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International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 78
International Surgery Journal
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
http://www.ijsurgery.com pISSN 2349-3305 | eISSN 2349-2902
Original Research Article
Factors affecting mortality in burns: a single center study
Ketan Vagholkar*, Nisha Hariharan, Suvarna Vagholkar
INTRODUCTION
Burns is one of the most dreadful surgical emergency with
devastating physical and financial implications. More than
2 million burn injuries occur in a year in India. It has
complex consequences with increased morbidity and
mortality. Mortality in the developing nations continues to
be high.1
Various factors affect the outcome in the form of
mortality in burns patients. Identifying these factors will
help in significantly reducing the mortality. The present
study aims at identifying the various factors that influence
the mortality in burns patients.
METHODS
The observational study aims at identifying potential
factors that have an impact on mortality in burns patients.
The factors studied are age, sex, etiology
(accidental/suicidal), mode of injury (flames, scalds,
electric, chemical), associated inhalation injury, total body
surface area affected by burn (BSA), time interval between
the injury and admission to hospital, duration of stay,
pregnant state, complications (systemic and local), and
psychological impact.
ABSTRACT
Background: Burns injury continues to be the greatest challenge to the trauma surgeon. A multitude of factors
determine the mortality in burns patients. The present study aims at identifying those factors which have a significant
impact on mortality in burns patients.
Methods: A total 80 patients presenting with burns injury were studied prospectively. Various factors which included
age, sex, aetiology, mode of injury, total body surface area which is burnt (BSA), duration of stay, time interval up to
admission, pregnant state, inhalation injury, systemic complications, wound complications, and psychological impact
were studied.
Results: The mean age was 24.07 years. 59 were females, 21 were males. 19 (23.75%) cases were suicidal in aetiology
whereas the remaining 61(76.25%) were accidental. Flame injury was the most common mode of injury in 65 patients
(81.25%). The mean BSA in the study was 53.5% whereas the mean BSA in those patients who expired was 71.4%.
Mean duration of stay in hospital was 6.55 days whereas mean time interval between burns injury and admission to
hospital was 101.33 minutes. All 12 pregnant women had spontaneous miscarriages with a mortality in 11 patients.
Inhalation injury was seen in 49 patients (61%) with mortality of 42 (83.7%) patients. Systemic complications seen in
60 patients mortality and BSA was high in patients who had infection. 31 patients in the study had severe depression
with a mortality of 91.32%. 50 out of the 80 patients studied expired.
Conclusions: Increased age, BSA, mode of injury, presence of inhalation injury, systemic complication, pregnant state,
wound infection and depression had a significant impact on the mortality of burns patients.
Keywords: Burns, Factors, Treatment, Complications, Mortality, Outcomes
Department of Surgery, D. Y. Patil University School of Medicine, Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Received: 10 December 2020
Revised: 17 December 2020
Accepted: 18 December 2020
*Correspondence:
Dr. Ketan Vagholkar,
E-mail: kvagholkar@yahoo.com
Copyright: © the author(s), publisher and licensee Medip Academy. This is an open-access article distributed under
the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License, which permits unrestricted non-commercial
use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.18203/2349-2902.isj20205667
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 79
Inclusion criteria
All children with 10% or more BSA, adults with 15% or
more BSA, patients with inhalation burns injury and
pregnant women with any percentage of burns.
Exclusion criteria
Patients with known co-morbid conditions like diabetes,
heart disease, etc and patients who left the hospital against
medical advice.
The observational study was approved by the Institutional
Ethics Committee. 80 cases presenting to a single surgical
unit in a tertiary care hospital in Navi Mumbai, India over
a period of 6 months from July 2019 to December 2019
were studied prospectively. Sample size was based on all
patients admitted in the six month period. After admission
to hospital, a detailed proforma was completed which
included all the demographic data as well as details
pertaining to each factor during the course of the hospital
admission. Each patient was managed by uniform
protocol. All patients on admission underwent preliminary
procedures such as central venal access, urinary
catheterization, and nasogastric decompression with a
Ryle’s tube. Intravenous fluid resuscitation was done using
the modified Brooke’s formula. Presence of facial burns,
burning of facial hair, burns injury to the nostrils, singing
of nasal hair was noted as evidence of inhalation burns
injury. Antibiotic combination comprised of ceftriaxone
and amikacin. Analgesia was achieved by administering
pentazocine, phenergan and paracetomol. Injectable
antacids were commenced as well. For patients with upto
20% BSA and superficial burns, open method of wound
management was done which comprised of daily bathing
of patient followed by application of topical Silver
Sulphadiazine. Patients with more than 20% BSA were
managed with closed method of dressing. After
completion of initial fluid resuscitation, psychological
evaluation was done. Wound management was continued
taking care to avoid infection and contractures. The
patients were followed up to discharge. The data collected
was studied and statistically analysed.
RESULTS
Age
The mean age of the patients in the study was 24.07 (±SD
14.39) (Table 1) with a range of 9 months to 80 years. The
mortality increased with advancing age. There was a
significant correlation between age and mortality.
(p<0.001)
Sex
Of the 80 cases studied, 59 were females and 21 were
males. Thereby revealing a female preponderance in
burns. There was no correlation between sex and outcome.
(Table 2)
Table 1: Age-wise distribution of mortality.
Age group
(in years)
No. of
cases
Mortality
Mortality in
% terms
0-10 16 3 18.75
11-20 13 9 69.23
21-30 34 25 73.52
31-40 10 6 60
41-50 4 4 100
51-60 2 2 100
> 60 1 1 100
Total 80 50 62.5
Table 2: Outcome based on sex.
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Male Female Total
Expired 11 39 50
Row Pct 22 78 62.5
Col Pct 52.4 66.1
Discharged 10 20 30
Row Pct 33.3 66.7 37.5
Col Pct 47.6 33.9
Column total
%
21
26.3
59
73.8
80
100.0
Chi-Square Value DF Significance
Pearson 1.24401 1 0.26570
Continuity
correction
0.72747 1 0.39371
Likelihood
ratio
1.22325 1 0.26872
Mantel-
Haenszel test
for linear
association
1.22846 1 0.26771
Minimum expected frequency – 7.875
Number of missing observations: 0
The above table shows that sex of the patient does not
influence the outcome.
Etiology
Amongst the 50 cases who expired, 19 (23.75%) were
suicidal and 31 (76.25%) were accidental. The mean BSA
in suicidal cases was 76.26% (± SD 21.6). This was
statistically significant (p< 0.001) (Table 3).
Mode of injury
65 (81.25%) patients had flame injuries and 15(18.75%)
patients had scalds. (Table 4) Therefore, flame injury was
the most common mode of injury. There were no electric
or chemical burns in the patients studied.
Of the 65 patients of flame injury, 19 (29.23%) were
burned by setting ablaze, 39(60%) by stove burst, 2 (3%)
by candle falling on bed, 3(4.6%) by close catching fire
and 2 (2%) by cylinder burst. (Table 4)
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 80
Table 3: Outcome based on aetiology.
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Male Female Total
Expired 11 39 50
Row Pct 22 78 62.5
Col Pct 52.4 66.1
Discharged 10 20 30
Row Pct 33.3 66.7 37.5
Col Pct 47.6 33.9
Column Total
%
21
26.3
59
73.8
80
100.0
Chi-Square Value Df Significance
Pearson 1.24401 1 0.26570
Continuity
Correction
0.72747 1 0.39371
Likelihood
Ratio
1.22325 1 0.26872
Mantel-
Haenszel test
for linear
association
1.22846 1 0.26771
Minimum Expected Frequency – 7.875
Number of Missing Observations: 0
The above table shows that sex of the patient does
not influence the outcome.
Amongst the male patients, 15 (71.25%) sustained flame
injuries while 6 (28.57%) sustained scalds, whereas in
female group, 50 (84.74%) patients sustained flame
injuries while 9 (15.25%) patients sustained scalds. (Table
4).
Table 4: Distribution of patients based on mode of
injury.
Mode of Injury
No. of
patients
%
Flame 65 81.25
Scald 15 18.75
Electric 0 0
Chemical 0 0
Total 80
Mode of flame injury
No. of
patients
%
Setting ablaze 19 29.23
Stove burst 39 60.00
Candle falling on bed 2 3.07
Clothes catching fire 3 4.61
Cylinder burst 2 3.07
Total 65
With respect to the age-wise distribution of mode of injury,
flame injuries were common in age group 21-30 years
whereas scalds were common in age group 0-10 years.
Table 5: BSA.
No. of cases Mean SD SE of Mean
Expired 50 70.4600 21.614 3.057
Discharged 30 25.2333 10.855 1.982
Total 80
Mean difference = 45.2267, Levene’s test for equality of variances: F= 22.555; p=0.000, t-test for equality of
means 95%
Variances t-value df 2-Tail sig SE of diff CI for diff
Equal 10.66 78 0.000 4.241 (36.781, 53.672)
Unequal 12.41 76.13 0.000 3.643 (37.969, 52.484)
BSA
Of the 80 cases studied, the mean BSA was 53.5% ranging
from 10-100%. In the patients who expired (n=50), the
mean BSA was 70.46% which was found to be statistically
significant (p<0.001). (Table 5)
Time interval from injury to hospital admission
The mean time interval between sustaining the injury and
admission to hospital was 102.31 minutes. 98.75% of the
patients presented within 24 hours of the injury. Of the 50
patients who expired, the mean time interval of
presentation was 80 minutes. However, the mean time of
presentation in the discharge group of patients was 139
minutes. However, no significant correlation was found
between time interval and outcome. (Table 6)
Pregnancy
Out of the 59 female patients studied, 12 were pregnant at
the time of admission. All 12 of them had a spontaneous
abortion. Of the 50 patients who expired in the female
group, 11 were pregnant. (Table 7) Pregnancy is a
significant risk factor which significantly increases
mortality.
Inhalation injury
49 (61%) patients had inhalation injury, out of which 41
(83.7%) patients expired. Inhalation injury was found to be
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 81
a significant factor in predicting the outcome (p<0.001).
(Table 8) Another observation was that the presence of
inhalation injury significantly increased the chances of
developing systemic complications. Of the patients who
had inhalation injury, 9 developed septicaemia, 6
developed respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), 4
developed shock, and 28 had a combination of shock and
RDS, whereas 2 did not develop any systemic
complication. Inhalation burns injury significantly
increases the chances of developing systemic
complications. (Table 9)
Table 6: Time interval from injury to admission versus outcome.
No. of cases Mean SD SE of mean
Expired 50 80.1000 70.837 10.018
Discharged 30 139.3333 262.953 48.008
Total 80
Mean Difference = -59.2333, Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances: F= 5.853; p=0.018, t-test for Equality of Means
95%
Variances T-value df 2-Tail sig SE of diff CI for diff
Equal -1.51 78 0.135 39.232 (-137.357, 18.890)
Unequal -1.21 31.55 0.236 49.043
Table 7: Pregnant state vs outcome.
