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ICT Trends Worldwide
-Tivit Foresight Seminar-


                    Ines Seidel, Innowatch
Hanna Marttinen-Deakins, SW & DM Industry
                          December 2008
Selected trends that affect ICT Industry


1.   Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing
2.   Reality Sensing
3.   Empowering Energy Efficiency
4.   Human Interface
5.   Appealing Design
6.   Virtual meets Reality
7.   Productivity Protection



                                           © Finpro ry / 2
Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing
     What happens?
   •Collaboration for idea generation,       Openmoko is a project funded by FIC
   product development, product              (Taiwan) to create a smartphone
                                             platform which follows the open
   testing, marketing to speed up            source software philosophy. FIC's
   processes and engage with                 OpenMoko phones are designed to
                                             provide end users with the ability to
   clients                                   modify the operating system and
                                             software stack.
   •Collaboration within a company
   as well as with outside experts,
   partner companies and „the
   crowd“




                                                    InnoCentive is a leading “Open
                                                    innovation" platform where companies
                                                    like Procter & Gamble post challenges
Juice producer Calpis collaborated with             to interested researchers, who win up
users of popular social network Mixi (both          to 100.000 for successful solutions.
Japan) to create a new juice flavor.                                                  © Finpro ry / 3
Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing
                                         Ntag (U.S.) provides real
 Opportunities for ICT                   time event management
•Software for networking:                services that allow e.g. to
platforms, widgets, market               measure number of
places…                                  interactions or how many
                                         business cards have been
•Software for analyzing: text            exchanged. Used e.g. by
mining the blogosphere, rating           Lucent, Mastercard
tools, measurement of
networking effectiveness…
•Security and authentication,
prevention of „identity theft“
                                                   Trampoline Systems (UK)
•More partnering opportunities for                 enables companies to
SMEs as (temporary) solution                       visualize the network within
providers                                          an enterprise based on
                                                   email data: Who are the
Enterprise spending on Web 2.0 technologies        communication brokers and
will grow strongly over the next five years,       gatekeepers?
reaching $4.6 billion globally by 2013 –
Forrester Research, April 2008                                                    © Finpro ry / 4
Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing
                           Hot Spots*

American Consumer
Goods companies
arguably were the first
to replace the „not
invented here“ mindset
with a „proudly found
elsewhere“ attitude. By
now, success stories of
co-creation can be
spotted everywhere.
The same goes for
solution providers, with
Silicon Valley as the
epi-center.



                                                 Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected          Following Fast
                                                             © Finpro ry / 5
findings and not systematic research
Reality Sensing

      What happens?
•Existing data is analyzed in new
ways for measuring and predicting
events almost in real-time
•Analyzing traffic jams based on
movements of mobile phones,                            Google Flu Trends uses
sensing life signals of elderly or                     aggregated Google search data
measuring networking at events is                      to estimate flu activity in U.S.
already happening                                      states

•Drivers for development currently
security and risk management
(e.g. through early recognition of
unusual behavior)
                                                              TomTom's HD Traffic series
       SK Telecom (South Korea) offers a service for          uses mobile phones of drivers
       fishermen: Using a float-shaped ultrasonic             inching through traffic jams to
       transmitter that is connected to a cell phone on one   sense congestion.
       end and a fishing line on the other, the device
       transmits the position of fish to the cell-phone.                            © Finpro ry / 6
Reality Sensing

 Opportunities for ICT
•Context aware sensors
•Analytical tools that can manage
huge amounts of data
•Visualization of results
•Security solutions and reality           Smart floor (Germany) with interwoven sensors
                                          could be used for occupant recognition or
checks to guard against
                                          emergency guidance
manipulation



In order to identify and react to
major societal shifts and trends, by
the end of 2010, 15 % of U.S. and
European businesses will have
formalized societal trend watching      Cambridge Mobile Urban Sensing is a research
as a corporate discipline. – Gartner,   project that uses mobile phones to sense
September 2008
                                        pollution
                                                                                © Finpro ry / 7
Reality Sensing
                           Hot Spots*




Reality Sensing is
pretty new. Regions
with strong
telecommunication and
sensor clusters have a
natural advantage.

