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Economic growth in afghanistan ( 1382-1392) د افغانستان د اقتصادي ودې بهیر ته کتنه
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A brief analysis of the economic growth of Afghanistan from 1382 to 1392
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Economic growth in afghanistan ( 1382-1392) د افغانستان د اقتصادي ودې بهیر ته کتنه
1.
کتنه لنډه ته
بهیر ودې داقتصادي دافغانستان 1382-1392 کونکي انديړو:شیرزاد بير فضل استاد ښودرال:عباد رنو حمیدهللا ردکتو پوهنوال کال:1394 یترجمهو اسالمي افغانستان د ترازو وکړ دهز وړلو د نپوهنتو کابل د پوهنځی اقتصاد امرګوپر ۍماسټر د
2.
ـانګهــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــپمنځ کتنه تهشاخصونو ۍګیر
هزاندا دودې اقتصادي د ښتړجوتقاضا د ښتړجوې عرض د پایله نهواندیزړو ماخذونه
3.
ودهاقتصادي:کتولیداتوناخالصونیورکوحقیقي پهیاتوالیزې 6/22/2015 3
4.
تولیدات ناخالصنيرکواسميافغانستان د (افغانۍ
نملیو په) 6/22/2015 4 1381 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* کال 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 202,531 240,671 267,310 327,745 375,152 518,614 541,113 632,717 746,859 896,162 1,086,198 1,197,168 نيرکوناخالص تولیدات(ملیپهنو افغانۍ)
5.
٪پهودهتولیداتوناخالصونيورکواسمي دافغانستان د 6/22/2015
5 15.85 9.97 18.44 12.64 27.66 4.16 14.48 15.28 16.66 17.50 9.27 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* ٪پهوده ـلونهـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــک
6.
GDP Deflator 6/22/2015 6 110 119 133 139 166
169 169 193 213 233 241 - 50 100 150 200 250 300 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392*
7.
تولیداتناخالص نيرکوحقیقيافغانستان د(افغانۍ
نملیو په) 6/22/2015 7 1381 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* کال 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 202,530 219,195 224,329 246,542 269,126 312,441 319,728 374,801 386,930 420,519 466,481 496,528 نيرکوناخالص تولیدات(۱۳۸۱کال بنسټ پر بیو د)
8.
تولیداتو ناخالصو نیورکو
حقیقي د٪ وده 8.2 2.3 9.9 9.2 16.1 2.3 17.2 3.2 8.7 10.9 6.4 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* ٪وده ـلونهــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــک
9.
پرتله:اسمي دGDPودهحقیقي د
اوGDPوده 8.2 2.3 9.9 9.2 16.1 2.3 17.2 3.2 8.7 10.9 6.4 15.85 9.97 18.44 12.64 27.66 4.16 14.48 15.28 16.66 17.50 9.27 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* ٪ودهتولیداتو ناخالصوکورنیو حقیقي د ٪ودهتولیداتو ناخالصو کورنیواسمي د
10.
نفوس افغانستان د 6/22/2015
10 21.80 22.20 23.20 23.60 24.10 24.50 25.00 25.50 26.00 26.50 27.00 27.50 1.83 4.50 1.72 2.12 1.66 2.04 2.00 1.96 1.92 1.89 1.85 - 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 1381 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* نملیو٪پهودهاونفر ـلونهـــــــــــــــــــــــک نفرنملیو په نفوس %وده نفوسو د
11.
تولید ناخالص کلنی
سر یسړUS$ 207 221 242 281 313 426 426 505 629 709 780 772 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1381 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* وډالرامریکاييپه ـلونهــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــک
12.
پرتله:تولیدا ناخالصو نیورکو
او نفوسو دوده تو 1.83 4.50 1.72 2.12 1.66 2.04 2.00 1.96 1.92 1.89 1.85 8.2 2.3 9.9 9.2 16.1 2.3 17.2 3.2 8.7 10.9 6.4 - 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* ٪وده ٪ ودهنفوسود ٪ودهتولیداتوناخالصونیورکود
13.
ښتړجو تقاضا د
14.
6/22/2015 14- 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 1382 1383
1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* 355 396 484 543 717 698 802 1,002 1,222 1,568 1,706 افغانیوملیاردپه قابلیتجذبداخليDomesticAbsorptionAbility
15.
