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GRADUATED
Sustainable Economic
SUCCESS:
Opportunity Through
One- and Two-Year
Credentials




                   Jennifer Wheary
        series      & Viany Orozco
-
About Demos

Dēmos is a non-partisan public policy research and advocacy organization. Headquartered in New York
City, Dēmos works with advocates and policymakers around the country in pursuit of four overarching
goals: a more equitable economy; a vibrant and inclusive democracy; an empowered public sector that works
for the common good; and responsible U.S. engagement in an interdependent world.

Dēmos was founded in 2000.

Miles S. Rapoport, President
Tamara Draut, Vice President of Policy and Programs


About the Project

A better Deal: expanding opportunity for a New Generation

                                           The A Better Deal: Expanding Opportunity for a New Generation project at
                                Generation
                                           Dēmos is a major new policy and advocacy initiative. It is designed to address the
Expanding Opportunity for a New
                                           declining economic opportunity and security facing a new generation of young peo-
ple as they complete their education, enter the labor market, become parents and attempt to save for re-
tirement and their children’s educations. Through research, publications and events, the project will raise
awareness of the key challenges confronting low-income young people and families; build state and national
commitment to renewing the social contract in ways that reflect the new needs of this and subsequent gen-
erations; and engage young people themselves in the effort to re-imagine the social contract so that we cre-
ate sustainable opportunity and security for generations to come.

Graduated Success is the second report in the project’s Postsecondary Success Series, which will examine a
range of issues affecting the ability of young people to access higher education and to complete a degree or
other credential.


About the Authors

jennifer Wheary

Jennifer Wheary’s research and writing focuses on the future middle class, demographic change, educa-
tional access, economic opportunity, and the strategic development of human capital for the 21st century.
Her articles have appeared in the New York Daily News, Newsday, and other newspapers around the coun-
try.

Prior to joining Dēmos, Jennifer worked in the academic, non-profit, and private sectors. She consulted for
schools in both Colombia and Brazil, designed and launched a successful online science journal, co-found-
ed an adult literacy program, helped build a new business division at an Internet startup, and headed inter-
active research for the largest Spanish-language media company in the U.S. She holds a B.S. from Cornell
University and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Viany orozco

Viany joined Dēmos in October 2008 to provide research and analysis on the economic challenges facing
young people, with a particular focus on state-based policy solutions.

Viany’s previous work has focused on program evaluation and drug policy, as a research analyst at MDRC
and as a research assistant at the Drug Policy Alliance. She has a B.A. in political science from UC Berke-
ley and a Masters in Pubic Affairs from Princeton University.
-
Demos boArD

current members                                    members, Past & on leave
Stephen Heintz, Board Chair                        President Barack Obama
President, Rockefeller Brothers Fund
                                                   Tom Campbell
Miles Rapoport, President
                                                   Juan Figueroa
Ben Binswanger
                                                   Robert Franklin
Chief Operating Officer, The Case Foundation
                                                   Charles Halpern
Gina Glantz
Senior Advisor to the President,                   Sara Horowitz
Service Employees International Union
                                                   Van Jones
Amy Hanauer
Founding Executive Director, Policy Matters Ohio   Eric Liu

Sang Ji                                            Spencer Overton
Partner, White & Case LLP
                                                   Robert Reich
Clarissa Martinez De Castro
                                                   David Skaggs
Director of Immigration & National Campaigns,
National Council of La Raza                        Linda Tarr-Whelan
Rev. Janet McCune Edwards                          Ernest Tollerson
Co-Moderator, More Light Presbyterians

Arnie Miller
                                                   Affiliations are listed for identification purposes only.
Founder, Isaacson Miller
                                                   As with all Dēmos publications, the views expressed in
John Morning                                       this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the Dēmos
Graphic Designer                                   Board of Trustees.
Wendy Puriefoy
President, Public Education Network

Amelia Warren Tyagi
Co-Founder & EVP/COO, The Business Talent Group

Ruth Wooden
President, Public Agenda


AckNoWleDGemeNts

The authors would like to acknowledge the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for funding this work.
We would also like to thank Jeff Strohl and Lou Jacobson for their thoughtful feedback.


coPyriGht

© 2010 Dēmos: A Network for Ideas & Action
tAble of coNteNts

executive summary                                       1

introduction                                            2

higher Degrees Do Not Always bring higher earnings      2

the impact of type of credential and field of study     3

completion, completion, completion                      4

barriers to completion                                  5
      Working While Studying and Part-Time Enrollment

      Lack of Academic Preparation

long-term economic opportunity                          6

endnotes                                                8
executiVe summAry

We often assume that a higher degree guarantees earning a higher salary
and having greater economic opportunity. This assumption is not always
the case. One- and two-year credentials can represent a viable path to eco-




                                                                                                                    Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials
nomic prosperity, particularly for those graduates who, for whatever rea-
son, do not earn more advanced degrees.


Eight years after graduating from high school,          more (or $2,300 a year) than those who have no
43 percent of certificate holders earn a median         post-secondary education.
annual salary that is higher than that earned by
someone holding an associates degree. Twen-             There is now more evidence than ever before that
ty-seven percent earn more than someone hold-           one- and two-year credentials, particularly in
ing a bachelors degree. In a similar vein, 31 per-      specific fields, can lead to economic prosperity.
cent of associates degree holders earn more than        This evidence underscores the importance of de-
someone holding a bachelors degree. In particu-         gree completion as much as the type of degree se-
lar, one- and two-year credentials in engineering       lected. It also emphasizes the importance of ad-
and in health care can deliver higher salaries than     dressing barriers that impede students in com-
bachelors degrees in other fields.                      pleting one- and two-year credentials. Two of the
                                                        most formidable barriers are high costs that force
Those holding engineering certificates earn an          a large number of students to finance their educa-
average annual salary of nearly $47,000, a figure       tion through working part- or full-time while at-
higher than the average annual salary of associ-        tending school and a lack of academic preparation
ates degree holders in the areas of liberal arts, the   in math and science that limits students’ ability to
social and natural sciences and education. Health       successfully complete credentials in high pay-off
care certificate holders can earn a median sala-        fields such as engineering and health care.
ry of about $46,000. The salaries of engineering
and health care certificate holders are relatively      Much of the evidence supporting the link be-
close to what bachelors degree holders in the so-       tween one- and two-year credentials and eco-
cial or natural sciences might earn, and are actu-      nomic opportunity focuses on the first 10 years
ally more than what someone holding a bachelors         of a career. In order to have the greatest impact,
degree in education earns.                              students, researchers, policymakers and potential
                                                        students alike need to take a broader, long-range
In addition, from a salary and opportunity stand-       perspective on what defines economic opportu-
point, earning a one-year credential or associates      nity. This perspective must take a range of fac-
degree is often better than failing to complete a       tors into account, including short- and long-term
four-year degree.1 Among graduates in Florida,          salary, career progression and satisfaction, job se-
students who are awarded certificates earn me-          curity, flexibility, and the evolution of skills and
dian annual salaries that are 27 percent greater        opportunities. Much of the data does not exist to
(about $8,000 a year more) than those who leave         do this yet, but it is clearly an endeavor that needs
school with no post-secondary awards. Students          to be pursued.
who receive associates degrees earn 8 percent




                                                                                                                1
Credential completion is as important to economic
                        iNtroDuctioN
                                                                              opportunity as the type of field studied. In fact,
                                                                              from an earnings and opportunity standpoint,
                        Advocates, educators and students often make the      completion of a one- or two-year certificate is of-
                        assumption that more education is always better,      ten preferable to failure to complete a four-year
                        that a bachelors or graduate degree is always su-     degree. Likewise, completion of a one-year vo-
                        perior in terms of providing additional economic      cational certificate is often favorable to non-com-
                        opportunity. This is not always the case.             pletion of an associates degree.4
                        A more nuanced picture of the connection be-          Given the opportunities available and the impor-
                        tween credentials and economic opportuni-             tance of degree completion, addressing barriers
                        ty is emerging. Policymakers and students alike       that impede more students in earning one- and
                        should pay attention to these nuances because the     two-year credentials continues to be one of the
    GrADuAteD success




                        pathways to opportunity may be more varied and        most strategic efforts we can undertake in devel-
                        more attainable than previously thought.              oping both a skilled workforce and wider spread
                                                                              economic prosperity. Two of the most formidable
                        Postsecondary credentials can take several forms.
                                                                              barriers are educational costs that force a large
                        Among these forms are occupational certificates
                                                                              number of students to finance their education
                        that can take between several months and several
                                                                              through working part- or full-time while attend-
                        years to finish, associates degrees that typically
                                                                              ing school and a lack of academic preparation in
                        take two years to finish, and four-year bachelors
                                                                              math and science that limits students’ ability to
                        degrees.2 Occupational certificates and associates
                                                                              successfully complete credentials in high pay-off
                        degrees are a large and growing segment of post-
                                                                              fields such as engineering and health care.
                        secondary education. In 2007, nearly 40 percent
                        of the undergraduate credentials awarded in the       While associates degrees and one- to two-year
                        U.S. were of this type. Nearly 1.5 million cer-       certificates can deliver substantial economic gains
                        tificates or credentials were awarded in 2007, up     in the initial years after graduation, there is more
                        more than 28 percent since 2002. The number           to judging a job than just starting salary or sal-
                        of bachelors degrees awarded in the same time         ary through the first eight years of employment.
                        frame also increased, but by the lower rate of 18     To understand which credentials offer long-term,
                        percent. In 2008 nearly one out of two (47 per-       sustainable economic opportunity, we need to
                        cent) of all undergraduates were enrolled in cer-     consider a range of factors. These include short-
                        tificates or associates degree programs.3             and long-term salary, career progression and sat-
                                                                              isfaction, job security, flexibility, and the evolu-
                        Occupational certificates cover a wide range of
                                                                              tion of skills and opportunities.
                        fields and are increasingly common among pro-
                        fessionals in all walks of life. Most of us inter-
                        act with occupational certificate holders any time
                        we undertake an activity such as having our hair
                                                                              hiGher DeGrees Do Not
                        cut, getting our tires rotated, or having our blood
                                                                              AlWAys briNG hiGher
                        drawn by a lab technician.                            eArNiNGs
                        The emerging credentials picture shows that           National data analyzed by the Center on Educa-
                        when comparing occupational certificates, asso-       tion and the Workforce (CEW) at Georgetown
                        ciates degrees and bachelors degrees, more time       University gives further support to the claim that
                        spent in school does not always bring higher earn-    certificates can provide significant economic op-
                        ings. This is particularly the case when compar-      portunity to graduates.5 In fact, when taking field
                        ing more vocationally-oriented certificates and       of study into account, Jeff Strohl and his fellow
                        degrees with general studies or social science-ori-   CEW coauthors were able to pinpoint specif-
                        ented ones. In fact one- and two-year health care     ic fields where certificates deliver greater salary
                        and engineering credentials can deliver higher        benefits than associates degrees and where one-
                        salaries than bachelors degrees in other fields.      and two-year credentials deliver greater salary
                                                                              prospects than four-year degrees.
2
They found that eight years post-high school, 43
                                                                                 the imPAct of tyPe of
    percent of those who hold a certificate as their
    highest degree earn a median annual salary that
                                                                                 creDeNtiAl AND fielD of
    is higher than that earned by someone holding an                             stuDy
    associates degree. In fact, 27 percent earn more
    than someone whose highest degree is a bache-                                A large portion of the difference in earnings be-
    lors. In a similar vein, 31 percent of associates de-                        tween certificate and associates degree holders




                                                                                                                                             Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials
    gree holders earn more than someone holding a                                is related to the type of credential held. Certif-
    bachelors degree.6                                                           icate holders tend to train for specific occupa-
                                                                                 tions, often earning health-related or other types
    Percent of Certificate Holders Earning                                       of professional degrees. Jobs held by humanities,
    a median Annual salary that is higher                                        social science and non-specific degree holders,
    than that of:                                                                which represent a good portion of bachelors de-
                                                                                 gree graduates, tend not to deliver the same sal-
    ASSOCIATES DEGREE HOLDER            BACHELORS DEGREE HOLDER
                                                                                 ary dividends.

                                                                                 The Center on Education and the Workforce
                                                                                 found that an engineering certificate holder earns
                                                                                 an average annual salary of nearly $47,000, a fig-
                                                                                 ure higher than the average annual salary of as-
                                                                                 sociates degree holders in the areas of liberal arts,
                                                                                 the social and natural sciences and education.
                                                                                 This $47,000 figure is relatively close to what a
                                                                                 bachelors degree holder in the social or natural
         8 Years Post-High School            8 Years Post-High School
                                                                                 sciences might earn, and actually more than what
    Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing                       someone holding a bachelors degree in education
    Certificates, Presentation 2009.
                                                                                 earns.7
!


     Common Perceptions about Degrees                                       The Reality About Certificates*

           Higher degrees always imply higher                                       Certificates give many people access to
           earnings potential.                                                      growth and opportunities in incremental
                                                                                    steps
           Certificates are a poor substitute for
           associates and bachelors degrees in today’s                              Provide access to the earnings power
           knowledge economy.                                                       commonly associated with traditional
                                                                                    degrees
                                                                                    Can add value well above a high school
                                                                                    diploma

    Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates, Presentation 2009.

    *Based on National Income Data.




                                                                        >
    Earnings of an Engineering Certificate vs. Other Fields and Degree Levels

                           $46,596                                                      Average Yearly Earnings of Holders of
                                                                                      Bachelors in Education and Associates in
       Average Yearly Earnings of Someone with                                        Business, Computers, Liberal Arts, Social
        an Engineering Vocational Certificate                                          Science, Natural Science and Education

    Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates, 2009.


