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Achieving Water Security in Asia and thePacific:
Asian Water Development Outlook 2020
14th Meeting of the OECD
Water Governance Initiative
Tom Panella, Chief of Water SectorGroup
Asian Development Bank
2 November 2020
Asian Water Development Outlook (AWDO)2020
AWDO 2020 Objectives
• Provide an overview and communication tool on water
security for Asia and the Pacific
• Inform and guide policy reforms and investments
• Show water security progress - 2013, 2016, 2020
ADB Water Sector Flagship Publication
AWDO 2020 Contents
1. Key Dimensions of Water Security (KD)
• KD1: Household Water Security (rural)
• KD 2: Economic Water Security
• KD 3: Urban Water Security
• KD 4: Environmental Water Security
• KD 5: Water-Related Disasters Security
2. Finance and Governance and Water Security
3. Policy in Action – ADWO 2020 Country Cases Studies:
India, PRC, Thailand and Timor-Leste
AWDO 2020 Partners
Launching November 2020
KD1
KD2
KD3KD4
KD5
ADB and WaterSecurity
2007 – ADB in cooperation with Asia Pacific Water Forum
embraced Water Security for AWDO
2013 – Developed the first methodology to quantify
National Water Security
2016 – Improved the methodology and tracked progress
New in AWDO 2020:
• Improved methodology
• KD1 focused rural households
• KD5 includes risk and resilience
• New databases (all public)
• Finance and Governance
• Sections by OECD
• Country Case Studies (Thailand,
Karnataka, PRC, Timor-Leste)
• Future Risk Framework (e.g.
climate change, health)
• Living AWDO Website
• Ongoing Knowledge and Policy in
Action
Launching November2020
Note: These are based on
preliminary results undergoing
final verification and may still
change in the published version.
Number of ADB members and
people in development stages
2013 – 2016 – 2020
• Positive trend – several ADB members
have improved from the Nascent and
Engaged Rating to the Capable and
Effective Rating
• PRC from Engaged to Capable (2013-16)
• India from Nascent to Engaged (2013-16)
• However, many people are still living
in Nascent and Engaged stages of
Water Security
4
26
14
5
3
19
6
21 2120
7
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1
Nascent Engaged Capable Effective Model
NWSI - # ADB members
-
4,00
0
3,50
0
3,00
0
2,50
0
2,00
0
1,50
0
1,00
0
NWSI 2013 NWSI 2016 NWSI 2020
NWSI - population (in million)
Nascent Engaged Capable Effective Model
NWSI 2013 NWSI 2016 NWSI 2020
KEY DIMENSION 1
RURAL HOUSEHOLD WATER SECURITY
KEY DIMENSION 1
• Access to Water Supply
• Access to Sanitation
• Health Impacts
• Affordability
RESULTS:
• KD1 now measures only rural household water supply and includes 4 sub indicators
− although only a relatively small volume of water, KD1 has huge social and health impacts
• KD1 is closely linked with the “for all” principle of the SDGs
• The Maldives has made the greatest improvement since 2013 because of their increased access
• While their scores have remained low, India, Nepal and Cambodia have all shown strong
improvements in their access to sanitation and Lao PDR has shown the most improvement in
water supply
• Most of the countries that have regressed in KD1 were in the Pacific
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• A holistic systems strengthening approach is needed and focusing on a single element will not
achieve SDG 6
• For example, many countries have comprehensive WASH policies but have severely inadequate
resources (both capital and human resources) to implement them.
• Systems strengthening should specifically include:
− Better engagement and empowering of socially vulnerable groups
− Addressing the severe shortage of human resources and capacity
− Locally appropriate solutions are needed, particularly in the Pacific
KEY DIMENSION 2
ECONOMIC WATER SECURITY
KEY DIMENSION 2
• Broad Economy
• Agriculture
• Energy
• Industry
RESULTS:
• Economic water security is a measure of the assurance of adequate water to sustainably satisfy a
country’s economic growth and accommodate economic losses due to water-induced disasters.