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Pregnant Not Pregnant Total
Expired 11 39
50
62.5
Row Pct 22.0 78.0
Col Pct 91.7 57.4
Discharged 1 29
30
37.5
Row Pct 3.3 96.7
Col Pct 8.3 42.6
Column Total (%) 12 (15.0) 68 (85.0) 80 (100.0)
Chi-Square Value DF Significance
Pearson 5.12418 1 0.02359
Continuity Correction 3.76471 1 0.05235
Likelihood Ratio 6.17397 1 0.01296
Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 5.06013 1 0.02448
Fisher’s Exact Test:
One-Tail 0.02062
Two-Tail 0.02593
Minimum Expected Frequency – 4.500
Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 1 of 4 (25.0%)
Number of Missing Observations: 0
Table 8: Inhalation injury vs mortality.
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Present Absent Total
Expired 41 9
50
62.5
Row Pct 82.0 18.0
Col Pct 83.7 29.0
Discharged 8 22
30
37.5
Row Pct 26.7 73.3
Col Pct 16.3 71.0
Column Total
%
49
61.3
31
38.8
80
100.0
Continued.
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 82
Chi-Square Value DF Significance
Pearson 24.18784 1 0.00000
Continuity Correction 21.91266 1 0.00000
Likelihood Ratio 24.88441 1 0.00000
Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 23.88549 1 0.00000
Minimum Expected Frequency – 11.625
Number of Missing Observations: 0
The above table shows that inhalation injury is a significant factor in predicting the outcome (p<0.001).
Table 9: Inhalation injury vs systemic complications.
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Septicemia RDS Shock
Shock
+
RDS
Nil Total
Inhalation Inj Present 9 6 4 28 2
49
61.3
Row Pct 18.4 12.2 8.2 57.1 4.1
Col Pct 60.0 100.0 36.4 100.0 10.0
Inhalation Inj Absent 6 7 18
31
38.8
Row Pct 19.4 22.6 58.1
Col Pct 40.0 63.6 90.0
Column Total
%
15
18.8
6
7.5
11
13.8
28
35.0
20
25.0
80
100.0
Chi-Square Value DF Significance
Pearson 46.52343 4 0.00000
Likelihood Ratio 59.20440 4 0.00000
Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 3.47304 1 0.06238
Minimum Expected Frequency – 2.325
Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 3 of 10 (30.0%)
Number of Missing Observations: 0
Table 10: Systemic complications vs mortality
Count
Row Pct
Col Pct
Septicemia RDS Shock
Shock
+
RDS
Nil Total
Expired
Row Pct
Col Pct
15
30.0
100.0
7
14.0
63.6
28
56.0
100.0
50
62.5
Discharged
Row Pct
Col Pct
6
20.0
100.0
4
13.3
35.4
20
66.7
100.0
30
38.8
Column Total
%
15
18.8
6
7.5
11
13.8
28
35.0
20
25.0
80
100.0
Chi-Square Value DF Significance
Pearson 69.13939 4 0.00000
Likelihood Ratio 91.42952 4 0.00000
Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 12.65045 1 0.00038
Minimum Expected Frequency – 2.250
Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 3 of 10 (30.0%)
Number of Missing Observations: 0
Systemic complications
A combination of RDS and shock was the most common
complication. Septicemia and the combination of RDS and
shock were associated with a 100% mortality. It was
observed that presence of systemic complications
significantly increased the mortality (p<0.001) (Table 10).
Wound complications
57 (71%) patients developed infections, 3 (4%) developed
infections and contractures, whereas 20 (25%) did not
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 83
develop wound complications. It was also observed that
wound complications were associated with higher
mortality which was statistically significant. Patients with
higher BSA had higher incidence of wound complications.
Psychological impact
31 (38.75%) patients developed depression, of whom, 28
(98.32%) expired. It was observed that depression
significantly increases the mortality (p<0.001).
Duration of stay
The mean duration of stay was 6.55 days (± SD 8.03)
ranging from 1 hour to 57 days.
DISCUSSION
The mortality rate in the study was 62.5% (50/80). Various
factors contributed to the higher mortality.1-3
Age
Mean age of the patients in the present study was 27.04
years. The mortality increased with increasing age,
especially after the age of 40 years. (Table 1) This was
observed in many other studies.1-3
Aged patients are more
prone to developing complications as well as have higher
incidence of increased BSA. The metabolic response to
injury weakens with advancing age, thereby weakening the
immune response as well as increased susceptibility to
infection.1,2
Aged patients also have increased difficulty in
protecting themselves at the time of injury, thereby
predisposing to increased BSA and poor outcomes.3
Sex
In the present study, 59 were females and 29 were males.
The preponderance of females is related to more kitchen
activities near gas or oil run heating appliances. The
mortality was high in females. However, the sex of the
patient did not influence the outcome. (Table 2) This was
in conformity with other studies.4,5
Etiology
Aetiology is an important determinant of BSA.6,7
In the
present study, 23% cases were suicidal whereas 76% were
accidental. The mean BSA in suicidal cases was higher i.e.
76.26 (± SD 21.6). This was found to be higher than the
overall BSA in the present study which was 53.5. This was
found to be statistically significant, hence a suicidal
aetiology is associated with high mortality due to increased
BSA. (Table 3)
Mode of injury
In the present study, flame injuries were seen in 65 patients
whereas scalding was seen in 15 patients. (Table 4) Flame
injuries have a variety of mechanisms. These include
cylinder burst, clothes catching fire, candles or oil lamps
falling on the bed, stove bursts and setting ablaze. (Table
4) Stove injuries were most common in female patients.
Stove is a traditional heating appliance used in India which
runs on kerosene. The safety mechanisms are extremely
poor with lack of manufacturing quality control.
Therefore, bursting of the oil chamber is a common cause
for severe accidental burns in women. The entire front side
which includes the face, chest, and abdomen is severely
burnt in stove-burst injuries. In men, 15 (71.42%) patients
had flame injuries whereas 6 (28.57%) patients had scalds.