                                             Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected      Following Fast
                                                         © Finpro ry / 8
findings and not systematic research
Empowering Energy Efficiency

       What happens?
•Energy is increasingly seen as a                             Bionic Power (Canada) is
valuable and limited resource                                 commercializing a device that will
                                                              generate electricity from the
•“Empowered”, critical consumers                              natural motion of walking and use
and business clients strive for                               it to power a broad range of
sustainability and independence                               portable devices including iPods
                                                              and wireless phones.
 Opportunities for ICT
•Making energy usage transparent
•Devices with low energy demand
•Innovative charging solutions

Solar charger for mobile
phones for developing
countries by G24
Innovations (UK)                 Smart Homes of the future feature energy management
                                 solutions, smart meters that measure energy by household
                                 device and combine this with tariff information (picture byry / 9
                                                                                    © Finpro
                                 Fraunhofer/ISE Germany)
Empowering Energy Efficiency
                           Hot Spots*


While developed
nations have so far
been leaders in
technical solutions,
developing countries
without reliable or wide
spread energy grids
are leading areas for
applying the
technology. Rising
energy prices and eco-
awareness fuel
demand also from
Western consumers.


                                                 Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected          Following Fast
                                                             © Finpro ry / 10
findings and not systematic research
Human Interface

       What happens?
•Technology is coming closer and
closer to human beings: Robots
can understand and express
emotions, search engines begin to
understand natural language,                        Noir, a “grandchild” robot designed to
sensors detect brain waves in                       communicate with and help take care of
                                                    the elderly is one example among a
order to steer a wheelchair
                                                    growing herd of robots that can not only
•Health, security and                               interact but also detect and express
entertainment as main drivers                       emotions. (Japan)




                                                         Emotiv’s (U.S.) wireless headset
                                                         detects brain waves, facial
                                                         expressions, body language, and
Powerset (U.S.) is a semantic search engine              movement – in combination they
(acquired by Microsoft in 2008). It understands          are used to control computer
English questions and currently uses Wikipedia to        functions (e.g. in games)
                                                                                 © Finpro ry / 11
find answers
Human Interface

   Opportunities for ICT
  •Create better human-machine
  interfaces
  •New application areas in health
  care, machine control, workplace             The Department of Homeland
  security, national security,                 Security's (U.S.) is researching a
  consumer research,…                          system that uses a battery of
                                               sensors to remotely checks
                                               people's pulse rate, breathing
                                               patterns, skin temperature and
                                               momentary facial expressions to
                                               determine if people have any
                                               mal-intent.


                                       Not just for humans: Researchers at Japan’s
                                       National Institute of Animal Health
Finnish brain researcher               developed a method for identifying cattle
developed a device that can steer      infected with mad cow disease, simply by
a wheelchair based on the              measuring brain waves produced in
                                                                         © Finpro ry / 12
brainwaves.                            response to audio stimuli.
Human Interface
                            Hot Spots*


Commercial players at
the human-machine
interface are still rare.
Research seems to be
strongest in U.S. and
Japan (where robots
are very advanced)




                                              Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected       Following Fast
                                                          © Finpro ry / 13
findings and not systematic research
Appealing Design
        What happens?
•Consumers are not interested in
technology but in design and user
experience
•Drivers of the trend are the new         “xx.
Very Important Target groups:
                                          “Samsung Lavender” concept cell
Generation Y, Women, Seniors              phone not only looks like a
                                          perfume bottle, it also dispenses
                                          lavender aroma. The display
 Opportunities for ICT                    shows how much perfume is still
•partnering with designers and            left, perfume can be refilled.
end-users early on in product
development
•Instructions and installation for        Alcatel-Lucent Lab uses a
products need to be simple and            hand-picked global
accessible                                community of pre-teens
                                          and teens to understand
•Knowing about usability,                 how they use all sorts of
consumer preferences is a Must –          screens               © Finpro ry   / 14
Appealing Design
                           Hot Spots*


Understanding of the
importance of design
and the relevance of
women, seniors and
GenY is already widely
spread.




