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Jan Dawson
Chief Analyst
(408) 744-6244
jan@jackdawresearch.com
@jandawson
NETFLIX Q2 2016
EARNINGS SLIDES
2
• This deck is part of the Jackdaw Research Quarterly Company Decks
subscription service
• It’s one of about a dozen similar decks produced each quarter on
major consumer tech companies
• The intention is to highlight trends and patterns which are not
always obvious when merely looking at a spreadsheet
• Accompanying analysis can often be found on our blog at
www.beyonddevic.es
• For more information, please visit:

http://jackdawresearch.com/quarterly-company-decks/
INTRODUCTION
JACKDAW RESEARCH QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
3
The charts in this deck are based on the company’s
reported financial and operating metrics, together with
other metrics derived from them by Jackdaw Research.
While every effort has been made to ensure the
accuracy of the data presented, and the absence of
errors, we make no guarantee of accuracy and accept
no liability for decisions made based on the information
contained in this document. Readers should always
consult the source documents if making financial or
other decisions regarding the company concerned.
DISCLAIMER
4 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
CONSOLIDATED REVENUES
$ MILLIONS
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Q1 2011Q3 2011Q1 2012Q3 2012Q1 2013Q3 2013Q1 2014Q3 2014Q1 2015Q3 2015Q1 2016
5 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
REVENUES
SPLIT BY SEGMENT – US STREAMING, INTERNATIONAL STREAMING, US DVD
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q4 2011 Q3 2012 Q2 2013 Q1 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q2 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
6 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
REVENUE GROWTH
YEAR ON YEAR BY SEGMENT
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
7 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
COMPANY MARGINS
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
Gross margin Operating margin Net margin
8 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
CONTRIBUTION MARGINS
BY SEGMENT
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
9 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
US STREAMING CONTRIBUTION MARGIN
LONGER TIMELINE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
10 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH
YEAR ON YEAR GROWTH IN PAID SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT
-6,000
-3,000
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
11 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH
QUARTER ON QUARTER GROWTH IN PAID SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
12 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
PAID SUBSCRIBERS
AT QUARTER END, THOUSANDS, BY SEGMENT
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
13 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
REVENUE PER MEMBER
QUARTERLY REVENUE PER PAID SUBSCRIBER, $, BY SEGMENT
20
25
30
35
Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
14 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
PROFIT PER MEMBER
QUARTERLY CONTRIBUTION PROFIT PER PAID MEMBER, $, BY SEGMENT
-60
-45
-30
-15
0
15
30
Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
15 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
FREE TRIAL SUBSCRIBERS
NON-PAID MEMBERS AS % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
16 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARKETING COSTS
AS A % OF REVENUE, BY STREAMING SEGMENT
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming
17 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARKETING COSTS
AS A % OF REVENUE, BY STREAMING SEGMENT, SHORTER TIMELINE
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming
18 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARKETING COSTS
AS % OF REVENUES, TRAILING 4 QUARTERS, BY STREAMING SEGMENT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming
19 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARKETING COSTS
$ PER NET PAID SUBSCRIBER ADDED IN THE QUARTER
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
US streaming Intl streaming
20 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
MARKETING COSTS
$ PER NET SUBSCRIBER ADDED IN THE QUARTER, TRAILING 4 QUARTERS
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
US streaming Intl streaming
21 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
COST PER SUBSCRIBER, US
ANNUAL COST OF REVENUE PER US PAID STREAMING SUBSCRIBER, $
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
22 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis
INTERNATIONAL STREAMING
QUARTERLY REVENUE AND COST OF REVENUE, $, INTERNATIONAL STREAMING
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016
Revenue per paid sub CoR per paid sub
Jan Dawson
Chief Analyst
(408) 744-6244
jan@jackdawresearch.com
@jandawson
FOR ANY QUESTIONS,
PLEASE CONTACT:

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Netflix Q2 2016 Earnings Slides