Age is also a significant factor which determines the mode
of injury. Scald injuries are one of the most common in the
pediatric age group whereas flame injuries are more
common in the adult group.8,9
BSA
BSA continues to be the most important determinant of
outcome, especially mortality. As BSA increases, the
mortality also increases.1,2,10,11
As a large portion of body
tissues are affected, thereby leading to significant fluid
loss, loss of protective skin cover predisposing to
infection. In the present study, the mean BSA was 70.46 in
the 50 patients who expired whereas the mean BSA was
25.23 in remaining 30 patients who survived. (Table 5)
BSA therefore is a significant risk factor or determinant of
mortality in burns patients.
Time interval
The time interval between injury and admission to hospital
is an important determinant of survival. Longer the
duration, worst is the prognosis.1,2
This is best explained
on the basis of prolonged state of fluid depletion, thereby
leading to continuing hemodynamic instability. Prompt
fluid resuscitation is pivotal for a positive outcome.
Increased insensible loss of fluid leads to hypovolemia,
hypotension and multiorgan dysfunction. The dehydrated
tissues are more susceptible to infection. Therefore,
patients presenting late to hospital have increased
incidence of wound infection. Even in patients with
inhalation burns injury, the prolonged hypoxic state leads
to pulmonary complications, ending with ARDS.
Therefore, earlier presentation to hospital with prompt
commencement of resuscitation is associated with
improved survival. In the present study, 98.75% of patients
presented within 24 hours of the injury. The mean time
interval in patients who expired was 80.10 minutes.
However, there was no significant statistical correlation
between this time interval and outcome (Table 6).
Pregnancy
Out of the 59 women studied, 12 were pregnant at the time
of admission. (Table 7) All 12 of them had a spontaneous
miscarriage. 11 of the pregnant patients expired. This was
found to be statistically significant supporting the fact that
pregnancy is a risk factor which significantly increases
mortality in burns patients.12
A pregnant state leads to a
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 84
variety of hemodynamic changes. Severe burns can cause
fluid depletion which compromises the hemodynamic
status of both the mother and the fetus.13
Spontaneous
miscarriages add to the complexity of complications
thereby increasing the mortality.14
Inhalation injuries
Patients who sustained burns injury in a closed space or
room invariably have a component of inhalation injury.15
Presence of facial burns, burning of facial hair, burns
injury to the nostrils, singing of nasal hair are all
suggestive of inhalation burns injury.15
In the present
study, 49 patients (61%) had inhalation injury of which 41
patients (83.7%) expired. This was found to be statistically
significant. (Table 8) Inhalation injuries cause damage to
the respiratory passages as well as gross alteration in the
ventilation perfusion ratio. The respiratory defence
mechanisms are damaged predisposing to severe
respiratory infection. Hypersensitivity of the respiratory
passages can also cause severe bronchospasm. Alteration
in the gas exchange at alveolar level leads to hypo
perfusion and hypoxia.16
Hypoxia is instrumental in
initiating a diffuse inflammatory process in the lungs
leading to ARDS.16,17
Therefore, prompt identification of
inhalation injury with immediate treatment can
undoubtedly reduce the incidence of ARDS.18-20
In the
present study, inhalation injury was associated with
systemic complications which included shock due to
septicaemia. The correlation was found to be statistically
significant. (Table 9)
Systemic complications
Systemic complications are a known accompaniment of
burns injury.21,22
The most common complications are
hypovolemic shock followed by septicaemia. The
mortality in such cases is extremely high as seen in the
present study. (Table 10) Inhalation burns injury
complicates the problem.23
A combination of septic shock
with ARDS has an extremely high mortality.24
Systemic
complications eventually lead to multiorgan dysfunction
and death.
Wound complications
A typical burns injury has 3 zones. These include zone of
coagulation in the centre surrounded by zone of stasis
which is adjacent to it. This is surrounded by a zone of
hyperaemia. Prompt fluid resuscitation increases the
circulation in the zone of hyperaemia thereby limiting the
progression of the zone of stasis.25
The damaged central
portion will remain limited as long as the zone of stasis is
prevented from expanding. Initially, an eschar is formed
which covers the burnt wound. If the eschar is dry, it aids
or helps in enhancing wound healing by offering a
protective cover. However, if the depth of the burns is full
thickness, the protective effect of the eschar may not help
in wound healing. Infection especially hospital acquired is
commonly seen in burns patients.25,26
Therefore,
meticulous wound care with barrier nursing is the key to
success. In the present study, 57 (71%) patients developed
infection. 3 patients developed contractures after infection.
It was also observed that infection was more common in
patients who had increased BSA.27
These patients had
higher mortality.
Psychological impact
The main complication in patients who survive burns
injury is development of scarring which may cause
significant disfigurement. This is one of the common
causes for depression.28
It is a good clinical practice to
evaluate the patient’s psychological status. If found
depressed, treatment can be commenced immediately.
Depression is associated with increased mortality as of
seen in the present study. In the present study, out of the
80 cases studied, 31 patients (38.75%) developed
depression during the period of admission. 28 (98.32%) of
these patients expired. The correlation was found to be
statistically significant. Hence commencing antidepressant
therapy will perhaps reduce the severity of depression
thereby improving surgical outcomes.
Duration of stay
The duration of stay in hospital in variable. It is determined
predominantly by the severity of burns injury and
development of complications. In the present study, the
mean duration of stay was 6.55 days. However, it ranged
from 1 hour to 57 days. The study has few limitations. It is
limited by the sample size. The type of nursing unit for
managing burns patients needs to be further studied in
view of is impact on the outcome. The wound management
protocol also needs further appraisal.
CONCLUSION
The factors which affect mortality in burns patients were
identified based on the results of the study. These include
increasing age, increased BSA, inhalation burns injury,
presence of systemic burns complications, pregnant state,
wound infection and mental depression. Therefore,
maximum stress should be laid upon attending to these
factors while treating burns patients in order to reduce the
mortality.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to thank the Dean, D.Y.Patil
University School of Medicine, Navi Mumbai, India, for
permission to publish the study.
