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Education Series
Volume V
Higher Education
and Skills in South
Africa, 2017
Risenga Maluleke
Statistician-General
Statistics South Africa
National plans
related to ECD
International
agreements and
protocols
The South African
Cnstitution
The Children’s Act (Act No.
38 of 2005)
South African Schools Act
(Act No. 84 of 1996)
Maintenance Act (Act No.
99 of 1998)
Social Assistance Act (Act
No. 13 of 2004)
The African Charter on the
Rights and Welfare of the Child
(RSA ratified 2000)
The United Nations Declaration
on Human Rights
The United Nations
Conventions on the Rights of
the Child and associated
protocols (RSA ratified 1995)
Sustainable Development Goals
National Qualification Framework levels and its
sub- frameworks
Further education and training
N
S
C
/
N
C
V
Skills development Post-secondary
School/Colleges Colleges University
Grade
9
Grade
10
Grade
11
Grade
12
18
months 3-5 years Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 +1 year
+3-5
years
+1-2
years
NCV1 NCV2 NCV3 NCV4
Appren-
ticeship Artisans
Higher
Certifica
te
Diplom
a Degree Honours Masters Phd
NATED 1 NATED 2 NATED 3 N4-N6 Trade test N4-N6
Diplom
a
N
Q
F
1
N
Q
F
2
N
Q
F
3
N
Q
F
4
N
Q
F
5
N
Q
F
6
N
Q
F
5
N
Q
F
6
N
Q
F
7
N
Q
F
8
N
Q
F
9
N
Q
F
1
0
Breakdown of total South African
government spending in 2017/18
What does general government
spend money on?
Source: National Treasury
One of the biggest impediments to higher
educational attainment in South Africa is the
low levels of progression of learners within the
further education and training (FET) phase,
resulting in a lower percentage of youth
achieving the national senior certificate pass.
Pre-school
Primary
school
Secondary
school
Not in
education
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
TVET
University
Percentage of those aged 5 – 24
years who attend educational
institutions, 2017
There is noticeable representation of learners who are older than the ideal graduation
age in primary and secondary schools.
Source: GHS 2017
Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE
82,8%
75,6% 80,8%
65,8%
68,3%
75,8%
73,3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Grade 11 and 12 progressions 2010 - 2017
In 2017, 80,8% of learners who enrolled in Grade 11 had
enrolled in Grade 10 during the previous year.
Grade 11 as a % of grade 10
Grade 12 as a % of grade 11
Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE Education
80,1%
71,2%
82,2%
74,1%
85,1%
77,7%
86,4%
75,6%
86,7%
74,9%
69,2%
67,2%
68,9% 68,1%
77,2% 75,9% 77,4%
74,1%
75,7%
70,5%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
90,0%
100,0%
Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Gr11 as a % of Gr10 Gr12 as a % of Gr 11
Grade 11 and 12 progressions 2013 - 2017
by gender
Progression rates are higher among females as
compared to males.
Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE
92,8% 92,8% 92,6% 94,1% 93,2% 93,8%
86,6%
80,8%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wrote as a % of population aged18 Wrote as a % of Gr12 Wrote as a % of population aged18
NSC candidates who wrote the exam as a
percentage of the Grade 12 enrolled learners and
the eligible population aged 18, 2010–2017
51,6%
48,1%
50,4%
56,4%
54,3%
66,7%
64,0%
56,8%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Wrote as a % of population aged 18 Wrote as a % of Gr12 Wrote as a % of population aged 18
Percentage of
18 year olds in
SA
19,2% of Grade 12 learners did not write the NSC exam
in 2017.
Wrote as a
percentage of
grade 12
Source: Department of Basic Education
70,7%
66,1%
75,7%
77,2%
67,4%
64,5%
72,4%
73,4%
55,0
60,0
65,0
70,0
75,0
80,0
2002 2007 2012 2017
Candidates who achieved the NSC
examination by gender ,2002-2017
Females
Males
Achievement for male learners was four percentage
point higher than the achievement rate for female
learners in 2017.
RSAAverageat67,2%
Source: Department of Basic education
23,5% 24,3% 26,6% 30,6% 28,3% 25,8% 26,6% 28,7%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Percentage
Bachelor Diploma Certificate
In 2017, close to 29% of candidates who wrote the
exam achieved a bachelor pass.
Percentage of those who wrote exam by
achievement type, 2010-2017
Source: Department of Basic Education and
Department of Higher Education and Training
The increase in bachelor passes over time was not
reflected in the growth in number of first time entrants.
