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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.     South Africa Education Industry Introduction
            Medium of Instructions
            Multi-Grade Classes
2.     South Africa Education Industry Market Size, 2005 – 2010
     2.1.   Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010
            South African Students Travelling Overseas for Education, 2008-2009
            International Students in South Africa, 2009
     2.2.   Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2008-2010
3.     South Africa Education Industry Market Segmentation

     3.1. By Number of Learners in Pre-Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher Education,
     2005-2010

     3.2. By Tuition Fee Spending in Pre-Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher
     Education, 2008-2010
4.     Pre-Primary Education Sector
     4.1.   Market Introduction
     4.2.   Pre-Primary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010
       4.2.1.   Number of Learners, 2005-2010
       4.2.2.   Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010

     4.3. Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary Schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary
     Programme
5.     Primary Education Sector
     5.1.   Market Introduction
     5.2.   Primary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010
       5.2.1.   Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010
     5.3.   Primary Education Sector Segmentation by Grade
6.     Secondary Education Sector
     6.1.   Market Introduction


                                                                                      2
6.2.     Secondary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010
       6.2.1.       Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010
     6.3.     Secondary Education Sector Segmentation by Grade, 2005-2010
7.     Higher Education and Training Sector
     7.1.     Market Introduction
     7.2.     Higher Education and Training Sector Size, 2005-2010
       7.2.1.       Number of Learners and Educators, 2005-2010
       7.2.2.       Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010
     7.3.     Higher Education and Training Sector Segmentation
       7.3.1.       By Number of Undergraduate and Post Graduate Learners, 2005-2011
       7.3.2.       By Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010
8.     Teacher Training Market
9.     Private Tutoring Market
10.         Online Education Market
11.         Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Market
              E mail address
              Landline
              Fax
12. South Africa Education Industry Trends and Developments
              Increasing Government Support and Emphasis on Education
              Rising Number of Challenges Impeding the Growth of Education system
              Prevailing Education Inequality in the Country
              Poor Academic Performance
13.         South Africa Education Industry Future Outlook

     13.1.    Cause and Effect Relationship between Dependent and Independent Factors
     Prevailing in South Africa Education Industry
     13.2.      South Africa Education Industry Projections, 2011-2015
14.         South Africa Macro Economic Indicators: Current and Projections


                                                                                         3
14.1.     Population Till 25 years, 2005-2015
  14.2.     Government Expenditure on Education Industry, 2005-2015
  14.3.     Total Births Per Annum
15.   Appendix
  15.1.     Market Definition
  15.2.     Abbreviations
  15.3.     Research Methodology
          Data Collection Methods
          Approach
  15.4.     Disclaimer




                                                                      4
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators
and Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010
Figure 2: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Total Tuition Fee Spent on
Education, in USD Million, 2008-2010

Figure 3: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Number of Learners in Pre-
Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher Education, in Percentage, 2005-2010
Figure 4: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in
Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in Percentage, 2008-2010

Figure 5: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, in Thousands,
2005-2010
Figure 6: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Total Fee Spent on Education, in
USD Million, 2005-2010

Figure 7: Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators,
Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010
Figure 8: Secondary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators,
Educational institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010

Figure 9: Higher Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners and Educators, in
Thousands, 2005-2010
Figure 10: Higher Education Sector Market Size by Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, in
USD Million, 2005-2010
Figure 11: Higher Education Sector Segmentation, by Undergraduate and Postgraduate
Learners, by Percentage, 2005-2011

Figure 12: Higher Education Sector Segmentation by Total Fee Spent on Undergraduate and
Post graduate Learners Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010
Figure 13: Population of South Africa, in Million, 2005-2015
Figure 14: Government Expenditure on Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010
Figure 15: Total Births per Annum in South Africa, in Million, 2005-2015




                                                                                        5
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators,
Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010
Table 2: Top 4 Destinations and the Number of Students from South Africa Studying
Overseas, 2008 and 2009
Table 3: Total International Students Enrollment in South Africa by Country of Origin, 2009

Table 4: Total Tuition Fee Spent on Independent and Public Schools by Province, 2008 -
2009 in USD Million

Table 5: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in
Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in USD Million 2008-2010
Table 6: Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary
Programme, by Gender and Province, 2008 and 2009
Table 7: Primary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011
Table 8: Secondary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011
Table 9: Number and Percentage of Learners in Ordinary Schools Undertaking Mathematics,
Physical Science and Accounting in Grade 10, 11 and 12, 2007 – 2009

Table 10: Higher Education Sector Segmentation, by Undergraduate and Postgraduate
Learners, 2005-2011
Table 11: South African Teacher Training Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011
Table 12: South African Tutoring Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011
Table 13: Internet Users and Penetration in South Africa, 2000-2010
Table 14: South African Online Education Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2010

Table 15: Percentage of Schools with E-Mail, Landline Connection, Principal’s Mobile
Phone and Faxes Facilities, in Percentage, 2008- 2009
Table 16: Number of Children not attending Educational Institutions in South Africa
Table 17: Percentage of Repeaters by Grade and Gender, 2009

Table 18: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected
South African Education Industry Prospects
Table 19: South Africa Education Industry Future Projections, by Number of Learners,
Educators, Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2011-2015


                                                                                              6
Table 20: South Africa Education Industry Future projections, by Total Pre-Primary, Primary
and Secondary and Higher Education Tuition Fees, in USD Million, 2011-2015
Table 21: South Africa Population Segmentation by Age Structure, 2011




                                                                                         7
SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY MARKET
SIZE, 2005 – 2010


SOUTH AFRICAN STUDENTS TRAVELLING OVERSEAS FOR EDUCATION,
2008-2009

The US is the number one destination for the South African students studying overseas with
around ~ students studying in US in 2009. This is largely due to its high standards of
education, quality life and numerous employment opportunities after education for
students…………………………………………………………………………………………
………………………………………………………………………………………………….

Table: Top 4 Destinations and the Number of Students from South Africa Studying
Overseas, 2008 and 2009

                                                              Overseas           Overseas
Destinations                                             Students, 2008     Students, 2009

United States
United Kingdom
Australia
Cuba



INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS IN SOUTH AFRICA, 2009

Over ~ international students were enrolled in South Africa in 2009 with Zimbabwe, Namibia
and Botswana contributed the highest number of students with the share of ~%, ~% and ~%
respectively.

Table: Total International Students Enrollment in South Africa by Country of Origin,
2009

                                                          International
Country of Origin                                        Students, 2009                %

Zimbabwe
Namibia
Botswana
Lesotho


                                                                                        8
Swaziland
Dem. Republic of Congo
Zambia
Angola
Mauritius
Malawi
All Others
Total



SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY MARKET
SEGMENTATION


BY TUITION FEE SPENDING IN PRE-PRIMARY, PRIMARY,
SECONDARY AND HIGHER EDUCATION, 2008-2010


The pre-primary sector is the least market share holder with just 1.14% share in 2010, owing
to its low learner base and lower cost of learning. The combined Primary and Secondary
education is the second largest sector in terms of tuition fees spent on education. Even though
the combined primary and secondary education sector enrolled the highest learner base, the
lower tuition fees in public schools, and the fact that around 55% of ordinary schools in
South Africa ………………………………………….
………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Table: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in
Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in USD Million 2008-
2010

                                          2008               2009              2010

Pre-Primary education sector
Primary and Secondary Education Sector
Higher Education sector




                                                                                             9
PRE-PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR


PRE-PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR SIZE, 2005-2010


NUMBER OF LEARNERS, 2005-2010
The pre-primary sector has grown at a consistent rate over the years with 2006 being a small
aberration when number of learners decreased to ~ thousand students. This underscores the
rising inclination of parents towards educating children from a young age. There were around
~ thousand pre-primary learners in 2010 which has increased from ~ thousand pre-primary
learners in 2005.
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………

Figure: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, in
Thousands, 2005-2010

                                 60
 Numer of Learners (Thousands)




                                 50

                                 40

                                 30

                                 20

                                 10

                                  0
                                      2005   2006      2007           2008   2009   2010

                                                    Pre-Primary Learners




GRADE 1 LEARNERS IN ORDINARY SCHOOLS WHO HAVE
ATTENDED A PRE-PRIMARY PROGRAMME
Around ~% of grade 1 learners in ordinary schools attended pre-primary programmes in
2009, an increase of over 3% from the 2008 attendance of ~. Limpopo had the highest


                                                                                           10
proportion with approximately ~% of grade 1 learners attending a pre-primary programme,
followed by Gauteng with ~% proportion.

Table: Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary
Programme, by Gender and Province, 2008 and 2009

                                   2008                                   2009
Province               Female         Male        Total      Female          Male        Total
Eastern Cape
Free State
Gauteng
KwaZulu Natal
Limpopo
Mpumalanga
Northern Cape
North West
Western Cape
South Africa




PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR


PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR SEGMENTATION BY GRADE


The number of students in each grade tends to decrease with an increase in each grade
indicating a high dropout rate of learners and increase in repeaters. The dropouts are cause by
lack of finance, poor academic performance, dissatisfaction from studies and others.

The Foundation phase which encompasses Grade R to Grade 3 has displayed an increase in
the number of learners in Grade R and grade 1, and decrease in the number of learners in
grade 2 and grade 3 over the period.

Grade 4, 5 and 6 constitutes the intermediate phase. Grade 4 has recorded a decrease in the
learner base in 2010 from 2005. Grade 5 and 6 have registered increased learner enrollment
over the past 5 years and command learner base of ~ thousand and ~ thousand respectively.


                                                                                            11
Table: Primary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011


                           2005     2006      2007      2008      2009      2010      2011

Grade R

Grade 1

Grade 2

Grade 3

Grade 4

Grade 5

Grade 6

Grade 7

Total Primary




SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR


SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR SIZE, 2005-2010


NUMBER OF LEARNERS, EDUCATORS, EDUCATIONAL
INSTITUTIONS, 2005-2010


There has been an overall increase in the number of learners, educators and educational
institutions over the period in the South African secondary education sector. From around ~
thousand learners in 2005, the secondary education sector has grown to ~ thousand learners
in 2010 at a CAGR of ~%.

There were about ~ thousand educational institutions in South Africa in 2010 which offers
secondary education. This figure has grown over the period from around ~ thousand
educational institutions in 2005 at a CAGR of ~%..............................

                                                                                        12
............................................................................................................................

Figure: Secondary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators,
Educational institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010

                                    5000.0                                                                                     6.8




                                                                                                                                     Educational, institutions (Thousands)
                                    4500.0                                                                                     6.6
 Learners, educatiors (Thousands)




                                    4000.0                                                                                     6.4
                                    3500.0
                                                                                                                               6.2
                                    3000.0
                                                                                                                               6.0
                                    2500.0
                                                                                                                               5.8
                                    2000.0
                                                                                                                               5.6
                                    1500.0

                                    1000.0                                                                                     5.4

                                     500.0                                                                                     5.2

                                       0.0                                                                                     5.0
                                             2005        2006      2007         2008              2009              2010

                                              Learners          Educators              Educational institutions




SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR SEGMENTATION BY
GRADE, 2005-2010


A revised curriculum was introduced by the department of education in 2006 requiring all
learners from Grade 10 to Grade 12 to enroll in either mathematics or mathematical literacy.
This move was aimed to ensure that all learners are prepared for an increasingly complex,
technologically and numerically advanced world. Accounting and Physical Sciences are also
an important subject as more scarce skill careers require these subjects.

Mathematics is the most preferred subject selected by over ~ million learners (around ~%),
followed by Physical Sciences and Accounting which was pursued by ~ and ~ learners
respectively.