Funding: No funding sources
Conflict of interest: None declared
Ethical approval: The study was approved by the
Institutional Ethics Committee
Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85
International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 85
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Factors affecting mortality in burns patients

  • 1. International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 78 International Surgery Journal Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 http://www.ijsurgery.com pISSN 2349-3305 | eISSN 2349-2902 Original Research Article Factors affecting mortality in burns: a single center study Ketan Vagholkar*, Nisha Hariharan, Suvarna Vagholkar INTRODUCTION Burns is one of the most dreadful surgical emergency with devastating physical and financial implications. More than 2 million burn injuries occur in a year in India. It has complex consequences with increased morbidity and mortality. Mortality in the developing nations continues to be high.1 Various factors affect the outcome in the form of mortality in burns patients. Identifying these factors will help in significantly reducing the mortality. The present study aims at identifying the various factors that influence the mortality in burns patients. METHODS The observational study aims at identifying potential factors that have an impact on mortality in burns patients. The factors studied are age, sex, etiology (accidental/suicidal), mode of injury (flames, scalds, electric, chemical), associated inhalation injury, total body surface area affected by burn (BSA), time interval between the injury and admission to hospital, duration of stay, pregnant state, complications (systemic and local), and psychological impact. ABSTRACT Background: Burns injury continues to be the greatest challenge to the trauma surgeon. A multitude of factors determine the mortality in burns patients. The present study aims at identifying those factors which have a significant impact on mortality in burns patients. Methods: A total 80 patients presenting with burns injury were studied prospectively. Various factors which included age, sex, aetiology, mode of injury, total body surface area which is burnt (BSA), duration of stay, time interval up to admission, pregnant state, inhalation injury, systemic complications, wound complications, and psychological impact were studied. Results: The mean age was 24.07 years. 59 were females, 21 were males. 19 (23.75%) cases were suicidal in aetiology whereas the remaining 61(76.25%) were accidental. Flame injury was the most common mode of injury in 65 patients (81.25%). The mean BSA in the study was 53.5% whereas the mean BSA in those patients who expired was 71.4%. Mean duration of stay in hospital was 6.55 days whereas mean time interval between burns injury and admission to hospital was 101.33 minutes. All 12 pregnant women had spontaneous miscarriages with a mortality in 11 patients. Inhalation injury was seen in 49 patients (61%) with mortality of 42 (83.7%) patients. Systemic complications seen in 60 patients mortality and BSA was high in patients who had infection. 31 patients in the study had severe depression with a mortality of 91.32%. 50 out of the 80 patients studied expired. Conclusions: Increased age, BSA, mode of injury, presence of inhalation injury, systemic complication, pregnant state, wound infection and depression had a significant impact on the mortality of burns patients. Keywords: Burns, Factors, Treatment, Complications, Mortality, Outcomes Department of Surgery, D. Y. Patil University School of Medicine, Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra, India Received: 10 December 2020 Revised: 17 December 2020 Accepted: 18 December 2020 *Correspondence: Dr. Ketan Vagholkar, E-mail: kvagholkar@yahoo.com Copyright: © the author(s), publisher and licensee Medip Academy. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License, which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.18203/2349-2902.isj20205667
  • 2. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 79 Inclusion criteria All children with 10% or more BSA, adults with 15% or more BSA, patients with inhalation burns injury and pregnant women with any percentage of burns. Exclusion criteria Patients with known co-morbid conditions like diabetes, heart disease, etc and patients who left the hospital against medical advice. The observational study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee. 80 cases presenting to a single surgical unit in a tertiary care hospital in Navi Mumbai, India over a period of 6 months from July 2019 to December 2019 were studied prospectively. Sample size was based on all patients admitted in the six month period. After admission to hospital, a detailed proforma was completed which included all the demographic data as well as details pertaining to each factor during the course of the hospital admission. Each patient was managed by uniform protocol. All patients on admission underwent preliminary procedures such as central venal access, urinary catheterization, and nasogastric decompression with a Ryle’s tube. Intravenous fluid resuscitation was done using the modified Brooke’s formula. Presence of facial burns, burning of facial hair, burns injury to the nostrils, singing of nasal hair was noted as evidence of inhalation burns injury. Antibiotic combination comprised of ceftriaxone and amikacin. Analgesia was achieved by administering pentazocine, phenergan and paracetomol. Injectable antacids were commenced as well. For patients with upto 20% BSA and superficial burns, open method of wound management was done which comprised of daily bathing of patient followed by application of topical Silver Sulphadiazine. Patients with more than 20% BSA were managed with closed method of dressing. After completion of initial fluid resuscitation, psychological evaluation was done. Wound management was continued taking care to avoid infection and contractures. The patients were followed up to discharge. The data collected was studied and statistically analysed. RESULTS Age The mean age of the patients in the study was 24.07 (±SD 14.39) (Table 1) with a range of 9 months to 80 years. The mortality increased with advancing age. There was a significant correlation between age and mortality. (p<0.001) Sex Of the 80 cases studied, 59 were females and 21 were males. Thereby revealing a female preponderance in burns. There was no correlation between sex and outcome. (Table 2) Table 1: Age-wise distribution of mortality. Age group (in years) No. of cases Mortality Mortality in % terms 0-10 16 3 18.75 11-20 13 9 69.23 21-30 34 25 73.52 31-40 10 6 60 41-50 4 4 100 51-60 2 2 100 > 60 1 1 100 Total 80 50 62.5 Table 2: Outcome based on sex. Count Row Pct Col Pct Male Female Total Expired 11 39 50 Row Pct 22 78 62.5 Col Pct 52.4 66.1 Discharged 10 20 30 Row Pct 33.3 66.7 37.5 Col Pct 47.6 33.9 Column total % 21 26.3 59 73.8 80 100.0 Chi-Square Value DF Significance Pearson 1.24401 1 0.26570 Continuity correction 0.72747 1 0.39371 Likelihood ratio 1.22325 1 0.26872 Mantel- Haenszel test for linear association 1.22846 1 0.26771 Minimum expected frequency – 7.875 Number of missing observations: 0 The above table shows that sex of the patient does not influence the outcome. Etiology Amongst the 50 cases who expired, 19 (23.75%) were suicidal and 31 (76.25%) were accidental. The mean BSA in suicidal cases was 76.26% (± SD 21.6). This was statistically significant (p< 0.001) (Table 3). Mode of injury 65 (81.25%) patients had flame injuries and 15(18.75%) patients had scalds. (Table 4) Therefore, flame injury was the most common mode of injury. There were no electric or chemical burns in the patients studied. Of the 65 patients of flame injury, 19 (29.23%) were burned by setting ablaze, 39(60%) by stove burst, 2 (3%) by candle falling on bed, 3(4.6%) by close catching fire and 2 (2%) by cylinder burst. (Table 4)
  • 3. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 80 Table 3: Outcome based on aetiology. Count Row Pct Col Pct Male Female Total Expired 11 39 50 Row Pct 22 78 62.5 Col Pct 52.4 66.1 Discharged 10 20 30 Row Pct 33.3 66.7 37.5 Col Pct 47.6 33.9 Column Total % 21 26.3 59 73.8 80 100.0 Chi-Square Value Df Significance Pearson 1.24401 1 0.26570 Continuity Correction 0.72747 1 0.39371 Likelihood Ratio 1.22325 1 0.26872 Mantel- Haenszel test for linear association 1.22846 1 0.26771 Minimum Expected Frequency – 7.875 Number of Missing Observations: 0 The above table shows that sex of the patient does not influence the outcome. Amongst the male patients, 15 (71.25%) sustained flame injuries while 6 (28.57%) sustained scalds, whereas in female group, 50 (84.74%) patients sustained flame injuries while 9 (15.25%) patients sustained scalds. (Table 4). Table 4: Distribution of patients based on mode of injury. Mode of Injury No. of patients % Flame 65 81.25 Scald 15 18.75 Electric 0 0 Chemical 0 0 Total 80 Mode of flame injury No. of patients % Setting ablaze 19 29.23 Stove burst 39 60.00 Candle falling on bed 2 3.07 Clothes catching fire 3 4.61 Cylinder burst 2 3.07 Total 65 With respect to the age-wise distribution of mode of injury, flame injuries were common in age group 21-30 years whereas scalds were common in age group 0-10 years. Table 5: BSA. No. of cases Mean SD SE of Mean Expired 50 70.4600 21.614 3.057 Discharged 30 25.2333 10.855 1.982 Total 80 Mean difference = 45.2267, Levene’s test for equality of variances: F= 22.555; p=0.000, t-test for equality of means 95% Variances t-value df 2-Tail sig SE of diff CI for diff Equal 10.66 78 0.000 4.241 (36.781, 53.672) Unequal 12.41 76.13 0.000 3.643 (37.969, 52.484) BSA Of the 80 cases studied, the mean BSA was 53.5% ranging from 10-100%. In the patients who expired (n=50), the mean BSA was 70.46% which was found to be statistically significant (p<0.001). (Table 5) Time interval from injury to hospital admission The mean time interval between sustaining the injury and admission to hospital was 102.31 minutes. 98.75% of the patients presented within 24 hours of the injury. Of the 50 patients who expired, the mean time interval of presentation was 80 minutes. However, the mean time of presentation in the discharge group of patients was 139 minutes. However, no significant correlation was found between time interval and outcome. (Table 6) Pregnancy Out of the 59 female patients studied, 12 were pregnant at the time of admission. All 12 of them had a spontaneous abortion. Of the 50 patients who expired in the female group, 11 were pregnant. (Table 7) Pregnancy is a significant risk factor which significantly increases mortality. Inhalation injury 49 (61%) patients had inhalation injury, out of which 41 (83.7%) patients expired. Inhalation injury was found to be
  • 4. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 81 a significant factor in predicting the outcome (p<0.001). (Table 8) Another observation was that the presence of inhalation injury significantly increased the chances of developing systemic complications. Of the patients who had inhalation injury, 9 developed septicaemia, 6 developed respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), 4 developed shock, and 28 had a combination of shock and RDS, whereas 2 did not develop any systemic complication. Inhalation burns injury significantly increases the chances of developing systemic complications. (Table 9) Table 6: Time interval from injury to admission versus outcome. No. of cases Mean SD SE of mean Expired 50 80.1000 70.837 10.018 Discharged 30 139.3333 262.953 48.008 Total 80 Mean Difference = -59.2333, Levene’s Test for Equality of Variances: F= 5.853; p=0.018, t-test for Equality of Means 95% Variances T-value df 2-Tail sig SE of diff CI for diff Equal -1.51 78 0.135 39.232 (-137.357, 18.890) Unequal -1.21 31.55 0.236 49.043 Table 7: Pregnant state vs outcome. Count Row Pct Col Pct Pregnant Not Pregnant Total Expired 11 39 50 62.5 Row Pct 22.0 78.0 Col Pct 91.7 57.4 Discharged 1 29 30 37.5 Row Pct 3.3 96.7 Col Pct 8.3 42.6 Column Total (%) 12 (15.0) 68 (85.0) 80 (100.0) Chi-Square Value DF Significance Pearson 5.12418 1 0.02359 Continuity Correction 3.76471 1 0.05235 Likelihood Ratio 6.17397 1 0.01296 Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 5.06013 1 0.02448 Fisher’s Exact Test: One-Tail 0.02062 Two-Tail 0.02593 Minimum Expected Frequency – 4.500 Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 1 of 4 (25.0%) Number of Missing Observations: 0 Table 8: Inhalation injury vs mortality. Count Row Pct Col Pct Present Absent Total Expired 41 9 50 62.5 Row Pct 82.0 18.0 Col Pct 83.7 29.0 Discharged 8 22 30 37.5 Row Pct 26.7 73.3 Col Pct 16.3 71.0 Column Total % 49 61.3 31 38.8 80 100.0 Continued.
  • 5. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 82 Chi-Square Value DF Significance Pearson 24.18784 1 0.00000 Continuity Correction 21.91266 1 0.00000 Likelihood Ratio 24.88441 1 0.00000 Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 23.88549 1 0.00000 Minimum Expected Frequency – 11.625 Number of Missing Observations: 0 The above table shows that inhalation injury is a significant factor in predicting the outcome (p<0.001). Table 9: Inhalation injury vs systemic complications. Count Row Pct Col Pct Septicemia RDS Shock Shock + RDS Nil Total Inhalation Inj Present 9 6 4 28 2 49 61.3 Row Pct 18.4 12.2 8.2 57.1 4.1 Col Pct 60.0 100.0 36.4 100.0 10.0 Inhalation Inj Absent 6 7 18 31 38.8 Row Pct 19.4 22.6 58.1 Col Pct 40.0 63.6 90.0 Column Total % 15 18.8 6 7.5 11 13.8 28 35.0 20 25.0 80 100.0 Chi-Square Value DF Significance Pearson 46.52343 4 0.00000 Likelihood Ratio 59.20440 4 0.00000 Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 3.47304 1 0.06238 Minimum Expected Frequency – 2.325 Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 3 of 10 (30.0%) Number of Missing Observations: 0 Table 10: Systemic complications vs mortality Count Row Pct Col Pct Septicemia RDS Shock Shock + RDS Nil Total Expired Row Pct Col Pct 15 30.0 100.0 7 14.0 63.6 28 56.0 100.0 50 62.5 Discharged Row Pct Col Pct 6 20.0 100.0 4 13.3 35.4 20 66.7 100.0 30 38.8 Column Total % 15 18.8 6 7.5 11 13.8 28 35.0 20 25.0 80 100.0 Chi-Square Value DF Significance Pearson 69.13939 4 0.00000 Likelihood Ratio 91.42952 4 0.00000 Mantel-Haenszel test for linear association 12.65045 1 0.00038 Minimum Expected Frequency – 2.250 Cells with Expected Frequency < 5- 3 of 10 (30.0%) Number of Missing Observations: 0 Systemic complications A combination of RDS and shock was the most common complication. Septicemia and the combination of RDS and shock were associated with a 100% mortality. It was observed that presence of systemic complications significantly increased the mortality (p<0.001) (Table 10). Wound complications 57 (71%) patients developed infections, 3 (4%) developed infections and contractures, whereas 20 (25%) did not
  • 6. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 83 develop wound complications. It was also observed that wound complications were associated with higher mortality which was statistically significant. Patients with higher BSA had higher incidence of wound complications. Psychological impact 31 (38.75%) patients developed depression, of whom, 28 (98.32%) expired. It was observed that depression significantly increases the mortality (p<0.001). Duration of stay The mean duration of stay was 6.55 days (± SD 8.03) ranging from 1 hour to 57 days. DISCUSSION The mortality rate in the study was 62.5% (50/80). Various factors contributed to the higher mortality.1-3 Age Mean age of the patients in the present study was 27.04 years. The mortality increased with increasing age, especially after the age of 40 years. (Table 1) This was observed in many other studies.1-3 Aged patients are more prone to developing complications as well as have higher incidence of increased BSA. The metabolic response to injury weakens with advancing age, thereby weakening the immune response as well as increased susceptibility to infection.1,2 Aged patients also have increased difficulty in protecting themselves at the time of injury, thereby predisposing to increased BSA and poor outcomes.3 Sex In the present study, 59 were females and 29 were males. The preponderance of females is related to more kitchen activities near gas or oil run heating appliances. The mortality was high in females. However, the sex of the patient did not influence the outcome. (Table 2) This was in conformity with other studies.4,5 Etiology Aetiology is an important determinant of BSA.6,7 In the present study, 23% cases were suicidal whereas 76% were accidental. The mean BSA in suicidal cases was higher i.e. 76.26 (± SD 21.6). This was found to be higher than the overall BSA in the present study which was 53.5. This was found to be statistically significant, hence a suicidal aetiology is associated with high mortality due to increased BSA. (Table 3) Mode of injury In the present study, flame injuries were seen in 65 patients whereas scalding was seen in 15 patients. (Table 4) Flame injuries have a variety of mechanisms. These include cylinder burst, clothes catching fire, candles or oil lamps falling on the bed, stove bursts and setting ablaze. (Table 4) Stove injuries were most common in female patients. Stove is a traditional heating appliance used in India which runs on kerosene. The safety mechanisms are extremely poor with lack of manufacturing quality control. Therefore, bursting of the oil chamber is a common cause for severe accidental burns in women. The entire front side which includes the face, chest, and abdomen is severely burnt in stove-burst injuries. In men, 15 (71.42%) patients had flame injuries whereas 6 (28.57%) patients had scalds. Age is also a significant factor which determines the mode of injury. Scald injuries are one of the most common in the pediatric age group whereas flame injuries are more common in the adult group.8,9 BSA BSA continues to be the most important determinant of outcome, especially mortality. As BSA increases, the mortality also increases.1,2,10,11 As a large portion of body tissues are affected, thereby leading to significant fluid loss, loss of protective skin cover predisposing to infection. In the present study, the mean BSA was 70.46 in the 50 patients who expired whereas the mean BSA was 25.23 in remaining 30 patients who survived. (Table 5) BSA therefore is a significant risk factor or determinant of mortality in burns patients. Time interval The time interval between injury and admission to hospital is an important determinant of survival. Longer the duration, worst is the prognosis.1,2 This is best explained on the basis of prolonged state of fluid depletion, thereby leading to continuing hemodynamic instability. Prompt fluid resuscitation is pivotal for a positive outcome. Increased insensible loss of fluid leads to hypovolemia, hypotension and multiorgan dysfunction. The dehydrated tissues are more susceptible to infection. Therefore, patients presenting late to hospital have increased incidence of wound infection. Even in patients with inhalation burns injury, the prolonged hypoxic state leads to pulmonary complications, ending with ARDS. Therefore, earlier presentation to hospital with prompt commencement of resuscitation is associated with improved survival. In the present study, 98.75% of patients presented within 24 hours of the injury. The mean time interval in patients who expired was 80.10 minutes. However, there was no significant statistical correlation between this time interval and outcome (Table 6). Pregnancy Out of the 59 women studied, 12 were pregnant at the time of admission. (Table 7) All 12 of them had a spontaneous miscarriage. 