                                              Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected       Following Fast
                                                          © Finpro ry / 15
findings and not systematic research
Virtual meets Reality

       What happens?                       „AfterShock“ is a
•Virtual worlds which are familiar         simulation by the
from games and entertainment               Institute of the Future
enter business world                       (U.S.) that aims to
                                           prepare Californians
•Virtual Settings used for training,       not just for the few
teaching, for simulating future            moments during an
scenarios, for creating offline            earthquake, but also
products                                   for the days and            Subscribers of the
                                           weeks afterward.            “Virtual Wife” service
•Virtuality is hoped to bring down                                     from Metaboinfo.com
costs (e.g. virtual meetings, virtual                                  (Japan) can choose
product testing), but also to be                                       from one of four virtual
more effective (e.g. learning                                          wives and tell her
through games instead of in class                                      about their weight,
room)                                                                  and lifestyle habits.
                                                                       The wife sends daily
                                                                       emails, reminding to
                        During the Sims 2/H&M Fashion Runway           eat healthy.
                        contest in 2007 users were invited to create
                        outfits for Sims avatars. The winning dress
                                                                                    © Finpro ry / 16
                        was later sold in selected H&M stores.
Virtual meets Reality

  Opportunities for ICT
•Enable virtual meetings
•Enable visualization laboratories
•Partnering with universities and
training institutions to create virtual
learning experience
                                          Researchers surrounded by
                                          proteins in 3D room “StarCave” at
                                          UC San Diego (U.S.). The room
                                          allows visualization of nano particles
                                          as well as the cosmos..


„World of Healthcraft“                    Telstra (Australia) used a
(MDM, Canada) aims to                     hologram to beam its Chief
deliver leadership and                    Technology Officer live into
collaboration training using              Adelaide from Melbourne
a massively multiplayer                   where he gave a speech.
online role-playing game                                                   © Finpro ry / 17
Virtual meets Reality
                           Hot Spots*


While North America
seems leading in terms
of virtual enterprise
applications, the Far
East is leading in
bringing virtual games
into everyday
consumer life.




                                                   Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected            Following Fast
                                                               © Finpro ry / 18
findings and not systematic research
Productivity Protection

       What happens?
                                      Nearly half of U.S. employers (48 %) say
•In a knowledge economy, a            stress caused by working long hours is
company’s success hinges on the       affecting business performance.
creativity and productivity of its     – Watson Wyatt, Feb 2008
employees
                                                  MetroNaps (US) enhances
•Lack of motivation as well as sick
                                                  workforce productivity
leave (due physical/psychological                 through mid-day napping
stress) recognized as an attack on                equipment and education.
a company‘s assets
•With demographic change, talent
becomes a limited source -
companies need to make the most
out of their existing employees
talents                               At Google‘s European
•Companies that protect the           engineering HQ in
energy of employees are more          Switzerland, design plays a
                                      crucial role to let creative
attractive as employers
                                      juices flow
                                                                           © Finpro ry / 19
Productivity Protection

   Opportunities for IT                                        Visomate (China) is a USB
                                                               device which monitors the
•Stress reduction e.g. through                                 eye level. When the
tech-aided interruptibility                                    employee reaches a
recognition, need-for-break                                    drowsy state, the Visomate
recognition                                                    alarm turns on.
•Getting-things-done solutions         Remember the milk is a
•Creativity training, idea             getting-things-done software
management solutions                   that helps to prioritize work – it
                                       can be connected with various
                                       devices (e.g. Blackberry) and
                                       applications (e.g. Google
                                       maps, Twitter)



