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Lean six sigma project
PDI logistics
• Dharanidhar Malladi
• Hsiao Chuang-Jen
• Hitarth Patel
• Rachit Jauhari
DEFINE – Project definition
Project business Case :
• PDI is package pickup and delivery company which OUTSOURCES its ground operations to a third party
• Inefficiency in processes and miscommunication at PDI -> rebates and idle time costs
• Gross margin needs to be improved to sustain operations and for growth in future
Problem Statement :
Identify causes behind current inefficiencies (rebate and idle cost) impacting gross margin.
Goal: to suggest improvements in the system for achieving at least 30% profit before tax with minimum errors and
defects
Out of scope
• Market-research data for the purpose of increasing market share.
• Improvement in Customer satisfaction metrics other than rebate.
• Details of an employee reward system for incentivizing employees.
DEFINE- CTQ
Characteristics of product or
service
On time pickup/delivery , no damage to package , convenience of
scheduling
Measures and operational
definitions
Rebates due to lateness or damage to package
Target value of measures Zero rebate
Specification limits Time window of 15 mins and undamaged package
Defect rate of measures Reduce rebate occurrence from 33.3% per total pickups to 5% or less.
*Idle time is an error in the process and an inefficiency between PDI and third party
*Rebate is a defect
5. Suppliers 4. Inputs 1. Process 2. Outputs 3. Customers
sender Sender order details
order received from customer(package
sender)
Order details (name,
address, contact no.)
PDI
third party
dispatcher
Time window from
dispatcher
sender informed on estimated time
window
Estimated 15 min time
window for sender
sender
sender
Payment
Confirmation
pickup of package
Pickup confirmation from
sender
Third-party dispatcher/field
operator
Sales operator at
PDI
revenue calculation
bill generated and package recipient
informed on 15 mins time-window
Bill , estimated 15 min
time window for recipient
sender and recipient
Recipient
address details of
recipient
package delivered to recipient
Receipt confirmation from
recipient
Third-party dispatcher/field
operator
DEFINE- SIPOC
DEFINE – VSM and focus area
DEFINE – Assumptions
• Field operators are always available.
• Time window is negotiated between sender and Sales Operator and is an input to
dispatcher.
• Performance of field operator is out of our control.
• Package pickup and delivery are 2 isolated processes and we need to focus only on
package pickup.
• Payment issues from sender are not be considered.
Define – Initial business state
Sigma Measurement
Defects ( rebate occurrences) 706
Opportunities 2096
Defect Opportunities per unit 1
DPMO 336832.0611
Sigma Level 1.9
Financials
Revenues $125,335.40
Fields ops cost ( including Idle time cost) $42,753.90
Rebate cost $38,106.00
Gross margin $44,475.50
Fixed costs $35,000.00
Profit before tax $9,475.50
Profit before tax ( % of revenue) 7.6%
MEASURE – Data Collection requirements: Planning Sheet
Question To Be Answered Name of Data Required Operational Definition
how often are we early ? early frequency
Minutes To Customer (One Way < Trip Time Lower Spec
Limit
how often is rebate due to lateness ? late frequency
Minutes To Customer (One Way > Trip Time upper Spec
Limit
By how much is the dispatcher overestimating
the amount of forecast time in case of early
errors ?
amount of early error
(one-way distance*60)/ forecast speed))+7.5 mins –
(minutes to customer )
by how much is the dispatcher
underestimating the amount of forecast time
in case of late errors ?
amount of late error
(minutes to customer ) - ((one way distance*60)/forecast
speed) - 7.5 mins
Details about bike and Truck usage conditions
DMB, DMT, DEB, DET, SMB,
SMT, SEB, SET
Combined Indicator variables with rebate and idle time
MEASURE - Identify Sampling Bias and Measurement Problems
Sampling Bias
• Unequal weightage of data for bicycle and truck
• Unequal weightage of downtown and suburbia
• Seasonal fluctuation in data
• More/less incidents of damaged package considered than normal
• Higher proportion of data for particular range of package weight (can influence speed)
Measurement problems
• Estimation of route to be travelled by field operator
• Tracking of occurrence of a late pickup/delivery
• Variation in field ops cost with no relation to vehicle used.
MEASURE - FMEA
Key Process
Step or Input
Potential Failure
Mode
Potential Failure Effects
S
E
V
Potential
Causes
O
C
C
Current Controls
D
E
T
R
P
N
Actions
Recommended
Resp.
What is the
Process Step
or Input?
In what ways can the
Process Step or
Input fail?
What is the impact on the
Key Output Variables
once it fails (customer or
internal requirements)?
HowSevereisthe
effecttothe
customer?
What causes the
Key Process
Step or Input to
go wrong?
Howoftendoes
causeorFMoccur?
What are the
existing controls
and procedures that
prevent either the
Cause or the Failure
Mode?
Howwellcanyou
detecttheCauseor
theFailureMode?
What are the
actions for
reducing the
occurrence of the
cause, or
improving
detection?
Who is
Responsible for
the
recommended
action?
Dispatch time
calculation
dispatch time
calculation doesn’t
synchronise with
time window
rebate or idle time cost.
10
forecast speed
under/overestima
tion
10
none
10 1000
Estimate dispatch
time with accuracy
dispatcher
selection of
bike or truck
vehicle selected is
wrong as per time
window , location,
distance and time of
day considerations
rebate or idle time cost.
8
error by
dispatcher
4
none
10 320
dispatcher
package pickup package lost or
damaged
rebate
10
Error by Field
operator
2
none
10 200
field operator
ANALYZE – Data set 1-3
• No rebate due to damage
• regression reveals that
late rebate mainly due to
trucks used in Downtown
during morning
Increase reliance on bikes
in downtown morning
during morning
ANALYZE – Data set 1 to 3
• Truck performance improved
• Overall rebate increased
• Gross margin decreased
• Current formula for dispatch
mins calculation is:
(time to reach – 7.5) mins
Dispatch mins need to be increased to
reduce lateness. Lateness is more frequent
than idle time occurrence.
Improvement 1) (time to reach + 7.5) mins
Improvement 2) (time to reach + 15 ) mins
ANALYZE – data set 1 to 3
• Rebates decreased, GM improved
• No trucks used in evenings
• High rebates during bike usage in
morning
Dispatch time can be further increased
to (time to reach + 31 mins)
ANALYZE – Data set 1 to 3
• All lateness occurrences
are in morning and
mainly due to bike
bike
downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia
AM 25 25 20 - 0.3*(pounds)
PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds)
FORECAST SPEEDS
truck
bike
downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia
AM 20 20 20 - 0.3*(pounds)
PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds)
FORECAST SPEEDS
truck
ANALYZE – dataset 4 – 6
• Data set 4-6 consisted of
100% bikes as vehicle used
• Over 90% of the pickups
had idle time errors
• We focused only on
optimizing forecast speed
for bike and learnt that we
need to monitor both
dispatch mins and forecast
speed
• In data 6 Idle time error was
drastically reduced by
increasing dispatch time to
(miles/speed)*60 + 31 mins
ANALYZE – dataset 4 – 6
• But this was an
impractical
condition, so we
ignored dataset 4-6
for further analysis
ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11
bike
downtown suburbia
downtown &
suburbia
AM 25 25 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 5
PM 15 20 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5
forecast speed
truck dispatch mins
bike
downtown suburbia
downtown &
suburbia
AM 15 15 20 - 0.40*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 5
PM 15 15 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5
forecast speed
truck dispatch mins
Rebates are quite low but idle costs are
hitting margins now, mainly due to trucks
ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11
Total profit improved a bit to 26.4%, but
idle time cost still remains high
bike
downtown suburbia
downtown &
suburbia
AM 25 25 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 11
PM 15 20 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5
forecast speed
truck dispatch mins
ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11
bike
downtown suburbia
downtown &
suburbia
AM 30 30 20 - 0.45*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 8
PM 15 20 20 - 0.15 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5
forecast speed
truck dispatch mins
profit before tax didn’t change
enough. Idle time cost for individual
scenarios needs to be examined.
Forecast speed can be increased,
dispatch mins can be decreased
ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11
dispatch mins
bike
downtown suburbia downtown &
AM 27 30 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 7
PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5
FORECAST SPEEDS
truck profit before tax didn’t change
enough. Idle time cost for individual
scenarios needs to be examined.
Forecast speed can be increased,
dispatch mins can be decreased
ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11
Profit margin is 34 %
Sigma level is 3.8
Higher sigma level is desired since
target for profit margin has already
been achieved Profit margin is 37%
Sigma level is 3.4
ANALYZE – overall progress
ANALYZE – Overall progress
Reduce lateness occurrence and rebates reduce idle time cost to improve profit
ANALYZE – INSIGHTS
Idle Time Lateness
WHEN ? Speed of field operator is underestimated Speed of field operator is overestimated
HOW ?
Forecast Speed < Actual Speed
OR
Dispatch mins > Mins to customer
Forecast Speed > Actual Speed
OR
Dispatch mins < Mins to customer
SO ?
Dispatch mins OR Forecast Speed Dispatch mins OR Forecast Speed
BUT,
Reducing dispatch mins more than required can
cause lateness
Increasing dispatch mins beyond certain limit can
cause idle time
15 MINS TIME WINDOW
field operator
dispatcher
early late
Minutes to customer with actual speed
Dispatch minutes calculated using forecast speed
Lower
Spec
limit
Upper
Spec
limit
IMPROVE – Pugh Matrix
IMPROVE – Suggested business state
Factors measure improved data
fields ops cost (% of revenue) 34.1% 36.8%
rebate % of revenue 30% 1%
idle time cost % of revenue 0.4% 2.0%
profit before tax % 7.6% 34.0%
% bikes 88% 62%
% trucks 12% 38%
% defects 33.6% 1.0%
% errors 51.7% 50.8%
sigma 1.9 3.8
Updated Forecast Speed and Dispatch Minutes Calculator
Comparison of results
IMPROVE – Lateness Control Chart
CONTROL - Non-Statistics Process Control
• Standardized Operation Procedures –
• Dispatcher need to follow our final rule, as below, to calculate bike estimated speed and
dispatch time
• Field Operator must follow suggested route from Dispatcher
• Documentation –
• What kind of documentation is available? Improved Process Map, Mainframe process
documentation.
• Where is the documentation located? Change Management folder on shared drive
• Who has access to the information? Change management team
• Who will be responsible for updating the information? Change Management Team
• How is documentation / file change control managed? Change management team updates
the version changes in the document.
CONTROL - Non-Statistics Process Control
• Poke Yoke –
• Before dispatching field operator, we have to check there is parking spot at
destination for truck delivery.
• Demanded 3rd party regularly implement bike and truck maintenance.
• Routes should be decided by dispatcher and followed by field operator.
• Monitoring –
• Conducted a regular monthly meeting to review our gross margin, price rebate
and idle time cost, and perform root-cause analyses.