Number of first time students entering public
higher education institutions at undergraduate
degrees and diplomas programs, 2000–2016
129 976
158 389
158 891
107 274
171 755
162 374
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
First time entering
Bachelor pass
45,5%
53,5%
52,6%
53,7%
48,9%
52,3%
47,2%
50,8%
17,3%
20,9%
14,9%
17,5%
22,7%
19,1%
22,5%
19,5%
14,2%
9,6%
11,6%
12,9%
12,2%
9,8%
11,8%
11,6%
23,1%
16,0%
20,9%
15,9%
16,2%
18,8%
18,6%
18,1%
0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0
Age 18
Age 19
Age 20
Age 21
Age 22
Age 23
Age 24
RSA
Source: GHS 2017
No money for fees
Completed or
Satisfied with level
of education
Family
commitment
Poor academic
performance
Reasons for not attending educational
institutions by individuals aged 18–24 by
age, 2017
1,4 million individuals aged 18-24 reported that they did not attend
any educational institutions because they had no money for fees.
LP
38%
MP
56%
KZN
54%
EC
33%
FS
67%
NW
53%
NC
38%
WC
42%
GP
61%
Source: GHS, 2017
South Africa
51%
Individuals aged 18-24 who indicated no
money for fees as a reason for not attending
educational institution by province,2017
Youth aged 18–24 residing in Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, North West,
Gauteng and Mpumalanga, cited lack of money for school fees as the
principal reason for not attending any educational institution in 2017.
White;
27,9%
White; 53,2%Black African
52,9%
Black African
15,2%
0,00
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,00
50,00
60,00
No money for fees Completed/Satisfied
with level of education
Poor academic
performance
Family commitment
Reasons for not attending educational
institutions by individuals aged 18–24 by
population group, 2017
Coloured
Indian
Among black African youths, more than half (53%) did not study
because they did not have money for fees. By contrast, only 28% of white youths
reported not being able to attend educational institutions due to lack of funds.
* For Indian population group, poor academic performance not shown due to sample size
Of those 18-24 who completed and were satisfied with their education, rates
differed most for post - school education by gender
6,7% 4,3%
82,3%
76,3%
10,3%
18,9%
Male Female
Post School
Secondary
Primary
Source: GHS, 2017
Individuals aged 18–24 who were not attending
educational institutions and were satisfied with
their educational attainment by their highest level
of education and gender, 2017
RSA Average at 81,4%
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
578134
799490
975837
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The percentage of enrolled students in HEI increased by 38% between 2000 and
2008 and by 22% between 2008 and 2016.
Number of individuals enrolled in public
higher education institutions (HEI) from
2000 - 2016
38%
22%
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
The STEM fields of study represented 29,9% of all enrolment in
2016, amounting to a 2,6 percentage point increase from 2000. The
total percentage enrolment in education also increased to 18,1% in 2016.
Enrolment in public higher education by
fields of study, 2000 and 2016
0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0%
27,1%
34,7%
29,9%
Education
24,4%
13,6% 18,1%
24,8%
STEM
Business, Economics &
Management studies
Other
2000 2016
27,3%
Note: STEM refers to science, technology, engineering and maths
Enrolment for honours degrees as the percentage of enrolment for
such type of degrees was reduced for all population groups in 2016
compared to 2000. The percentage growth in higher degrees for all population groups was low.
Enrolment by qualification categories for
public HEIs, 2000 and 2016
0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0%
Doctorate(NQF 10)
Masters(NQF 9)
Honours (NQF 8)
Bachelor/NHD (NQF 7)
National Diploma (NQF 6)
2000 2016
National Higher Certificate (NQF 6)
National Certificate (NQF 5)
1,1%
2,1%
5,5%
5,7%
20,7%8,8%
37,1% 76,6%
25,3%
7,5%
2,7%
0,7%
6,1%
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
358 393
705 397
297 491
273 431
46 882
168 911
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number
Source: DHET
Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET)
Community Education and Training (CET)
Private colleges
Enrolment in TVET, CET and Private
colleges, 2010–2016
TVET colleges accommodated 705 397 students whilst CET accepted
273 431 students in 2016; and private college 168 911
Enrolment at Public HEI by qualification
categories and gender 2000 and 2016
There were more females than male students enrolled for all qualifications for
both years, except for masters where more males than females enrolled.
55,9% 60,7%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
44,1%
39,3%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Nat Cert (NQF5)
F
M
55,4% 51,8%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
44,6% 48,2%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Hons (NQF8)
68,8%
57,7%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
31,2%
42,3%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Nat Higher Cert (NQF6)
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
53,1%
63,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
46,9% 37,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Bach(NQF7)
41,8%
44,6%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Mast (NQF9)
58,2%
55,4%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
38,1%
58,2%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
61,9%
41,8%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
2000 2016
Doct (NQF10)
F
M
F
M
F
M F
M
F
M
F=Female
M=Male
1,4%
7,7%
30,4%
15,9%
5,1%
13,5%
23,5%
16,1%33,3%
28,3%
14,0%
15,5%
31,2%
33,3%
17,8%
15,4%
6,8%
5,4% 3,2%
34,7%
22,1%
11,8% 11,1%
2,4
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
SA student SADC student Other African student Foreign student
National higher
certificate (NQF
Level 6)
National certificate
(NQF Level 5)
Bachelor NQF7
Honours NQF8
Masters NQF9
Doctorate NQF10
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
Percentage of enrolment at universities by
degree type & nationality, 2016
African students other than SADC region would most likely study for
higher qualifications such as masters and doctorate.
71,5%
80,3%
69,5% 70,0% 70,8% 68,3% 69,6% 72,3%
25,5% 6,7% 23,7%
6,0%
22,9%
6,6%
25,9%
8,3%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥
2013 2014 2015 2016
Other
Occupational
Qualifications
NC(V)
Report 191
Around 70% or more of youth aged 15–34 enrolled in TVET institutions
enrolled in Report 191(N1-N6) qualifications.
* NATED / Report 191 programmes are delivered under the auspices of the Department of Higher Education and Training and quality assured by Umalusi. The programmes consist of 18 months
theoretical studies at colleges and 18 months relevant practical application in work places. Engineering studies range from N1 – N6 while Business and Utility Studies range from N4 – N6
* Other refers to all programmes offered by TVET colleges i.e. skills development programmes and short courses varying between a week and a year.
* Occupational qualifications are those qualifications associated with a trade, occupation or profession resulting from work-based learning and consisting of knowledge, practical and work experience
components
National Certificate
Vocational
(N1-N6)
Percentage distribution of TVET college enrolment
by age and qualification category, 2013–2016
Source:GHS,2017
56,2% 66,0% 65,3% 81,5%
35,3%
27,1%
10,2%
7,8%
8,6% 6,9%
24,5%
10,7%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
White Indian/Asian Black African Coloured
School
Post-school
Not
attending
While 35,3% of white youth attended post-school institutions, 10,2% of
black African youth attended post-school institutions.
Individuals aged 18-24 attending
educational institutions by population group
Source:GHS,2017
23,6%
10,2%
20,7%
12,9%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
School Post School
Male Female
There are a larger number of males attending school, with a larger
percentage of females attending post school 12,9% of female and 10,2% of male
youth attended post-school institutions
Individuals aged 18-24 attending
educational institutions by gender
Source:GHS,2017
28,6%
44,1%
57,3%
71,0%
78,7%
86,6%
89,1%
65,1%
43,9%
26,4%
13,9%
8,8%
3,9%
2,4%
6,4%
12,0%
16,3%
15,0%
12,6%
9,5%
8,4%
0 20 40 60 80 100
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Not attending School Post-school
Individuals aged 18-24 attending
educational institutions by age
Attendance of school was highest among those aged 18 (65,1%) and
19 (43,9%). Attendance of post-school institutions was highest among those aged 20 and 21
Source:GHS,2017
Individuals aged 18-24 attending
educational institutions by provinces
The highest youth post-school attendance was in GP followed by
the WC
81,0%
70,5%
63,3%
52,1%
68,6%
61,5%
67,1%66,3%
79,1%
65,9%
15,4%
22,6%
29,4%
39,4%
22,5%
29,2%23,1%22,2%
9,0%
14,6%
3,6%6,9%7,3%8,5%8,9%9,4%9,8%11,6%11,9%
19,6%
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
NCNWMPLPKZNECFSRSAWCGP
Post School
School
Not attending
Source:GHS,2017
Individuals aged 18-24 attending
educational institutions by income quintiles
17,5% of youth in the highest income quintile were attending
post-school educational institutions, compared to 10,6% in the lowest
quintile.
62,6%
69,5%
65,3%
67,7%
65,1%
20,0%
21,8%
22,3%
22,3%
24,3%
17,5%
8,7%
12,3%
10,1%
10,6%
0,0% 20,0% 40,0% 60,0% 80,0% 100,0%
Highest income quintile
Quintile 4
Quintile 3
Quintile 2
Lowest income quintile
Not attending School Post School
92 874
203 076
0
30 000
60 000
90 000
120 000
150 000
180 000
210 000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number of public higher education
graduates,2000-2016
The percentage growth in graduates from 2000 to 2016 was 118,7%
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
118,7%
56,5%
61,2%
43,5%
38,8%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Females Males
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
Percentage of public higher education
graduates by gender, 2000–2016
The highest percentage of graduates were females and their
percentage was steadily rising since 2000.
19%
21%
29%
34%
36%
18%
43%
46%
17%
18%
47%
52%
3% 3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
The time taken by students to complete a three-year degree improved
when students from UNISA were removed from the analysis. Of the 2000
cohort, nearly half (47%) took six years (which is double the amount of time required) to complete their
degree.
