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Jan Dawson
Chief Analyst
(408) 744-6244
jan@jackdawresearch.com
@jandawson
SQUARE Q2 2016
A FREE DECK FROM THE JACKDAW RESEARCH
QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
2
• This deck is a free sample of the Jackdaw Research Quarterly
Company Decks subscription service
• The paid service includes about a dozen similar decks produced
each quarter on major consumer tech companies
• The intention is to highlight trends and patterns which are not
always obvious when merely looking at a spreadsheet
• Accompanying analysis can often be found on our blog at
www.beyonddevic.es
• For more information, please visit:

https://jackdawresearch.com/quarterly-company-decks/
INTRODUCTION
JACKDAW RESEARCH QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
3
• I’ve previously written several pieces about Square, which
should serve as useful context for the charts in this deck:
• Square’s Potential and Its Challenges – Techpinions,
October 2015, based on Square’s S-1 IPO filing
• Quick Thoughts on Square’s Q3 2015 Numbers – Beyond
Devices, October 2015, based on Square’s amended S-1
filing and its Q3 2015 numbers
• Solid Progress at Square – Beyond Devices, March 2016,
based on Q4 2015 results
INTRODUCTION
SQUARE, INC
4 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
REVENUE
BY SEGMENT, $000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Transaction revenue
Starbucks transaction revenue
Software and data product revenue
Hardware revenue
5 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
REVENUE
AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
75%
90%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Transaction revenue Starbucks transaction revenue
Software and data product revenue Hardware revenue
6 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
SOFTWARE AND DATA REVENUE
AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE
0%
1%
2%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
7 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
COST OF REVENUE
BY SEGMENT, $000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Transaction costs Starbucks transaction costs
Software and data product costs Hardware costs
Amortization of acquired technology
8 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARGINS
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Gross margin Adjusted EBITDA margin
Operating margin Net margin
9 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
PROFIT MEASURES
$000
-120,000
-80,000
-40,000
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Gross profit
Operating loss
Net loss
Adjusted EBITDA
10 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
GROSS MARGINS
BY PRODUCT
-300%
-200%
-100%
0%
100%
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Transactions Starbucks transactions Software and data products Hardware
11 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
GROSS MARGINS
FOR STARBUCKS AND NON-STARBUCKS TRANSACTIONS
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Starbucks transactions Non-Starbucks transactions
12 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
TRANSACTION ECONOMICS
SQUARE TRANSACTION REVENUE AND PROFIT AS % OF GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME
0%
1%
2%
3%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Transaction revenue / GPV Transaction profit / GPV
13 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
GROSS PROFIT
$000, FOR THREE SMALLER SEGMENTS
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Starbucks transactions
Software and data products
Hardware
14 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME
$ MILLIONS
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
15 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME
BY SELLER SIZE (PARTIAL DATA SET), EXCLUDING STARBUCKS
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
<125k annualized GPV 125k-500k >500k
16 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
STARBUCKS TRANSACTIONS
AS % OF TOTAL TRANSACTION REVENUE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
17 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
ADJUSTED REVENUE
$000
“Adjusted revenue” is net revenue minus transaction
costs and elimination of Starbucks financials
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
175,000
200,000
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
18 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis
OPERATING EXPENSES
COMPONENTS AS % OF TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
Product development
Sales & marketing
General & administrative
Transaction and advance losses
Amortization of acquired customer assets
Impairment of intangible assets
Jan Dawson
Chief Analyst
(408) 744-6244
jan@jackdawresearch.com
@jandawson
FOR ANY QUESTIONS,
PLEASE CONTACT:

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Square Q2 2016 Financial and Operating Metrics

  • 1. Jan Dawson Chief Analyst (408) 744-6244 jan@jackdawresearch.com @jandawson SQUARE Q2 2016 A FREE DECK FROM THE JACKDAW RESEARCH QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
  • 2. 2 • This deck is a free sample of the Jackdaw Research Quarterly Company Decks subscription service • The paid service includes about a dozen similar decks produced each quarter on major consumer tech companies • The intention is to highlight trends and patterns which are not always obvious when merely looking at a spreadsheet • Accompanying analysis can often be found on our blog at www.beyonddevic.es • For more information, please visit:
 https://jackdawresearch.com/quarterly-company-decks/ INTRODUCTION JACKDAW RESEARCH QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
  • 3. 3 • I’ve previously written several pieces about Square, which should serve as useful context for the charts in this deck: • Square’s Potential and Its Challenges – Techpinions, October 2015, based on Square’s S-1 IPO filing • Quick Thoughts on Square’s Q3 2015 Numbers – Beyond Devices, October 2015, based on Square’s amended S-1 filing and its Q3 2015 numbers • Solid Progress at Square – Beyond Devices, March 2016, based on Q4 2015 results INTRODUCTION SQUARE, INC
  • 4. 4 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis REVENUE BY SEGMENT, $000 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Transaction revenue Starbucks transaction revenue Software and data product revenue Hardware revenue
  • 5. 5 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis REVENUE AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75% 90% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Transaction revenue Starbucks transaction revenue Software and data product revenue Hardware revenue
  • 6. 6 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis SOFTWARE AND DATA REVENUE AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE 0% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
  • 7. 7 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis COST OF REVENUE BY SEGMENT, $000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Transaction costs Starbucks transaction costs Software and data product costs Hardware costs Amortization of acquired technology
  • 8. 8 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis MARGINS -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Gross margin Adjusted EBITDA margin Operating margin Net margin
  • 9. 9 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis PROFIT MEASURES $000 -120,000 -80,000 -40,000 0 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Gross profit Operating loss Net loss Adjusted EBITDA
  • 10. 10 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis GROSS MARGINS BY PRODUCT -300% -200% -100% 0% 100% Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Transactions Starbucks transactions Software and data products Hardware
  • 11. 11 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis GROSS MARGINS FOR STARBUCKS AND NON-STARBUCKS TRANSACTIONS -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Starbucks transactions Non-Starbucks transactions
  • 12. 12 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis TRANSACTION ECONOMICS SQUARE TRANSACTION REVENUE AND PROFIT AS % OF GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME 0% 1% 2% 3% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Transaction revenue / GPV Transaction profit / GPV
  • 13. 13 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis GROSS PROFIT $000, FOR THREE SMALLER SEGMENTS -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Starbucks transactions Software and data products Hardware
  • 14. 14 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME $ MILLIONS 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
  • 15. 15 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis GROSS PAYMENT VOLUME BY SELLER SIZE (PARTIAL DATA SET), EXCLUDING STARBUCKS 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016 <125k annualized GPV 125k-500k >500k
  • 16. 16 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis STARBUCKS TRANSACTIONS AS % OF TOTAL TRANSACTION REVENUE 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
  • 17. 17 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis ADJUSTED REVENUE $000 “Adjusted revenue” is net revenue minus transaction costs and elimination of Starbucks financials 0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 125,000 150,000 175,000 200,000 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016
  • 18. 18 Source: Square financial filings, Jackdaw Research analysis OPERATING EXPENSES COMPONENTS AS % OF TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Product development Sales & marketing General & administrative Transaction and advance losses Amortization of acquired customer assets Impairment of intangible assets
  • 19. Jan Dawson Chief Analyst (408) 744-6244 jan@jackdawresearch.com @jandawson FOR ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT: