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Outline of the plan for reform and development of the Pearl River Delta (PRD) 2020

                                                                               GDP
                                       ¥711 bn                           pop                  PRD excluding HK, Macao (2007 HKTDC figures)
                              10 mil                                                        GDP pp RMB 53,820, or 2.8 times national average
                                                                                       3.6% China’s population but 8.8% of national retail sales



                                    Trade, MICE                              7 mil ¥315 bn
3.8 mil                             Mfg in auto parts ..
          ¥60 bn                                                                                            4 mil
                                                                                                              ¥111 bn
   F&B products
                                                                Mfg in electronics …                        Mfg in laser diodes, electronics…
                          ¥361 bn
                      6 mil

                                                                          ¥681 bn                                 ¥2,002 bn
                         Mfg in industrial ceramics, electronics
                                                                   8.6 mil
                                         2.5 mil ¥123 bn

                   Mfg in lighting, motorcycles…                                                             7 mil
                                                                         Logistics, Financial Centre
    4.5 mil¥111 bn                                                       Mfg in electronics

                                                                                                                Financial, MICE, Business Svc, 
           Petrochemicals, Machinery                                                                            Port,  Intl airport Centre…
                                  ¥90 bn
                            1.5 mil    Port
                                                               ¥110 bn
                                                           0.5 mil
                                                                                                       Put together by MTI Futures Group with 
                                                    Entertainment, MICE Centre                          existing slides from HK Civic Exchange
What is the context of PRD 2020 and why 
does it matter?
The drop in G3 demand has hit Guangdong hard, and increased the urgency 
for reforms. PRD 2020 is a ‘pilot region’, which means lessons learnt here will 
be applied to creating mega city clusters for rest of China.

Guangdong has chosen to reject ‘three highs one low’ industries (high 
investment, high energy consumption, high pollution, low yield ‐ 高投入, 高能
耗, 高污染, 低效益 ) and ‘clean the cage and change the birds’ (腾笼换鸟) to 
move up the value chain.

Successful reforms would create a cluster of highly interlinked, advanced 
manufacturing and service hubs for South China/ASEAN, the next 
generation/wave of Chinese MNCs supported by an enlarged domestic PRD 
middle class in one of the world’s most dynamic city clusters.
Outline of the plan for reform and development of the Pearl River Delta (2020)




                                                 Creating a 
                Moving up 
                                                services hub 
                 the mfg 
                                                  for Asia 
                value chain
                                                   Pacific
                                   Knitting 
                                  together                      Conserving 
                                 ‘the most                       resources 
 ‘Stepping 
                                dynamic city                        and 
out’ globally
                                 cluster in                     minimizing 
                                Asia Pacific’                    pollution
                   Moving                        Creating/ 
                from ‘made                       repairing 
                  in GD’ to                     urban and 
                 ‘created in                    rural social 
                     GD’                        safety nets
Knitting the PRD together with unified 1(a) urban planning (roads, railways, airports)
          1(b) energy, water, waste & info infrastructure & 1(c) public services



                                                          Expand  GZ 
More                                                      Baiyun airport
                                                                                South China 
                                                                                Logistics 
                                                                                Internet
                              Integrate rural‐urban 
                              development reform                                        PRD Inter‐city 
                                                                                        railway
                                          FS MRT                       GZ MRT
                                                                                                                        Integrate rural‐urban 
                                                                                                                        development reform
                                                                                         DG MRT
                                                                                                          Lead ‘one department’
  Digital PRD                                                                                             government pilot
  network                                                                            Expand  SZ                                                  More
                                              Integrate rural‐urban                  Bao’an airport       SZ MRT
                                              development reform




                                                                            Zhongshan‐Shenzhen cross 
                                         Wantou water                       estuary link
                                         conservancy 
                                         project
                                                                                                                              HK‐SZ airport 
                              Pilot social reform                                                                             cooperation


                                                                                          HK‐Zhuhai‐
                                                                                          Macao bridge
           Power from 
           Garbage projects
Drawing north Guangdong into the PRD.
East and west Guangdong will supply PRD with energy, steel, water etc.
mileage
Moving the PRD up the manufacturing value chain away from labor intensive 
industries into 2(a) 5 inter‐related capital and technology intensive industries and 
2(b) creating potential globally competitive manufacturing companies.

                                                            Fine 
                            Pharma                        chemicals
             Aircraft 
               mfg
                                                                            Shipbdg
                                         Petrochemical                      & repair
  Nuclear 
  Power
                         Equipment 
                            Mfg                          Ship building
                                                                                       Ocean 
   Wind 
                                                                                       Engg
  Power



   Power                    Iron & Steel          Automotive                      Car 
     Tx                                                                         industry 
                                                                                clusters

              CNC                                                      New 
             lathes          Zhanjiang                                energy 
                               Steel                                   auto
                               Base
Moving the PRD to match HK and Macau in service industries by creating 3(a)
regional financial centers, 3(b) targeting specialized conventions, 3(c) logistics 
hubs, 3(d) international outsourcing hubs and 3(e) software and cartoon bases.

                                                    3 cities 
                                                    for intl
                                                    service 
                                                    outsrng
                                      Outsrng
                                       Hubs
                                                                     SZ 
                                                                   Second 
                                                  Regional          Board
                       Conventions                Financial 
   GZ                                             Centers
 Baiyun                                                                GD 
 Airport                                                            Financial 
                                                                      Zone
                                            Software/ 
     SZ 
   Bao’an                 Logistics Hubs     Cartoon 
   Airport                                    Bases


             GZ Port

                            SZ Port
Moving from ‘made in GD’ to ‘created in GD’ via 4(a) developing high tech 
industries, 4(b) creating an ‘innovation axis’ and alliance 4(c) consolidating 
national level ‘innovation enterprises’.
                                                            100 RI‐
                                                           Industry 
                  3‐5                                         tech        >6 GD‐CN 
                MNCs >                                     alliances      Academy 
                                                                          of Science 
                ¥100bil                       PRD                          projects

     3‐5 
                                           Innovation 
  clusters                                  Alliances                                   Attract 
  > ¥100bil                                                                              MNC 
                                                              PRD‐ HK ‐
                          High Tech                            Macao                     R&D
                          Industries                         Innovation 
   GZ 
 Science                                                        Axis                        SZ 
   City                                                                                  Innovtn
                                                                                          Center
                                                   Consolidtng
  SZ hi‐tech 
  industrial                      New Ag            national                          South 
     belt                                          enterprises                        China 
                                                                                       New 
                                                                                     Medicine 
                                                                                      Center

                                                         50 natl/       GZ Intl 
                           New                            10 intl      Biological 
                           rice                           innov          Island
                                                         enterprs
Opening up internationally by 5(a) knitting PRD to HK, Macao and Taiwan. 
Encouraging GD enterprises to ‘step out’ (走出去) to 5(b) ASEAN and other 
emerging markets of 5(c) Africa and Latin America.

                                                      Cross‐
                                                     strait Ag 
                                                     co‐optn
        Zhuhai‐
        Hengqin
         Zone                          Taiwan


 Enforce                  Macao 
  CEPA                                                ASEAN        CN –
                                                                  ASEAN 
                                                                   FTA


 RMB 
business                                        Emerging 
                           Hong Kong             Markets
               PRD 
            enterpris
            es to list 
              in HK
What would a successfully reformed Pearl River Delta 2020 look like?

                                                                                   GDP pp RMB 135,000, or 3.6 times 2008 GDP




                                  High‐end services


Traditional 
 industries                                            Mfg in electronics, Lake 
                                                       Songshan Tech park


  Machinery eqpt, new‐type flat                                                                   Port, base for petrochem.
 panel display, financial services




Port‐front eqpt mfg, chemicals, healthcare                             Advanced mfg base: Communications 
                                                                       eqpt, biological engg, new materials, 
                                                                       automotives using new energy
 Advanced mfg



                 Gaolan Port, ocean engg,                                                  Financial, MICE, Business Svc, 
                 aviation industrial park, intl biz                                        Port,  Intl airport Centre…
                 and tourism resort.
                                                         Entertainment, MICE Centre

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