National throughputs for three years degree
with first year enrolment in 2000-2011
Correct amount of time to complete
Twice the amount of time
taken to complete degree
Within 3 years
Within 4 years
Within 5 years
Within 6 years
Source: DHET
Excluding UNISAIncluding UNISA
77,1%
83,0%
62,9%
59,8%
67,6%
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
There has been an improvement in undergraduate success rates
for both modes of attendance. Among contact students, success
rates have risen from 77,1% of students in 2009 to 83,0% in 2016.
During the same period, success rates of distance education students had risen from 62,9% to 67,6%
Public higher education undergraduate
success rates by mode of attendance,
2009–2016
Contact
Distance
Source: DHET
There is a 3,3 percentage point increase in graduates in the STEM
fields from 2000 and 2016
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
4,5
0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0%
22,4%
2000 2016
Graduates from public higher education by
fields of study, 2000 and 2016
Education
STEM
Business, Economics &
Management studies
Other
25,8% 29,1%
21,4% 27,8%
20,2% 20,7%
32,6%
Source: DHET (HEMIS)
Graduates from African countries excluding SADC and foreign
graduates most likely achieve masters and doctorates degrees
Source: DHET HEMIS
7,4% 7,4%
1,8%
2,4%
19,9% 8,6%
2,0%
7,8%
48,0%
42,6%
30,1%
24,8%
18,5%
21,8%
18,8% 17,5%
5,3
15,2
32,8 27,1
0,8%
4,4%
14,5%
20,4%
South African SADC Other African Foreign
Doctorate (NQF Level 10)
Masters (NQF Level 9)
Honours (NQF Level 8)
Bachelor/NHD (NQF Level
7)
National Higher Certificate
(NQF Level 6)
National certificate (NQF
Level 5)
Graduates from public higher education by
fields of study and nationality
61,3%
33,2%
64,8%
47,0%
59,4%
42,8%
41,5%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: DHET(statistics on Post-School Education and Training in South Africa,2016
Completion rates fluctuated over the years, but 2012 and 2013
were the years with the lowest completion rates.
Completion rates of TVET and private
colleges graduates by type of qualification,
2011–2016
Report 191(N6)
Report 190/1(N3)
NC(V) Level 4
*Completion rates are calculated by the DHET as the number of students who successfully completed the relevant qualification,
expressed as a percentage of the number of students who were eligible to complete the qualification and wrote the examination.
Source: GHS,2017
Of those youth who had bachelor degrees, 46,9% were from the
highest quintile. Of those who had postgraduate degrees, 35,9% were from the wealthiest quintile.
Educational attainment among youth aged
20–24 years by household income quintiles
7,4%
10,1%
10,2% 2,7%
22,4% 29,5%
13,2%
21,8%
46,9% 35,9%
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
Bachelor degree/NQF7 Postgraduate degrees/NQF8-10
Lowest income quintile Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Highest income quintile
Lowest income quintile
Quintile 2
Quintile 3
Quintile 4
Highest income quintile
Source: GHS,2017
Doctoral degrees were mostly held by individuals residing in highest
quintile households, with those in quintile 4 accounting for 3,7% and
those in quintile 5 accounting for 6,1%.
Educational attainment among individuals aged
20–50 years with NQF level 6-10 qualifications
by household income quintiles, 2017
33,7%
36,8%
27,5%
21,4%
17,7%
30,6%
28,8%
32,2%
33,5%
31,7%
18,2%
17,7%
24,5%
29,0%
29,5%
15,5%
14,7%
14,9%
12,4%
15,0%
2,0%
2,0%
0,9%
3,7%
6,1%
Lowest income
quintile
Quintile 2
Quintile 3
Quintile 4
Highest income
quintile
Higher Diploma Bachelors Degree Honours degree Masters degree Doctoral degrees
CONCLUSION
v Low levels of progression of learners within the further education and
training phase, result in a lower percentage of youth achieving the national
senior certificate pass.
v The general trend in participation in all institutions of post-school learning
was upward with total enrolment in higher education institutions in 2016
amounting to 49,9% in TVET to 30,8% in CET colleges to 11,9% and private
colleges to 7,4%.
v Despite gains in higher education participation rates, gender disparity was
still a challenge as well as participation equity concerns for students from low
income backgrounds.
v Female participation in 2016 at public higher educational institutions
(universities) was 58% and 57% at TVET colleges.
CONCLUSION
v Among youth aged 18–24, who were not attending any educational
institutions, the majority (51%) said that they did not have money to pay the
fees.
v In 2016,most students enrolled in undergraduate NQF level 7 programmes at
public HEIs.
v In 2016,most students were enrolled for qualifications in the fields of
business, commerce and management sciences, education and engineering.
v Most graduates achieved qualifications in the fields of business, commerce
and management sciences and education.