                        In order to teach communication
                        applications when interruption is
                        ok, researchers at Carnegie Mellon
                        University (U.S.) use sensors (e.g.
                        cameras and microphones) to
                                                                                  © Finpro ry / 20
                        estimate interruptibility.
Productivity Protection
                            Hot Spots*


Companies that
depend on outstanding
productivity, service or
creativity of their
employees (like
Google, Microsoft,
Zappos) were the first
to realize the need to
guard and nurture
talents. Web2.0 tools
currently play a big role
in increasing (but also
in threatening)
productivity –
enterprise applications
are still strongest in
U.S.                                                  Trend setting
*note that the map is based on selected               Following Fast
                                                                  © Finpro ry / 21
findings and not systematic research
Non-US markets lead Usage Penetration in Some
ICT Application Categories




                        (Source: Morgan Stanley Research 2008)
                                                       © Finpro ry / 22
Olympialaisten tuomat muutokset




               Thank you!
        Hanna Marttinen-Deakins
     Head of Finpro Asia ICT Team
Global Software and Digital Media Industry
   Hanna.marttinen-deakins@finpro.fi
            +358-40-3433348
                                                      © Finpro ry / 23

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ICT Trends WorldWide

  • 1. ICT Trends Worldwide -Tivit Foresight Seminar- Ines Seidel, Innowatch Hanna Marttinen-Deakins, SW & DM Industry December 2008
  • 2. Selected trends that affect ICT Industry 1. Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing 2. Reality Sensing 3. Empowering Energy Efficiency 4. Human Interface 5. Appealing Design 6. Virtual meets Reality 7. Productivity Protection © Finpro ry / 2
  • 3. Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing What happens? •Collaboration for idea generation, Openmoko is a project funded by FIC product development, product (Taiwan) to create a smartphone platform which follows the open testing, marketing to speed up source software philosophy. FIC's processes and engage with OpenMoko phones are designed to provide end users with the ability to clients modify the operating system and software stack. •Collaboration within a company as well as with outside experts, partner companies and „the crowd“ InnoCentive is a leading “Open innovation" platform where companies like Procter & Gamble post challenges Juice producer Calpis collaborated with to interested researchers, who win up users of popular social network Mixi (both to 100.000 for successful solutions. Japan) to create a new juice flavor. © Finpro ry / 3
  • 4. Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing Ntag (U.S.) provides real Opportunities for ICT time event management •Software for networking: services that allow e.g. to platforms, widgets, market measure number of places… interactions or how many business cards have been •Software for analyzing: text exchanged. Used e.g. by mining the blogosphere, rating Lucent, Mastercard tools, measurement of networking effectiveness… •Security and authentication, prevention of „identity theft“ Trampoline Systems (UK) •More partnering opportunities for enables companies to SMEs as (temporary) solution visualize the network within providers an enterprise based on email data: Who are the Enterprise spending on Web 2.0 technologies communication brokers and will grow strongly over the next five years, gatekeepers? reaching $4.6 billion globally by 2013 – Forrester Research, April 2008 © Finpro ry / 4
  • 5. Open Innovation and Crowdsourcing Hot Spots* American Consumer Goods companies arguably were the first to replace the „not invented here“ mindset with a „proudly found elsewhere“ attitude. By now, success stories of co-creation can be spotted everywhere. The same goes for solution providers, with Silicon Valley as the epi-center. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 5 findings and not systematic research
  • 6. Reality Sensing What happens? •Existing data is analyzed in new ways for measuring and predicting events almost in real-time •Analyzing traffic jams based on movements of mobile phones, Google Flu Trends uses sensing life signals of elderly or aggregated Google search data measuring networking at events is to estimate flu activity in U.S. already happening states •Drivers for development currently security and risk management (e.g. through early recognition of unusual behavior) TomTom's HD Traffic series SK Telecom (South Korea) offers a service for uses mobile phones of drivers fishermen: Using a float-shaped ultrasonic inching through traffic jams to transmitter that is connected to a cell phone on one sense congestion. end and a fishing line on the other, the device transmits the position of fish to the cell-phone. © Finpro ry / 6
