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Statistical quality control
1.
© Wiley 2010 Chapter
6 - Statistical Quality Control Operations Management by R. Dan Reid & Nada R. Sanders 4th Edition © Wiley 2010 PowerPoint Presentation by R.B. Clough – UNH M. E. Henrie - UAA
2.
© Wiley 2010 Three
SQC Categories Statistical quality control (SQC) is the term used to describe the set of statistical tools used by quality professionals SQC encompasses three broad categories of; Descriptive statistics e.g. the mean, standard deviation, and range Statistical process control (SPC) Involves inspecting the output from a process Quality characteristics are measured and charted Helpful in identifying in-process variations Acceptance sampling used to randomly inspect a batch of goods to determine acceptance/rejection Does not help to catch in-process problems
3.
© Wiley 2010 Sources
of Variation Variation exists in all processes. Variation can be categorized as either; Common or Random causes of variation, or Random causes that we cannot identify Unavoidable e.g. slight differences in process variables like diameter, weight, service time, temperature Assignable causes of variation Causes can be identified and eliminated e.g. poor employee training, worn tool, machine needing repair
4.
© Wiley 2010 Traditional
Statistical Tools Descriptive Statistics include The Mean- measure of central tendency The Range- difference between largest/smallest observations in a set of data Standard Deviation measures the amount of data dispersion around mean Distribution of Data shape Normal or bell shaped or Skewed n x x n 1i i∑= = ( ) 1n Xx σ n 1i 2 i − − = ∑=
5.
© Wiley 2010 Distribution
of Data Normal distributions Skewed distribution
6.
© Wiley 2010 SPC
Methods-Control Charts Control Charts show sample data plotted on a graph with CL, UCL, and LCL Control chart for variables are used to monitor characteristics that can be measured, e.g. length, weight, diameter, time Control charts for attributes are used to monitor characteristics that have discrete values and can be counted, e.g. % defective, number of flaws in a shirt, number of broken eggs in a box
7.
© Wiley 2010 Setting
Control Limits Percentage of values under normal curve Control limits balance risks like Type I error
8.
© Wiley 2010 Control
Charts for Variables Use x-bar and R-bar charts together Used to monitor different variables X-bar & R-bar Charts reveal different problems In statistical control on one chart, out of control on the other chart? OK?
9.
© Wiley 2010 Control
Charts for Variables Use x-bar charts to monitor the changes in the mean of a process (central tendencies) Use R-bar charts to monitor the dispersion or variability of the process System can show acceptable central tendencies but unacceptable variability or System can show acceptable variability but unacceptable central tendencies
10.
© Wiley 2010 Constructing
a X-bar Chart: A quality control inspector at the Cocoa Fizz soft drink company has taken three samples with four observations each of the volume of bottles filled. If the standard deviation of the bottling operation is .2 ounces, use the below data to develop control charts with limits of 3 standard deviations for the 16 oz. bottling operation. Center line and control limit formulas xx xx n21 zσxLCL zσxUCL sampleeachw/innsobservatioof#theis (n)andmeanssampleof#theis)(where n σ σ, ...xxx x x −= += = ++ = k k observ 1 observ 2 observ 3 observ 4 mean range samp 1 15.8 16 15.8 15.9 15.88 0.2 samp 2 16.1 16 15.8 15.9 15.95 0.3 samp 3 16 15.9 15.9 15.8 15.90 0.2
11.
© Wiley 2010 Solution
and Control Chart (x-bar) Center line (x-double bar): Control limits for±3σ limits: 15.92 3 15.915.97515.875 x = ++ = 15.62 4 .2 315.92zσxLCL 16.22 4 .2 315.92zσxUCL xx xx = −=−= = +=+=
12.
© Wiley 2010 X-Bar
Control Chart
13.
© Wiley 2010 Control
Chart for Range (R) Center Line and Control Limit formulas: Factors for three sigma control limits 0.00.0(.233)RDLCL .532.28(.233)RDUCL .233 3 0.20.30.2 R 3 4 R R === === = ++ = Factor for x-Chart A2 D3 D4 2 1.88 0.00 3.27 3 1.02 0.00 2.57 4 0.73 0.00 2.28 5 0.58 0.00 2.11 6 0.48 0.00 2.00 7 0.42 0.08 1.92 8 0.37 0.14 1.86 9 0.34 0.18 1.82 10 0.31 0.22 1.78 11 0.29 0.26 1.74 12 0.27 0.28 1.72 13 0.25 0.31 1.69 14 0.24 0.33 1.67 15 0.22 0.35 1.65 Factors for R-Chart Sample Size (n)
14.
© Wiley 2010 R-Bar
Control Chart
15.
© Wiley 2010 Second
Method for the X-bar Chart Using R-bar and the A2 Factor (table 6-1) Use this method when sigma for the process distribution is not know Control limits solution: ( ) ( ) 15.75.2330.7315.92RAxLCL 16.09.2330.7315.92RAxUCL .233 3 0.20.30.2 R 2x 2x =−=−= =+=+= = ++ =
16.
© Wiley 2010 Control
Charts for Attributes i.e. discrete events Use a P-Chart for yes/no or good/bad decisions in which defective items are clearly identified Use a C-Chart for more general counting when there can be more than one defect per unit Number of flaws or stains in a carpet sample cut from a production run Number of complaints per customer at a hotel
17.
© Wiley 2010 P-Chart
Example: A Production manager for a tire company has inspected the number of defective tires in five random samples with 20 tires in each sample. The table below shows the number of defective tires in each sample of 20 tires. Calculate the control limits. Sample Number of Defective Tires Number of Tires in each Sample Proportion Defective 1 3 20 .15 2 2 20 .10 3 1 20 .05 4 2 20 .10 5 1 20 .05 Total 9 100 .09 Solution: ( ) ( ) 0.1023(0.64).09σzpLCL .2823(0.64).09σzpUCL 0.64 20 (.09)(.91) n )p(1p σ .09 100 9 InspectedTotal Defectives# pCL pp pp p =−=−=−= =+=+= == − = ====
18.
© Wiley 2010 P-
Control Chart
19.
© Wiley 2010 C-Chart
Example: The number of weekly customer complaints are monitored in a large hotel using a c-chart. Develop three sigma control limits using the data table below. Week Number of Complaints 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 1 5 3 6 3 7 2 8 1 9 3 10 1 Total 22 Solution: 02.252.232.2ccLCL 6.652.232.2ccUCL 2.2 10 22 samplesof# complaints# cCL c c =−=−=−= =+=+= ==== z z
20.
© Wiley 2010 C-
Control Chart
21.
© Wiley 2010 Out
of control conditions indicated by: Skewed distribution Data Point out of limits
22.
© Wiley 2010 Process
Capability Product Specifications Preset product or service dimensions, tolerances e.g. bottle fill might be 16 oz. ±.2 oz. (15.8oz.-16.2oz.) Based on how product is to be used or what the customer expects Process Capability – Cp and Cpk Assessing capability involves evaluating process variability relative to preset product or service specifications Cp assumes that the process is centered in the specification range Cpk helps to address a possible lack of centering of the process 6σ LSLUSL widthprocess widthionspecificat Cp − == −− = 3σ LSLμ , 3σ μUSL minCpk
23.
© Wiley 2010 Relationship
between Process Variability and Specification Width Possible ranges for Cp Cp < 1, as in Fig. (b), process not capable of producing within specifications Cp ≥ 1, as in Fig. (c), process exceeds minimal specifications One shortcoming, Cp assumes that the process is centered on the specification range Cp=Cpk when process is centered
24.
© Wiley 2010 Computing
the Cp Value at Cocoa Fizz: three bottling machines are being evaluated for possible use at the Fizz plant. The machines must be capable of meeting the design specification of 15.8-16.2 oz. with at least a process capability index of 1.0 (Cp≥1) The table below shows the information gathered from production runs on each machine. Are they all acceptable? Solution: Machine A Machine B Machine C Machine σ USL- LSL 6σ A .05 .4 .3 B .1 .4 .6 C .2 .4 1.2 1.33 6(.05) .4 6σ LSLUSL Cp == − 67.0 6(.1) .4 6σ LSLUSL Cp == − 0.33 6(.2) .4 6σ LSLUSL Cp == −
25.