Ndzi hela kwala!

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Higher Education and Skills in South Africa

  • 1. “ Education Series Volume V Higher Education and Skills in South Africa, 2017 Risenga Maluleke Statistician-General Statistics South Africa
  • 2. National plans related to ECD International agreements and protocols The South African Cnstitution The Children’s Act (Act No. 38 of 2005) South African Schools Act (Act No. 84 of 1996) Maintenance Act (Act No. 99 of 1998) Social Assistance Act (Act No. 13 of 2004) The African Charter on the Rights and Welfare of the Child (RSA ratified 2000) The United Nations Declaration on Human Rights The United Nations Conventions on the Rights of the Child and associated protocols (RSA ratified 1995) Sustainable Development Goals National Qualification Framework levels and its sub- frameworks Further education and training N S C / N C V Skills development Post-secondary School/Colleges Colleges University Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 18 months 3-5 years Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 +1 year +3-5 years +1-2 years NCV1 NCV2 NCV3 NCV4 Appren- ticeship Artisans Higher Certifica te Diplom a Degree Honours Masters Phd NATED 1 NATED 2 NATED 3 N4-N6 Trade test N4-N6 Diplom a N Q F 1 N Q F 2 N Q F 3 N Q F 4 N Q F 5 N Q F 6 N Q F 5 N Q F 6 N Q F 7 N Q F 8 N Q F 9 N Q F 1 0
  • 3. Breakdown of total South African government spending in 2017/18 What does general government spend money on? Source: National Treasury
  • 4. One of the biggest impediments to higher educational attainment in South Africa is the low levels of progression of learners within the further education and training (FET) phase, resulting in a lower percentage of youth achieving the national senior certificate pass.
  • 5. Pre-school Primary school Secondary school Not in education 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 TVET University Percentage of those aged 5 – 24 years who attend educational institutions, 2017 There is noticeable representation of learners who are older than the ideal graduation age in primary and secondary schools. Source: GHS 2017
  • 6. Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE 82,8% 75,6% 80,8% 65,8% 68,3% 75,8% 73,3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Grade 11 and 12 progressions 2010 - 2017 In 2017, 80,8% of learners who enrolled in Grade 11 had enrolled in Grade 10 during the previous year. Grade 11 as a % of grade 10 Grade 12 as a % of grade 11
  • 7. Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE Education 80,1% 71,2% 82,2% 74,1% 85,1% 77,7% 86,4% 75,6% 86,7% 74,9% 69,2% 67,2% 68,9% 68,1% 77,2% 75,9% 77,4% 74,1% 75,7% 70,5% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% 100,0% Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Gr11 as a % of Gr10 Gr12 as a % of Gr 11 Grade 11 and 12 progressions 2013 - 2017 by gender Progression rates are higher among females as compared to males.
  • 8. Source: Own calculation based on data from DBE 92,8% 92,8% 92,6% 94,1% 93,2% 93,8% 86,6% 80,8% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Wrote as a % of population aged18 Wrote as a % of Gr12 Wrote as a % of population aged18 NSC candidates who wrote the exam as a percentage of the Grade 12 enrolled learners and the eligible population aged 18, 2010–2017 51,6% 48,1% 50,4% 56,4% 54,3% 66,7% 64,0% 56,8% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Wrote as a % of population aged 18 Wrote as a % of Gr12 Wrote as a % of population aged 18 Percentage of 18 year olds in SA 19,2% of Grade 12 learners did not write the NSC exam in 2017. Wrote as a percentage of grade 12
  • 9. Source: Department of Basic Education 70,7% 66,1% 75,7% 77,2% 67,4% 64,5% 72,4% 73,4% 55,0 60,0 65,0 70,0 75,0 80,0 2002 2007 2012 2017 Candidates who achieved the NSC examination by gender ,2002-2017 Females Males Achievement for male learners was four percentage point higher than the achievement rate for female learners in 2017.
  • 10. RSAAverageat67,2% Source: Department of Basic education 23,5% 24,3% 26,6% 30,6% 28,3% 25,8% 26,6% 28,7% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Percentage Bachelor Diploma Certificate In 2017, close to 29% of candidates who wrote the exam achieved a bachelor pass. Percentage of those who wrote exam by achievement type, 2010-2017
  • 11. Source: Department of Basic Education and Department of Higher Education and Training The increase in bachelor passes over time was not reflected in the growth in number of first time entrants. Number of first time students entering public higher education institutions at undergraduate degrees and diplomas programs, 2000–2016 129 976 158 389 158 891 107 274 171 755 162 374 0 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 First time entering Bachelor pass
  • 12. 45,5% 53,5% 52,6% 53,7% 48,9% 52,3% 47,2% 50,8% 17,3% 20,9% 14,9% 17,5% 22,7% 19,1% 22,5% 19,5% 14,2% 9,6% 11,6% 12,9% 12,2% 9,8% 11,8% 11,6% 23,1% 16,0% 20,9% 15,9% 16,2% 18,8% 18,6% 18,1% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0 Age 18 Age 19 Age 20 Age 21 Age 22 Age 23 Age 24 RSA Source: GHS 2017 No money for fees Completed or Satisfied with level of education Family commitment Poor academic performance Reasons for not attending educational institutions by individuals aged 18–24 by age, 2017 1,4 million individuals aged 18-24 reported that they did not attend any educational institutions because they had no money for fees.