                                                                                                                                                                             13
Table: Number and Percentage of Learners in Ordinary Schools Undertaking
Mathematics, Physical Science and Accounting in Grade 10, 11 and 12, 2007 – 2009

                       Accounting               Mathematics              Physical Sciences

                  Number of        % of      Number of        % of    Number of         % of
Year   Grade        learners    learners       learners    learners     learners     learners
2007     Gr. 10
         Gr. 11
         Gr. 12
          Total
2008     Gr. 10
         Gr. 11
         Gr. 12
          Total
2009     Gr. 10
         Gr. 11
         Gr. 12
          Total




HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING SECTOR


HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING SECTOR SEGMENTATION


BY TOTAL TUITION FEE SPENT ON EDUCATION, 2005-2010


A larger learner base and higher tuition fees in comparison to the post graduate tuition fees
has resulted in higher consumer spending on undergraduate education. Around USD ~
million was spent as tuition fees on undergraduate education in 2010 and has grown over the
period at a 5 year CAGR of 10.8%.


                                                                                             14
Figure: Higher Education Sector Segmentation by Total Fee Spent on Undergraduate
and Post graduate Learners Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010

                            3000.0


                            2500.0


                            2000.0
 Tution fee (USD Million)




                            1500.0


                            1000.0


                             500.0


                               0.0
                                        2005           2006          2007            2008           2009           2010

                              Tution fee spent on Undergraduate learners    Tution fee spent on Postgraduate learners




TEACHER TRAINING MARKET


Teacher training market is currently in an abysmal stage with a huge deficiency of trained
and qualified teachers in the education system as indicated by the high teacher-student ratio
in both primary and education sectors

…………………………………………………………………………………………………
….~ new teachers graduated from public higher education institutions in 2009, out of which,
around ~ were Foundation Phase teachers and around ~ were FET-level teachers.
Additionally, a teacher recruitment campaign was held in 2009 where ~ students enrolled for
the first time in initial teacher education programmes which have increased by 37.1% from
2008……………………………………………………………………………………………

Table: South African Teacher Training Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011

                                                                                                     Teacher              Teacher
                                                           % of                             Average Training              Training
                                                       Teachers           Target             Cost of Market                Market
                                           Total        Trained          Market             Training   (ZAR                  (USD
                                       Educators     per Annum        (Educators)             (ZAR) Million)               Million)

Primary

                                                                                                                                15
Secondary

Total Market

Note: An average 1 year exchange rate is considered for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD




PRIVATE TUTORING MARKET


Around ~ million students take up private tuitions for primary grade subjects and around ~
million for secondary grade subjects resulting in a market size of USD ~ million and USD ~
million respectively. The total estimated market size of South Africa tutoring segment is USD
~ million.

Table: South African Tutoring Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011

                         Students                               Annual
                         who can                               Average Market Market
         Total             Afford   Target                      Tuition     Size     Size
      Learners            Private  Market              Market Fees Per   (ZAR       USD
Grade (Million)          Tuitions (Million) Tutored (Learners) Student* million) million)

Grade
R-7
Grade
8-12
Total

Note: *Annual Average tuition fees per student is calculated by multiplying the average tuition fee per hour for the
respective segment by the total number of hours and total subjects studied

An average 1 year exchange rate is considered for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD




ONLINE EDUCATION MARKET
Out of the ~ million users enrolled for paid online courses in 2010, ~% are enrolled in IT
skills courses, ~% are enrolled for business, banking and management courses and ~%
learners for extracurricular online courses. The total e-learning and IT online training market
in South Africa is estimated to be around USD ~ million in 2010.

Table: South African Online Education Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2010



                                                                                                                16
Market Annual Average                Market Size   Market Size
                                             (Online Online Course                     (ZAR          (USD
                                              Users)    Fee (ZAR)                    Million)      Million)

Banking, Leadership and
Management Online Courses
IT Skills Online Courses
Extra Curricular Courses
(photography, music, wildlife
and others)
Total Online Education
Market Size

Note: An average 1 year exchange rate is taken for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD




SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY FUTURE
OUTLOOK


CAUSE AND EFFECT RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEPENDENT
AND INDEPENDENT FACTORS PREVAILING IN SOUTH AFRICA
EDUCATION INDUSTRY


Table: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected
South African Education Industry Prospects

Industry Factors              Market Impact            Comments

Increasing population                                  
with number of children
born

 High dropout rate and                                 
repeaters

Non-availability and                                   
underutilization of
allocated education
funds



                                                                                                        17
Rising personal                                          
disposable income

Unskilled and untrained                                  
teachers

Note: Shaded region represents the degree of impact on the market




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http://ammindpower.com/report.php?A=228




                                                                    18
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                                                                                             19

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South africa education industry outlook to 2015 sample report

  • 1.
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. South Africa Education Industry Introduction Medium of Instructions Multi-Grade Classes 2. South Africa Education Industry Market Size, 2005 – 2010 2.1. Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010 South African Students Travelling Overseas for Education, 2008-2009 International Students in South Africa, 2009 2.2. Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2008-2010 3. South Africa Education Industry Market Segmentation 3.1. By Number of Learners in Pre-Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher Education, 2005-2010 3.2. By Tuition Fee Spending in Pre-Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher Education, 2008-2010 4. Pre-Primary Education Sector 4.1. Market Introduction 4.2. Pre-Primary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010 4.2.1. Number of Learners, 2005-2010 4.2.2. Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010 4.3. Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary Schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary Programme 5. Primary Education Sector 5.1. Market Introduction 5.2. Primary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010 5.2.1. Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010 5.3. Primary Education Sector Segmentation by Grade 6. Secondary Education Sector 6.1. Market Introduction 2
  • 3. 6.2. Secondary Education Sector Size, 2005-2010 6.2.1. Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, 2005-2010 6.3. Secondary Education Sector Segmentation by Grade, 2005-2010 7. Higher Education and Training Sector 7.1. Market Introduction 7.2. Higher Education and Training Sector Size, 2005-2010 7.2.1. Number of Learners and Educators, 2005-2010 7.2.2. Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010 7.3. Higher Education and Training Sector Segmentation 7.3.1. By Number of Undergraduate and Post Graduate Learners, 2005-2011 7.3.2. By Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, 2005-2010 8. Teacher Training Market 9. Private Tutoring Market 10. Online Education Market 11. Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Market E mail address Landline Fax 12. South Africa Education Industry Trends and Developments Increasing Government Support and Emphasis on Education Rising Number of Challenges Impeding the Growth of Education system Prevailing Education Inequality in the Country Poor Academic Performance 13. South Africa Education Industry Future Outlook 13.1. Cause and Effect Relationship between Dependent and Independent Factors Prevailing in South Africa Education Industry 13.2. South Africa Education Industry Projections, 2011-2015 14. South Africa Macro Economic Indicators: Current and Projections 3
  • 4. 14.1. Population Till 25 years, 2005-2015 14.2. Government Expenditure on Education Industry, 2005-2015 14.3. Total Births Per Annum 15. Appendix 15.1. Market Definition 15.2. Abbreviations 15.3. Research Methodology Data Collection Methods Approach 15.4. Disclaimer 4