CONTROL - Statistics Process Control
Gross Margin Control Chart
CONTROL - Idle Time Control Chart
Idle Time Control Chart 5% outliers
are above UCL
CONTROL - Idle Time Control Chart
1% outliers
are above UCL
Summary
Proposed system should regularly meet these criteria
• Profit before tax should be above 30% of revenue
• Gross Margin should not be lower than LCL ($1392)
• Not more than 5% of idle time outliers should be above UCL (13.76 mins)
• Not more than 1% of lateness occurrences(defects) should be above UCL (0.173 mins)
THANK YOU
MEASURE – DATA SET 1-5

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Lean six sigma project PDI logistics

  • 1. Lean six sigma project PDI logistics • Dharanidhar Malladi • Hsiao Chuang-Jen • Hitarth Patel • Rachit Jauhari
  • 2. DEFINE – Project definition Project business Case : • PDI is package pickup and delivery company which OUTSOURCES its ground operations to a third party • Inefficiency in processes and miscommunication at PDI -> rebates and idle time costs • Gross margin needs to be improved to sustain operations and for growth in future Problem Statement : Identify causes behind current inefficiencies (rebate and idle cost) impacting gross margin. Goal: to suggest improvements in the system for achieving at least 30% profit before tax with minimum errors and defects Out of scope • Market-research data for the purpose of increasing market share. • Improvement in Customer satisfaction metrics other than rebate. • Details of an employee reward system for incentivizing employees.
  • 3. DEFINE- CTQ Characteristics of product or service On time pickup/delivery , no damage to package , convenience of scheduling Measures and operational definitions Rebates due to lateness or damage to package Target value of measures Zero rebate Specification limits Time window of 15 mins and undamaged package Defect rate of measures Reduce rebate occurrence from 33.3% per total pickups to 5% or less. *Idle time is an error in the process and an inefficiency between PDI and third party *Rebate is a defect
  • 4. 5. Suppliers 4. Inputs 1. Process 2. Outputs 3. Customers sender Sender order details order received from customer(package sender) Order details (name, address, contact no.) PDI third party dispatcher Time window from dispatcher sender informed on estimated time window Estimated 15 min time window for sender sender sender Payment Confirmation pickup of package Pickup confirmation from sender Third-party dispatcher/field operator Sales operator at PDI revenue calculation bill generated and package recipient informed on 15 mins time-window Bill , estimated 15 min time window for recipient sender and recipient Recipient address details of recipient package delivered to recipient Receipt confirmation from recipient Third-party dispatcher/field operator DEFINE- SIPOC
  • 5. DEFINE – VSM and focus area
  • 6. DEFINE – Assumptions • Field operators are always available. • Time window is negotiated between sender and Sales Operator and is an input to dispatcher. • Performance of field operator is out of our control. • Package pickup and delivery are 2 isolated processes and we need to focus only on package pickup. • Payment issues from sender are not be considered.
  • 7. Define – Initial business state Sigma Measurement Defects ( rebate occurrences) 706 Opportunities 2096 Defect Opportunities per unit 1 DPMO 336832.0611 Sigma Level 1.9 Financials Revenues $125,335.40 Fields ops cost ( including Idle time cost) $42,753.90 Rebate cost $38,106.00 Gross margin $44,475.50 Fixed costs $35,000.00 Profit before tax $9,475.50 Profit before tax ( % of revenue) 7.6%
  • 8. MEASURE – Data Collection requirements: Planning Sheet Question To Be Answered Name of Data Required Operational Definition how often are we early ? early frequency Minutes To Customer (One Way < Trip Time Lower Spec Limit how often is rebate due to lateness ? late frequency Minutes To Customer (One Way > Trip Time upper Spec Limit By how much is the dispatcher overestimating the amount of forecast time in case of early errors ? amount of early error (one-way distance*60)/ forecast speed))+7.5 mins – (minutes to customer ) by how much is the dispatcher underestimating the amount of forecast time in case of late errors ? amount of late error (minutes to customer ) - ((one way distance*60)/forecast speed) - 7.5 mins Details about bike and Truck usage conditions DMB, DMT, DEB, DET, SMB, SMT, SEB, SET Combined Indicator variables with rebate and idle time
  • 9. MEASURE - Identify Sampling Bias and Measurement Problems Sampling Bias • Unequal weightage of data for bicycle and truck • Unequal weightage of downtown and suburbia • Seasonal fluctuation in data • More/less incidents of damaged package considered than normal • Higher proportion of data for particular range of package weight (can influence speed) Measurement problems • Estimation of route to be travelled by field operator • Tracking of occurrence of a late pickup/delivery • Variation in field ops cost with no relation to vehicle used.
  • 10. MEASURE - FMEA Key Process Step or Input Potential Failure Mode Potential Failure Effects S E V Potential Causes O C C Current Controls D E T R P N Actions Recommended Resp. What is the Process Step or Input? In what ways can the Process Step or Input fail? What is the impact on the Key Output Variables once it fails (customer or internal requirements)? HowSevereisthe effecttothe customer? What causes the Key Process Step or Input to go wrong? Howoftendoes causeorFMoccur? What are the existing controls and procedures that prevent either the Cause or the Failure Mode? Howwellcanyou detecttheCauseor theFailureMode? What are the actions for reducing the occurrence of the cause, or improving detection? Who is Responsible for the recommended action? Dispatch time calculation dispatch time calculation doesn’t synchronise with time window rebate or idle time cost. 10 forecast speed under/overestima tion 10 none 10 1000 Estimate dispatch time with accuracy dispatcher selection of bike or truck vehicle selected is wrong as per time window , location, distance and time of day considerations rebate or idle time cost. 8 error by dispatcher 4 none 10 320 dispatcher package pickup package lost or damaged rebate 10 Error by Field operator 2 none 10 200 field operator
  • 11. ANALYZE – Data set 1-3 • No rebate due to damage • regression reveals that late rebate mainly due to trucks used in Downtown during morning Increase reliance on bikes in downtown morning during morning
  • 12. ANALYZE – Data set 1 to 3 • Truck performance improved • Overall rebate increased • Gross margin decreased • Current formula for dispatch mins calculation is: (time to reach – 7.5) mins Dispatch mins need to be increased to reduce lateness. Lateness is more frequent than idle time occurrence. Improvement 1) (time to reach + 7.5) mins Improvement 2) (time to reach + 15 ) mins
  • 13. ANALYZE – data set 1 to 3 • Rebates decreased, GM improved • No trucks used in evenings • High rebates during bike usage in morning Dispatch time can be further increased to (time to reach + 31 mins)
  • 14. ANALYZE – Data set 1 to 3 • All lateness occurrences are in morning and mainly due to bike bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 25 25 20 - 0.3*(pounds) PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds) FORECAST SPEEDS truck bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 20 20 20 - 0.3*(pounds) PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds) FORECAST SPEEDS truck
  • 15. ANALYZE – dataset 4 – 6 • Data set 4-6 consisted of 100% bikes as vehicle used • Over 90% of the pickups had idle time errors • We focused only on optimizing forecast speed for bike and learnt that we need to monitor both dispatch mins and forecast speed • In data 6 Idle time error was drastically reduced by increasing dispatch time to (miles/speed)*60 + 31 mins
  • 16. ANALYZE – dataset 4 – 6 • But this was an impractical condition, so we ignored dataset 4-6 for further analysis
  • 17. ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11 bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 25 25 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 5 PM 15 20 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5 forecast speed truck dispatch mins bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 15 15 20 - 0.40*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 5 PM 15 15 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5 forecast speed truck dispatch mins Rebates are quite low but idle costs are hitting margins now, mainly due to trucks
  • 18. ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11 Total profit improved a bit to 26.4%, but idle time cost still remains high bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 25 25 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 11 PM 15 20 20 - 0.10 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5 forecast speed truck dispatch mins
  • 19. ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11 bike downtown suburbia downtown & suburbia AM 30 30 20 - 0.45*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 8 PM 15 20 20 - 0.15 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5 forecast speed truck dispatch mins profit before tax didn’t change enough. Idle time cost for individual scenarios needs to be examined. Forecast speed can be increased, dispatch mins can be decreased