  • 13. LP 38% MP 56% KZN 54% EC 33% FS 67% NW 53% NC 38% WC 42% GP 61% Source: GHS, 2017 South Africa 51% Individuals aged 18-24 who indicated no money for fees as a reason for not attending educational institution by province,2017 Youth aged 18–24 residing in Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, North West, Gauteng and Mpumalanga, cited lack of money for school fees as the principal reason for not attending any educational institution in 2017.
  • 14. White; 27,9% White; 53,2%Black African 52,9% Black African 15,2% 0,00 10,00 20,00 30,00 40,00 50,00 60,00 No money for fees Completed/Satisfied with level of education Poor academic performance Family commitment Reasons for not attending educational institutions by individuals aged 18–24 by population group, 2017 Coloured Indian Among black African youths, more than half (53%) did not study because they did not have money for fees. By contrast, only 28% of white youths reported not being able to attend educational institutions due to lack of funds. * For Indian population group, poor academic performance not shown due to sample size
  • 15. Of those 18-24 who completed and were satisfied with their education, rates differed most for post - school education by gender 6,7% 4,3% 82,3% 76,3% 10,3% 18,9% Male Female Post School Secondary Primary Source: GHS, 2017 Individuals aged 18–24 who were not attending educational institutions and were satisfied with their educational attainment by their highest level of education and gender, 2017
  • 16. RSA Average at 81,4% Source: DHET (HEMIS) 578134 799490 975837 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 The percentage of enrolled students in HEI increased by 38% between 2000 and 2008 and by 22% between 2008 and 2016. Number of individuals enrolled in public higher education institutions (HEI) from 2000 - 2016 38% 22%
  • 17. Source: DHET (HEMIS) The STEM fields of study represented 29,9% of all enrolment in 2016, amounting to a 2,6 percentage point increase from 2000. The total percentage enrolment in education also increased to 18,1% in 2016. Enrolment in public higher education by fields of study, 2000 and 2016 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 27,1% 34,7% 29,9% Education 24,4% 13,6% 18,1% 24,8% STEM Business, Economics & Management studies Other 2000 2016 27,3% Note: STEM refers to science, technology, engineering and maths
  • 18. Enrolment for honours degrees as the percentage of enrolment for such type of degrees was reduced for all population groups in 2016 compared to 2000. The percentage growth in higher degrees for all population groups was low. Enrolment by qualification categories for public HEIs, 2000 and 2016 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% Doctorate(NQF 10) Masters(NQF 9) Honours (NQF 8) Bachelor/NHD (NQF 7) National Diploma (NQF 6) 2000 2016 National Higher Certificate (NQF 6) National Certificate (NQF 5) 1,1% 2,1% 5,5% 5,7% 20,7%8,8% 37,1% 76,6% 25,3% 7,5% 2,7% 0,7% 6,1% Source: DHET (HEMIS)
  • 19. 358 393 705 397 297 491 273 431 46 882 168 911 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number Source: DHET Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET) Community Education and Training (CET) Private colleges Enrolment in TVET, CET and Private colleges, 2010–2016 TVET colleges accommodated 705 397 students whilst CET accepted 273 431 students in 2016; and private college 168 911
  • 20. Enrolment at Public HEI by qualification categories and gender 2000 and 2016 There were more females than male students enrolled for all qualifications for both years, except for masters where more males than females enrolled. 55,9% 60,7% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 44,1% 39,3% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Nat Cert (NQF5) F M 55,4% 51,8% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 44,6% 48,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Hons (NQF8) 68,8% 57,7% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 31,2% 42,3% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Nat Higher Cert (NQF6) Source: DHET (HEMIS) 53,1% 63,0% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 46,9% 37,0% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Bach(NQF7) 41,8% 44,6% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Mast (NQF9) 58,2% 55,4% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 38,1% 58,2% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 61,9% 41,8% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 2000 2016 Doct (NQF10) F M F M F M F M F M F=Female M=Male
  • 21. 1,4% 7,7% 30,4% 15,9% 5,1% 13,5% 23,5% 16,1%33,3% 28,3% 14,0% 15,5% 31,2% 33,3% 17,8% 15,4% 6,8% 5,4% 3,2% 34,7% 22,1% 11,8% 11,1% 2,4 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 120,0 SA student SADC student Other African student Foreign student National higher certificate (NQF Level 6) National certificate (NQF Level 5) Bachelor NQF7 Honours NQF8 Masters NQF9 Doctorate NQF10 Source: DHET (HEMIS) Percentage of enrolment at universities by degree type & nationality, 2016 African students other than SADC region would most likely study for higher qualifications such as masters and doctorate.