  • 5. LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators and Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Figure 2: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, in USD Million, 2008-2010 Figure 3: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Number of Learners in Pre- Primary, Primary, Secondary and Higher Education, in Percentage, 2005-2010 Figure 4: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in Percentage, 2008-2010 Figure 5: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Figure 6: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Total Fee Spent on Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010 Figure 7: Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Figure 8: Secondary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators, Educational institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Figure 9: Higher Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners and Educators, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Figure 10: Higher Education Sector Market Size by Total Tuition Fee Spent on Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010 Figure 11: Higher Education Sector Segmentation, by Undergraduate and Postgraduate Learners, by Percentage, 2005-2011 Figure 12: Higher Education Sector Segmentation by Total Fee Spent on Undergraduate and Post graduate Learners Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010 Figure 13: Population of South Africa, in Million, 2005-2015 Figure 14: Government Expenditure on Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010 Figure 15: Total Births per Annum in South Africa, in Million, 2005-2015 5
  • 6. LIST OF TABLES Table 1: South Africa Education Industry Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010 Table 2: Top 4 Destinations and the Number of Students from South Africa Studying Overseas, 2008 and 2009 Table 3: Total International Students Enrollment in South Africa by Country of Origin, 2009 Table 4: Total Tuition Fee Spent on Independent and Public Schools by Province, 2008 - 2009 in USD Million Table 5: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in USD Million 2008-2010 Table 6: Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary Programme, by Gender and Province, 2008 and 2009 Table 7: Primary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011 Table 8: Secondary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011 Table 9: Number and Percentage of Learners in Ordinary Schools Undertaking Mathematics, Physical Science and Accounting in Grade 10, 11 and 12, 2007 – 2009 Table 10: Higher Education Sector Segmentation, by Undergraduate and Postgraduate Learners, 2005-2011 Table 11: South African Teacher Training Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011 Table 12: South African Tutoring Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011 Table 13: Internet Users and Penetration in South Africa, 2000-2010 Table 14: South African Online Education Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2010 Table 15: Percentage of Schools with E-Mail, Landline Connection, Principal’s Mobile Phone and Faxes Facilities, in Percentage, 2008- 2009 Table 16: Number of Children not attending Educational Institutions in South Africa Table 17: Percentage of Repeaters by Grade and Gender, 2009 Table 18: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected South African Education Industry Prospects Table 19: South Africa Education Industry Future Projections, by Number of Learners, Educators, Educational Institutions, in Thousands, 2011-2015 6
  • 7. Table 20: South Africa Education Industry Future projections, by Total Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary and Higher Education Tuition Fees, in USD Million, 2011-2015 Table 21: South Africa Population Segmentation by Age Structure, 2011 7
  • 8. SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY MARKET SIZE, 2005 – 2010 SOUTH AFRICAN STUDENTS TRAVELLING OVERSEAS FOR EDUCATION, 2008-2009 The US is the number one destination for the South African students studying overseas with around ~ students studying in US in 2009. This is largely due to its high standards of education, quality life and numerous employment opportunities after education for students………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………. Table: Top 4 Destinations and the Number of Students from South Africa Studying Overseas, 2008 and 2009 Overseas Overseas Destinations Students, 2008 Students, 2009 United States United Kingdom Australia Cuba INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS IN SOUTH AFRICA, 2009 Over ~ international students were enrolled in South Africa in 2009 with Zimbabwe, Namibia and Botswana contributed the highest number of students with the share of ~%, ~% and ~% respectively. Table: Total International Students Enrollment in South Africa by Country of Origin, 2009 International Country of Origin Students, 2009 % Zimbabwe Namibia Botswana Lesotho 8
  • 9. Swaziland Dem. Republic of Congo Zambia Angola Mauritius Malawi All Others Total SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY MARKET SEGMENTATION BY TUITION FEE SPENDING IN PRE-PRIMARY, PRIMARY, SECONDARY AND HIGHER EDUCATION, 2008-2010 The pre-primary sector is the least market share holder with just 1.14% share in 2010, owing to its low learner base and lower cost of learning. The combined Primary and Secondary education is the second largest sector in terms of tuition fees spent on education. Even though the combined primary and secondary education sector enrolled the highest learner base, the lower tuition fees in public schools, and the fact that around 55% of ordinary schools in South Africa …………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………………………………………….. Table: South Africa Education Industry Segmentation by Total Tuition Fee Spending in Pre-Primary, Primary and Secondary, and Higher Education, in USD Million 2008- 2010 2008 2009 2010 Pre-Primary education sector Primary and Secondary Education Sector Higher Education sector 9
  • 10. PRE-PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR PRE-PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR SIZE, 2005-2010 NUMBER OF LEARNERS, 2005-2010 The pre-primary sector has grown at a consistent rate over the years with 2006 being a small aberration when number of learners decreased to ~ thousand students. This underscores the rising inclination of parents towards educating children from a young age. There were around ~ thousand pre-primary learners in 2010 which has increased from ~ thousand pre-primary learners in 2005. ………………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………………… Figure: Pre-Primary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, in Thousands, 2005-2010 60 Numer of Learners (Thousands) 50 40 30 20 10 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pre-Primary Learners GRADE 1 LEARNERS IN ORDINARY SCHOOLS WHO HAVE ATTENDED A PRE-PRIMARY PROGRAMME Around ~% of grade 1 learners in ordinary schools attended pre-primary programmes in 2009, an increase of over 3% from the 2008 attendance of ~. Limpopo had the highest 10
  • 11. proportion with approximately ~% of grade 1 learners attending a pre-primary programme, followed by Gauteng with ~% proportion. Table: Grade 1 Learners in Ordinary schools who have Attended a Pre-Primary Programme, by Gender and Province, 2008 and 2009 2008 2009 Province Female Male Total Female Male Total Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga Northern Cape North West Western Cape South Africa PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR PRIMARY EDUCATION SECTOR SEGMENTATION BY GRADE The number of students in each grade tends to decrease with an increase in each grade indicating a high dropout rate of learners and increase in repeaters. The dropouts are cause by lack of finance, poor academic performance, dissatisfaction from studies and others. The Foundation phase which encompasses Grade R to Grade 3 has displayed an increase in the number of learners in Grade R and grade 1, and decrease in the number of learners in grade 2 and grade 3 over the period. Grade 4, 5 and 6 constitutes the intermediate phase. Grade 4 has recorded a decrease in the learner base in 2010 from 2005. Grade 5 and 6 have registered increased learner enrollment over the past 5 years and command learner base of ~ thousand and ~ thousand respectively. 11
  • 12. Table: Primary Education Sector Segmentation, by Grade, 2005-2011 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Grade R Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Total Primary SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR SIZE, 2005-2010 NUMBER OF LEARNERS, EDUCATORS, EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS, 2005-2010 There has been an overall increase in the number of learners, educators and educational institutions over the period in the South African secondary education sector. From around ~ thousand learners in 2005, the secondary education sector has grown to ~ thousand learners in 2010 at a CAGR of ~%. There were about ~ thousand educational institutions in South Africa in 2010 which offers secondary education. This figure has grown over the period from around ~ thousand educational institutions in 2005 at a CAGR of ~%.............................. 12
  • 13. ............................................................................................................................ Figure: Secondary Education Sector Market Size by Number of Learners, Educators, Educational institutions, in Thousands, 2005-2010 5000.0 6.8 Educational, institutions (Thousands) 4500.0 6.6 Learners, educatiors (Thousands) 4000.0 6.4 3500.0 6.2 3000.0 6.0 2500.0 5.8 2000.0 5.6 1500.0 1000.0 5.4 500.0 5.2 0.0 5.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Learners Educators Educational institutions SECONDARY EDUCATION SECTOR SEGMENTATION BY GRADE, 2005-2010 A revised curriculum was introduced by the department of education in 2006 requiring all learners from Grade 10 to Grade 12 to enroll in either mathematics or mathematical literacy. This move was aimed to ensure that all learners are prepared for an increasingly complex, technologically and numerically advanced world. Accounting and Physical Sciences are also an important subject as more scarce skill careers require these subjects. Mathematics is the most preferred subject selected by over ~ million learners (around ~%), followed by Physical Sciences and Accounting which was pursued by ~ and ~ learners respectively. 13
