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BigSCM™
Shaping Demand using Supply side Big Data
Contents

    Executive Summary
    Background
    Retail Domain at a glance
    Retail Domain at a glance
    Supply chain demystified
    Opportunity dimensions
    Introducing BigSCM
    BigSCM Product features- Adaptive Inventory with RFID
    BigSCM Product features- Predicting Inventory with Geo Loc
    BigSCM Product features- Intelligent usage of PoS data
    BigSCM Product features- Optimize SCM with Social media inputs
    Target Audience
    Value Proposition
    Vendors in this space
    Next Steps
    What do we require?
        •       Assumptions
        •       Investment Required
        •    Development Period
    Challenges
    Questions
Executive summary

  While retailers are focusing more on understanding the customer preferences to better manage their
  merchandise and enhance the business profitability, there is a definite play on leveraging the big data in
  supply chain functions as well to enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs

  This presentation prescribes a product concept henceforth known as “BigSCM” which fits in to the market
  vacuum of using Big Data technologies in the SCM realm and optimize SCM processes to the tune of 10
  million per year and thus ensuring that the retail customer of this product will

        •   Enhance productivity
        •   Optimize Supply chain workflows
        •   Reduce costs
        •   Improve customer happiness index
        •   Shape demand

        This product consumes Big data exhaust from the retail industry like

        • RFID, POS data, Geo location of inventory to optimize directly any lacunae in the SCM
          operations
        • Social media feeds, customer complains, call center logs, returns logs, warranty issues to fix
          any process related issues in the SCM workflows.




                                                                                                               •3
Background



   Pentagon uses social media analytics to       Traditionally social media usage has
   infer and predict political unrest in other   focused mostly on marketing,
   countries and take decisions on it.           advertising and customer relationship
   Google uses search based analytics to         management. Relatively few have
   comment on the pattern of epidemic            tapped into the social networks as a
   outbreaks                                     means of communicating both internally
                                                 and with key supply-chain partners.
                                                 We look at possibility to use Big Data for
                                                 supply side rather than demand side.




   A more recent report by Aberdeen              Companies are in the very early stages
   Group, Inc. 44 percent of industry were       of adopting Big Data within their supply
   already using some types of social media      chains. Its hard time tracking down
   in some manner to manage their supply         great examples outside of customer
   chains, while 37 percent said they            relations for using Big Data.
   intended to begin within the next one to      SCM and Big data is Virgin territory and
   two years.                                    as an early adaptor we are poised to
                                                 gain unassailable lead in the market.




                                                                                         4
Retail Domain at a glance




                            •5
Supply chain demystified

  •Supply chain management (SCM) is the management of a network of
  interconnected businesses involved in the ultimate provision of product and service
  packages required by end customers

  •Supply Chain Management spans all movement and storage of raw materials,
  work-in-process inventory, and finished goods from point-of-origin to point-of
  consumption




                                                                                        •6
Supply chain in real life




                            •7
Opportunity dimension- Where is Big Data in Retail




                                                     •8
Opportunity dimension- Mapping domain to opportunity




                                                       •9
Opportunity dimension- Benefits of Big Data analytics in Retail




                                                                  •10
Introducing BigSCM
                                                       SCM
                                                       recommendations




•   RFID
•   GeoLoc
•   POS
•   Call Center
•   Warranty
•   Cust Service
•   Return Info
•   Cust Rating


                              SCM Optimization suggestions


                            SCM                             Hadoop
                         workflow                         Processing
                                                          Framework
                         reference




                     Conversation Tracking framework
BigSCM Product features- Adaptive Inventory with RFID
  Real time RFID analysis

 • BigSCM will enable tracking of real-time inventory of any item in any location:
 • BigSCM will help in automated replenishment signals integrating with SCM workflow.
 • BigSCM will would aid in automated receiving and verification of items and quantities received at stores
   and warehouse,
 • BigSCM will make it easy for automated validation of fulfilled orders.