  • 22. 71,5% 80,3% 69,5% 70,0% 70,8% 68,3% 69,6% 72,3% 25,5% 6,7% 23,7% 6,0% 22,9% 6,6% 25,9% 8,3% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0 15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥ 15-34 35≥ 2013 2014 2015 2016 Other Occupational Qualifications NC(V) Report 191 Around 70% or more of youth aged 15–34 enrolled in TVET institutions enrolled in Report 191(N1-N6) qualifications. * NATED / Report 191 programmes are delivered under the auspices of the Department of Higher Education and Training and quality assured by Umalusi. The programmes consist of 18 months theoretical studies at colleges and 18 months relevant practical application in work places. Engineering studies range from N1 – N6 while Business and Utility Studies range from N4 – N6 * Other refers to all programmes offered by TVET colleges i.e. skills development programmes and short courses varying between a week and a year. * Occupational qualifications are those qualifications associated with a trade, occupation or profession resulting from work-based learning and consisting of knowledge, practical and work experience components National Certificate Vocational (N1-N6) Percentage distribution of TVET college enrolment by age and qualification category, 2013–2016
  • 23. Source:GHS,2017 56,2% 66,0% 65,3% 81,5% 35,3% 27,1% 10,2% 7,8% 8,6% 6,9% 24,5% 10,7% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 White Indian/Asian Black African Coloured School Post-school Not attending While 35,3% of white youth attended post-school institutions, 10,2% of black African youth attended post-school institutions. Individuals aged 18-24 attending educational institutions by population group
  • 24. Source:GHS,2017 23,6% 10,2% 20,7% 12,9% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% School Post School Male Female There are a larger number of males attending school, with a larger percentage of females attending post school 12,9% of female and 10,2% of male youth attended post-school institutions Individuals aged 18-24 attending educational institutions by gender
  • 25. Source:GHS,2017 28,6% 44,1% 57,3% 71,0% 78,7% 86,6% 89,1% 65,1% 43,9% 26,4% 13,9% 8,8% 3,9% 2,4% 6,4% 12,0% 16,3% 15,0% 12,6% 9,5% 8,4% 0 20 40 60 80 100 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Not attending School Post-school Individuals aged 18-24 attending educational institutions by age Attendance of school was highest among those aged 18 (65,1%) and 19 (43,9%). Attendance of post-school institutions was highest among those aged 20 and 21
  • 26. Source:GHS,2017 Individuals aged 18-24 attending educational institutions by provinces The highest youth post-school attendance was in GP followed by the WC 81,0% 70,5% 63,3% 52,1% 68,6% 61,5% 67,1%66,3% 79,1% 65,9% 15,4% 22,6% 29,4% 39,4% 22,5% 29,2%23,1%22,2% 9,0% 14,6% 3,6%6,9%7,3%8,5%8,9%9,4%9,8%11,6%11,9% 19,6% 0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 120,0 NCNWMPLPKZNECFSRSAWCGP Post School School Not attending
  • 27. Source:GHS,2017 Individuals aged 18-24 attending educational institutions by income quintiles 17,5% of youth in the highest income quintile were attending post-school educational institutions, compared to 10,6% in the lowest quintile. 62,6% 69,5% 65,3% 67,7% 65,1% 20,0% 21,8% 22,3% 22,3% 24,3% 17,5% 8,7% 12,3% 10,1% 10,6% 0,0% 20,0% 40,0% 60,0% 80,0% 100,0% Highest income quintile Quintile 4 Quintile 3 Quintile 2 Lowest income quintile Not attending School Post School
  • 28. 92 874 203 076 0 30 000 60 000 90 000 120 000 150 000 180 000 210 000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of public higher education graduates,2000-2016 The percentage growth in graduates from 2000 to 2016 was 118,7% Source: DHET (HEMIS) 118,7%
  • 29. 56,5% 61,2% 43,5% 38,8% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Females Males Source: DHET (HEMIS) Percentage of public higher education graduates by gender, 2000–2016 The highest percentage of graduates were females and their percentage was steadily rising since 2000.
