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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Jan 2021

COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MEXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES.

TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES.

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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Jan 2021

  1. 1. ENCUESTA GLOBAL DE RESILIENCIA DE NEGOCIOS BUSINESS RESILIENCE GLOBAL SURVEY ENERO / JANUARY 2021
  2. 2. ENCUESTA ELABORADA POR / SURVEY PREPARED BY EN ALIANZA CON / IN PARTNERSHIP WITH
  3. 3. OBJETIVO COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MÉXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES. NÚMERO DE EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 170 SEGMENTACIÓN POR TAMAÑO DE EMPRESA 56% PEQUEÑA 26% MEDIANA 18% GRANDE PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE OBJECTIVE TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES. NUMBER OF COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED THE SURVEY 170 SEGMENTATION BY COMPANY SIZE 56% SMALL 26% MEDIUM 18% LARGE
  4. 4. EN DÓNDE OPERAN LAS EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 22% NORTE, CENTRO Y SUDAMÉRICA 20% OPERACIONES GLOBALES 54% SOLO MÉXICO 2% EUROPA 1% ASIA 1% ÁFRICA SECTORES ECONÓMICOS 33% SERVICIOS PROFESIONALES 19% FINANCIERO 12% COMERCIO 7% MANUFACTURA 6% BIENES RAÍCES 6% TECNOLOGÍAS DE LA INFORMACIÓN 4% SALUD 3% EDUCACIÓN 2% ENERGÍA 2% AGRICULTURA 2% TURISMO 4% OTROS PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE WHERE DO THE COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED OUR SURVEY OPERATE 22% AMERICAS 20% GLOBAL OPERATIONS 54% MEXICO ONLY 2% EUROPE 1% ASIA 1% AFRICA ECONOMIC SECTORS 33% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 19% FINANCIAL 12% TRADE 7% MANUFACTURING 6% REAL ESTATE 6% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 4% HEALTH 3% EDUCATION 2% ENERGY 2% AGRICULTURE 2% TOURISM 4% OTHER
  5. 5. RESULTADOS RESULTS
  6. 6. 1: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno comercial ACTUAL en el que opera su empresa? 1: How would you rate the CURRENT business environment in which your company operates? 42% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones ACTUALES de negocio como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador PERMANECE prácticamente sin cambio. 42% of surveyed companies find the CURRENT business conditions as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator practically REMAINS without change.
  7. 7. 2: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno de negocios PROSPECTIVO hacia los próximos seis a doce meses? 2: How would you rate the PROSPECTIVE business environment towards the next six to twelve months? 31% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones de los PRÓXIMOS 6 a 12 MESES como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador ACUMULA CUATRO MESES DE MEJORA, pasando de 53% en octubre. 31% of surveyed companies find the conditions of the NEXT 6 TO 12 MONTHS as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator HAS BEEN IMPROVING FOR THE PAST FOUR MONTHS, moving from 53% in October.
  8. 8. 3: En comparación con el MES ANTERIOR, la condición general de su empresa es: 3: Compared to the PREVIOUS MONTH, the overall condition of your company is: 28% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio PEORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador ha ido MEJORANDO lentamente en los últimos cuatro meses. 28% of surveyed companies report WORSE business conditions than the previous month. This indicator has been IMPROVING in the past four months. 27% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio MEJORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador ha permanecido ESTABLE en los últimos cuatro meses. 27% of surveyed companies report BETTER business conditions than the previous month. This indicator has remained STABLE in the past four months.
  9. 9. 4: ¿Cuál es el MAYOR RETO para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 4: What is the BIGGEST CHALLENGE for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales riesgos reportados por las empresas encuestadas: • Falta de demanda • Falta de liquidez • Falta de rentabilidad Three main risks reported by surveyed companies: • Lack of demand • Lack of liquidity • Lack of profitability
  10. 10. 5: ¿Cuál es la MAYOR OPORTUNIDAD para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 5: What is the BIGGEST OPPORTUNITY for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales oportunidades reportadas por las empresas encuestadas: • Nuevos Mercados / Nuevos Productos • Trabajo remoto / Home Office • Mejoras en capacidades digitales y de IT Three main opportunities reported by surveyed companies: • New Markets / New Products • Remote working / Home Office • Improvement in digital and IT capabilities
  11. 11. 6: ¿Qué tan probable es que su compañía considere ADQUIRIR un negocio o entrar en una ALIANZA ESTRATÉGICA en los próximos seis a doce meses? 6: How likely is that your company will consider ACQUIRING a business or entering into a JOINT VENTURE in the next six to twelve months? 38% de las empresas encuestadas reportan que SÍ ESPERAN ENTRAR en alguna transacción de M&A o Joint Venture en los próximos 6 a 12 meses. Este indicador HA PERMANECIDO por encima de 33% en los últimos cuatro meses. 38% of surveyed companies report that they DO EXPECT TO ENTER into some M&A or Joint Venture transaction in the next 6 to 12 months. This indicator HAS REMAINED above 33% for the past four months.
  12. 12. 7: ¿Cuánto tiempo cree que pasará hasta que regresemos a la normalidad? 7: How much time do you think will pass until we go BACK TO NORMAL? 53% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará ENTRE UNO Y DOS AÑOS. Por segundo mes consecutivo, solo 15% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará MÁS DE DOS AÑOS. 53% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN ONE AND TWO YEARS. For the second month in a row, only 15% of the companies surveyed think that the return to normality will take MORE THAN TWO YEARS. 31% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará SEIS A DOCE MESES. 31% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN SIX AND TWELVE MONTHS.
  13. 13. 8: ¿Cómo calificaría la gestión de esta crisis por parte de AUTORIDADES GUBERNAMENTALES? (Promedie su respuesta para considerar niveles federales, estatales y municipales) 8: How would you rate the management of this crisis by your GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS? (Average your answer to consider federal, state and city levels) 88% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el desempeño de las autoridades federales, estatales y municipales ha sido MALO o MUY MALO. Este indicador repunta en enero, después de haber observado una mejoría a 78% en diciembre. 88% of surveyed companies think that the performance of federal, state and city authorities has been BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator worsened in January, after a slight improvement to 78% in December.
  14. 14. 9: ¿Qué posibilidades hay de que su empresa no cumpla con algunas obligaciones contractuales en el futuro cercano debido a la crisis pandémica (por ejemplo, no pague el alquiler, no pague un préstamo o no entregue ciertos productos o servicios)? 9: How likely is it that your company will fail to comply with some contractual obligations in the near future because of the pandemic crisis (for example, miss a rent payment, default on a loan, or fail to deliver certain products or services)? 27% de las empresas encuestadas estiman caer en incumplimiento de obligaciones contractuales debido a la pandemia. Este indicador MEJORA, cerrando por primera vez por debajo de 30% 27% of surveyed companies estimate that they will breach some contractual obligations due to the pandemic. This indicator IMPROVES, closing for the first time below 30%.
  15. 15. 10: ¿Conoce usted a alguien en su entorno familiar o profesional que ya haya recibido alguna vacuna contra COVID? 10: Do you know anyone in your family or professional circle that has already received a COVID vaccine? 74% de las empresas encuestadas reportan NO CONOCER A NADIE que ya haya recibido la vacuna COVID. 74% of surveyed companies report NOT KNOWING ANYONE who has already received the COVID vaccine.
  16. 16. NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
  17. 17.  Internal and External Audit.  Special reviews (financial, process, operational, compliance, forensic, etc.)  Financial Due Diligence for M&A.  Tax Compliance.  Comisarios. Board Members. Advisory Board.  Interim C-Level Executives (CEOs, CFOs, etc.)  Interim Project Teams.  Specialized Training Programs.  Debt/Equity Solutions.  Fintech Trusts (Fideicomisos). How do we help some of our clients?
  18. 18. Managing Partner of Nuricumbo + Partners. His career started as Audit Manager with PWC Mexico. After a few years, he moved into the advertising industry where he held Internal Audit positions with Y&R and IPG, two international advertising groups, working in New York City for five years. He returned to Mexico as CFO for the New Business division of McCann Group Worldwide. Started his career as independent consultant delivering audit work for several multinationals in Latam and leading several fraud investigations in Mexico. Won a contract with Bombardier Transportation to work for three years in Canada and Europe on a financial transformation initiative. Worked with the American Consultancy RGP as their Country Manager. Today, Nuricumbo + Partners is specialized on subjects such as financial due diligence for M&A, internal and external audit, independent process assessments, debt/equity solutions, on-demand financial talent, anti-corruption initiatives, enterprise risk management, and corporate governance. Nuricumbo + Partners have become trusted business advisors for companies of all sizes, providing direct support to CEOs and CFOs in special or confidential projects. Armando has held different positions at the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants, including Vice President of the Business Sector, President of the International Affairs Committee, and Member of the Audit Quality Control Committee. He is member of Editorial Committees at Mundo Ejecutivo and AAPAUNAM. He is Treasurer and Board Member at the British Chamber of Commerce, as well as the Anglo-Mexican Foundation. He was President of the charity Amistad Británico-Mexicana. He is member of the Mexican Institute of Financial Executives. He has been Board Member or Comisario at many companies. His opinions have been referenced by El Financiero, Reforma and Canal 40. Armando graduated as a public accountant, Summa Cum Laude, from the National University of Mexico (UNAM). He is certified in Mexico by the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants and in the U.S. by the Illinois Accountancy Board. He has a Masters Degree in Asian Studies by the University of Tamkang in Taiwan. He recently completed the program “Leading Professional Service Firms” at Harvard Business School. Armando Nuricumbo Managing Partner
  19. 19. WHAT WE THINK What to Expect from 2021 Winning an election does not resolve our problems The reinvention of big global cities North America: From shared prosperity to failed state Who will win the U.S. elections? Will we avoid another lost decade? Inequality is not a good business The Lebanese mirror Wirecard, external audit and the public interest OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL Book Review: Why Nations Fail Walter Buchanan: US Elections 2020 Vestiga Consultores: Información y pandemia Historic Lessons of the 1918 Pandemic Willingness to Pay & Value Stick James Francum – Perspective from Germany Toshiyuki Yasui: Chief Happiness Officer Antonio Prida: Mediación Oscar Becerril: Cómo superar COVID-19 OTHER Riesgo Global: Relación Estados Unidos - China Ranking Empresas Zombies Mexico: Q2 2020 Mexico’s Top 25 CFO’s of 2017 ¿Por qué medir la confianza económica? Nuricumbo + Partners in the Media
  20. 20. Estamos a la orden para profundizar sobre cualquier aspecto relacionado con la encuesta. We are at your service in case you require more information about any aspect of the survey. contacto@nuricumbo.com Muchas gracias Thank you very much

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