                                                                                                              •12
BigSCM Product features- Predicting Inventory with Geo Loc

  GPS-based location services

 • BigSCM will enable Real-time visibility of in-transit inventory and would allow sensing real-time demand
   signals to make this inventory “productive”.
 • BigSCM will offer Real-time location sensing for better supply-demand match, and reduce the fulfillment
   lead-time and inventory levels required without affecting service the customers.
 • BigSCM can help combining the RFID for cold-chain perishable goods and real-time GPS location,
   improve efficiencies to reduce the goods damaged due to temperature variations and expiration dates.




                                                                                                              •13
BigSCM Product features- Intelligent usage of PoS data
  PoS Data

 • BigSCM will use POS data to provide a real-time demand signal with price information. This will help in
   intelligent inventory deployments to optimize the inventory in the system,
 • BigSCM will use early trends detected for seasonal goods can help better manage the open orders when
   demand goes up and reduce potential clearance losses when it goes down.
 • BigSCM will help in Price optimization that can be fine-tuned with real-time POS data to optimize the
   profitability.




                                                                                                             •14
BigSCM Product features- Optimize SCM with Social media inputs
 Social Media helps SCM

  • BigSCM will use Big Data from unstructured data sources like call center logs, customer complaints,
    warranty returns, Twitter, Face Book to glean for Customer service related discussions, statuses etc.
  • BigSCM will create a context out of it and find the pattern of the discussion, get the gist of it, get the
    sentiment, get the prevalent complaint on a product line make a decision if intervention has to be made,
    notify to relevant link in the Supply chain workflow.
  • By sharing information instantly BigSCM can connect with virtually everyone involved in a supply chain,
    retailers can more quickly take actions such as ordering more of the popular products or alerting
    warehouses when orders are not getting fulfilled and delivered to customers on time.




                                                                                                                 •15
Target Audience



                                    Suppliers




              Customers                                Distributors




                                   BigSCM™




                                                Marketing and
                   Manufacturers
                                                    sales
Value Proposition


    NLP engine at the heart of BigSCM        BigSCM would reduce lead time and would integrate
    could be patented and generate           tighter feedback from customer to market demand
    residual revenues




    BigSCM can be used to generate           Increase in on time shipments compared with to
    revenues from diverse streams            those not BigSCM.

                                             An average out-of-stock rate of lessened compared
                                             to for those not using BigSCM;

                                              A remarkable increase in fulfillment costs, compared
     BigSCM usage result in happier          to those not using BigSCM.
    customers, fewer out-of-stock products
    and lower fulfillment costs,




    Analytical insights from the customer    The ability to collect, analyze, and use real-time demand
    base can be converted actions that       and inventory will open new opportunities to optimizing the
    could be applied to fine tune the SCM    supply chain operations and provide competitive cost-
    processes.                               advantage.
Vendors in this Space or Ecosystem



      Competition




      As far as I searched, competitors in the SCM ecosystem
      have not adopted a similar platform to enable SCM
      optimization.


      There are pockets in academia that are performing
      research on the core NLP technology that would be useful.
Next Steps

                                                    BigSCM™




                 Software and                   People readiness             Collaboration
                 Hardware: Hadoop,
                 Mahout,                        Competency in Real           Probe if any existing
                                                time Searching, NLP,         NLP stack can be
                                                Optimization algorithms      leveraged




  Dependency
                              Assumption                      Assumption                   Assumption
  A retail company’s data     Algorithms for NLP is of        Social data would be
                                                               Social data would be       Retail companies rely
                                                                                           Retail companies rely
  assets can be used for      medium complexity               relevant to aa
                                                               relevant to                on RFID Geo Loc and
                                                                                           on RFID Geo Loc and
  building the search                                         companies retail
                                                               companies retail           PoS data for their
                                                                                           PoS data for their
  index                                                       workflow
                                                               workflow                   operations
                                                                                           operations




                      Development Team                                    Development period
                      Single Agile team of 8-                             Around 6-8 months for
                      10 people                                           a working pilot in
                                                                          production


                                                                                                             19
Consulting Solutions - Retail
Business Flow
Challenges in Retail
      domain

     Lack of Supply Chain
    Management optimization


       Decrease in sales




      Marketing and sales




      Demand forecasting




           Logistics
Problem Analysis


Analyze sales data and cost incurred by the stores.
 Analyze if there is any seasonal pattern in the demand /
sales.
 Analyze demographic locations and shipping information
of the stores.


