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Rise of the Auto Industry in India
The Automotive Industry of India is one of the larger markets in
the world and fast growing
India's passenger car and commercial vehicle manufacturing
industry is the 6th largest* in the world behind major
manufacturers such as Japan, Germany, US and the likes
Annual Production of 4.14 million units in 2012. An increase of
5.5% from 2011*
 Key Pillar of Economy and major contributor to India’s GDP - 7%
This dynamic industry currently employs about 19 million*
people both directly and indirectly
*Source:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automotive_industry
www.oica.net/category/production-statistics/2012-statistics/
www.siamindia.com/Event/view-eventhead.aspx?id=286
77.32%
15.07%
4.66% 2.95%
Market Share FY 12-13
Two Wheelers
Passenger Vehicles
Commercial Vehicles
Three Wheelers
The automobile industry can be classified
into:
a) Passenger vehicles
b) Commercial vehicles
c) Three wheelers
d) Two wheelers
Source: http://www.siamindia.com/scripts/market-share.aspx
Commercial
Vehicles
By End Usage
Goods Carrier Passenger Carrier
By Gross Vehicular
Weight (GVW)
Light Commercial
Vehicle (LCV)
Medium & Heavy
Commercial
Vehicles
(M&HCVs)
• The goods carrier market presently dominates the CV sector, with an approx. share
of 88% of the market volumes*
*www.indiacommercialvehiclesummit.com
Growth of the Indian Automobile Industry
Factors:
De-licensing of the auto sector in
1991
Opening of 100% FDI
Increase in purchasing power over
the years and growth of the Indian
middle class with high disposable
incomes
Banks (Public & Private)
• HDFC
• CitiBank
• SBI
• ICICI
Non Banking Financial
Institutions
• Au Financiers
• Mahindra Finance
• Shriram Transport Finance Company
• Magma FinCorp
…
Growth in New Vehicle Finance Disbursements
(Rs. Billion) FY10E FY11E FY12P FY13P FY17P CAGR FY12-FY17P
Cars 349 476 456 506 1,165 19-21%
Utility Vehicles 108 155 172 217 409 18-20%
Commercial
Vehicles
272 402 478 457 1,150 18-20%
Two- Wheelers 60 77 93 108 199 15-17%
Total 789 1,110 1,119 1,288 2,923 19-21%
By the fiscal year 2017, penetration levels are expected to increase to:
 74% for cars from 68%
 66% for utility vehicles from 62%
as a result of a moderation in interest rates and alleviation of credit risk
Loan-to-value (LTVs) expected to increase marginally to 75% for cars and 71% for UVs
from 74% and 70% respectively over the next 5 years
Source: CRISIL Research, Retail Finance - Auto, December 2012
(CAGR %) FY 12 FY 13E FY 14P FY 13-18P
Small Cars (1.5) (9)-(7) 8-10 11-13
Sedan Cars 19.1 5-7 8-10 12-14
Total Cars 2.4 (4)-(6) 8-10 12-14
UVs 17.9 32-35 18-20 --
Vans 9 4-6 9-11 --
UVs + Vans 14.3 22-24 15-17 13-15
Total PVs 4.9 1-3 9-11 12-14
Source: *CRISIL Research, Car & UV Opinion - March 2013
• Strong prospects in the long-term. Growth to be driven by
increase in income of households and higher passenger
vehicle penetration
• Addressable market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% to
reach 139 Million households in 2017-18 from 67 Million in
2012-13
• UV sales expected to grow at 15-17%. Moderation in growth
due to expected diesel price hikes
• Small Cars segment is expected to grow marginally lower than
sedan with sedan sales growing at 12-14% as a result of high
petrol prices
• With only 11 cars per 1000 people, India’s potential is greater
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
India China Thailan
d
Brazil Mexico Russia S. Korea US Japan UK Italy
PV/1000 People 11 26 70 125 184 251 280 380 461 499 602
Global Trends
*Data is for CY2011
Domestic Sales
(Volume in ‘000)
9MFY14 9MFY13 Y-o-Y
Passenger Vehicles (PVs)
Passenger Cars/Vans 1,293 1,361 5%
UVs 533 578 8%
Commercial Vehicles (CVs)
M & HCVs 145 198 27%
LCVs 326 378 14%
Three Wheelers 365 402 9%
*Source - Crisil
Increase in affordability
Growth in Addressable Market
Entry of New Players and New Model Launches
Increase in dealerships and access to Finance
Reduction in holding period, which increases the demand for
second vehicles
Growth in Economic Activity
Infrastructure development, structural changes and
government initiatives
Entry of Private Sector banks & Financial Institutions due to
Liberalization of Economy
Higher Disposable Income due to Economic Growth, especially for
young professionals in the IT sector
Availability of credit data, empowering banks and financial institutes
to offer high loan to value and affordable EMIs
Widespread of Automobile Finance companies to remote locations as
manufacturers setup shop across the nation
Emergence of direct selling, collection and recovery agents which
support banks and institutes during the lending cycle
Securitization of automobile loans after the 2008 financial crisis
For More info visit http://www.mahindrafinance.com/analyst-presentations.aspx

