Last fall, Ford announced it will soon move all small car production to Mexico. Several other U.S. auto manufacturers currently produce vehicles outside of the country, but Ford’s announcement sparked a significant amount of backlash, which was fueled by then presidential-nominee Donald Trump’s amplification.
Through this analysis, we will understand how Ford’s decision to move some of its production to Mexico has impacted sentiment & purchase intent toward the automaker. We will also examine how other U.S. auto manufacturers have been impacted by their decision to move production outside of the country. This knowledge will lead us to the final portion of the analysis where we will explore if Americans are becoming more conscious of products made in the U.S. and whether President Trump has had any role in that.
3. 3
WHATYOU’LLLEARN
• Where a product is made is an important factor to
consumers when evaluating a purchase and possibly
increasingly so
• Higher consideration products, with longer purchase
cycles, may be less impacted by negative publicity
• The perception of being “American-Made” outweighs
a product’s actual origin
5. AS OFF-SHORING INCREASED, NUMBER
OF FACTORYWORKERS DECREASED
5
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
Number of Manufacturing Employees in the U.S.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
28%Drop in U.S. manufacturing employees
from 2000 to 2016
6. FORD CONSIDERED ONE OF THE MOST
“PATRIOTIC” BRANDS
6
Sources: Brand Keys – Most Patriotic Brands in America 2016; AOL Omnibus, April 2017, n=1009 US Internet Users
1.Jeep / Disney
2. Levi Strauss
3. Ralph Lauren
4. Ford
5. Coca-Cola / Jack Daniels
42%Consider Ford to be
an above average brand
7. MADE INAMERICASTAMPDOES
AFFECT PURCHASE DECISIONS
7
66%
32%
Are aware of purchasing products made in the U.S.
Have decided not to make a purchase because a
product was made outside of the U.S.
Source: AOL Omnibus, April 2017, n=1009 US Internet Users
10. TRUMPQUICKLYCRITICIZED
FORD’S DECISION
10
“To think that Ford is moving its
small car division is a disgrace. It’s
disgraceful. It’s disgraceful that our
politicians allow them to get away
with it. It really is.”
11. PRESIDENT TRUMPMAJOR FOCUS OF
FORD SOCIALCONVERSATION
11
Pickup Trucks
Henry Ford
test drive
Road
TrumpCheck
driving cars
Ford Recalls
Ford Taurus Ford Edge
Ohio Automatic transmission
TV
Ford Transit
Ford Explorer
4 cylinder engine
Dates: 4/1/2016 – 4/16/2017
Most Prevalent Topics
Source: Brandwatch
19. PRODUCTION CHATTER WAS
SUBSTANTIALPART OF DISCUSSION
19
7%
93%
Mentions of Production or Trump
Compared to Rest of Conversation
Production + Trump Uncategorized
Dates: 9/1/2016 – 2/28/2017
119K
Mentions
24M
Impressions
86K
Authors
Source: Brandwatch
20. MEN & POLITICALLY-MINDED MOST
ACTIVE WITHIN PRODUCTION CHATTER
20
43% 57%MaleFemale
8%
10%
15%
18%
Books
Sports
Family & Parenting
Politics
Top Interests
Demo Summary of Ford Production Authors
Source: Brandwatch
21. MICHIGAN MOST LIKELY TO
DISCUSS FORD PRODUCTION
21
Index Scale
Weighted State Contribution by Index
Source: Brandwatch
23. AS NEGATIVE SENTIMENT INCREASED,
FORD SALES DECREASED
23
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Ford Motor Company 2016 Monthly Sales vs. Negative Sentiment
Unit Sales Negative Sentiment
Sources: Ford; Brandwatch
24. NOT WILLING TO PAYPREMIUM DESPITE
PREFERENCE FORAMERICAN-MADE
24
Source: AOL Omnibus, April 2017, n=1009 US Internet Users
General Population Trump Voters
Buying a vehicle from a U.S.
manufacturer is very important 59% 71%
Willing to pay premium on U.S.
made vehicle 10% 15%
25. WHICH CARSARE ENTIRELYMADE
IN THE U.S.?
25
Of the 450+ vehicle models sold in the U.S. for the 2016 model year…
None
Source: American Automobile Labeling Act
27. WHERE VEHICLE IS MADE MAY BE
IMPORTANT, BUT NOT TOP CONCERN
27
Source: AOL Omnibus, April 2017, n=1009 US Internet Users
5%
21%
26%
30%
32%
35%
39%
Made domestically
Big enough for family
Budget oriented
Good reputation
Safety rating
Handles well
Fuel efficiency
Consumers’ Top 3 Factors When Purchasing a New Vehicle
28. MORE LIKELY TO BUYFORD DESPITE
SEEING BRAND LESS FAVORABLY
28
Source: E-Poll; 2017 comScore//GFK MRI Media MMX + Fusion (02-17/F16)
4.18%
6.95%
0.42%
3.56%
7.96%
Likelihood to Purchase If
Making Decision Today
% of Consumers
37%
37%
16%
24%
26%
36%
36%
20%
25%
28%
Consumers’ Perceptions Towards
Auto Manufacturers
High-Quality Reliable
29. FORD LEADINGAUTO
MANUFACTURER IN THE U.S.
29
Source: Statista
2.49
2.11 2.10
1.48 1.43
0.93
0.77
Leading Car Brands in the U.S., 2016
(Unit Sales in Millions)
31. CONSUMERS PAYING MOREATTENTION
TO WHERE PRODUCTSARE MADE
31
30%Pay more attention to whether
a product is made in the U.S.
compared to a year ago
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Mentions
American-Made Social Chatter Over Time
Individual Twitter Accounts
2014 2015 2016 2017
Sources: Brandwatch; AOL Omnibus, April 2017, n=1009 US Internet Users
32. WITHINAMERICAN-MADE DISCUSSION,
FASHION TOPICS DISCUSSED THE MOST
32
Fashion Automobiles Tech/Electronics CosmeticsStructural Materials
31% 21% 17% 16% 9%
Category Breakout of Social Chatter
Dates: 4/1/2016 – 4/27/2017Source: Brandwatch
33. MEN & POLITICALLY-MINDED MOST
ACTIVE WITHIN DISCUSSION
33
49% 51%MaleFemale
8%
9%
13%
14%
Books
Sports
Family & Parenting
Politics
Top Interests
Demo Summary of Ford Production Authors
Source: Brandwatch
34. 0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
4/1/2016 5/1/2016 6/1/2016 7/1/2016 8/1/2016 9/1/2016 10/1/2016 11/1/2016 12/1/2016 1/1/2017 2/1/2017 3/1/2017 4/1/2017
Mentions
American-Made Mentions Over Time by Day
TRUMP’S EXECUTIVE ORDER
SPARKED INFLUX OF CHATTER
34Dates: 4/1/2016 – 4/27/2017Source: Brandwatch
35. INITIAL REACTION TO EXECUTIVE
ORDER VERYNEGATIVE
35
20%
80%
Sentiment Towards Executive Order
White House
Ivanka Trump
Mexico
American-made tools
Made in China
Made in the United StatesPresident Trump
Trump products aren’t made
made in USA
New executive order
Obama 1B Visas Chinese
Clothing line 90 days power to make
Made in the USA
buy American goods
visas are awarded
products are stamped
America first
commerce secretary
American-made steel
Dates: 4/17/2016 – 4/27/2017Source: Brandwatch
36. KEYTAKEAWAYS
36
• Where products are made does impact consumers’ likelihood to
purchase, but it’s not the most influential factor
• Data suggests that the perception of being “American-Made”
outweighs the products actual origin
• U.S. automakers like Ford should continue to take advantage of the
reputation they’ve built, while looking to improve their image of quality
& reliability
• Foreign owned automakers could benefit by placing more
emphasis on being more “American-Made” than U.S.
competitors
• Higher consideration products, with longer purchase cycles, may be
less impacted by negative publicity
Notas del editor
Introduction, what our team does
I work as an Analyst on the Consumer Analytics & Research team at AOL. Behind me are some of the brands my team is responsible for serving. As you can imagine, we use Brandwatch differently than a lot of you. We’re not monitoring the conversation around our own brands, but rather our clients’. We use Brandwatch to get a pulse of the conversation, whether it be around a specific brand or topic, to arm our sales team for upcoming pitches. And also to assist with content ideation for our team at HuffPost.
