I read that no one can predict the future and that this fact alone makes it a worthwhile endeavor. The simple act of trying to predict the future made future predictions much better at making estimated guesses over time than those who did not. It's a low-risk proposition regardless, people don't necessarily remember and its such a fun game to play. That said when it comes to consulting I do the research. This process is something that Elon Musk refers to as the "Recursive Y." We know X is going to happen, we can therefore afford to be liberal with our predictions on the Y. Macro economics is complex and hard to predict after all.

1. Megatrends are gradual and deep-set
trajectories of change that will at some point
reshape the business
and policy environment. They typically have a
decadal timeframe (e.g. 10-20 years) and occur
at the intersection of multiple trends.

2. MAY 2016
X
IBM offer cloud access
to a 5 qubit quantum
computer
Suggestions for
CLIENT X
Clinton den Heyer
Analyst

3. CAN WE MAKE SOME ACCURATE PREDICTIONS ABOUT THE
FUTURE OF GOVERNMENTS?
Probably not “accurate” ones, but lets have a go based on
movements in technology.

4. Problem:
What should we focus on?
The rate of ground breaking innovations in science and tech is
increasing. This indicates that we are now aware of the next
megatrends.
While highly speculative, research indicates seven core drivers that
deserve closer inspection and the industries they are likely to effect.
Two terms define time, scope and potential impact:
Short Term. A Pure Play Disruption tends to impact an industry by
30% and establish globally between 1 to 5 years.
Long Term. A Megatrend may develop gradually, in time reshaping
the dynamics of the business and policy environment. Global shapers
5 to 20 years cadence.

5. Current State
Monetary Political Scale
Global Spectrum
A combination of emerging forces
threaten to create a perfect storm of
larger, faster and seemingly sci-fi
technology impacts.
This presents complexity of a scale
that economies have never been
exposed to. It appears that the
lessons of the past may not be
transferable to the challenges of the
future.

6. Current State
Totalatarinism
North Korea
01
Emerging
Developing
03
Capatilism
US
05
Communism
China
02
Democratic
Social Capatilism
NZ
04
Austrian/Libertarian
Europe
06
Monetary Political Scale

7. crypto
currency
STOCK
EXCHANGE
Core Drivers by 2036 MEGA
TREND
2036
IoT
greenfintech p2p
GLOBAL
TRADE
TRANSPORT
ENERGY
automation
SUPPLY
CHAINS
ALL CORE DRIVERS
FINANCE &
BANKING
Workforce
Short term: Baby boomers
exiting
Medium: Low Millennial
entrance
Long: Gen X’iting
Developing economies
unable to support skills
Expertise
Medium: IT skills shortage
and increased demand
drive up industry wage
rates creating a strong
business case for robotics,
AI and automation.
Business
Will process automation,
smart contracts and green
energy offset loses posed
by potential increases in
unemployment?
Government
What impacts will green energy
have on property ownership?
Will business efficiencies
gained offset potential taxation
losses? Is legislation agile
enough to deal with rapid
change?
Unique conditions emerging with areas of impact
unemployment
MONETARY
SYSTEMS
TREND
2016
PURE
PLAY
DISRUPTO
R
2020

8. Modular guidelines for competitive drivers
1. Value Orientated Architecture X
Strategy
DISRUPT
Technology
AUTOMATE
Operations
ALIGN
People
ADVOCATE
Continuous
Innovation
5. Actualisation
4. Agile Borders
3. 360 Value
Creation
2. Continuous Learning
1. Identification of
Core Values

9. 2. Personal Security
Building blocks to a trusted
state of protection
1
5
2
4
3
5 step theorietical process toward the goal of “back
of mind” personal identification. Internet security is
complex. Given that personal identification is one of
the largest in IT it will require a large, possibly
complex, graduated solution strategy
PERSONAL BLOCKCHAIN
In compliment of, or to gradually replace, RealMe, a decentralized
network of a partially permissioned blockchain could provide an initial
“safer” state.
TIME STAMP RANDOM IDENTIFIER
There are numerous world clocks other than time zones. A
“tumbler” is a tool which can allocate nodes of a blockchain to a
“tumbled” identification tool. Internet clocks calculate network
protocols to a millionith of a second. IPV6 will have to increase
this.
NEXUS IDENTIFICATION
THEORY: Nexus have created an app that can map rooms.
Heat identifiers and infared trackers are commercially
available. If partial permissioned blockchain credibility is
established a personal chain can enable unique gait identifiers
to “recognise.”
PROJECT “SOLI”
TESTING: Google is currently testing a camera that can
“recognise” physical movements. The future of screenless
interactive devices has started, and this may create opportunities
in innovation for personal identification.
QUANTUM & ORGANIC
MARKET TESTING: IBM and Google have Quantum computers in testing
and development. Quantum states enable data recognition through vast
heat maps. They operate in Qubits, which can be either 1, or 2, or 1 and 2
simultaneously.

10. 3. Green TransportTesla introduce the “Model T Ford” transport of the future. The disruptors get disrupted
2016 2016 2000 2022 20252014
Elon Musks “Tesla”
sells 300,000 cars in
2 weeks prompting
international
legislation change.
Japan now has more
electric filling stations
than petroleum
stations.
Uber negotiate a
deal with NZ Govt.
To enter NZ Taxi
market. Take
advantage of
Companies Act to
ensure minimal
employees – the
“courier” model.
PREDICTED:
Driverless/Electric
Cars will no longer
be a popular talking
point at Sunday
BBQs. We will all
know of someone
that has one.
The NZ Hearld films
a “Tesla” driving
itself over the
Auckland Harbour
bridge. No one
notices. Google start
testing a device to
attach into petrol
cars for driverless
use
SPECULATIVE:
Uber? Who is Uber?
Public transport as
we know it will be
disrupted /collapse.
Fleets of modular
vechicles will reduce
commute. Industry
will conglomoritize.
Domestic flights will
be imnpacted.
Companies will form
aroud the proposition
that driverless
electric cars can run
24/7. Location and
automated CRMs will
text customers pick
up times and email
employers.

11. 4. Future State
North Korea
(Collapse)
2025
Emerging
(Growth)
2025
???
US
2018
China (Slowing)
Border reduction
2020
NZ
Accelerated Partial
Privatisation
2023
Europe
(Solid Growth –
increased prosperity)
2025
Suggested Options for Monetary/Political/Economic Development

12. Banks, Finance,
Insurance
2016 The ripest fruit available for disruption:
As the tech companies are about to take over
the transport industry, so to will they dominate
the monetary system. Banks will have to
diversify into new markets. ASB will compete
with Amazon and Google.What next?
Analysis of abc.xyz: Google’s roll out strategy
includes internet services globally and all
renewable energy. The company that has
mapped Earth, The Moon and Mars now has
its sights firmly set on The Sun.
What are the implications for Government?
01 Introduction to Digital
A digital currency may be introduced that pays
for goods and services that benefit Govt and
community.
02 Accelerate Partial Privitization
Medical/Police/almost all services: Partial
privatization models allow for efficiencies and
gradually move from tax reliance to income. NZ
has been moving this way since the 80’s.
03 Regional Currencies
Regions may compete for competitive advantage
and private investment through the introduction
of potentially public listed currencies.
04 Sector
Private sector currency creation. Potential for
confusion and disaggregation short term,
stabilization and financial independence long
term.
05 Community
Communities may create strategic alliances with
communities in other countries stabilizing trade
and international relationships.
4. Future State
Suggested Options for Monetary/Political/Economic Development

13. c_den_heyer@hotmail.com
nz.linkedin.com/in/clintondenheyer
clinton den heyer