  • 30. 19% 21% 29% 34% 36% 18% 43% 46% 17% 18% 47% 52% 3% 3% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 The time taken by students to complete a three-year degree improved when students from UNISA were removed from the analysis. Of the 2000 cohort, nearly half (47%) took six years (which is double the amount of time required) to complete their degree. National throughputs for three years degree with first year enrolment in 2000-2011 Correct amount of time to complete Twice the amount of time taken to complete degree Within 3 years Within 4 years Within 5 years Within 6 years Source: DHET Excluding UNISAIncluding UNISA
  • 31. 77,1% 83,0% 62,9% 59,8% 67,6% 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 There has been an improvement in undergraduate success rates for both modes of attendance. Among contact students, success rates have risen from 77,1% of students in 2009 to 83,0% in 2016. During the same period, success rates of distance education students had risen from 62,9% to 67,6% Public higher education undergraduate success rates by mode of attendance, 2009–2016 Contact Distance Source: DHET
  • 32. There is a 3,3 percentage point increase in graduates in the STEM fields from 2000 and 2016 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 30,0% 35,0% 40,0% 22,4% 2000 2016 Graduates from public higher education by fields of study, 2000 and 2016 Education STEM Business, Economics & Management studies Other 25,8% 29,1% 21,4% 27,8% 20,2% 20,7% 32,6% Source: DHET (HEMIS)
  • 33. Graduates from African countries excluding SADC and foreign graduates most likely achieve masters and doctorates degrees Source: DHET HEMIS 7,4% 7,4% 1,8% 2,4% 19,9% 8,6% 2,0% 7,8% 48,0% 42,6% 30,1% 24,8% 18,5% 21,8% 18,8% 17,5% 5,3 15,2 32,8 27,1 0,8% 4,4% 14,5% 20,4% South African SADC Other African Foreign Doctorate (NQF Level 10) Masters (NQF Level 9) Honours (NQF Level 8) Bachelor/NHD (NQF Level 7) National Higher Certificate (NQF Level 6) National certificate (NQF Level 5) Graduates from public higher education by fields of study and nationality
  • 34. 61,3% 33,2% 64,8% 47,0% 59,4% 42,8% 41,5% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: DHET(statistics on Post-School Education and Training in South Africa,2016 Completion rates fluctuated over the years, but 2012 and 2013 were the years with the lowest completion rates. Completion rates of TVET and private colleges graduates by type of qualification, 2011–2016 Report 191(N6) Report 190/1(N3) NC(V) Level 4 *Completion rates are calculated by the DHET as the number of students who successfully completed the relevant qualification, expressed as a percentage of the number of students who were eligible to complete the qualification and wrote the examination.
  • 35. Source: GHS,2017 Of those youth who had bachelor degrees, 46,9% were from the highest quintile. Of those who had postgraduate degrees, 35,9% were from the wealthiest quintile. Educational attainment among youth aged 20–24 years by household income quintiles 7,4% 10,1% 10,2% 2,7% 22,4% 29,5% 13,2% 21,8% 46,9% 35,9% 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 100,0 Bachelor degree/NQF7 Postgraduate degrees/NQF8-10 Lowest income quintile Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Highest income quintile Lowest income quintile Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Highest income quintile
  • 36. Source: GHS,2017 Doctoral degrees were mostly held by individuals residing in highest quintile households, with those in quintile 4 accounting for 3,7% and those in quintile 5 accounting for 6,1%. Educational attainment among individuals aged 20–50 years with NQF level 6-10 qualifications by household income quintiles, 2017 33,7% 36,8% 27,5% 21,4% 17,7% 30,6% 28,8% 32,2% 33,5% 31,7% 18,2% 17,7% 24,5% 29,0% 29,5% 15,5% 14,7% 14,9% 12,4% 15,0% 2,0% 2,0% 0,9% 3,7% 6,1% Lowest income quintile Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Highest income quintile Higher Diploma Bachelors Degree Honours degree Masters degree Doctoral degrees
  • 37. CONCLUSION v Low levels of progression of learners within the further education and training phase, result in a lower percentage of youth achieving the national senior certificate pass. v The general trend in participation in all institutions of post-school learning was upward with total enrolment in higher education institutions in 2016 amounting to 49,9% in TVET to 30,8% in CET colleges to 11,9% and private colleges to 7,4%. v Despite gains in higher education participation rates, gender disparity was still a challenge as well as participation equity concerns for students from low income backgrounds. v Female participation in 2016 at public higher educational institutions (universities) was 58% and 57% at TVET colleges.
  • 38. CONCLUSION v Among youth aged 18–24, who were not attending any educational institutions, the majority (51%) said that they did not have money to pay the fees. v In 2016,most students enrolled in undergraduate NQF level 7 programmes at public HEIs. v In 2016,most students were enrolled for qualifications in the fields of business, commerce and management sciences, education and engineering. v Most graduates achieved qualifications in the fields of business, commerce and management sciences and education.