                                                                                                                                         3
Looking at median annual salaries five years                      nues to encourage economic opportunity. An im-
                        after graduation in Florida, researchers Louis                    portant question is what factors are most impor-
                        Jacobson and Christine Mokher found that the                      tant to encouraging success.
                        connection between field of study and earnings
                        is also visible when comparing certificates and
                        associates degrees to each other. Their findings                  comPletioN, comPletioN,
                        point to the value of health care- related creden-                comPletioN
                        tials. Those finishing a degree in this field earn
                        a median annual salary of nearly $46,000—well                     In comparing salaries and degree completion
                        above their classmates in other fields.                           rates through a longitudinal analysis of Florida
                        These findings suggest that for certain students                  graduates at all levels of postsecondary education,
                        one- or two-year credentials represent a potential                Jacobson and Mokher concluded that, “Certifi-
    GrADuAteD success




                        route for maximizing earnings. This is particu-                   cates from two-year colleges also lead to well-
                        larly the case when students are unlikely, unable,                paid careers, particularly among low-performing
                        or uninterested in completing a four-year degree.                 students.”8
                        It is especially the case when comparing salaries                          A key component of earning a higher salary,
                        earned with credentials in specific, vocational                            the researchers found, is completion of whatever
                        fields and salaries earned with more general ones                          course of study is undertaken: “Course-for-course
                        or social science degrees.                                                                       the returns to community
                                                                                                                         college and four-year col-
                          Median Annual Earnings of Those Holding a Certificate or                                       lege attendance are compa-
                          Associates Degree, by Major                                                                    rable…Attaining a four-year
                                                                                                                         degree typically raises earn-
                          Health-Related                                                               $45,968
                                                                                                                         ings twice as much as attain-
                          Professional                                                                 $35,188           ing a two-year degree main-
                                                                                                                         ly because attaining a four-
                          Vocational—Technical                                                         $33,476           year degree requires com-
                          Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM)                                $30,922           pleting twice as many cours-
                                                                                                                         es.” However, “students who
                          Social Science                                                               $28,528           complete a community col-
                          Humanities                                                                   $26,812           lege credential tend to have
                                                                                                                         higher earnings than four-
                        Source: Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income     year college students who do
                        Students by Increasing Their Educational Attainment, The Hudson Institute and CNA, January 2009.
                                                                                                                         not graduate.”9

                                                                                          Jacobson and Mokher’s study of graduates in
                        It is important to note that these findings do not                Florida found that students who were awarded
                        imply that all students should pursue one- or two-                certificates earned median annual salaries that
                        year degrees by default. Nor do they imply that                   were 27 percent greater than those who left school
                        students should pursue fields of study that are                   with no post-secondary awards. This translates to
                        unappealing to them—forgoing, perhaps a desire                    about $8,000 a year more in earnings. Students
                        to be a teacher in order to earn a higher salary in               who received associates degrees earned 8 percent
                        health care. Just as a four-year degree is not for                more (or $2,300 a year) than those who had no
                        everyone, neither is a one- or two-year credential                post-secondary education. Bachelors degree hold-
                        or an engineering or health care degree.                          ers earned an average of 35 percent more (about
                        These findings also do not imply that policymak-                  $12,000 per year).10
                        ers should focus all of their attention and efforts
                        on community colleges and trade schools. What
                        these findings do reveal however, is that policy-
                        makers and students alike have additional ave-

4
Earnings Difference Between Credential                                  complete credentials in high pay-off fields such as
    Types, Highest Median Annual Salary 3-5                                 engineering and health care.
    Years Post College
                                                                             Two Major Obstacles to Postsecondary
                Earned                                                       Success
      Bachelors Degree
                                                                                 Financing education and living expenses




                                                                                                                                      Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials
                Earned
     Associates Degree                                                           (through work) while keeping up with one’s
                                                                                 studies
               Earned
             Certificate                                                          Lack of necessary academic preparation
    No Post-Secondary
            Credential

    Source: Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to                Working While studying and Part-
    Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income Students by Increasing Their        time enrollment
    Educational Attainment, The Hudson Institute and CAN, January
    2009.
!
                                                                            Students who have left college without earning
    Amounts in chart represent highest earnings in any quarter
    multiplied by four to determine annual earnings. Researchers            a credential cite employment and finances as the
    examined a period of 5 years after graduation for associates degrees,
    certificates and no post-secondary credential groups. For bachelors
                                                                            main reasons for their departure. Among both
                                                                            certificate and associates degree seekers, the
                                                                            most common reason for leaving without a cre-
       In ACADEMIC YEAr 2007-08, 99                                         dential was job or financial demands, followed by
     pERCEnT OF THE LOwEsT inCOME                                           family demands.12
    STuDEnTS ATTEnDIng A COMMunITY
    COLLEgE FOR EiTHER A CERTiFiCATE                                        While tuition costs might not be as high at com-
      Or An ASSOCIATES DEgrEE HAD                                           munity colleges or private two-year colleges in
      An AvERAgE OF $7,147 in unMET                                         comparison to four-year institutions, students
       ExpEnsEs AFTER TAking inTO                                           must pay for books and other educational expens-
         ACCOunT ALL THE gRAnTs                                             es in addition to their basic expenses—rent, utili-
             THEy RECEivED.                                                 ties, food, health care, and transportation. Avail-
                                                                            able financial aid, however, covers only a fraction
                                                                            of the costs incurred by these students. In aca-
    bArriers to comPletioN                                                  demic year 2007-08, 99 percent of the lowest in-
                                                                            come students attending a community college for
    Nearly four out of 10 (38 percent) of those who                         either a certificate or an associates degree had an
    enroll in occupational certificate programs fail                        average of $7,147 in unmet expenses after taking
    to earn a credential of any type within six years.                      into account all the grants they received.13
    Nearly six out of 10 (58 percent) of students seek-
    ing an associates degree in an occupational field                       While the majority of students seeking an asso-
    fail to obtain a credential of any type within six                      ciates degree or certificate attend a public col-
    years of starting their studies.11                                      lege (82 percent), private two-year colleges en-
                                                                            roll 55 percent of occupational certificate seeking
    These alarming statistics emphasize the impor-                          students.14 These private institutions charge hi
    tance of addressing barriers that impede more                           gher tuitions on average, and therefore, students
    students in completing one- and two-year cre-                           seeking certificates at these colleges face even
    dentials. Two of the most formidable barriers are                       higher costs.
    high costs that force a large of number of stu-
    dents to finance their education through work-                          To finance their educations, many certificate and
    ing part- or full-time while attending school and                       associates degree seekers enroll in school only
    a lack of academic preparation in math and sci-                         part time and/or work long hours. In 2001, 76
    ence that limits students’ ability to successfully                      percent of certificate and associates degree seek-
                                                                            ers worked. Among these working students 39

                                                                                                                                  5
percent worked full time. Occupational certifi-        science, one chemistry, physics, second-year bi-
                        cate seekers are the least likely students to enroll   ology, AP biology, or second-year earth science
                        full time. While these strategies may temporar-        course.17
                        ily ease their financial burdens, it interferes with
                        their ability to spend more time on their studies
                        and take advantage of other resources available at     loNG-term ecoNomic
                        their schools. This dynamic decreases the likeli-      oPPortuNity
                        hood that they will graduate.15

                        Research discussed previously in this report           Not everyone can, should, or wants to earn a
                        shows that completing even a one-year creden-          four-or-more-year credential. The encouraging
                        tial can deliver more salary benefits than failing     news from recent research is that not everyone
                        to complete a higher degree. Yet the inability to      needs to earn this type of credential in order to
    GrADuAteD success




                        meet college costs, ongoing financial and famil-       reap economic rewards. Associates degrees and
                        ial obligations, and time constraints due to work      one- to two-year certificates can deliver substan-
                        and care giving responsibilities are key obstacles     tial economic gains. In terms of salary, research
                        in preventing postsecondary success.                   shows that completing a one- to two year-cre-
                                                                               dential seems to be better than failing to com-
                        lack of Academic Preparation                           plete a bachelors degree. In the case of health
                                                                               care and engineering, the salaries earned can be
                        About four percent of students enrolled in com-        higher than those earned by even bachelors de-
                        munity colleges in 2007-08 sought a degree in          gree holders. Because one to two-year degrees of-
                        engineering. Eighteen percent of students ma-          ten require less investment of time and money,
                        jored in health care-related degrees. Lack of nec-     they represent an attractive, approachable option
                        essary academic preparation is a key reason why a      for many high school graduates.
                        significant portion of these students may not suc-
                        ceed in obtaining their associates degree or cer-      There is more, however, to judging a job than just
                        tificates. It is also a reason why many students       starting salary. Examining the careers of one-
                        who could do well in these fields never attempt        and two-year credential holders can give us in-
                        to study them.                                         sight into whether the jobs they attain provide
                                                                               things like a family-sustaining wage, health in-
                        Nearly 60 percent of young community college           surance, paid family and sick leave, and retire-
                        students in either certificate or associates de-       ment benefits.
                        gree programs are required to take developmen-
                        tal coursework to make up for inadequate college       In addition to delivering respectable starting sal-
                        preparation before they can enroll in college-         aries and benefits, do these jobs enable econom-
                        level courses.16 If three out of five students need    ic opportunity that is sustainable over a career?
                        remedial help in basics in order to be able to start   An important aspect of sustainable economic op-
                        college, it is even more unlikely that entering        portunity is the opportunity to progress in a job
                        students will have any of the skills in advanced       track and to have the ability to adjust and be flex-
                        math or science needed to hit the ground run-          ible as the labor market changes.
                        ning in pursuit of health care or engineering-         Those certificate and associates degree holders
                        related credentials.                                   who earn higher salaries than their peers, and
                        Across the U.S. only about one in two (53 per-         in some cases than bachelors holders, do so in
                        cent) high schoolers took an upper-level math          large part because they are gaining specific skills
                        class in 2006. Less than one in three (31 percent)     for a particular job. Their level of specialization
                        took an upper-level science class. Upper-level in      may put them at risk if the labor market shifts,
                        this case is defined as having at least one basic      if their employer moves, or conditions otherwise
                        college-prep course on a student transcript, for       change.
                        example geometry, algebra 2, trigonometry, pre-        As with any degree and career choice, there is no
                        calculus, or calculus (for math) or in the case of     foolproof formula for selecting a situation that

6
guarantees perpetual immunity to any risk of job       Not all credentials are created equal in terms
loss or the need to retool or retrain completely in    of leading to good jobs (the capital “G” kind
the future. But are there combinations of creden-      with good salaries and benefits) and the sustain-
tials and careers that promote greater adaptabil-      able economic opportunity enabled by access to
ity and professional advancement over time?            career advancement and adaptability to chang-
                                                       ing conditions.
The professional advancement component also




                                                                                                                    Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials
plays a role in affecting salary over time. As work-   In order to have the greatest impact, students, re-
ers move from their mid-20s to their early 30s,        searchers, policymakers and potential students
the salaries of those with bachelors and associates    alike need to consider short-term earnings, long-
degrees increase at a faster rate than those with      term growth and sustainability when evaluating
only certificates. In the time span from 8 years       the potential of one- and two-year credentials. In
post-high school to 12 years, bachelors degree         an ideal world, researchers would be able to track
holders see wage increases of 41 percent, on av-       certificate, associates, and bachelors degree hold-
erage. Those with associates degrees see average       ers over the course of career and compare their
increases of 39 percent. Meanwhile those with          trajectories across a variety of parameters, includ-
certificates see increases of only 26 percent.18 So    ing salary, career progression and satisfaction, job
while certificate holders may start off earning a      security, flexibility, and the evolution of skills and
higher salary, their ability to increase their wages   opportunities. Much of the data does not exist to
over time is not to be taken for granted.              do this yet, but it is clearly an endeavor worth
                                                       further investigation.
eNDNotes
                        1.   Note that while this is the established length of time for these programs, the actual time students take will vary according to
                             their attendance status (full-time or part-time) and continuity of enrollment.
                        2.   Certificates and associates degrees can be occupational or academic. The research in this paper focuses on occupational
                             certificates and compares them to both occupational and academic associates and bachelors degrees. Occupational fields
                             of study are those that focus on occupation-specific skills and knowledge such as business, communications, computers,
                             education, engineering, health care and human services. Academic fields of study are generally based more in theory and
                             disconnected from a particular career. These might include fine arts, humanities, mathematics, and social sciences.
                        3.   U.S. Department of Education, “Changes in Postsecondary Awards Below the Bachelor’s Degree: 1997 to 2007,” NCES
                             2010-167, November 2009.
                        4.   Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income Students by Increasing Their
                             Educational Attainment, Hudson Institute Center for Employment Policy and CNA, Analysis  Solutions January 2009
                             http://www.hudson.org/files/publications/Gates%2001-07.pdf; Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates,
                             Presentation, March 2009, http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/certificatesdone.pdf.
    GrADuAteD success




                        5.   Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates.
                        6.   Dr. Jeff Strohl, Center on Education and the Workforce Director of Research, personal communication.
                        7.   Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Credentials.
                        8.   Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 7.
                        9.   Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 7.
                        10. Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 28.
                        11. U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, “Students Entering and Leaving Postsecondary
                            Occupational Education: 1995-2001” NCES, March 2007, p. 38.
                        12. Ibid, pg. 48.
                        13. Viany Orozco and Nancy K. Cauthen, Work Less, Study More  Succeed: How Financial Supports Can Improve Postsecondary
                            Success, Demos, September 2009 http://www.demos.org/pubs/studymore_web.pdf
                        14. Students Entering and Leaving Postsecondary Occupational Education: 1995-2001, p.25.
                        15. Jean Johnson, Jon Rochkind, Amber N. Ott and Samantha DuPont, With Their Whole Lives Ahead of Them, Public Agenda,
                            December 2009 http://www.publicagenda.org/files/pdf/theirwholelivesaheadofthem.pdf.
                        16. Orozco and Cauthen.
                        17. Jacobson and Mokher, p.4.
                        18. Ibid, pg. 28.




8
relAteD resources
Work Less, Study More,  Succeed: How Financial Supports Can Improve Postsecondary Success
Viany Orozco  Nancy K. Cauthen
Dēmos, 2009

What Does the Recession Mean for Young People?
José García  Algernon Austin
Dēmos and the Economic Policy Institute, 2009

The Contract for College: A Policy Proposal to Increase College Access and Affordability
Caleb Gibson  Viany Orozco, 2009

The Plastic Safety Net: How Households are Coping in a Fragile Economy
José García  Tamara Draut, 2009

The Downslide Before the Downturn: Declining Economic Security Among Middle Class African Americans
and Latinos, 2000-2006
Jennifer Wheary, Thomas M. Shapiro  Tatjana Meschede, 2009

Economic State of Young America
Tamara Draut, 2008

Strapped: Why America’s 20- and 30-Somethings Can’t Get Ahead
Tamara Draut (New York: Doubleday, 2006)

From Middle to Shaky Ground: The Economic Decline of America’s Middle Class, 2000-2006
Tamara Draut, Jennifer Wheary, Thomas M. Shapiro  Tatjana Meschede, 2008

A Better Deal Conference Series
www.abetterdealconference.org


All resources can be found at www.demos.org.

coNtAct

Jennifer Wheary
Senior Fellow, Economic Opportunity Program
jwheary@demos.org



Media Inquiries:

Timothy Rusch                                                  Connect at Demos.org
Communications Director                                          •   Research, Commentary  Analysis
trusch@demos.org                                                 •   Special Initiatives  Events
212.389.1407                                                     •   Ideas  Action Blog
                                                                 •   eUpdates
                                                                 •   Twitter, Facebook  News Feeds
                                                                 •   Multimedia
Dēmos | 220 Fifth Avenue, 5th Floor | New York, NY 10001 | 212.633.1405 | www.demos.org

