo regular el outsourcing? How to choose the right partner? La Voz del CFO: Importancia de la tecnología La Voz del CFO: Rompiendo paradigmas Oportunidades Financieras para Exportadores Vestiga Consultores: Información y pandemia Historic Lessons of the 1918 Pandemic Oscar Becerril: Cómo superar COVID-19 OTHER Riesgo Global: Relación Estados Unidos - China Ranking Empresas Zombies Mexico: Q2 2020 Mexico’s Top 25 CFO’s of 2017 ¿Por qué medir la confianza económica? Nuricumbo + Partners in the Media
  20. 20. Estamos a la orden para profundizar sobre cualquier aspecto relacionado con la encuesta. We are at your service in case you require more information about any aspect of the survey. contacto@nuricumbo.com Muchas gracias Thank you very much

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