Which brings me to why I am here today. And that’s to give an example of a circumstance where Brandwatch really helped us develop a strategic approach that probably otherwise would have been missed.
Number of manufacturing jobs greatly increased following the auto boom & other significant developments. Sharp decline at the turn of the century – leaving many Americans feeling scorned by even their favorite companies. But even some of those who were among the biggest contributors to off-shoring, maintained a positive, “American” image…
…Ford was one of those companies. Despite having foreign production for many years now, they still sit at the top of the list when it comes to the most “patriotic” brands in the U.S. Ford is above Harley Davidson, Coors, Sam Adams, Gatorade, John Deere, Dallas Cowboys. Why is this important?
Because consumers are very conscious of where a product is made. We surveyed an online panel of over 1,000 internet users and 66% of them report being aware of purchasing a product that’s made in the U.S. What’s really fascinating, is that 32% of those consumers have decided not to make a purchase because a product was made outside of the U.S.
Brands, like Ford, are undoubtedly aware of these behaviors and it’s evident in how they position themselves in their marketing initiatives. Let’s take a look at a clip from Ford’s “Built in America” campaign that ran a couple years ago.
This came as a huge surprise to many when Ford announced it will be moving all small-car production to Mexico. Citing decreasing profit margins on these vehicles. No one though was perhaps more vocal about their disdain for this business move then by then Presidential Nominee Donald Trump…
Trump’s criticism was so loud, that when we look at Ford’s social chatter for the past year, he is the center of the conversation. The most prevalent topic within Ford’s social discussion. Let’s take a look at how this all played out…
Ford cancelled plans for new plant, but will move small car production to Mexico, just into an existing Ford plant in Hermosillo.
For comparison, Honda’s Airbag scandal equated to just 3% of the total Honda social conversation
We asked that same panel of U.S. internet users about the importance of buying from a U.S. automaker. As you see, nearly 60% stated it was important by only 10% said they would pay more for a domestic vehicle. Looking at Trump voters, again a very high percentage say it is important to them, but only 15% reported they would pay a premium for a U.S. made vehicle.
Before we move forward, I think it’s important to get a better sense of the current automobile industry landscape. Can anyone answer this?
6. Chevy Traverse
7. GMC Acadia
8. Buick Enclave
Number of cars overall that meet the standards to qualify for the list has been shrinking over the years. After reaching an all-time low of just seven cars on the 2015 American-Made Index, this year’s list is up one car, but still remains much smaller than earlier indexes, when the list included nearly 30 eligible cars
So what do consumers care most about when purchasing a car?
This is where I think things get interesting. Consumers perceive Ford as being of lesser quality and less reliable than Toyota & Honda. But when asked if they were to “make a purchase today, who would they choose?” consumers are more likely to choose Ford. And that’s proven out when we look at the leading car sales by brand for 2016…
So if it’s of lesser quality & generally of the same cost, what is it that Ford has that Honda & Toyota don’t?
Ford’s F-Series Pickup – best selling vehicle in 2016
We thought understanding how consumers responded to Trump’s executive order might help shape our next steps. We’ve interpreted this clearly negative reaction as confirmation that where a product is manufactured is not everything to consumers. As you can see by the most prevalent topic in the topic cloud, they also are turned off by the apparent hypocrisy.
Again, the perception of embodying our culture & spirit appears to be more important than where it was actually made. As we’ve seen that does matter to an extent, but probably moreso when we talk about the lower consideration items. Because when it comes down to it, consumers really just want the best products at the cheapest prices.