• Changes to economic water security take years of planning and policy prioritization to achieve.
- East Asia has showed the greatest advancement thanks to decades of policy and investment
prioritization on food and water security.
- Some members in Central Asia also benefit from investments in infrastructure that help
mitigate lower natural water availability.
• Most regions have been relatively stable or shown minor improvements since 2013.
• Despite limited progress, increasing stress on water resources is shown with declining scores for
countries in each region since 2016, and the greatest challenges in the Pacific Islands.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Enhance water resources monitoring, measurement and data availability.
• Improve water productivity by ensuring that adequate water is available when and where it is
needed.
• Apply Integrated Water Resources Management and ensure adequate storage and distribution
systems that can both help mitigate and adapt to climate changes and sectoral reallocation.
KEY DIMENSION 3
URBAN WATER SECURITY
KEY DIMENSION 3
• Access to Water Supply
• Access to Sanitation
• Affordability
• Drainage/floods
• Environment
RESULTS:
• KD3 primarily measures safely managed and affordable water and sanitation services in urban
and informal settlements to sustainably achieve desired, (and ideally agreed), outcomes
• 5 countries Nascent – 4 in the Pacific (Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Papua New Guinea)
and 1 in South East Asia (Timor-Leste), in total 1. 7 million people in urban areas
• Despite major investments, level of urban water security has remained about the same in the
period 2013 till 2020 due to urbanization. In total 600 million urban people still do not have
adequate access to water supply and sanitation services.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Increased attention on Pacific and South Asia including affordable water supplies.
• View wastewater, stormwater and rainwater as a resource
• More integrated solutions and leapfrogging opportunities
• Improved attention to future risks and management of issues including urban growth, non-
revenue water, water consumption (and efficiency), energy use costs, climate change
• Improved management of data and information, including systematic updating and improve
monitoring and evaluation
• Future AWDO editions could benefit from more precise urban definitions, clarity on informal
settlement inclusion and quantification of “future security” risks
KEY DIMENSION 4
ENVIRONMENTAL WATER SECURITY
KEY DIMENSION 4
• Catchment and Aquatic System Health
• Environmental Governance
RESULTS:
• Majority of countries show only moderate changes in KD4 from 2016 – 2020
− most of these changes were declines
− these countries represented all regions
• The performance of eight countries improved mainly due to a higher score for the
Environmental Governance sub-index
- these countries also represented all regions
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• The health of aquatic ecosystems is under considerable pressure
• It has been difficult to compare countries because of lack of data; remote sensing products
under development will continue to improve monitoring
• There is a risk in traditional/grey infrastructure without environmental protocols that may
boost one dimension of water security while impacting another; healthy ecosystems are not
just something for rich countries
• The twin pressures of short-term human alterations and longer-term impacts of climate
change will affect how ecosystems function throughout the region
KEY DIMENSION 5
WATER RELATED DISASTER SECURITY
KEY DIMENSION 5
• Climatological risk / drought
• Hydrological risk / flooding
• Meteorological risk / storms
RESULTS:
• Water-related Disaster Security is a national-level assessment of risk to water-related
disasters—comprising Climatological (drought), Hydrological (flood), and Meteorological
(storm) risks—based on assessments of the scale of the hazard, the exposure, the
vulnerability, and the capacity of the nation.