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Graduated Success

  • 1. GRADUATED Sustainable Economic SUCCESS: Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials Jennifer Wheary series & Viany Orozco
  • 2. - About Demos Dēmos is a non-partisan public policy research and advocacy organization. Headquartered in New York City, Dēmos works with advocates and policymakers around the country in pursuit of four overarching goals: a more equitable economy; a vibrant and inclusive democracy; an empowered public sector that works for the common good; and responsible U.S. engagement in an interdependent world. Dēmos was founded in 2000. Miles S. Rapoport, President Tamara Draut, Vice President of Policy and Programs About the Project A better Deal: expanding opportunity for a New Generation The A Better Deal: Expanding Opportunity for a New Generation project at Generation Dēmos is a major new policy and advocacy initiative. It is designed to address the Expanding Opportunity for a New declining economic opportunity and security facing a new generation of young peo- ple as they complete their education, enter the labor market, become parents and attempt to save for re- tirement and their children’s educations. Through research, publications and events, the project will raise awareness of the key challenges confronting low-income young people and families; build state and national commitment to renewing the social contract in ways that reflect the new needs of this and subsequent gen- erations; and engage young people themselves in the effort to re-imagine the social contract so that we cre- ate sustainable opportunity and security for generations to come. Graduated Success is the second report in the project’s Postsecondary Success Series, which will examine a range of issues affecting the ability of young people to access higher education and to complete a degree or other credential. About the Authors jennifer Wheary Jennifer Wheary’s research and writing focuses on the future middle class, demographic change, educa- tional access, economic opportunity, and the strategic development of human capital for the 21st century. Her articles have appeared in the New York Daily News, Newsday, and other newspapers around the coun- try. Prior to joining Dēmos, Jennifer worked in the academic, non-profit, and private sectors. She consulted for schools in both Colombia and Brazil, designed and launched a successful online science journal, co-found- ed an adult literacy program, helped build a new business division at an Internet startup, and headed inter- active research for the largest Spanish-language media company in the U.S. She holds a B.S. from Cornell University and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Viany orozco Viany joined Dēmos in October 2008 to provide research and analysis on the economic challenges facing young people, with a particular focus on state-based policy solutions. Viany’s previous work has focused on program evaluation and drug policy, as a research analyst at MDRC and as a research assistant at the Drug Policy Alliance. She has a B.A. in political science from UC Berke- ley and a Masters in Pubic Affairs from Princeton University.
  • 3. - Demos boArD current members members, Past & on leave Stephen Heintz, Board Chair President Barack Obama President, Rockefeller Brothers Fund Tom Campbell Miles Rapoport, President Juan Figueroa Ben Binswanger Robert Franklin Chief Operating Officer, The Case Foundation Charles Halpern Gina Glantz Senior Advisor to the President, Sara Horowitz Service Employees International Union Van Jones Amy Hanauer Founding Executive Director, Policy Matters Ohio Eric Liu Sang Ji Spencer Overton Partner, White & Case LLP Robert Reich Clarissa Martinez De Castro David Skaggs Director of Immigration & National Campaigns, National Council of La Raza Linda Tarr-Whelan Rev. Janet McCune Edwards Ernest Tollerson Co-Moderator, More Light Presbyterians Arnie Miller Affiliations are listed for identification purposes only. Founder, Isaacson Miller As with all Dēmos publications, the views expressed in John Morning this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the Dēmos Graphic Designer Board of Trustees. Wendy Puriefoy President, Public Education Network Amelia Warren Tyagi Co-Founder & EVP/COO, The Business Talent Group Ruth Wooden President, Public Agenda AckNoWleDGemeNts The authors would like to acknowledge the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for funding this work. We would also like to thank Jeff Strohl and Lou Jacobson for their thoughtful feedback. coPyriGht © 2010 Dēmos: A Network for Ideas & Action
  • 4.
  • 5. tAble of coNteNts executive summary 1 introduction 2 higher Degrees Do Not Always bring higher earnings 2 the impact of type of credential and field of study 3 completion, completion, completion 4 barriers to completion 5 Working While Studying and Part-Time Enrollment Lack of Academic Preparation long-term economic opportunity 6 endnotes 8
  • 6.
  • 7. executiVe summAry We often assume that a higher degree guarantees earning a higher salary and having greater economic opportunity. This assumption is not always the case. One- and two-year credentials can represent a viable path to eco- Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials nomic prosperity, particularly for those graduates who, for whatever rea- son, do not earn more advanced degrees. Eight years after graduating from high school, more (or $2,300 a year) than those who have no 43 percent of certificate holders earn a median post-secondary education. annual salary that is higher than that earned by someone holding an associates degree. Twen- There is now more evidence than ever before that ty-seven percent earn more than someone hold- one- and two-year credentials, particularly in ing a bachelors degree. In a similar vein, 31 per- specific fields, can lead to economic prosperity. cent of associates degree holders earn more than This evidence underscores the importance of de- someone holding a bachelors degree. In particu- gree completion as much as the type of degree se- lar, one- and two-year credentials in engineering lected. It also emphasizes the importance of ad- and in health care can deliver higher salaries than dressing barriers that impede students in com- bachelors degrees in other fields. pleting one- and two-year credentials. Two of the most formidable barriers are high costs that force Those holding engineering certificates earn an a large number of students to finance their educa- average annual salary of nearly $47,000, a figure tion through working part- or full-time while at- higher than the average annual salary of associ- tending school and a lack of academic preparation ates degree holders in the areas of liberal arts, the in math and science that limits students’ ability to social and natural sciences and education. Health successfully complete credentials in high pay-off care certificate holders can earn a median sala- fields such as engineering and health care. ry of about $46,000. The salaries of engineering and health care certificate holders are relatively Much of the evidence supporting the link be- close to what bachelors degree holders in the so- tween one- and two-year credentials and eco- cial or natural sciences might earn, and are actu- nomic opportunity focuses on the first 10 years ally more than what someone holding a bachelors of a career. In order to have the greatest impact, degree in education earns. students, researchers, policymakers and potential students alike need to take a broader, long-range In addition, from a salary and opportunity stand- perspective on what defines economic opportu- point, earning a one-year credential or associates nity. This perspective must take a range of fac- degree is often better than failing to complete a tors into account, including short- and long-term four-year degree.1 Among graduates in Florida, salary, career progression and satisfaction, job se- students who are awarded certificates earn me- curity, flexibility, and the evolution of skills and dian annual salaries that are 27 percent greater opportunities. Much of the data does not exist to (about $8,000 a year more) than those who leave do this yet, but it is clearly an endeavor that needs school with no post-secondary awards. Students to be pursued. who receive associates degrees earn 8 percent 1
  • 8. Credential completion is as important to economic iNtroDuctioN opportunity as the type of field studied. In fact, from an earnings and opportunity standpoint, Advocates, educators and students often make the completion of a one- or two-year certificate is of- assumption that more education is always better, ten preferable to failure to complete a four-year that a bachelors or graduate degree is always su- degree. Likewise, completion of a one-year vo- perior in terms of providing additional economic cational certificate is often favorable to non-com- opportunity. This is not always the case. pletion of an associates degree.4 A more nuanced picture of the connection be- Given the opportunities available and the impor- tween credentials and economic opportuni- tance of degree completion, addressing barriers ty is emerging. Policymakers and students alike that impede more students in earning one- and should pay attention to these nuances because the two-year credentials continues to be one of the GrADuAteD success pathways to opportunity may be more varied and most strategic efforts we can undertake in devel- more attainable than previously thought. oping both a skilled workforce and wider spread economic prosperity. Two of the most formidable Postsecondary credentials can take several forms. barriers are educational costs that force a large Among these forms are occupational certificates number of students to finance their education that can take between several months and several through working part- or full-time while attend- years to finish, associates degrees that typically ing school and a lack of academic preparation in take two years to finish, and four-year bachelors math and science that limits students’ ability to degrees.2 Occupational certificates and associates successfully complete credentials in high pay-off degrees are a large and growing segment of post- fields such as engineering and health care. secondary education. In 2007, nearly 40 percent of the undergraduate credentials awarded in the While associates degrees and one- to two-year U.S. were of this type. Nearly 1.5 million cer- certificates can deliver substantial economic gains tificates or credentials were awarded in 2007, up in the initial years after graduation, there is more more than 28 percent since 2002. The number to judging a job than just starting salary or sal- of bachelors degrees awarded in the same time ary through the first eight years of employment. frame also increased, but by the lower rate of 18 To understand which credentials offer long-term, percent. In 2008 nearly one out of two (47 per- sustainable economic opportunity, we need to cent) of all undergraduates were enrolled in cer- consider a range of factors. These include short- tificates or associates degree programs.3 and long-term salary, career progression and sat- isfaction, job security, flexibility, and the evolu- Occupational certificates cover a wide range of tion of skills and opportunities. fields and are increasingly common among pro- fessionals in all walks of life. Most of us inter- act with occupational certificate holders any time we undertake an activity such as having our hair hiGher DeGrees Do Not cut, getting our tires rotated, or having our blood AlWAys briNG hiGher drawn by a lab technician. eArNiNGs The emerging credentials picture shows that National data analyzed by the Center on Educa- when comparing occupational certificates, asso- tion and the Workforce (CEW) at Georgetown ciates degrees and bachelors degrees, more time University gives further support to the claim that spent in school does not always bring higher earn- certificates can provide significant economic op- ings. This is particularly the case when compar- portunity to graduates.5 In fact, when taking field ing more vocationally-oriented certificates and of study into account, Jeff Strohl and his fellow degrees with general studies or social science-ori- CEW coauthors were able to pinpoint specif- ented ones. In fact one- and two-year health care ic fields where certificates deliver greater salary and engineering credentials can deliver higher benefits than associates degrees and where one- salaries than bachelors degrees in other fields. and two-year credentials deliver greater salary prospects than four-year degrees. 2
  • 9. They found that eight years post-high school, 43 the imPAct of tyPe of percent of those who hold a certificate as their highest degree earn a median annual salary that creDeNtiAl AND fielD of is higher than that earned by someone holding an stuDy associates degree. In fact, 27 percent earn more than someone whose highest degree is a bache- A large portion of the difference in earnings be- lors. In a similar vein, 31 percent of associates de- tween certificate and associates degree holders Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials gree holders earn more than someone holding a is related to the type of credential held. Certif- bachelors degree.6 icate holders tend to train for specific occupa- tions, often earning health-related or other types Percent of Certificate Holders Earning of professional degrees. Jobs held by humanities, a median Annual salary that is higher social science and non-specific degree holders, than that of: which represent a good portion of bachelors de- gree graduates, tend not to deliver the same sal- ASSOCIATES DEGREE HOLDER BACHELORS DEGREE HOLDER ary dividends. The Center on Education and the Workforce found that an engineering certificate holder earns an average annual salary of nearly $47,000, a fig- ure higher than the average annual salary of as- sociates degree holders in the areas of liberal arts, the social and natural sciences and education. This $47,000 figure is relatively close to what a bachelors degree holder in the social or natural 8 Years Post-High School 8 Years Post-High School sciences might earn, and actually more than what Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing someone holding a bachelors degree in education Certificates, Presentation 2009. earns.7 ! Common Perceptions about Degrees The Reality About Certificates* Higher degrees always imply higher Certificates give many people access to earnings potential. growth and opportunities in incremental steps Certificates are a poor substitute for associates and bachelors degrees in today’s Provide access to the earnings power knowledge economy. commonly associated with traditional degrees Can add value well above a high school diploma Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates, Presentation 2009. *Based on National Income Data. > Earnings of an Engineering Certificate vs. Other Fields and Degree Levels $46,596 Average Yearly Earnings of Holders of Bachelors in Education and Associates in Average Yearly Earnings of Someone with Business, Computers, Liberal Arts, Social an Engineering Vocational Certificate Science, Natural Science and Education Source: Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates, 2009. 3
  • 10. Looking at median annual salaries five years nues to encourage economic opportunity. An im- after graduation in Florida, researchers Louis portant question is what factors are most impor- Jacobson and Christine Mokher found that the tant to encouraging success. connection between field of study and earnings is also visible when comparing certificates and associates degrees to each other. Their findings comPletioN, comPletioN, point to the value of health care- related creden- comPletioN tials. Those finishing a degree in this field earn a median annual salary of nearly $46,000—well In comparing salaries and degree completion above their classmates in other fields. rates through a longitudinal analysis of Florida These findings suggest that for certain students graduates at all levels of postsecondary education, one- or two-year credentials represent a potential Jacobson and Mokher concluded that, “Certifi- GrADuAteD success route for maximizing earnings. This is particu- cates from two-year colleges also lead to well- larly the case when students are unlikely, unable, paid careers, particularly among low-performing or uninterested in completing a four-year degree. students.”8 It is especially the case when comparing salaries A key component of earning a higher salary, earned with credentials in specific, vocational the researchers found, is completion of whatever fields and salaries earned with more general ones course of study is undertaken: “Course-for-course or social science degrees. the returns to community college and four-year col- Median Annual Earnings of Those Holding a Certificate or lege attendance are compa- Associates Degree, by Major rable…Attaining a four-year degree typically raises earn- Health-Related $45,968 ings twice as much as attain- Professional $35,188 ing a two-year degree main- ly because attaining a four- Vocational—Technical $33,476 year degree requires com- Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM) $30,922 pleting twice as many cours- es.” However, “students who Social Science $28,528 complete a community col- Humanities $26,812 lege credential tend to have higher earnings than four- Source: Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income year college students who do Students by Increasing Their Educational Attainment, The Hudson Institute and CNA, January 2009. not graduate.”9 Jacobson and Mokher’s study of graduates in It is important to note that these findings do not Florida found that students who were awarded imply that all students should pursue one- or two- certificates earned median annual salaries that year degrees by default. Nor do they imply that were 27 percent greater than those who left school students should pursue fields of study that are with no post-secondary awards. This translates to unappealing to them—forgoing, perhaps a desire about $8,000 a year more in earnings. Students to be a teacher in order to earn a higher salary in who received associates degrees earned 8 percent health care. Just as a four-year degree is not for more (or $2,300 a year) than those who had no everyone, neither is a one- or two-year credential post-secondary education. Bachelors degree hold- or an engineering or health care degree. ers earned an average of 35 percent more (about These findings also do not imply that policymak- $12,000 per year).10 ers should focus all of their attention and efforts on community colleges and trade schools. What these findings do reveal however, is that policy- makers and students alike have additional ave- 4
  • 11. Earnings Difference Between Credential complete credentials in high pay-off fields such as Types, Highest Median Annual Salary 3-5 engineering and health care. Years Post College Two Major Obstacles to Postsecondary Earned Success Bachelors Degree Financing education and living expenses Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials Earned Associates Degree (through work) while keeping up with one’s studies Earned Certificate Lack of necessary academic preparation No Post-Secondary Credential Source: Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to Working While studying and Part- Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income Students by Increasing Their time enrollment Educational Attainment, The Hudson Institute and CAN, January 2009. ! Students who have left college without earning Amounts in chart represent highest earnings in any quarter multiplied by four to determine annual earnings. Researchers a credential cite employment and finances as the examined a period of 5 years after graduation for associates degrees, certificates and no post-secondary credential groups. For bachelors main reasons for their departure. Among both certificate and associates degree seekers, the most common reason for leaving without a cre- In ACADEMIC YEAr 2007-08, 99 dential was job or financial demands, followed by pERCEnT OF THE LOwEsT inCOME family demands.12 STuDEnTS ATTEnDIng A COMMunITY COLLEgE FOR EiTHER A CERTiFiCATE While tuition costs might not be as high at com- Or An ASSOCIATES DEgrEE HAD munity colleges or private two-year colleges in An AvERAgE OF $7,147 in unMET comparison to four-year institutions, students ExpEnsEs AFTER TAking inTO must pay for books and other educational expens- ACCOunT ALL THE gRAnTs es in addition to their basic expenses—rent, utili- THEy RECEivED. ties, food, health care, and transportation. Avail- able financial aid, however, covers only a fraction of the costs incurred by these students. In aca- bArriers to comPletioN demic year 2007-08, 99 percent of the lowest in- come students attending a community college for Nearly four out of 10 (38 percent) of those who either a certificate or an associates degree had an enroll in occupational certificate programs fail average of $7,147 in unmet expenses after taking to earn a credential of any type within six years. into account all the grants they received.13 Nearly six out of 10 (58 percent) of students seek- ing an associates degree in an occupational field While the majority of students seeking an asso- fail to obtain a credential of any type within six ciates degree or certificate attend a public col- years of starting their studies.11 lege (82 percent), private two-year colleges en- roll 55 percent of occupational certificate seeking These alarming statistics emphasize the impor- students.14 These private institutions charge hi tance of addressing barriers that impede more gher tuitions on average, and therefore, students students in completing one- and two-year cre- seeking certificates at these colleges face even dentials. Two of the most formidable barriers are higher costs. high costs that force a large of number of stu- dents to finance their education through work- To finance their educations, many certificate and ing part- or full-time while attending school and associates degree seekers enroll in school only a lack of academic preparation in math and sci- part time and/or work long hours. In 2001, 76 ence that limits students’ ability to successfully percent of certificate and associates degree seek- ers worked. Among these working students 39 5
