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The Top Five Things Planners Need to Know
About Self-Driving Vehicles
By Chris Hedden & Dan Krechmer with Ron Basile
http:...
Every day you hear a story in the news
about connected vehicles, automated vehicles,
or self-driving cars and how these ve...
These stories talk about things like
Shared Economy and
Disruptive Technologies.
And they give conflicting predictions:
Some say
VMT will go up...
Some say
VMT will go down...
And some folks are now
talk...
Confused Yet?
Don’t feel bad...
The truth is, it’s a complex topic.
Lots of
moving parts
and lots of hard
technical problem-solving
still left to be done.
But there are some things that we
as planners need to know today...
about these vehicles of tomorrow.
TOP 5
things planners need
to know about
self-driving vehicles
1) Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
2) It’s Connected AND Autonomous
3) Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
4) Capacity Exp...
1. Self-Driving Vehicles
Will Happen
1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
It really is time to accept it...
it is no longer
a matter of if,
it is now a
matter ...
The falling cost of sensors,
radars, and other devices,
coupled with dramatic
increases in software
capabilities, have pro...
How it will
happen is not
the important
question.
1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
The important question is...
what happens when they do?
1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
Now is the time to start developing new forecasts
based on these vehicles being in the fleet.
1. Self-Driving Vehicles Wil...
And answering some of the larger questions:
Will this
increase
or decrease VMT?
How will
LAND USE
change?
How do we need t...
2. It’s Connected
AND
Autonomous
2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
Although there are two distinct
approaches to achieving
self-driving vehicles,
they are r...
2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
Alone they both provide
significant improvements
toward mobility, but
combined they allow...
2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
So don’t get caught up in choosing
sides or thinking one way is better than another.
THIS...
2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
Instead, educate your agency about how both
of these approaches work and begin the real w...
2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
And don’t forget to start building relationships with
these new technology companies and ...
3. Commercial Vehicles
Will Be First
3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
Which type of vehicle (trucks or cars) comes
to market first will depend a great deal...
3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
The Goods Movement and
Logistics sectors have
intense pressures
motivating them to
be...
3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
The driver shortage in the country is
only going to get worse...
and shippers (the ul...
3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
These new vehicle types
provide this entire sector
with a path toward
significantly r...
3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
Understanding these types of vehicles
first allows us as planners to
prioritize our e...
4. Capacity Expansion
May Be a Thing
of the Past
4. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past
When the majority of the
fleet is both connected and
automated, there wil...
4. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past
It also will lead to significant decreases in
non-recurring congestion, w...
3. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past
With these decreases in congestion we could
get more capacity out of the ...
3. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past
Planners today need to
start thinking about
where to
invest
given these
n...
5. The Shared Economy
Will Play a Huge Part
in the Mobility of the Future
5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future
Many signs point toward the
shared economy growi...
5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future
Many forecasters believe
that by combining self-...
5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future
Along with buying
cars like they do
now, people ...
5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future
As planners we need to start now, trying to unde...
Want to Continue the Discussion?
Contact Chris Hedden at:
chedden@camsys.com
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5 things planners need to know about self driving vehicles

There are numerous stories being written on self-driving vehicles today that are pretty impressive, and to be honest, almost a bit overwhelming.

In fact there are so many angles to the self-driving vehicle arena, that it is hard to know what we should be concerned about as transportation planners.

Inspired by a SlideShare I had seen by Jonathan Rosenberg at Google, my colleague, Dan Krechmer and I thought we would have some fun and talk about this exciting topic in a new way, which not only engages folks, but also informs.

We then teamed up with artist Ron Basile who brought our words to life; and did a heck of a job with the illustrations.

I hope you enjoy our perspective on this exciting development in transportation.

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5 things planners need to know about self driving vehicles

  1. The Top Five Things Planners Need to Know About Self-Driving Vehicles By Chris Hedden & Dan Krechmer with Ron Basile http://www.camsys.com/automated-connected-vehicles.htm
  2. Every day you hear a story in the news about connected vehicles, automated vehicles, or self-driving cars and how these vehicles will transform mobility in the United States.
  3. These stories talk about things like Shared Economy and Disruptive Technologies.
  4. And they give conflicting predictions: Some say VMT will go up... Some say VMT will go down... And some folks are now talking about VMD... What the heck is that? VMD?
  5. Confused Yet?
  6. Don’t feel bad... The truth is, it’s a complex topic.
  7. Lots of moving parts and lots of hard technical problem-solving still left to be done.
  8. But there are some things that we as planners need to know today... about these vehicles of tomorrow.
  9. TOP 5 things planners need to know about self-driving vehicles
  10. 1) Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen 2) It’s Connected AND Autonomous 3) Commercial Vehicles Will Be First 4) Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past 5) The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future 6 7 8
  11. 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
  12. 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen It really is time to accept it... it is no longer a matter of if, it is now a matter of when.
  13. The falling cost of sensors, radars, and other devices, coupled with dramatic increases in software capabilities, have provided the tipping in providing this functionality in a vehicle. 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen SALE!
  14. How it will happen is not the important question. 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
  15. The important question is... what happens when they do? 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
  16. Now is the time to start developing new forecasts based on these vehicles being in the fleet. 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen
  17. And answering some of the larger questions: Will this increase or decrease VMT? How will LAND USE change? How do we need to UPDATE our modeling to better capture the techniques IMPACT of these VEHICLES? 1. Self-Driving Vehicles Will Happen What happens to Transit?
  18. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous
  19. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous Although there are two distinct approaches to achieving self-driving vehicles, they are really two sides of the same coin.
  20. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous Alone they both provide significant improvements toward mobility, but combined they allow these new vehicles to reach the full potential of their transformative capabilities.
  21. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous So don’t get caught up in choosing sides or thinking one way is better than another. THIS THAT OR
  22. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous Instead, educate your agency about how both of these approaches work and begin the real work of understanding how it will affect your region. THIS THAT AND
  23. 2. It’s Connected AND Autonomous And don’t forget to start building relationships with these new technology companies and traditional car makers, you will need them to more fully understand the impact of these vehicles.
  24. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First
  25. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First Which type of vehicle (trucks or cars) comes to market first will depend a great deal on who has the greatest demand for such a machine.
  26. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First The Goods Movement and Logistics sectors have intense pressures motivating them to be an early adopter.
  27. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First The driver shortage in the country is only going to get worse... and shippers (the ultimate customer) are always looking for ways to reduce costs and increase reliability/efficiency.
  28. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First These new vehicle types provide this entire sector with a path toward significantly reducing costs. Therefore, they will be the sector pushing hardest to bring these vehicles to market quickly.
  29. 3. Commercial Vehicles Will Be First Understanding these types of vehicles first allows us as planners to prioritize our efforts and think about how elements of our transportation network and economy could change. (i.e., will there be a need for so many roadside services built to support truck drivers?)
  30. 4. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past
  31. 4. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past When the majority of the fleet is both connected and automated, there will be significant decreases in crashes, resulting in significant increases in safety and reliability.
  32. 4. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past It also will lead to significant decreases in non-recurring congestion, which as we know is over 50% of total congestion.
  33. 3. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past With these decreases in congestion we could get more capacity out of the existing system, lessening the need for expensive, time-consuming capacity expansion solutions.
  34. 3. Capacity Expansion May Be a Thing of the Past Planners today need to start thinking about where to invest given these new developments. $$$ 1 2 3
  35. 5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future
  36. 5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future Many signs point toward the shared economy growing rapidly over the next 20 years. Today The Future!
  37. 5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future Many forecasters believe that by combining self-driving functionality with ride-sharing flexibility, you have the potential to radically change the way people use our transportation system.
  38. 5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future Along with buying cars like they do now, people would also have mobility through subscription-based shared vehicle fleets. Subscribe Subscribe Subscribe
  39. 5. The Shared Economy Will Play a Huge Part in the Mobility of the Future As planners we need to start now, trying to understand the effects of this new mobility as a service concept. If there are less cars in the total fleet, but they are more highly utilized, what does that mean to congestion? ?
  40. Want to Continue the Discussion? Contact Chris Hedden at: chedden@camsys.com
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There are numerous stories being written on self-driving vehicles today that are pretty impressive, and to be honest, almost a bit overwhelming. In fact there are so many angles to the self-driving vehicle arena, that it is hard to know what we should be concerned about as transportation planners. Inspired by a SlideShare I had seen by Jonathan Rosenberg at Google, my colleague, Dan Krechmer and I thought we would have some fun and talk about this exciting topic in a new way, which not only engages folks, but also informs. We then teamed up with artist Ron Basile who brought our words to life; and did a heck of a job with the illustrations. I hope you enjoy our perspective on this exciting development in transportation.

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