• Capacity across Asia-Pacific has increased slightly while Vulnerability has decreased slightly
from the first reporting of KD5 in 2013—both are signs of progress
• The East Asia region has shown the most progress in reducing Risk recently while the Pacific is
the most challenged by Water-Related Disaster in recent years
• Drought is the most prominent Risk out of the three Hazard categories across Asia-Pacific
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Enhance international efforts for standardized data collection of disaster impacts, in particular,
gathering gender-disaggregated data
• Promote a gender-responsive approach to disaster risk reduction and climate change
adaptation
• Adhere to international agreements like the Hyogo and Sendai frameworks and promote
cooperation in reducing the risks of water-related disaster
GOVERNANCE AND WATER SECURITY
Source:
ww.oecd.org/governance/oecd-principles-on-water-governance.htm
RESULTS:
• Most countries have an overarching water policy framework and coordination
mechanisms in place
• Limited implementation of water-related policies due to capacity constraints
and funding gaps
• Insufficient data and monitoring constrains water policies evaluation
• Limited uptake of water policy instruments to manage trade-offs
• Limited use of economic instrument to manage water resources
• Limited scope and effectiveness of regulatory frameworks: water services focus
• Limited uptake of integrity practices and tools
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Strengthen the implementation and monitoring of water-related disaster
• Adopt water policy instruments to manage trade-offs
• Adopt water economic instruments to manage water resources and generate
associated sustainable funding
• Address capacity and data gaps
• Develop further stakeholder engagement in water decision making
• Mainstream integrity and transparency practices across water policies,
institutions and governance frameworks
FINANCE AND WATER SECURITY
PROJECTED INVESTMENT NEEDS:
• Water supply and sanitation
− Most countries will need to allocate between 1 and 2% of GDP to invest in water
supply and sanitation infrastructure over the period 2015-2030
− Outliers: Afghanistan, Nepal, Pakistan, Timor Leste
• Flood risk exposure
− Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan and Viet Nam may all
have flood risks exceeding 6% of GDP in 2030
• Irrigation expansion and efficiency improvements. Driven by:
− Growing populations
− Changes in dietary preferences
− The effects of climate change
SOURCES OF FUNDING:
• Public taxes are the main source of finance for water-related infrastructure
• Official Development Assistance remains a low share of investment in water infrastructure
and may not be targeting those countries who need it most
• Water supply and sanitation tariffs are under-utilized, although affordability acts as a
barrier in selected countries
POLICY OPTIONS:
• Make the best use of available assets and financial resources
− Enhance the operational efficiency of service providers
− Build capacity for economic regulation
− Encourage connections with central systems when these are available
− Strengthen capacity and monitoring
• Minimize future investment needs
− Develop climate-resilient plans to future-proof the water sector
− Support plans with realistic financing strategies
− Encourage policy coherence across water policies and other policy domains
− Manage water demand and strengthen water resources allocation practices
− Develop cost-effective flood risk mitigation strategies
− Exploit innovation in line with adaptive capacities.
• Harness additional sources of finance
− Ensure tariffs for water services reflect the costs of service provision
− Consider new sources of finance from users and beneficiaries
− Leverage funds to crowd-in commercial finance
It is not all about
more money.
FINANCE AND WATER SECURITY
CASE STUDY: KARNATAKA, INDIA
Ecosystems
Wastewater
Treatment and
Reuse Water
Productivity
Water Use
Water
Governance
Water
Conservation
AWDO
KD: 1
CWMI:
1,2,3,4
Water
Resources
Availability
Climate
Change
Adaptation
WATER
SECURITY
AWDO KD: 1,2,3
CWMI: -
AWDO
KD: -
CWMI: 9
AWDO KD: 1,3
CWMI: 7,8
AWDO KD: 2
CWMI: 5,6
CWMI: 8
AWDO KD: 4 Protection of
• Karnataka started streamlining data collection CWMI: -
and setting up a database (KWRIS) for easy
compilation of water security index
• Will explore to compute at river sub-basinlevel
and district (sub-provincial) level and adapt the AWDO KD: 4
AWDO KD: 5
CWMI: -
• India's NITI Ayog developed a Composite Water
Management Index (CWMI)
• ACIWRM applied AWDO methodology for
Karnataka state (province) and mappedCWMI
indicators against AWDO indicators
• Index was very handy to shape the newState
Water Policy - articulating several aspects of
water sub-sectors with priority
index further for local realities
• AWDO exercise was a good tool/opportunity to
galvanize all departments/agencies for IWRM
• A separate detailed report is publishedas
Karnataka Water Development Outlook
(KWDO)
Thank You
tpanella@adb.org

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Achieving Water Security in Asia and the Pacific: Asian Water Development Outlook 2020, Asian Development Bank

  • 1. Achieving Water Security in Asia and thePacific: Asian Water Development Outlook 2020 14th Meeting of the OECD Water Governance Initiative Tom Panella, Chief of Water SectorGroup Asian Development Bank 2 November 2020
  • 2. Asian Water Development Outlook (AWDO)2020 AWDO 2020 Objectives • Provide an overview and communication tool on water security for Asia and the Pacific • Inform and guide policy reforms and investments • Show water security progress - 2013, 2016, 2020 ADB Water Sector Flagship Publication AWDO 2020 Contents 1. Key Dimensions of Water Security (KD) • KD1: Household Water Security (rural) • KD 2: Economic Water Security • KD 3: Urban Water Security • KD 4: Environmental Water Security • KD 5: Water-Related Disasters Security 2. Finance and Governance and Water Security 3. Policy in Action – ADWO 2020 Country Cases Studies: India, PRC, Thailand and Timor-Leste AWDO 2020 Partners Launching November 2020 KD1 KD2 KD3KD4 KD5
  • 3. ADB and WaterSecurity 2007 – ADB in cooperation with Asia Pacific Water Forum embraced Water Security for AWDO 2013 – Developed the first methodology to quantify National Water Security 2016 – Improved the methodology and tracked progress New in AWDO 2020: • Improved methodology • KD1 focused rural households • KD5 includes risk and resilience • New databases (all public) • Finance and Governance • Sections by OECD • Country Case Studies (Thailand, Karnataka, PRC, Timor-Leste) • Future Risk Framework (e.g. climate change, health) • Living AWDO Website • Ongoing Knowledge and Policy in Action Launching November2020
  • 4. Note: These are based on preliminary results undergoing final verification and may still change in the published version.
  • 5. Number of ADB members and people in development stages 2013 – 2016 – 2020 • Positive trend – several ADB members have improved from the Nascent and Engaged Rating to the Capable and Effective Rating • PRC from Engaged to Capable (2013-16) • India from Nascent to Engaged (2013-16) • However, many people are still living in Nascent and Engaged stages of Water Security 4 26 14 5 3 19 6 21 2120 7 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 Nascent Engaged Capable Effective Model NWSI - # ADB members - 4,00 0 3,50 0 3,00 0 2,50 0 2,00 0 1,50 0 1,00 0 NWSI 2013 NWSI 2016 NWSI 2020 NWSI - population (in million) Nascent Engaged Capable Effective Model NWSI 2013 NWSI 2016 NWSI 2020
  • 6.
  • 7. KEY DIMENSION 1 RURAL HOUSEHOLD WATER SECURITY KEY DIMENSION 1 • Access to Water Supply • Access to Sanitation • Health Impacts • Affordability RESULTS: • KD1 now measures only rural household water supply and includes 4 sub indicators − although only a relatively small volume of water, KD1 has huge social and health impacts • KD1 is closely linked with the “for all” principle of the SDGs • The Maldives has made the greatest improvement since 2013 because of their increased access • While their scores have remained low, India, Nepal and Cambodia have all shown strong improvements in their access to sanitation and Lao PDR has shown the most improvement in water supply • Most of the countries that have regressed in KD1 were in the Pacific RECOMMENDATIONS: • A holistic systems strengthening approach is needed and focusing on a single element will not achieve SDG 6 • For example, many countries have comprehensive WASH policies but have severely inadequate resources (both capital and human resources) to implement them. • Systems strengthening should specifically include: − Better engagement and empowering of socially vulnerable groups − Addressing the severe shortage of human resources and capacity − Locally appropriate solutions are needed, particularly in the Pacific
  • 8. KEY DIMENSION 2 ECONOMIC WATER SECURITY KEY DIMENSION 2 • Broad Economy • Agriculture • Energy • Industry RESULTS: • Economic water security is a measure of the assurance of adequate water to sustainably satisfy a country’s economic growth and accommodate economic losses due to water-induced disasters. • Changes to economic water security take years of planning and policy prioritization to achieve. - East Asia has showed the greatest advancement thanks to decades of policy and investment prioritization on food and water security. - Some members in Central Asia also benefit from investments in infrastructure that help mitigate lower natural water availability. • Most regions have been relatively stable or shown minor improvements since 2013. • Despite limited progress, increasing stress on water resources is shown with declining scores for countries in each region since 2016, and the greatest challenges in the Pacific Islands. RECOMMENDATIONS: • Enhance water resources monitoring, measurement and data availability. • Improve water productivity by ensuring that adequate water is available when and where it is needed. • Apply Integrated Water Resources Management and ensure adequate storage and distribution systems that can both help mitigate and adapt to climate changes and sectoral reallocation.