Objective: Reduce operational costs
Insights



 Forecast future inventory demand and safety stock per
product per store thereby optimizing inventory costs.
 Supply Chain Management optimization.
Blueprint

 By analyzing the sales information from each store we
predict the future demand for each store and will come up
with safety stock per product per store thereby optimizing
inventory costs.
 Analyze the transport route, source and destination,
capacity of the vehicle and cost for each trip and suggest
ways for optimizing transportation cost.
 Analyze vendor data and come up with a
recommendation on which vendor to procure products for
low cost thereby optimizing the procurement cost
Data attributes


                                                        Transportation and distribution costs
                   Inventory
                                             Inventory_ID                          Categorical
Inventory_ID                   Categorical
                                             Source_Location                       Categorical
Order_ID                       Categorical
                                             Destination_Location                  Categorical
Order_Quantity                 Numeric
                                             Distance                              Numeric
Lead_Time                      Categorical

                                             Time_Taken_To_Travel                  Numeric
Warehouse_maintenance_Cos
t                              Numeric       Vehicle_Capacity                      Numeric

                                             Cost_Per_Trip                         Numeric


                                             No_of_Trips_Per_Month                 Numeric

Product_Wise_Shelf_Life        Numeric       Mode_of_Transport                     Categorical
Data attributes



                                                     Procurement_Costs
                   POS

                                       Item_ID                      Categorical
Order_ID                 Categorical
                                       Cost                         Numeric

No_Of_Units_Sold         Numeric
                                       Lead_Time                    Numeric

Total_Cost               Numeric

                                       No_Of_Items_Produced_In_a_
Item_IDs                 Categorical   Month                        Numeric
Solution Analysis


 Class of the problem: Optimization


Techniques:


PCA, Random Forests to reduce dimensions.
Multi objective optimization (Goal Programming), Linear
Programming.
Supply chain problems are characterized by decisions that are
conflicting by nature. Modeling these problems using multiple
objectives gives the decision maker a set of pareto optimal solutions
from which to choose.
ROI

No. of stores: 150
Avg. profit for 80% stores per month = 10 Millions Per store
Less profit stores: 20% = 30 stores
Avg. profit for remaining 20% stores per month = 2 Millions
Per store.

Let us assume optimization will increase revenue by 100%
Each of 20% stores will be making a profit of 10 Millions,
there is a 200% increase in the profit for these 30 stores.
International School of Engineering

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•This presentation may contain references to findings of various reports available in the public domain. INSOFE makes no representation as to their accuracy or that the
organization subscribes to those findings.

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Analytics in Supply Chain Management

  • 1. BigSCM™ Shaping Demand using Supply side Big Data
  • 2. Contents Executive Summary Background Retail Domain at a glance Retail Domain at a glance Supply chain demystified Opportunity dimensions Introducing BigSCM BigSCM Product features- Adaptive Inventory with RFID BigSCM Product features- Predicting Inventory with Geo Loc BigSCM Product features- Intelligent usage of PoS data BigSCM Product features- Optimize SCM with Social media inputs Target Audience Value Proposition Vendors in this space Next Steps What do we require? • Assumptions • Investment Required • Development Period Challenges Questions
  • 3. Executive summary While retailers are focusing more on understanding the customer preferences to better manage their merchandise and enhance the business profitability, there is a definite play on leveraging the big data in supply chain functions as well to enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs This presentation prescribes a product concept henceforth known as “BigSCM” which fits in to the market vacuum of using Big Data technologies in the SCM realm and optimize SCM processes to the tune of 10 million per year and thus ensuring that the retail customer of this product will • Enhance productivity • Optimize Supply chain workflows • Reduce costs • Improve customer happiness index • Shape demand This product consumes Big data exhaust from the retail industry like • RFID, POS data, Geo location of inventory to optimize directly any lacunae in the SCM operations • Social media feeds, customer complains, call center logs, returns logs, warranty issues to fix any process related issues in the SCM workflows. •3
  • 4. Background Pentagon uses social media analytics to Traditionally social media usage has infer and predict political unrest in other focused mostly on marketing, countries and take decisions on it. advertising and customer relationship Google uses search based analytics to management. Relatively few have comment on the pattern of epidemic tapped into the social networks as a outbreaks means of communicating both internally and with key supply-chain partners. We look at possibility to use Big Data for supply side rather than demand side. A more recent report by Aberdeen Companies are in the very early stages Group, Inc. 44 percent of industry were of adopting Big Data within their supply already using some types of social media chains. Its hard time tracking down in some manner to manage their supply great examples outside of customer chains, while 37 percent said they relations for using Big Data. intended to begin within the next one to SCM and Big data is Virgin territory and two years. as an early adaptor we are poised to gain unassailable lead in the market. 4
  • 5. Retail Domain at a glance •5
  • 6. Supply chain demystified •Supply chain management (SCM) is the management of a network of interconnected businesses involved in the ultimate provision of product and service packages required by end customers •Supply Chain Management spans all movement and storage of raw materials, work-in-process inventory, and finished goods from point-of-origin to point-of consumption •6
  • 7. Supply chain in real life •7
  • 8. Opportunity dimension- Where is Big Data in Retail •8
  • 9. Opportunity dimension- Mapping domain to opportunity •9
  • 10. Opportunity dimension- Benefits of Big Data analytics in Retail •10
  • 11. Introducing BigSCM SCM recommendations • RFID • GeoLoc • POS • Call Center • Warranty • Cust Service • Return Info • Cust Rating SCM Optimization suggestions SCM Hadoop workflow Processing Framework reference Conversation Tracking framework
  • 12. BigSCM Product features- Adaptive Inventory with RFID Real time RFID analysis • BigSCM will enable tracking of real-time inventory of any item in any location: • BigSCM will help in automated replenishment signals integrating with SCM workflow. • BigSCM will would aid in automated receiving and verification of items and quantities received at stores and warehouse, • BigSCM will make it easy for automated validation of fulfilled orders. •12
  • 13. BigSCM Product features- Predicting Inventory with Geo Loc GPS-based location services • BigSCM will enable Real-time visibility of in-transit inventory and would allow sensing real-time demand signals to make this inventory “productive”. • BigSCM will offer Real-time location sensing for better supply-demand match, and reduce the fulfillment lead-time and inventory levels required without affecting service the customers. • BigSCM can help combining the RFID for cold-chain perishable goods and real-time GPS location, improve efficiencies to reduce the goods damaged due to temperature variations and expiration dates. •13
  • 14. BigSCM Product features- Intelligent usage of PoS data PoS Data • BigSCM will use POS data to provide a real-time demand signal with price information. This will help in intelligent inventory deployments to optimize the inventory in the system, • BigSCM will use early trends detected for seasonal goods can help better manage the open orders when demand goes up and reduce potential clearance losses when it goes down. • BigSCM will help in Price optimization that can be fine-tuned with real-time POS data to optimize the profitability. •14
  • 15. BigSCM Product features- Optimize SCM with Social media inputs Social Media helps SCM • BigSCM will use Big Data from unstructured data sources like call center logs, customer complaints, warranty returns, Twitter, Face Book to glean for Customer service related discussions, statuses etc. • BigSCM will create a context out of it and find the pattern of the discussion, get the gist of it, get the sentiment, get the prevalent complaint on a product line make a decision if intervention has to be made, notify to relevant link in the Supply chain workflow. • By sharing information instantly BigSCM can connect with virtually everyone involved in a supply chain, retailers can more quickly take actions such as ordering more of the popular products or alerting warehouses when orders are not getting fulfilled and delivered to customers on time. •15
  • 16. Target Audience Suppliers Customers Distributors BigSCM™ Marketing and Manufacturers sales
  • 17. Value Proposition NLP engine at the heart of BigSCM BigSCM would reduce lead time and would integrate could be patented and generate tighter feedback from customer to market demand residual revenues BigSCM can be used to generate Increase in on time shipments compared with to revenues from diverse streams those not BigSCM. An average out-of-stock rate of lessened compared to for those not using BigSCM; A remarkable increase in fulfillment costs, compared BigSCM usage result in happier to those not using BigSCM. customers, fewer out-of-stock products and lower fulfillment costs, Analytical insights from the customer The ability to collect, analyze, and use real-time demand base can be converted actions that and inventory will open new opportunities to optimizing the could be applied to fine tune the SCM supply chain operations and provide competitive cost- processes. advantage.
  • 18. Vendors in this Space or Ecosystem Competition As far as I searched, competitors in the SCM ecosystem have not adopted a similar platform to enable SCM optimization. There are pockets in academia that are performing research on the core NLP technology that would be useful.
  • 19. Next Steps BigSCM™ Software and People readiness Collaboration Hardware: Hadoop, Mahout, Competency in Real Probe if any existing time Searching, NLP, NLP stack can be Optimization algorithms leveraged Dependency Assumption Assumption Assumption A retail company’s data Algorithms for NLP is of Social data would be Social data would be Retail companies rely Retail companies rely assets can be used for medium complexity relevant to aa relevant to on RFID Geo Loc and on RFID Geo Loc and building the search companies retail companies retail PoS data for their PoS data for their index workflow workflow operations operations Development Team Development period Single Agile team of 8- Around 6-8 months for 10 people a working pilot in production 19
  • 22. Challenges in Retail domain Lack of Supply Chain Management optimization Decrease in sales Marketing and sales Demand forecasting Logistics
  • 23. Problem Analysis Analyze sales data and cost incurred by the stores.  Analyze if there is any seasonal pattern in the demand / sales.  Analyze demographic locations and shipping information of the stores. Objective: Reduce operational costs
  • 24. Insights  Forecast future inventory demand and safety stock per product per store thereby optimizing inventory costs.  Supply Chain Management optimization.
  • 25. Blueprint  By analyzing the sales information from each store we predict the future demand for each store and will come up with safety stock per product per store thereby optimizing inventory costs.  Analyze the transport route, source and destination, capacity of the vehicle and cost for each trip and suggest ways for optimizing transportation cost.  Analyze vendor data and come up with a recommendation on which vendor to procure products for low cost thereby optimizing the procurement cost
  • 26. Data attributes Transportation and distribution costs Inventory Inventory_ID Categorical Inventory_ID Categorical Source_Location Categorical Order_ID Categorical Destination_Location Categorical Order_Quantity Numeric Distance Numeric Lead_Time Categorical Time_Taken_To_Travel Numeric Warehouse_maintenance_Cos t Numeric Vehicle_Capacity Numeric Cost_Per_Trip Numeric No_of_Trips_Per_Month Numeric Product_Wise_Shelf_Life Numeric Mode_of_Transport Categorical
  • 27. Data attributes Procurement_Costs POS Item_ID Categorical Order_ID Categorical Cost Numeric No_Of_Units_Sold Numeric Lead_Time Numeric Total_Cost Numeric No_Of_Items_Produced_In_a_ Item_IDs Categorical Month Numeric
  • 28. Solution Analysis  Class of the problem: Optimization Techniques: PCA, Random Forests to reduce dimensions. Multi objective optimization (Goal Programming), Linear Programming. Supply chain problems are characterized by decisions that are conflicting by nature. Modeling these problems using multiple objectives gives the decision maker a set of pareto optimal solutions from which to choose.
  • 29. ROI No. of stores: 150 Avg. profit for 80% stores per month = 10 Millions Per store Less profit stores: 20% = 30 stores Avg. profit for remaining 20% stores per month = 2 Millions Per store. Let us assume optimization will increase revenue by 100% Each of 20% stores will be making a profit of 10 Millions, there is a 200% increase in the profit for these 30 stores.
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