6/22/2015 15 تیاړوجذبنيرکو داوتولیدات
ناخالصنيرکو - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* 355 396 484 543 717 698 802 1,002 1,222 1,568 1,706 241 267 328 375 519 541 633 747 896 1,086 1,197 افغانیوملیاردپه داخلي جذبقابلیت تولیدات ناخالص کورني(اسمي)
16.
6/22/2015 16 ولګښتونواستهالکي دکېتولیداتوناخالصونیورکو
په٪نډه 136 131 126 120 120 123 110 111 104 96 92 127 121 116 109 109 113 99 97 91 84 81 9 10 10 11 10 10 11 14 12 12 12 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392* ٪سلنه پهکورنیوناخالصوتولیداتوکېدمجموعياستهالکيلګښتونوونډه٪ پهکورنیوناخالصوتولیداتوکېدي خصوصاستهالکيلګښتونوونډه٪ پهکورنیوناخالصوتولیداتوکېددولتياستهالکيلګښتونوونډه٪
17.
6/22/2015 17 ونډهسپما دکېتولیداتونیورکوناخالصو
په)%( -36 -31 -26 -20 -20 -23 -10 -11 -4 4 8 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 - 5 10 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392*
18.
ښتړجو ې عرض
د
19.
6/22/2015 19 کېتولیداتونیورکوناخالصو پهرسکتوبیالبیلو
د٪ونډهونو 41.05 33.28 34.23 32.66 33.62 27.75 31.11 27.76 26.98 25.39 24.58 20.89 24.51 25.21 26.17 25.16 25.62 21.17 20.57 21.58 20.51 19.72 35.83 39.47 37.68 38.09 38.68 43.99 44.28 48.02 47.82 50.28 51.75 - 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 1382 1383 1384 1385 1386 1387 1388 1389 1390 1391 1392 اعترز صنعت خدمات
20.
ـایلهـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــپ د۱۳۸۲جوتیږيدا ،سره کتوپهته
بهیر ودې اقتصادي د افغانستان دي اهیسر کالدغوپه چې وکې حالتپه تغییراو نوساند همیشه وده اقتصادي افغانستان د کې کلونوویاترز پهاو ه وه ځايیو سره ودې اقتصادي له سلنههړلو نانفالسیو د کېکلونو. تول ناخالصونیورکو تراو وهکېحالت پهیاتواليز د همیشه تیاړو جذبنيرکودوههړلویداتو. تر۱۳۹۱تولیدات ناخالصونيورکو تر همیشهلګښتونهاستهالکي ،ېرپوکالاو ووړلوو پههرلپاځل يلومړد خو وهکې حالت منفي په همیشه سپما ناخالصهنۍرکو۱۳۹۱کال سې ناخالصنۍرکواوړلو لګښتونو استهالکي لهتولیدات ناخالصنيرکو کېمثبت پما کړ هرغو حالت. لاو امنیتي سترود ،وووالړ مرستو بهرنیو په ډیره تر اقتصاد افغانستان د چې دایستیکيژو سد خدماتو دکېتولیداتو ناخالصونیورکو په افغانستان د فعالیت کمپنیوپه ونډهرکتو خدماد کېتولیداتو ناخالصونیورکوپه اوسمهال چې کړه هړلوتوګهيبېساررسکتو د تو ده تهرپو سلنې پنځوستر ونډه.
21.
نهواندیزړو •عوامليساختار خنډ سترټولو
تراندیړوپر ودې اقتصادي د کې افغانستان په(لکه بریښنا ،بنسټونه بیخ ،امنیت)....دي.ګوپرموثر کې برخو دغو پهبایددولتطرحهامونهر يکړ پلياو •پ انجن اقتصاد د افغانستان د ي ش کولی اجراستخ کانونو د،توګه شفافه پهحرکت ه اولير.ي ش اجراستخ او اندیړوته داوطلبۍ توګه شفافههرپو پهبایدکانونه •لواچوهرال پر امونهرګوپرمزال دې هرلپاهڅونېدپانګوالو بهرنیواو نیورکودي ش •کپه اترتغییې داس او ي شلوزوار سرهله بایدۍ پالیس پولياو مالي حکومتدي شلړاور ې يوکړ مرسته سره ودې اقتصادي لهکې هیوادپه چې
22.
اخځلیکونه •،حمیدهللا ،عبادرنو(۱۳۹۳.)لاو چاپ
،پیشرفتهوماکر اقتصاد •www.cso.orgویبسایټ ېادار يمرکزد داحصائیې •www.worldbank.orgویبسایټ بانک نړیوال د •www.adb.orgویبسایټ بانک پرمختیايي اسیايي د
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