  • 7. Reality Sensing Opportunities for ICT •Context aware sensors •Analytical tools that can manage huge amounts of data •Visualization of results •Security solutions and reality Smart floor (Germany) with interwoven sensors could be used for occupant recognition or checks to guard against emergency guidance manipulation In order to identify and react to major societal shifts and trends, by the end of 2010, 15 % of U.S. and European businesses will have formalized societal trend watching Cambridge Mobile Urban Sensing is a research as a corporate discipline. – Gartner, project that uses mobile phones to sense September 2008 pollution © Finpro ry / 7
  • 8. Reality Sensing Hot Spots* Reality Sensing is pretty new. Regions with strong telecommunication and sensor clusters have a natural advantage. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 8 findings and not systematic research
  • 9. Empowering Energy Efficiency What happens? •Energy is increasingly seen as a Bionic Power (Canada) is valuable and limited resource commercializing a device that will generate electricity from the •“Empowered”, critical consumers natural motion of walking and use and business clients strive for it to power a broad range of sustainability and independence portable devices including iPods and wireless phones. Opportunities for ICT •Making energy usage transparent •Devices with low energy demand •Innovative charging solutions Solar charger for mobile phones for developing countries by G24 Innovations (UK) Smart Homes of the future feature energy management solutions, smart meters that measure energy by household device and combine this with tariff information (picture byry / 9 © Finpro Fraunhofer/ISE Germany)
  • 10. Empowering Energy Efficiency Hot Spots* While developed nations have so far been leaders in technical solutions, developing countries without reliable or wide spread energy grids are leading areas for applying the technology. Rising energy prices and eco- awareness fuel demand also from Western consumers. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 10 findings and not systematic research
  • 11. Human Interface What happens? •Technology is coming closer and closer to human beings: Robots can understand and express emotions, search engines begin to understand natural language, Noir, a “grandchild” robot designed to sensors detect brain waves in communicate with and help take care of the elderly is one example among a order to steer a wheelchair growing herd of robots that can not only •Health, security and interact but also detect and express entertainment as main drivers emotions. (Japan) Emotiv’s (U.S.) wireless headset detects brain waves, facial expressions, body language, and Powerset (U.S.) is a semantic search engine movement – in combination they (acquired by Microsoft in 2008). It understands are used to control computer English questions and currently uses Wikipedia to functions (e.g. in games) © Finpro ry / 11 find answers
  • 12. Human Interface Opportunities for ICT •Create better human-machine interfaces •New application areas in health care, machine control, workplace The Department of Homeland security, national security, Security's (U.S.) is researching a consumer research,… system that uses a battery of sensors to remotely checks people's pulse rate, breathing patterns, skin temperature and momentary facial expressions to determine if people have any mal-intent. Not just for humans: Researchers at Japan’s National Institute of Animal Health Finnish brain researcher developed a method for identifying cattle developed a device that can steer infected with mad cow disease, simply by a wheelchair based on the measuring brain waves produced in © Finpro ry / 12 brainwaves. response to audio stimuli.
  • 13. Human Interface Hot Spots* Commercial players at the human-machine interface are still rare. Research seems to be strongest in U.S. and Japan (where robots are very advanced) Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 13 findings and not systematic research
  • 14. Appealing Design What happens? •Consumers are not interested in technology but in design and user experience •Drivers of the trend are the new “xx. Very Important Target groups: “Samsung Lavender” concept cell Generation Y, Women, Seniors phone not only looks like a perfume bottle, it also dispenses lavender aroma. The display Opportunities for ICT shows how much perfume is still •partnering with designers and left, perfume can be refilled. end-users early on in product development •Instructions and installation for Alcatel-Lucent Lab uses a products need to be simple and hand-picked global accessible community of pre-teens and teens to understand •Knowing about usability, how they use all sorts of consumer preferences is a Must – screens © Finpro ry / 14
  • 15. Appealing Design Hot Spots* Understanding of the importance of design and the relevance of women, seniors and GenY is already widely spread. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 15 findings and not systematic research
  • 16. Virtual meets Reality What happens? „AfterShock“ is a •Virtual worlds which are familiar simulation by the from games and entertainment Institute of the Future enter business world (U.S.) that aims to prepare Californians •Virtual Settings used for training, not just for the few teaching, for simulating future moments during an scenarios, for creating offline earthquake, but also products for the days and Subscribers of the weeks afterward. “Virtual Wife” service •Virtuality is hoped to bring down from Metaboinfo.com costs (e.g. virtual meetings, virtual (Japan) can choose product testing), but also to be from one of four virtual more effective (e.g. learning wives and tell her through games instead of in class about their weight, room) and lifestyle habits. The wife sends daily emails, reminding to During the Sims 2/H&M Fashion Runway eat healthy. contest in 2007 users were invited to create outfits for Sims avatars. The winning dress © Finpro ry / 16 was later sold in selected H&M stores.
  • 17. Virtual meets Reality Opportunities for ICT •Enable virtual meetings •Enable visualization laboratories •Partnering with universities and training institutions to create virtual learning experience Researchers surrounded by proteins in 3D room “StarCave” at UC San Diego (U.S.). The room allows visualization of nano particles as well as the cosmos.. „World of Healthcraft“ Telstra (Australia) used a (MDM, Canada) aims to hologram to beam its Chief deliver leadership and Technology Officer live into collaboration training using Adelaide from Melbourne a massively multiplayer where he gave a speech. online role-playing game © Finpro ry / 17
  • 18. Virtual meets Reality Hot Spots* While North America seems leading in terms of virtual enterprise applications, the Far East is leading in bringing virtual games into everyday consumer life. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 18 findings and not systematic research
  • 19. Productivity Protection What happens? Nearly half of U.S. employers (48 %) say •In a knowledge economy, a stress caused by working long hours is company’s success hinges on the affecting business performance. creativity and productivity of its – Watson Wyatt, Feb 2008 employees MetroNaps (US) enhances •Lack of motivation as well as sick workforce productivity leave (due physical/psychological through mid-day napping stress) recognized as an attack on equipment and education. a company‘s assets •With demographic change, talent becomes a limited source - companies need to make the most out of their existing employees talents At Google‘s European •Companies that protect the engineering HQ in energy of employees are more Switzerland, design plays a crucial role to let creative attractive as employers juices flow © Finpro ry / 19
  • 20. Productivity Protection Opportunities for IT Visomate (China) is a USB device which monitors the •Stress reduction e.g. through eye level. When the tech-aided interruptibility employee reaches a recognition, need-for-break drowsy state, the Visomate recognition alarm turns on. •Getting-things-done solutions Remember the milk is a •Creativity training, idea getting-things-done software management solutions that helps to prioritize work – it can be connected with various devices (e.g. Blackberry) and applications (e.g. Google maps, Twitter) In order to teach communication applications when interruption is ok, researchers at Carnegie Mellon University (U.S.) use sensors (e.g. cameras and microphones) to © Finpro ry / 20 estimate interruptibility.
  • 21. Productivity Protection Hot Spots* Companies that depend on outstanding productivity, service or creativity of their employees (like Google, Microsoft, Zappos) were the first to realize the need to guard and nurture talents. Web2.0 tools currently play a big role in increasing (but also in threatening) productivity – enterprise applications are still strongest in U.S. Trend setting *note that the map is based on selected Following Fast © Finpro ry / 21 findings and not systematic research
  • 22. Non-US markets lead Usage Penetration in Some ICT Application Categories (Source: Morgan Stanley Research 2008) © Finpro ry / 22
  • 23. Olympialaisten tuomat muutokset Thank you! Hanna Marttinen-Deakins Head of Finpro Asia ICT Team Global Software and Digital Media Industry Hanna.marttinen-deakins@finpro.fi +358-40-3433348 © Finpro ry / 23