  • 1. Jan Dawson Chief Analyst (408) 744-6244 jan@jackdawresearch.com @jandawson NETFLIX Q2 2016 EARNINGS SLIDES
  • 2. 2 • This deck is part of the Jackdaw Research Quarterly Company Decks subscription service • It’s one of about a dozen similar decks produced each quarter on major consumer tech companies • The intention is to highlight trends and patterns which are not always obvious when merely looking at a spreadsheet • Accompanying analysis can often be found on our blog at www.beyonddevic.es • For more information, please visit:
 http://jackdawresearch.com/quarterly-company-decks/ INTRODUCTION JACKDAW RESEARCH QUARTERLY DECKS SERVICE
  • 3. 3 The charts in this deck are based on the company’s reported financial and operating metrics, together with other metrics derived from them by Jackdaw Research. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the data presented, and the absence of errors, we make no guarantee of accuracy and accept no liability for decisions made based on the information contained in this document. Readers should always consult the source documents if making financial or other decisions regarding the company concerned. DISCLAIMER
  • 4. 4 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis CONSOLIDATED REVENUES $ MILLIONS 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Q1 2011Q3 2011Q1 2012Q3 2012Q1 2013Q3 2013Q1 2014Q3 2014Q1 2015Q3 2015Q1 2016
  • 5. 5 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis REVENUES SPLIT BY SEGMENT – US STREAMING, INTERNATIONAL STREAMING, US DVD 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Q4 2011 Q3 2012 Q2 2013 Q1 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q2 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 6. 6 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis REVENUE GROWTH YEAR ON YEAR BY SEGMENT -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 7. 7 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis COMPANY MARGINS -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Gross margin Operating margin Net margin
  • 8. 8 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis CONTRIBUTION MARGINS BY SEGMENT -60% -45% -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 9. 9 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis US STREAMING CONTRIBUTION MARGIN LONGER TIMELINE 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
  • 10. 10 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis SUBSCRIBER GROWTH YEAR ON YEAR GROWTH IN PAID SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT -6,000 -3,000 0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 11. 11 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis SUBSCRIBER GROWTH QUARTER ON QUARTER GROWTH IN PAID SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 12. 12 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis PAID SUBSCRIBERS AT QUARTER END, THOUSANDS, BY SEGMENT 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 13. 13 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis REVENUE PER MEMBER QUARTERLY REVENUE PER PAID SUBSCRIBER, $, BY SEGMENT 20 25 30 35 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 14. 14 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis PROFIT PER MEMBER QUARTERLY CONTRIBUTION PROFIT PER PAID MEMBER, $, BY SEGMENT -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 15. 15 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis FREE TRIAL SUBSCRIBERS NON-PAID MEMBERS AS % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS, BY SEGMENT 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming US DVD
  • 16. 16 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis MARKETING COSTS AS A % OF REVENUE, BY STREAMING SEGMENT 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming
  • 17. 17 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis MARKETING COSTS AS A % OF REVENUE, BY STREAMING SEGMENT, SHORTER TIMELINE 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming
  • 18. 18 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis MARKETING COSTS AS % OF REVENUES, TRAILING 4 QUARTERS, BY STREAMING SEGMENT 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming
  • 19. 19 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis MARKETING COSTS $ PER NET PAID SUBSCRIBER ADDED IN THE QUARTER 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 US streaming Intl streaming
  • 20. 20 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis MARKETING COSTS $ PER NET SUBSCRIBER ADDED IN THE QUARTER, TRAILING 4 QUARTERS 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016 US streaming Intl streaming
  • 21. 21 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis COST PER SUBSCRIBER, US ANNUAL COST OF REVENUE PER US PAID STREAMING SUBSCRIBER, $ 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2015 Q2 2016
  • 22. 22 Source: Netflix, Jackdaw Research analysis INTERNATIONAL STREAMING QUARTERLY REVENUE AND COST OF REVENUE, $, INTERNATIONAL STREAMING 0 10 20 30 40 50 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Revenue per paid sub CoR per paid sub
  • 23. Jan Dawson Chief Analyst (408) 744-6244 jan@jackdawresearch.com @jandawson FOR ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT: