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Rohit Talwar
CEO - Fast Future Research
London Business School - Global Leadership Summit
June 23rd 2015
rohit@fastfuture.com
www.fastfuture.com
www.fastfuturepublishing.com
The Future of Business
What if the game changes - Shifts, disruptions and strategies
Pay With a Tweet
1. Mention The Future of Business on
Twitter during the session - use
#futrbiz
2. Follow us @futrbiz
3. We’ll send you a unique one-time
download code
When Worlds Collide
Can we Change our DNA?
Play by the
Rules of the
Game
Create a
New Game
‘Future Proofed’ Organisations
Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel
4-10+ Years
Creating
the Future
1-3 Years
Search for
Growth
1-12 Months
Operational
Excellence
A Digitized Species With a Global Brain
Bostrom’s Digital Simulation?
Strategy Design Tensions
Human vs.
Machine
Intelligence
Feminine vs. Masculine
Star Wars vs. Star Trek
Nanotechnology /
Atomically Precise
Manufacturing
3D / 4D
Printing
New
Computing
Architectures
Hyperconnected
Internet of
Humanity
Immersivity /
Mixed Reality
Living
Food Chain
Transformation
Energy
Innovation
Robotics /
Drones
Brain
Uploading
A Possibility Explosion
from Exponential
Science and Technology
Developments
Blockchain
Technology
Healthcare
Transformation
Artificial
Intelligence /
Conscious
Technology
Synthetic
Biology
Human
Augmentation
A Continuous Technology Evolution
from the Mainframe ...
…to Desktop…
...to Portable and Mobile ...
...Wearable...
...Embedded...
... Connected to an Augmented, Immersive Multi-
Sensory ‘Internet of Everything’…
… and Artificially Intelligent
Intelligent Assistants and Digital Twins
S&T Innovation and New Ideas are
Enabling Tomorrow’s Core Sectors
Information and Communications Technology
 Mobile Internet - Devices, Services,
Infrastructure, Commerce
 Next Generation Intelligent,
Personalised Internet
 Cloud Based Applications,
Infrastructure, Services
 Internet of Things / Internet of
Everything / Internet of Humanity
 Big Data, Data Mining and the
Automation of Knowledge
 AI and Deep Learning
 Blockchain Systems and Distributed
Autonomous Organisations
Production and Construction Systems & Technologies
 Advanced Robotics / Drones
 3D/4D Printing and Advanced Materials
 Genomics and Synthetic Biology
 Biomimcry Applied to Product Design
and Engineered Systems
 Rapid/Green/Sustainable Construction
Industry Transformation
 Global Infrastructure - Roads, Transport, Energy, Water
 Automation of Professional Services - E.g. Accounting,
Legal, Consultancy, and Architecture
 Financial Services Technologies
Energy and Environment
 Alternative/Renewable Energy / Storage
 Advanced Oil & Gas Exploration & Recovery - Including Fracking,
Methane Hydrates
 Geo-Engineering, Climate / Environment Protection, Disaster
Recovery / Remediation
Citizen Services and Domestic Infrastructure
 Healthcare Innovation - Wellness, Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment
 Elder Care
 Human Modification / Augmentation / Body Shops
 Clean Domestic Water and Sanitation Services
 Smart Homes – Smart Devices, Air Con, Waste to Power
 Green / Electric / Autonomous / Near-Autonomous Vehicles
 Education Systems Transformation
New Societal Infrastructure and Services
 New Food and Agriculture
Solutions
 Sharing / Circular Economy –
Repurpose, Recycle, Reuse,
Repair
 Smart City Infrastructures and
Services
 Intelligent Transport Systems
 E-Government
Magic and Mayhem -
Business Strategies,
Models and Behaviours
Alternative Revenue Models E.g. Auctions
£3088
($5190)
£8791.50
($14,770)
£81
($136)
Rapid Execution e.g. Superfast Construction
Ark Hotel - Dongting Lake - China
Pursuit of Exponential Growth
AirBnB Hotels 90x more listings per employee
GitHub Software 109x more repositories per employee
Local Motors
Automotive
1000x cheaper to develop a new car model
5-22x faster to manufacture a car
Quirky Consumer Goods 10x faster product development (29 vs 300 days)
Google Ventures
Investments
2.5x more investments in early stage start-ups
10x faster through design process
Valve Gaming 30x more market cap per employee
Tesla Automotive 30x more market cap per employee
Tangerine (formerly ING Direct
Canada) Banking
7x more customers per employee
4x more deposits per customer
Strati – First 3D Printed Car (Local Motors)
Exponential Market Cap Improvement
Age (years) 2011 valuation 2014 valuation Increase
Haier 30 $19 billion $60 billion 3x
Valve 18 $1.5 billion $4.5 billion 3x
Google 17 $150 billion $400 billion 2.5x
Uber 7 $2 billion $40 billion 20x
AirBnB 6 $2 billion $10 billion 5x
Github 6 $ 500 million
(est.)
$7 billion 14x
Waze 6 $ 25 million $1 billion (2013) 50x
Qirky 5 $ 50 million $2 billion 40x
Snapchat 3 0 $10 billion 10,000x +
Bitcoin, Blockchain, Smart Contracts
and Distributed Accounting Ledgers
“I’m an asset, and I belong to XYC Company,
here’s a digital signature to prove it”.
Decentralized Autonomous Organizations /
Software Defined Companies / Corporations as a Technology
Automation Junkies and
Non-Owned Entities
A World of Multiple Actors
Robots, Androids, Holograms, Display-based AI Manifestations
Virtual Collaboration
Novel and Adaptive Thinking Social Intelligence
Trans Disciplinarity
New Media Literacy
Computational Thinking
Design MindsetCross Cultural Competency Sense Making
Cognitive Load Management
Uploading – External Faster Brains?
The Internet of Brains
Conclusion – Critical Choices
• Being
• Behavior
• Financial
Orientation
• Talent
• Delivery
The Book
Copies of the book
will be available
after our Q&A
session

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The game changes: shifts, disruptions and strategies

  • 1. Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Research London Business School - Global Leadership Summit June 23rd 2015 rohit@fastfuture.com www.fastfuture.com www.fastfuturepublishing.com The Future of Business What if the game changes - Shifts, disruptions and strategies
  • 2. Pay With a Tweet 1. Mention The Future of Business on Twitter during the session - use #futrbiz 2. Follow us @futrbiz 3. We’ll send you a unique one-time download code
  • 4. Can we Change our DNA? Play by the Rules of the Game Create a New Game
  • 5. ‘Future Proofed’ Organisations Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel 4-10+ Years Creating the Future 1-3 Years Search for Growth 1-12 Months Operational Excellence
  • 6. A Digitized Species With a Global Brain Bostrom’s Digital Simulation?
  • 10. Star Wars vs. Star Trek
  • 11. Nanotechnology / Atomically Precise Manufacturing 3D / 4D Printing New Computing Architectures Hyperconnected Internet of Humanity Immersivity / Mixed Reality Living Food Chain Transformation Energy Innovation Robotics / Drones Brain Uploading A Possibility Explosion from Exponential Science and Technology Developments Blockchain Technology Healthcare Transformation Artificial Intelligence / Conscious Technology Synthetic Biology Human Augmentation
  • 12. A Continuous Technology Evolution from the Mainframe ...
  • 14. ...to Portable and Mobile ...
  • 17. ... Connected to an Augmented, Immersive Multi- Sensory ‘Internet of Everything’…
  • 18. … and Artificially Intelligent Intelligent Assistants and Digital Twins
  • 19. S&T Innovation and New Ideas are Enabling Tomorrow’s Core Sectors
  • 20. Information and Communications Technology  Mobile Internet - Devices, Services, Infrastructure, Commerce  Next Generation Intelligent, Personalised Internet  Cloud Based Applications, Infrastructure, Services  Internet of Things / Internet of Everything / Internet of Humanity  Big Data, Data Mining and the Automation of Knowledge  AI and Deep Learning  Blockchain Systems and Distributed Autonomous Organisations
  • 21. Production and Construction Systems & Technologies  Advanced Robotics / Drones  3D/4D Printing and Advanced Materials  Genomics and Synthetic Biology  Biomimcry Applied to Product Design and Engineered Systems  Rapid/Green/Sustainable Construction
  • 22. Industry Transformation  Global Infrastructure - Roads, Transport, Energy, Water  Automation of Professional Services - E.g. Accounting, Legal, Consultancy, and Architecture  Financial Services Technologies
  • 23. Energy and Environment  Alternative/Renewable Energy / Storage  Advanced Oil & Gas Exploration & Recovery - Including Fracking, Methane Hydrates  Geo-Engineering, Climate / Environment Protection, Disaster Recovery / Remediation
  • 24. Citizen Services and Domestic Infrastructure  Healthcare Innovation - Wellness, Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment  Elder Care  Human Modification / Augmentation / Body Shops  Clean Domestic Water and Sanitation Services  Smart Homes – Smart Devices, Air Con, Waste to Power  Green / Electric / Autonomous / Near-Autonomous Vehicles  Education Systems Transformation
  • 25. New Societal Infrastructure and Services  New Food and Agriculture Solutions  Sharing / Circular Economy – Repurpose, Recycle, Reuse, Repair  Smart City Infrastructures and Services  Intelligent Transport Systems  E-Government
  • 26. Magic and Mayhem - Business Strategies, Models and Behaviours
  • 27. Alternative Revenue Models E.g. Auctions £3088 ($5190) £8791.50 ($14,770) £81 ($136)
  • 28. Rapid Execution e.g. Superfast Construction Ark Hotel - Dongting Lake - China
  • 29. Pursuit of Exponential Growth AirBnB Hotels 90x more listings per employee GitHub Software 109x more repositories per employee Local Motors Automotive 1000x cheaper to develop a new car model 5-22x faster to manufacture a car Quirky Consumer Goods 10x faster product development (29 vs 300 days) Google Ventures Investments 2.5x more investments in early stage start-ups 10x faster through design process Valve Gaming 30x more market cap per employee Tesla Automotive 30x more market cap per employee Tangerine (formerly ING Direct Canada) Banking 7x more customers per employee 4x more deposits per customer
  • 30. Strati – First 3D Printed Car (Local Motors)
  • 31. Exponential Market Cap Improvement Age (years) 2011 valuation 2014 valuation Increase Haier 30 $19 billion $60 billion 3x Valve 18 $1.5 billion $4.5 billion 3x Google 17 $150 billion $400 billion 2.5x Uber 7 $2 billion $40 billion 20x AirBnB 6 $2 billion $10 billion 5x Github 6 $ 500 million (est.) $7 billion 14x Waze 6 $ 25 million $1 billion (2013) 50x Qirky 5 $ 50 million $2 billion 40x Snapchat 3 0 $10 billion 10,000x +
  • 32. Bitcoin, Blockchain, Smart Contracts and Distributed Accounting Ledgers “I’m an asset, and I belong to XYC Company, here’s a digital signature to prove it”.
  • 33. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations / Software Defined Companies / Corporations as a Technology Automation Junkies and Non-Owned Entities
  • 34. A World of Multiple Actors Robots, Androids, Holograms, Display-based AI Manifestations
  • 35. Virtual Collaboration Novel and Adaptive Thinking Social Intelligence Trans Disciplinarity New Media Literacy Computational Thinking Design MindsetCross Cultural Competency Sense Making Cognitive Load Management
  • 36. Uploading – External Faster Brains?
  • 37. The Internet of Brains
  • 38. Conclusion – Critical Choices • Being • Behavior • Financial Orientation • Talent • Delivery
  • 39. The Book Copies of the book will be available after our Q&A session

Notas del editor

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  21. http://cdn1.bostonmagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/sharing-economy-3.jpg
  22. http://cdn.indiewire.com/dims4/INDIEWIRE/859546a/2147483647/crop/1190x835%2B198%2B0/resize/680x478/quality/75/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fd1oi7t5trwfj5d.cloudfront.net%2F2c%2F8a%2F6b9bc5c248b5b063e6f97e7d58dd%2Fresizes%2F1500%2Fgame-of-thrones-season-5.jpg
  23. www.madbid.com
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  29. http://www.iftf.org/uploads/media/IFTF_FutureWorkSkillsSummary_01.gif
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