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Growth of the Indian Automobile Industry

  • 1. Rise of the Auto Industry in India
  • 2. The Automotive Industry of India is one of the larger markets in the world and fast growing India's passenger car and commercial vehicle manufacturing industry is the 6th largest* in the world behind major manufacturers such as Japan, Germany, US and the likes Annual Production of 4.14 million units in 2012. An increase of 5.5% from 2011*  Key Pillar of Economy and major contributor to India’s GDP - 7% This dynamic industry currently employs about 19 million* people both directly and indirectly *Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automotive_industry www.oica.net/category/production-statistics/2012-statistics/ www.siamindia.com/Event/view-eventhead.aspx?id=286
  • 3. 77.32% 15.07% 4.66% 2.95% Market Share FY 12-13 Two Wheelers Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers The automobile industry can be classified into: a) Passenger vehicles b) Commercial vehicles c) Three wheelers d) Two wheelers Source: http://www.siamindia.com/scripts/market-share.aspx
  • 4. Commercial Vehicles By End Usage Goods Carrier Passenger Carrier By Gross Vehicular Weight (GVW) Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles (M&HCVs) • The goods carrier market presently dominates the CV sector, with an approx. share of 88% of the market volumes* *www.indiacommercialvehiclesummit.com
  • 6. Factors: De-licensing of the auto sector in 1991 Opening of 100% FDI Increase in purchasing power over the years and growth of the Indian middle class with high disposable incomes Banks (Public & Private) • HDFC • CitiBank • SBI • ICICI Non Banking Financial Institutions • Au Financiers • Mahindra Finance • Shriram Transport Finance Company • Magma FinCorp
  • 7.
  • 8. Growth in New Vehicle Finance Disbursements (Rs. Billion) FY10E FY11E FY12P FY13P FY17P CAGR FY12-FY17P Cars 349 476 456 506 1,165 19-21% Utility Vehicles 108 155 172 217 409 18-20% Commercial Vehicles 272 402 478 457 1,150 18-20% Two- Wheelers 60 77 93 108 199 15-17% Total 789 1,110 1,119 1,288 2,923 19-21% By the fiscal year 2017, penetration levels are expected to increase to:  74% for cars from 68%  66% for utility vehicles from 62% as a result of a moderation in interest rates and alleviation of credit risk Loan-to-value (LTVs) expected to increase marginally to 75% for cars and 71% for UVs from 74% and 70% respectively over the next 5 years Source: CRISIL Research, Retail Finance - Auto, December 2012
  • 9. (CAGR %) FY 12 FY 13E FY 14P FY 13-18P Small Cars (1.5) (9)-(7) 8-10 11-13 Sedan Cars 19.1 5-7 8-10 12-14 Total Cars 2.4 (4)-(6) 8-10 12-14 UVs 17.9 32-35 18-20 -- Vans 9 4-6 9-11 -- UVs + Vans 14.3 22-24 15-17 13-15 Total PVs 4.9 1-3 9-11 12-14 Source: *CRISIL Research, Car & UV Opinion - March 2013
  • 10. • Strong prospects in the long-term. Growth to be driven by increase in income of households and higher passenger vehicle penetration • Addressable market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% to reach 139 Million households in 2017-18 from 67 Million in 2012-13 • UV sales expected to grow at 15-17%. Moderation in growth due to expected diesel price hikes • Small Cars segment is expected to grow marginally lower than sedan with sedan sales growing at 12-14% as a result of high petrol prices • With only 11 cars per 1000 people, India’s potential is greater
  • 11. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 India China Thailan d Brazil Mexico Russia S. Korea US Japan UK Italy PV/1000 People 11 26 70 125 184 251 280 380 461 499 602 Global Trends *Data is for CY2011
  • 12. Domestic Sales (Volume in ‘000) 9MFY14 9MFY13 Y-o-Y Passenger Vehicles (PVs) Passenger Cars/Vans 1,293 1,361 5% UVs 533 578 8% Commercial Vehicles (CVs) M & HCVs 145 198 27% LCVs 326 378 14% Three Wheelers 365 402 9% *Source - Crisil
  • 13. Increase in affordability Growth in Addressable Market Entry of New Players and New Model Launches Increase in dealerships and access to Finance Reduction in holding period, which increases the demand for second vehicles Growth in Economic Activity Infrastructure development, structural changes and government initiatives
  • 14. Entry of Private Sector banks & Financial Institutions due to Liberalization of Economy Higher Disposable Income due to Economic Growth, especially for young professionals in the IT sector Availability of credit data, empowering banks and financial institutes to offer high loan to value and affordable EMIs Widespread of Automobile Finance companies to remote locations as manufacturers setup shop across the nation Emergence of direct selling, collection and recovery agents which support banks and institutes during the lending cycle Securitization of automobile loans after the 2008 financial crisis
  • 15. For More info visit http://www.mahindrafinance.com/analyst-presentations.aspx