  • 20. ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11 dispatch mins bike downtown suburbia downtown & AM 27 30 20 - 0.35*(pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 + 7 PM 15 20 20 - 0.2 * (pounds) (miles/forecast speed)*60 - 5 FORECAST SPEEDS truck profit before tax didn’t change enough. Idle time cost for individual scenarios needs to be examined. Forecast speed can be increased, dispatch mins can be decreased
  • 21. ANALYZE – Data set 7 to 11 Profit margin is 34 % Sigma level is 3.8 Higher sigma level is desired since target for profit margin has already been achieved Profit margin is 37% Sigma level is 3.4
  • 23. ANALYZE – Overall progress Reduce lateness occurrence and rebates reduce idle time cost to improve profit
  • 24. ANALYZE – INSIGHTS Idle Time Lateness WHEN ? Speed of field operator is underestimated Speed of field operator is overestimated HOW ? Forecast Speed < Actual Speed OR Dispatch mins > Mins to customer Forecast Speed > Actual Speed OR Dispatch mins < Mins to customer SO ? Dispatch mins OR Forecast Speed Dispatch mins OR Forecast Speed BUT, Reducing dispatch mins more than required can cause lateness Increasing dispatch mins beyond certain limit can cause idle time 15 MINS TIME WINDOW field operator dispatcher early late Minutes to customer with actual speed Dispatch minutes calculated using forecast speed Lower Spec limit Upper Spec limit
  • 26. IMPROVE – Suggested business state Factors measure improved data fields ops cost (% of revenue) 34.1% 36.8% rebate % of revenue 30% 1% idle time cost % of revenue 0.4% 2.0% profit before tax % 7.6% 34.0% % bikes 88% 62% % trucks 12% 38% % defects 33.6% 1.0% % errors 51.7% 50.8% sigma 1.9 3.8 Updated Forecast Speed and Dispatch Minutes Calculator Comparison of results
  • 27. IMPROVE – Lateness Control Chart
  • 28. CONTROL - Non-Statistics Process Control • Standardized Operation Procedures – • Dispatcher need to follow our final rule, as below, to calculate bike estimated speed and dispatch time • Field Operator must follow suggested route from Dispatcher • Documentation – • What kind of documentation is available? Improved Process Map, Mainframe process documentation. • Where is the documentation located? Change Management folder on shared drive • Who has access to the information? Change management team • Who will be responsible for updating the information? Change Management Team • How is documentation / file change control managed? Change management team updates the version changes in the document.
  • 29. CONTROL - Non-Statistics Process Control • Poke Yoke – • Before dispatching field operator, we have to check there is parking spot at destination for truck delivery. • Demanded 3rd party regularly implement bike and truck maintenance. • Routes should be decided by dispatcher and followed by field operator. • Monitoring – • Conducted a regular monthly meeting to review our gross margin, price rebate and idle time cost, and perform root-cause analyses.
  • 30. CONTROL - Statistics Process Control Gross Margin Control Chart
  • 31. CONTROL - Idle Time Control Chart Idle Time Control Chart 5% outliers are above UCL
  • 32. CONTROL - Idle Time Control Chart 1% outliers are above UCL
  • 33. Summary Proposed system should regularly meet these criteria • Profit before tax should be above 30% of revenue • Gross Margin should not be lower than LCL ($1392) • Not more than 5% of idle time outliers should be above UCL (13.76 mins) • Not more than 1% of lateness occurrences(defects) should be above UCL (0.173 mins)
  • 35. MEASURE – DATA SET 1-5

Notas del editor

  1. Separate tracking mechanisms for bike and truck Truck speed doesn’t depend on weight Based on our detailed analysis we realized that we can use the same formula for calc. bike forecast speed in either case
  2. Data 10 meets both criteria – increasing profit before tax and reducing rebates Sigma level increased from 1.9 to 3.8 Gross margin has improved from 7% to 34% Rebate occurrences have reduced to around 1% Although idle time occurences have remained fairly same, the effect of them have reduced