  • 9. KEY DIMENSION 3 URBAN WATER SECURITY KEY DIMENSION 3 • Access to Water Supply • Access to Sanitation • Affordability • Drainage/floods • Environment RESULTS: • KD3 primarily measures safely managed and affordable water and sanitation services in urban and informal settlements to sustainably achieve desired, (and ideally agreed), outcomes • 5 countries Nascent – 4 in the Pacific (Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Papua New Guinea) and 1 in South East Asia (Timor-Leste), in total 1. 7 million people in urban areas • Despite major investments, level of urban water security has remained about the same in the period 2013 till 2020 due to urbanization. In total 600 million urban people still do not have adequate access to water supply and sanitation services. RECOMMENDATIONS: • Increased attention on Pacific and South Asia including affordable water supplies. • View wastewater, stormwater and rainwater as a resource • More integrated solutions and leapfrogging opportunities • Improved attention to future risks and management of issues including urban growth, non- revenue water, water consumption (and efficiency), energy use costs, climate change • Improved management of data and information, including systematic updating and improve monitoring and evaluation • Future AWDO editions could benefit from more precise urban definitions, clarity on informal settlement inclusion and quantification of “future security” risks
  • 10. KEY DIMENSION 4 ENVIRONMENTAL WATER SECURITY KEY DIMENSION 4 • Catchment and Aquatic System Health • Environmental Governance RESULTS: • Majority of countries show only moderate changes in KD4 from 2016 – 2020 − most of these changes were declines − these countries represented all regions • The performance of eight countries improved mainly due to a higher score for the Environmental Governance sub-index - these countries also represented all regions RECOMMENDATIONS: • The health of aquatic ecosystems is under considerable pressure • It has been difficult to compare countries because of lack of data; remote sensing products under development will continue to improve monitoring • There is a risk in traditional/grey infrastructure without environmental protocols that may boost one dimension of water security while impacting another; healthy ecosystems are not just something for rich countries • The twin pressures of short-term human alterations and longer-term impacts of climate change will affect how ecosystems function throughout the region
  • 11. KEY DIMENSION 5 WATER RELATED DISASTER SECURITY KEY DIMENSION 5 • Climatological risk / drought • Hydrological risk / flooding • Meteorological risk / storms RESULTS: • Water-related Disaster Security is a national-level assessment of risk to water-related disasters—comprising Climatological (drought), Hydrological (flood), and Meteorological (storm) risks—based on assessments of the scale of the hazard, the exposure, the vulnerability, and the capacity of the nation. • Capacity across Asia-Pacific has increased slightly while Vulnerability has decreased slightly from the first reporting of KD5 in 2013—both are signs of progress • The East Asia region has shown the most progress in reducing Risk recently while the Pacific is the most challenged by Water-Related Disaster in recent years • Drought is the most prominent Risk out of the three Hazard categories across Asia-Pacific RECOMMENDATIONS: • Enhance international efforts for standardized data collection of disaster impacts, in particular, gathering gender-disaggregated data • Promote a gender-responsive approach to disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation • Adhere to international agreements like the Hyogo and Sendai frameworks and promote cooperation in reducing the risks of water-related disaster