  • 14. Table: Number and Percentage of Learners in Ordinary Schools Undertaking Mathematics, Physical Science and Accounting in Grade 10, 11 and 12, 2007 – 2009 Accounting Mathematics Physical Sciences Number of % of Number of % of Number of % of Year Grade learners learners learners learners learners learners 2007 Gr. 10 Gr. 11 Gr. 12 Total 2008 Gr. 10 Gr. 11 Gr. 12 Total 2009 Gr. 10 Gr. 11 Gr. 12 Total HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING SECTOR HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING SECTOR SEGMENTATION BY TOTAL TUITION FEE SPENT ON EDUCATION, 2005-2010 A larger learner base and higher tuition fees in comparison to the post graduate tuition fees has resulted in higher consumer spending on undergraduate education. Around USD ~ million was spent as tuition fees on undergraduate education in 2010 and has grown over the period at a 5 year CAGR of 10.8%. 14
  • 15. Figure: Higher Education Sector Segmentation by Total Fee Spent on Undergraduate and Post graduate Learners Education, in USD Million, 2005-2010 3000.0 2500.0 2000.0 Tution fee (USD Million) 1500.0 1000.0 500.0 0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Tution fee spent on Undergraduate learners Tution fee spent on Postgraduate learners TEACHER TRAINING MARKET Teacher training market is currently in an abysmal stage with a huge deficiency of trained and qualified teachers in the education system as indicated by the high teacher-student ratio in both primary and education sectors ………………………………………………………………………………………………… ….~ new teachers graduated from public higher education institutions in 2009, out of which, around ~ were Foundation Phase teachers and around ~ were FET-level teachers. Additionally, a teacher recruitment campaign was held in 2009 where ~ students enrolled for the first time in initial teacher education programmes which have increased by 37.1% from 2008…………………………………………………………………………………………… Table: South African Teacher Training Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011 Teacher Teacher % of Average Training Training Teachers Target Cost of Market Market Total Trained Market Training (ZAR (USD Educators per Annum (Educators) (ZAR) Million) Million) Primary 15
  • 16. Secondary Total Market Note: An average 1 year exchange rate is considered for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD PRIVATE TUTORING MARKET Around ~ million students take up private tuitions for primary grade subjects and around ~ million for secondary grade subjects resulting in a market size of USD ~ million and USD ~ million respectively. The total estimated market size of South Africa tutoring segment is USD ~ million. Table: South African Tutoring Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2011 Students Annual who can Average Market Market Total Afford Target Tuition Size Size Learners Private Market Market Fees Per (ZAR USD Grade (Million) Tuitions (Million) Tutored (Learners) Student* million) million) Grade R-7 Grade 8-12 Total Note: *Annual Average tuition fees per student is calculated by multiplying the average tuition fee per hour for the respective segment by the total number of hours and total subjects studied An average 1 year exchange rate is considered for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD ONLINE EDUCATION MARKET Out of the ~ million users enrolled for paid online courses in 2010, ~% are enrolled in IT skills courses, ~% are enrolled for business, banking and management courses and ~% learners for extracurricular online courses. The total e-learning and IT online training market in South Africa is estimated to be around USD ~ million in 2010. Table: South African Online Education Estimated Market Size, USD Million, 2010 16
  • 17. Market Annual Average Market Size Market Size (Online Online Course (ZAR (USD Users) Fee (ZAR) Million) Million) Banking, Leadership and Management Online Courses IT Skills Online Courses Extra Curricular Courses (photography, music, wildlife and others) Total Online Education Market Size Note: An average 1 year exchange rate is taken for conversion wherein 1 ZAR = 0.1407USD SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY FUTURE OUTLOOK CAUSE AND EFFECT RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEPENDENT AND INDEPENDENT FACTORS PREVAILING IN SOUTH AFRICA EDUCATION INDUSTRY Table: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected South African Education Industry Prospects Industry Factors Market Impact Comments Increasing population  with number of children born High dropout rate and  repeaters Non-availability and  underutilization of allocated education funds 17
  • 18. Rising personal  disposable income Unskilled and untrained  teachers Note: Shaded region represents the degree of impact on the market For more information, please follow the following link: http://ammindpower.com/report.php?A=228 18
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