Director of Global Attitudes Research Richard Wike presented findings addressing the question of “How has populism disrupted the left-right divide in Western Europe?” in July 2018 at public events in Berlin, Brussels, and Madrid. The presentation is based on an in-depth Pew Research Center survey in eight European nations and is available on the Center’s website.
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How has populism disrupted the left right divide in western europe
1. How has populism disrupted the
left-right divide in Western
Europe?
Richard Wike
Director, Global Attitudes Research
2. 2
Pew Research Center
• Established 1996
• Funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, foundations
• Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington
• Since 2002, we have surveyed in 109 countries
• www.pewresearch.org
3. 3
Methodology
• Survey conducted across 8 European countries from October 30 to
December 20, 2017
• 16,114 total respondents
• Based on telephone interviews with nationally representative samples of
adults 18 and older
• The margin of sampling error for the completed set of weighted data is
±2.6% - ±2.9%
7. 7
Distribution of Groups by Country
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
Adults who are populist and mainstream on the left, center and right
8. 8
Distribution of Groups by Country
Adults who are populist and mainstream on the left, center and right
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
10. 10
Very Different Economic Assessments in Western Europe
The current economic situation in our country is …
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
10%
11
13
14
56
64
71
82
35
87%
87
86
85
41
33
28
17
63
Sweden
Denmark
Netherlands
Germany
UK
France
Spain
Italy
MEDIAN
GoodBad
11. 11
Populist Groups Less Positive About the Economy
The current economic situation in our country is good
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
12. 12
Most Support Government Economic Assistance
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
22%
29
40
38
42
37
45
57
39
74%
63
58
55
54
53
49
35
55
Italy
Spain
Netherlands
France
Denmark
Sweden
UK
Germany
MEDIAN
Individual's responsibility Government’s responsibility
It is the individual’s responsibility to earn a decent standard of living OR it is the government’s responsibility
to ensure a decent standard of living for all?
13. 13
Ideological Divides on Government Providing Standard of Living
It is the government’s responsibility to ensure a decent standard of living for all
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
15. 15
Majorities in Just Three Countries Trust Parliament
Adults who __ parliament
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
28%
31
43
49
62
62
82
84
56
71%
68
55
50
36
33
16
16
43
Sweden
Netherlands
Germany
Denmark
UK
France
Italy
Spain
MEDIAN
TrustDistrust
16. 16
People with Populist Views Trust Parliament Less
Adults who trust parliament
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
17. 17
European Publics Split on Trustworthiness of Banks
Adults who __ banks and financial institutions
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
35%
37
44
46
46
60
71
82
46
65%
62
56
54
52
39
29
18
53
Netherlands
Sweden
Denmark
UK
Germany
France
Italy
Spain
MEDIAN
TrustDistrust
18. 18
Those With Populist Views Trust Banks Less
Adults who trust banks and financial institutions
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
19. 19
Distrust of News Media Common in Many Nations
Adults who __ the news media
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
32%
34
36
52
64
67
69
71
58
67%
64
64
47
35
32
31
29
41
Netherlands
Sweden
Germany
Denmark
France
UK
Spain
Italy
MEDIAN
TrustDistrust
20. 20
Mainstream Groups More Likely to Trust News Media
Adults who trust the news media
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
21. July 26, 2018 21
Most Say EU Membership Has Been Good for Their Economy
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
17%
19
24
26
22
31
35
48
25
76%
76
72
69
63
62
55
46
66
Germany
Denmark
Netherlands
Spain
Sweden
UK
France
Italy
MEDIAN
Good thingBad thing
EU membership has been a ___ for our country’s economy
22. July 26, 2018 22
Those with Populist Views Less Likely to Say EU Helps Economy
Membership in the EU has been a good thing for our country’s economy
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
24. 24
Do Immigrants Increase Terror Risk?
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
Immigrants __ the risk of terrorist attacks in our country
42%
46
52
49
54
55
61
58
53
51%
50
44
43
43
38
34
33
43
Germany
Italy
Netherlands
Sweden
Denmark
UK
Spain
France
MEDIAN
IncreaseDo not increase
25. 25
Right Populists Most Concerned about Immigration and Terrorism
Immigrants increase the risk of terrorist attacks in our country
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
27. 27
Relatively Low Ratings for Populist Parties
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
Favorable view of…
28. Relatively Low Ratings for Populist Parties
28
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
Favorable view of…
29. 29
Right Populist Parties Get Highest Ratings from Right Populists
Adults with favorable views of …
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
30. 30
Left Populists Most Favorable of Left Populist Parties
Adults with favorable views of …
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
31. 31
Populist Groups View Italy’s Five Star More Positively
Adults with favorable views of Five Star Movement
Source: Survey of eight Western European countries conducted Oct. 30-Dec. 20, 2017.
33. 33
Those Who Favor Populist Parties View Direct Democracy Positively
A democratic system where citizens, not elected officials, vote directly on major national issues to decide what
becomes law would be a good way of governing our country
Note: Only statistically significant differences shown.
Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
Among those with a/an …
34. 34
All Pew Research Center reports are available
online at www.pewresearch.org
Richard Wike
Director, Global Attitudes Research
@RichardWike