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David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
BOT TRENDS 2017
David Pichsenmeister
david@orat.io
Jan, 2017
Intelligence
orat.io/bot-trends
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Outline
1) Global Messaging Trends
2) Global Bot Trends
3) Conversational Interfaces
4) Structured Inputs & Webviews
5) Canonical Interfaces
6) Group Messaging
7) Human Supervision
8) Bot Discovery
9) Monetization
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
“Messaging is one of the few things that people
do more than social networking.”
Mark Zuckerberg, Founder of Facebook
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Global Messaging Trends
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.statista.com/statistics/325926/monthly-app-downloads-of-us-smartphone-users
Monthly app downloads of US Smartphone users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.statista.com/statistics/325926/monthly-app-downloads-of-us-smartphone-users
Monthly app downloads of US Smartphone users
49%zero apps
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.statista.com/statistics/473831/number-of-daily-smartphone-apps-used-usa
# of apps used per day by US Smartphone users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.statista.com/statistics/473831/number-of-daily-smartphone-apps-used-usa
# of apps used per day by US Smartphone users
72% use
<= 6 apps
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.comscore.com/layout/set/popup/Request/Presentations/2015/The-2015-US-Mobile-App-Report
Digital growth coming mostly from mobile
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.comscore.com/layout/set/popup/Request/Presentations/2015/The-2015-US-Mobile-App-Report
Digital growth coming mostly from mobile
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
http://www.businessinsider.de/the-messaging-app-report-2015-11
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Source: http://flurrymobile.tumblr.com/post/155761509355/on-their-tenth-anniversary-mobile-apps-start
* Time spent in Messaging & Social in Q2 2015: 68min
(https://yahoodevelopers.tumblr.com/post/127636051988/seven-years-into-the-mobile-revolution-content-is)
Messaging and social app time spent grows 394%
Year-over-Year
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.appannie.com/jp/insights/understanding-global-messaging-app-user
Most engaged messaging app users by country
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.appannie.com/jp/insights/understanding-global-messaging-app-user
Most engaged messaging app users by country
Avg. 48
minutes
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.similarweb.com/blog/messaging-apps
Average time spent per day in messaging apps
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Global Bot Trends
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Global Bot Trends
1) 72% of US smartphone users use less than 6 apps on a daily basis
Existing platforms are becoming more important, apps opening possibility to
build applications on top of their platform
2) Digital growth mostly coming from mobile usage
Instant messaging is driven by mobile with 91% of digital time spent in this
category
3) Platform shift
In 2008 people started using smartphones over desktops, in 2016 people
shifting to use applications built on top of existing platforms → Bots
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
> >
Webapps Apps Bots
Distribution channels are shifting
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Chatbot
A computer program designed to simulate an
intelligent conversation with one or more human
users via conversational interfaces.
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Bots
lightweight apps within messengers
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
“Chat apps will come to be thought of as the new
browsers; bots will be the new websites. This is
the beginning of a new Internet.”
Ted Livingston, Founder of Kik
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Messaging Apps
Drivers in Bot Trend
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
https://www.statista.com/statistics/325706/global-internet-user-penetration
~ 3.5 Bn
~ 4.5% Y/Y
Global Internet Users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
* Registered usershttps://orat.io/blog/current-numbers-for-mobile-messengers-q4-2016
Skype
300 Mio MAU
Messenger
1.1 Bn MAU
WhatsApp
1.2 Bn MAU
WeChat
806 Mio MAU
Kik*
300 Mio users
Line
220 Mio MAU
Viber
240 Mio MAU
Telegram
170 Mio MAU
Global Messaging Users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Messaging Apps
Natural Language
Understanding / ML
Drivers in Bot Trend
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
intent: restaurant_search
entities:
cuisine: mexican
area: vienna
I’m looking for a Mexican
restaurant in Vienna.
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
… and more
TensorFlow
(Google)
Api.ai
(Google)
Rasa NLU
(LastMile)
Google Cloud
Platform NLU API
Wit.ai
(Facebook)
LUIS
(Microsoft)
Watson
(IBM)
NLP & AI Tools
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Messaging Apps
Natural Language
Understanding / ML
Voice
Drivers in Bot Trend
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/2016-internet-trends-report/125?src=clipshare
● 2014 Baidu - 1 of 10 searches
through voice
● 2016 Android - 1 of 5 searches
through voice
● 2020 Baidu - At least 50%
searches through voice and
images
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Conversational Interfaces
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Conversational Interfaces
● Understanding natural language
Chatbots understand and answer in natural human language
● Multimedia
Users can interact through text, voice or even images ( → image recognition).
● Human-like conversation
Users can communicate with the service as they would do with a person,
keeping track of the context from previous messages or ongoing
conversation. In many cases the bot represents a persona.
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Siri
(Apple)
Cortana
(Microsoft)
Echo
(Amazon)
Google Home /
Google Assistant
Smart Assistants
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Structured Inputs &
Webviews
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Structured Inputs
1) Enriched UI Elements
Predefined templates and elements can be used to enrich UI and UX within
conversation
2) Specific to every messaging network
Quick replies, buttons, persistent menus, list templates, carousels, ...
3) Supportive conversation
Structured inputs are used to support user flows & shortcuts, advance user
input and minimize typing effort for users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Structured Inputs
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Webviews
1) HTML5 Webviews
Webviews or micro HTML sites can be used within a conversation
2) Enrich chat with custom elements
Webviews can be used to create custom rich elements, e.g. datepicker,
galeries, forms, profiles, ...
3) App-like rich interaction
Custom visual elements or mini HTML sites support providing an app-like
experience within a chat
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Webviews
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Webviews
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Canonical Interfaces
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Canonical Interfaces
1) Separated channels → Unification
Instead of having different channels for different usecases (e.g. newsletter =
email, product discovery = app, Support => livechat), bots can combine this
channels into a canonical interface, providing different usecases through chat
and enriched interaction elements
2) Companies combine their well established channels into one
canonical interface
Discovery, Website, Customer Support, RSS, Newsletter, Email, eCommerce, …
=> all within one chat
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Canonical Interfaces
3) Transfer existing usecases into new channel
Rather than creating new usecases, existing ones are transferred and
combined into a single chat.
4) History of every interaction
User and business get a log of every interaction
5) Streamlined interface
Instead of a state-based interface (e.g. apps) all interaction is in one single
stream
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Companies already transferring usecases into chat
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Group Messaging
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Group messaging
1) Add bots to group chats
Bots can be added to groups making it possible for multiple people to interact
with the bot as a group chat member.
2) Inline bots
Inline bots can be called on-the-fly within every conversation just by
mentioning the bot. This is possible in 1-1 chats and group chats.
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Group messaging
Bot in group Inline Bots
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Supported Type of Chats
Private Chat Group Chat Bot Chat Bot Group Chat Inline Bot
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Human Supervision
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Human supervision
1) Customer Care Agent → Supervisor
Traditional customer care agents transition to supervisors of bots
2) Human Assistance/ Human Takeover
Humans can takeover conversations when needed or assist users if they got
stuck
3) Human assisted AI
Bots are trained from humans and can learn based on their interaction and
dialogs with users
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Bot Discovery
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Bots can be discovered through
● Bot stores
● Search within messaging network
● Featuring in messaging network
● Shortlinks
● QR Codes
● External listing sites (Botlist, Chatbottle, …)
● PR
● Ads
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Discovery Options
Bot Store QR Codes Shortlinks Featured Bots
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌
✅* ❌ ✅ ✅*
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
* Unofficial Store
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
1) Subscription
Providing an ongoing service that the user pays for
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
1) Subscription
Providing an ongoing service that the user pays for
2) Analytics and Market research
Helping brands understand the audience through engaging conversations or
games
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
1) Subscription
Providing an ongoing service that the user pays for
2) Analytics and Market research
Helping brands understand the audience through engaging conversations or
games
3) Selling goods
Bots are becoming new channels to sell goods and services
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
4) Referral fees
Bots helping to decide which service to consume
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
4) Referral fees
Bots helping to decide which service to consume
5) In-Bot virtual goods
Sell virtual goods inside bots, e.g. games
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Monetization
4) Referral fees
Bots helping to decide which service to consume
5) In-Bot virtual goods
Sell virtual goods inside bots, e.g. games
David Pichsenmeister
@3x14159265
Disclosure
This presentation has been compiled for informational purposes only.
The presentation relies on data and insights from a wide range of sources,
including public and private companies, market research firms and government
agencies. Specific sources are cited where data are public.
Updates, revisions and clarifications will be posted to the oratio website.
Thanks
Thomas Schranz (Lemmings I/O), Peter Buch (Swell), David Pfluegl (nuwings,
Lemmings I/O) for input and feedback

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