  • 12. GOVERNANCE AND WATER SECURITY Source: ww.oecd.org/governance/oecd-principles-on-water-governance.htm RESULTS: • Most countries have an overarching water policy framework and coordination mechanisms in place • Limited implementation of water-related policies due to capacity constraints and funding gaps • Insufficient data and monitoring constrains water policies evaluation • Limited uptake of water policy instruments to manage trade-offs • Limited use of economic instrument to manage water resources • Limited scope and effectiveness of regulatory frameworks: water services focus • Limited uptake of integrity practices and tools RECOMMENDATIONS: • Strengthen the implementation and monitoring of water-related disaster • Adopt water policy instruments to manage trade-offs • Adopt water economic instruments to manage water resources and generate associated sustainable funding • Address capacity and data gaps • Develop further stakeholder engagement in water decision making • Mainstream integrity and transparency practices across water policies, institutions and governance frameworks
  • 13. FINANCE AND WATER SECURITY PROJECTED INVESTMENT NEEDS: • Water supply and sanitation − Most countries will need to allocate between 1 and 2% of GDP to invest in water supply and sanitation infrastructure over the period 2015-2030 − Outliers: Afghanistan, Nepal, Pakistan, Timor Leste • Flood risk exposure − Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan and Viet Nam may all have flood risks exceeding 6% of GDP in 2030 • Irrigation expansion and efficiency improvements. Driven by: − Growing populations − Changes in dietary preferences − The effects of climate change SOURCES OF FUNDING: • Public taxes are the main source of finance for water-related infrastructure • Official Development Assistance remains a low share of investment in water infrastructure and may not be targeting those countries who need it most • Water supply and sanitation tariffs are under-utilized, although affordability acts as a barrier in selected countries
  • 14. POLICY OPTIONS: • Make the best use of available assets and financial resources − Enhance the operational efficiency of service providers − Build capacity for economic regulation − Encourage connections with central systems when these are available − Strengthen capacity and monitoring • Minimize future investment needs − Develop climate-resilient plans to future-proof the water sector − Support plans with realistic financing strategies − Encourage policy coherence across water policies and other policy domains − Manage water demand and strengthen water resources allocation practices − Develop cost-effective flood risk mitigation strategies − Exploit innovation in line with adaptive capacities. • Harness additional sources of finance − Ensure tariffs for water services reflect the costs of service provision − Consider new sources of finance from users and beneficiaries − Leverage funds to crowd-in commercial finance It is not all about more money. FINANCE AND WATER SECURITY
  • 15. CASE STUDY: KARNATAKA, INDIA Ecosystems Wastewater Treatment and Reuse Water Productivity Water Use Water Governance Water Conservation AWDO KD: 1 CWMI: 1,2,3,4 Water Resources Availability Climate Change Adaptation WATER SECURITY AWDO KD: 1,2,3 CWMI: - AWDO KD: - CWMI: 9 AWDO KD: 1,3 CWMI: 7,8 AWDO KD: 2 CWMI: 5,6 CWMI: 8 AWDO KD: 4 Protection of • Karnataka started streamlining data collection CWMI: - and setting up a database (KWRIS) for easy compilation of water security index • Will explore to compute at river sub-basinlevel and district (sub-provincial) level and adapt the AWDO KD: 4 AWDO KD: 5 CWMI: - • India's NITI Ayog developed a Composite Water Management Index (CWMI) • ACIWRM applied AWDO methodology for Karnataka state (province) and mappedCWMI indicators against AWDO indicators • Index was very handy to shape the newState Water Policy - articulating several aspects of water sub-sectors with priority index further for local realities • AWDO exercise was a good tool/opportunity to galvanize all departments/agencies for IWRM • A separate detailed report is publishedas Karnataka Water Development Outlook (KWDO)