  • 12. percent worked full time. Occupational certifi- science, one chemistry, physics, second-year bi- cate seekers are the least likely students to enroll ology, AP biology, or second-year earth science full time. While these strategies may temporar- course.17 ily ease their financial burdens, it interferes with their ability to spend more time on their studies and take advantage of other resources available at loNG-term ecoNomic their schools. This dynamic decreases the likeli- oPPortuNity hood that they will graduate.15 Research discussed previously in this report Not everyone can, should, or wants to earn a shows that completing even a one-year creden- four-or-more-year credential. The encouraging tial can deliver more salary benefits than failing news from recent research is that not everyone to complete a higher degree. Yet the inability to needs to earn this type of credential in order to GrADuAteD success meet college costs, ongoing financial and famil- reap economic rewards. Associates degrees and ial obligations, and time constraints due to work one- to two-year certificates can deliver substan- and care giving responsibilities are key obstacles tial economic gains. In terms of salary, research in preventing postsecondary success. shows that completing a one- to two year-cre- dential seems to be better than failing to com- lack of Academic Preparation plete a bachelors degree. In the case of health care and engineering, the salaries earned can be About four percent of students enrolled in com- higher than those earned by even bachelors de- munity colleges in 2007-08 sought a degree in gree holders. Because one to two-year degrees of- engineering. Eighteen percent of students ma- ten require less investment of time and money, jored in health care-related degrees. Lack of nec- they represent an attractive, approachable option essary academic preparation is a key reason why a for many high school graduates. significant portion of these students may not suc- ceed in obtaining their associates degree or cer- There is more, however, to judging a job than just tificates. It is also a reason why many students starting salary. Examining the careers of one- who could do well in these fields never attempt and two-year credential holders can give us in- to study them. sight into whether the jobs they attain provide things like a family-sustaining wage, health in- Nearly 60 percent of young community college surance, paid family and sick leave, and retire- students in either certificate or associates de- ment benefits. gree programs are required to take developmen- tal coursework to make up for inadequate college In addition to delivering respectable starting sal- preparation before they can enroll in college- aries and benefits, do these jobs enable econom- level courses.16 If three out of five students need ic opportunity that is sustainable over a career? remedial help in basics in order to be able to start An important aspect of sustainable economic op- college, it is even more unlikely that entering portunity is the opportunity to progress in a job students will have any of the skills in advanced track and to have the ability to adjust and be flex- math or science needed to hit the ground run- ible as the labor market changes. ning in pursuit of health care or engineering- Those certificate and associates degree holders related credentials. who earn higher salaries than their peers, and Across the U.S. only about one in two (53 per- in some cases than bachelors holders, do so in cent) high schoolers took an upper-level math large part because they are gaining specific skills class in 2006. Less than one in three (31 percent) for a particular job. Their level of specialization took an upper-level science class. Upper-level in may put them at risk if the labor market shifts, this case is defined as having at least one basic if their employer moves, or conditions otherwise college-prep course on a student transcript, for change. example geometry, algebra 2, trigonometry, pre- As with any degree and career choice, there is no calculus, or calculus (for math) or in the case of foolproof formula for selecting a situation that 6
  • 13. guarantees perpetual immunity to any risk of job Not all credentials are created equal in terms loss or the need to retool or retrain completely in of leading to good jobs (the capital “G” kind the future. But are there combinations of creden- with good salaries and benefits) and the sustain- tials and careers that promote greater adaptabil- able economic opportunity enabled by access to ity and professional advancement over time? career advancement and adaptability to chang- ing conditions. The professional advancement component also Sustainable Economic Opportunity Through One- and Two-Year Credentials plays a role in affecting salary over time. As work- In order to have the greatest impact, students, re- ers move from their mid-20s to their early 30s, searchers, policymakers and potential students the salaries of those with bachelors and associates alike need to consider short-term earnings, long- degrees increase at a faster rate than those with term growth and sustainability when evaluating only certificates. In the time span from 8 years the potential of one- and two-year credentials. In post-high school to 12 years, bachelors degree an ideal world, researchers would be able to track holders see wage increases of 41 percent, on av- certificate, associates, and bachelors degree hold- erage. Those with associates degrees see average ers over the course of career and compare their increases of 39 percent. Meanwhile those with trajectories across a variety of parameters, includ- certificates see increases of only 26 percent.18 So ing salary, career progression and satisfaction, job while certificate holders may start off earning a security, flexibility, and the evolution of skills and higher salary, their ability to increase their wages opportunities. Much of the data does not exist to over time is not to be taken for granted. do this yet, but it is clearly an endeavor worth further investigation.
  • 14. eNDNotes 1. Note that while this is the established length of time for these programs, the actual time students take will vary according to their attendance status (full-time or part-time) and continuity of enrollment. 2. Certificates and associates degrees can be occupational or academic. The research in this paper focuses on occupational certificates and compares them to both occupational and academic associates and bachelors degrees. Occupational fields of study are those that focus on occupation-specific skills and knowledge such as business, communications, computers, education, engineering, health care and human services. Academic fields of study are generally based more in theory and disconnected from a particular career. These might include fine arts, humanities, mathematics, and social sciences. 3. U.S. Department of Education, “Changes in Postsecondary Awards Below the Bachelor’s Degree: 1997 to 2007,” NCES 2010-167, November 2009. 4. Louis Jacobson and Christine Mokher, Pathways to Boosting the Earnings of Low-Income Students by Increasing Their Educational Attainment, Hudson Institute Center for Employment Policy and CNA, Analysis Solutions January 2009 http://www.hudson.org/files/publications/Gates%2001-07.pdf; Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates, Presentation, March 2009, http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/certificatesdone.pdf. GrADuAteD success 5. Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Certificates. 6. Dr. Jeff Strohl, Center on Education and the Workforce Director of Research, personal communication. 7. Center on Education and the Workforce, Valuing Credentials. 8. Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 7. 9. Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 7. 10. Jacobson and Mokher, pg. 28. 11. U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, “Students Entering and Leaving Postsecondary Occupational Education: 1995-2001” NCES, March 2007, p. 38. 12. Ibid, pg. 48. 13. Viany Orozco and Nancy K. Cauthen, Work Less, Study More Succeed: How Financial Supports Can Improve Postsecondary Success, Demos, September 2009 http://www.demos.org/pubs/studymore_web.pdf 14. Students Entering and Leaving Postsecondary Occupational Education: 1995-2001, p.25. 15. Jean Johnson, Jon Rochkind, Amber N. Ott and Samantha DuPont, With Their Whole Lives Ahead of Them, Public Agenda, December 2009 http://www.publicagenda.org/files/pdf/theirwholelivesaheadofthem.pdf. 16. Orozco and Cauthen. 17. Jacobson and Mokher, p.4. 18. Ibid, pg. 28. 8
  • 15. relAteD resources Work Less, Study More, Succeed: How Financial Supports Can Improve Postsecondary Success Viany Orozco Nancy K. Cauthen Dēmos, 2009 What Does the Recession Mean for Young People? José García Algernon Austin Dēmos and the Economic Policy Institute, 2009 The Contract for College: A Policy Proposal to Increase College Access and Affordability Caleb Gibson Viany Orozco, 2009 The Plastic Safety Net: How Households are Coping in a Fragile Economy José García Tamara Draut, 2009 The Downslide Before the Downturn: Declining Economic Security Among Middle Class African Americans and Latinos, 2000-2006 Jennifer Wheary, Thomas M. Shapiro Tatjana Meschede, 2009 Economic State of Young America Tamara Draut, 2008 Strapped: Why America’s 20- and 30-Somethings Can’t Get Ahead Tamara Draut (New York: Doubleday, 2006) From Middle to Shaky Ground: The Economic Decline of America’s Middle Class, 2000-2006 Tamara Draut, Jennifer Wheary, Thomas M. Shapiro Tatjana Meschede, 2008 A Better Deal Conference Series www.abetterdealconference.org All resources can be found at www.demos.org. coNtAct Jennifer Wheary Senior Fellow, Economic Opportunity Program jwheary@demos.org Media Inquiries: Timothy Rusch Connect at Demos.org Communications Director • Research, Commentary Analysis trusch@demos.org • Special Initiatives Events 212.389.1407 • Ideas Action Blog • eUpdates • Twitter, Facebook News Feeds • Multimedia
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