11 of the pregnant patients expired. This was found to be statistically significant supporting the fact that pregnancy is a risk factor which significantly increases mortality in burns patients.12 A pregnant state leads to a
  • 7. Vagholkar K et al. Int Surg J. 2021 Jan;8(1):78-85 International Surgery Journal | January 2021 | Vol 8 | Issue 1 Page 84 variety of hemodynamic changes. Severe burns can cause fluid depletion which compromises the hemodynamic status of both the mother and the fetus.13 Spontaneous miscarriages add to the complexity of complications thereby increasing the mortality.14 Inhalation injuries Patients who sustained burns injury in a closed space or room invariably have a component of inhalation injury.15 Presence of facial burns, burning of facial hair, burns injury to the nostrils, singing of nasal hair are all suggestive of inhalation burns injury.15 In the present study, 49 patients (61%) had inhalation injury of which 41 patients (83.7%) expired. This was found to be statistically significant. (Table 8) Inhalation injuries cause damage to the respiratory passages as well as gross alteration in the ventilation perfusion ratio. The respiratory defence mechanisms are damaged predisposing to severe respiratory infection. Hypersensitivity of the respiratory passages can also cause severe bronchospasm. Alteration in the gas exchange at alveolar level leads to hypo perfusion and hypoxia.16 Hypoxia is instrumental in initiating a diffuse inflammatory process in the lungs leading to ARDS.16,17 Therefore, prompt identification of inhalation injury with immediate treatment can undoubtedly reduce the incidence of ARDS.18-20 In the present study, inhalation injury was associated with systemic complications which included shock due to septicaemia. The correlation was found to be statistically significant. (Table 9) Systemic complications Systemic complications are a known accompaniment of burns injury.21,22 The most common complications are hypovolemic shock followed by septicaemia. The mortality in such cases is extremely high as seen in the present study. (Table 10) Inhalation burns injury complicates the problem.23 A combination of septic shock with ARDS has an extremely high mortality.24 Systemic complications eventually lead to multiorgan dysfunction and death. Wound complications A typical burns injury has 3 zones. These include zone of coagulation in the centre surrounded by zone of stasis which is adjacent to it. This is surrounded by a zone of hyperaemia. Prompt fluid resuscitation increases the circulation in the zone of hyperaemia thereby limiting the progression of the zone of stasis.25 The damaged central portion will remain limited as long as the zone of stasis is prevented from expanding. Initially, an eschar is formed which covers the burnt wound. If the eschar is dry, it aids or helps in enhancing wound healing by offering a protective cover. However, if the depth of the burns is full thickness, the protective effect of the eschar may not help in wound healing. Infection especially hospital acquired is commonly seen in burns patients.25,26 Therefore, meticulous wound care with barrier nursing is the key to success. In the present study, 57 (71%) patients developed infection. 3 patients developed contractures after infection. It was also observed that infection was more common in patients who had increased BSA.27 These patients had higher mortality. Psychological impact The main complication in patients who survive burns injury is development of scarring which may cause significant disfigurement. This is one of the common causes for depression.28 It is a good clinical practice to evaluate the patient’s psychological status. If found depressed, treatment can be commenced immediately. Depression is associated with increased mortality as of seen in the present study. In the present study, out of the 80 cases studied, 31 patients (38.75%) developed depression during the period of admission. 28 (98.32%) of these patients expired. The correlation was found to be statistically significant. Hence commencing antidepressant therapy will perhaps reduce the severity of depression thereby improving surgical outcomes. Duration of stay The duration of stay in hospital in variable. It is determined predominantly by the severity of burns injury and development of complications. In the present study, the mean duration of stay was 6.55 days. However, it ranged from 1 hour to 57 days. The study has few limitations. It is limited by the sample size. The type of nursing unit for managing burns patients needs to be further studied in view of is impact on the outcome. The wound management protocol also needs further appraisal. CONCLUSION The factors which affect mortality in burns patients were identified based on the results of the study. These include increasing age, increased BSA, inhalation burns injury, presence of systemic burns complications, pregnant state, wound infection and mental depression. Therefore, maximum stress should be laid upon attending to these factors while treating burns patients in order to reduce the mortality. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors would like to thank the Dean, D.Y.Patil University School of Medicine, Navi Mumbai, India, for permission to publish the study. Funding: No funding sources Conflict of interest: None declared Ethical approval: The study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee
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