© Wiley 2010 Computing
the Cpk Value at Cocoa Fizz Design specifications call for a target value of 16.0 ±0.2 OZ. (USL = 16.2 & LSL = 15.8) Observed process output has now shifted and has a µ of 15.9 and a σ of 0.1 oz. Cpk is less than 1, revealing that the process is not capable .33 .3 .1 Cpk 3(.1) 15.815.9 , 3(.1) 15.916.2 minCpk == −− =
26.
© Wiley 2010 ±6
Sigma versus ± 3 Sigma Motorola coined “six-sigma” to describe their higher quality efforts back in 1980’s Ordinary quality standard requiring mean±3σ to be within tolerances implies that 99.74% of production is between LSL and USL Six sigma is much stricter: mean ±6σ must be within tolerances implying that 99.99966% production between LSL and USL same proportions apply to control limits in control charts Six-sigma quality standard is now a benchmark in many industries PPM Defective for ±3σ versus ±6σ quality
27.
© Wiley 2010 Six
Sigma Six Sigma Still Pays Off At Motorola It may surprise those who have come to know Motorola (MOT ) for its cool cell phones, but the company's more lasting contribution to the world is something decidedly more wonkish: the quality-improvement process called Six Sigma. In 1986 an engineer named Bill Smith, who has since died, sold then-Chief Executive Robert Galvin on a plan to strive for error-free products 99.9997% of the time. By Six Sigma's 20th anniversary, the exacting, metrics-driven process has become corporate gospel, infiltrating functions from human resources to marketing, and industries from manufacturing to financial services. Others agree that Six Sigma and innovation don't have to be a cultural mismatch. At Nortel Networks (NT ), CEO Mike S. Zafirovski, a veteran of both Motorola and Six Sigma stalwart General Electric (GE ) Co., has installed his own version of the program, one that marries concepts from Toyota Motor (TM )'s lean production system. The point, says Joel Hackney, Nortel's Six Sigma guru, is to use Six Sigma thinking to take superfluous steps out of operations. Running a more efficient shop, he argues, will free up workers to innovate. http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_49/b4012069.htm?chan=search
28.
© Wiley 2010 Acceptance
Sampling Definition: the third branch of SQC refers to the process of randomly inspecting a certain number of items from a lot or batch in order to decide whether to accept or reject the entire batch Different from SPC because acceptance sampling is performed either before or after the process rather than during Sampling before typically is done to supplier material Sampling after involves sampling finished items before shipment or finished components prior to assembly Used where inspection is expensive, volume is high, or inspection is destructive
29.
© Wiley 2010 Acceptance
Sampling Plans Goal of Acceptance Sampling plans is to determine the criteria for acceptance or rejection based on: Size of the lot (N) Size of the sample (n) Number of defects above which a lot will be rejected (c) Level of confidence we wish to attain There are single, double, and multiple sampling plans Which one to use is based on cost involved, time consumed, and cost of passing on a defective item Can be used on either variable or attribute measures, but more commonly used for attributes
30.
© Wiley 2010 Implications
for Managers How much and how often to inspect? Consider product cost and product volume Consider process stability Consider lot size Where to inspect? Inbound materials Finished products Prior to costly processing Which tools to use? Control charts are best used for in-process production Acceptance sampling is best used for inbound/outbound
31.
© Wiley 2010 SQC
in Services Service Organizations have lagged behind manufacturers in the use of statistical quality control Statistical measurements are required and it is more difficult to measure the quality of a service Services produce more intangible products Perceptions of quality are highly subjective A way to deal with service quality is to devise quantifiable measurements of the service element Check-in time at a hotel Number of complaints received per month at a restaurant Number of telephone rings before a call is answered Acceptable control limits can be developed and charted
32.
© Wiley 2010 Service
at a bank: The Dollars Bank competes on customer service and is concerned about service time at their drive-by windows. They recently installed new system software which they hope will meet service specification limits of 5±2 minutes and have a Capability Index (Cpk) of at least 1.2. They want to also design a control chart for bank teller use. They have done some sampling recently (sample size of 4 customers) and determined that the process mean has shifted to 5.2 with a Sigma of 1.0 minutes. Control Chart limits for ±3 sigma limits 1.2 1.5 1.8 Cpk 3(1/2) 5.27.0 , 3(1/2) 3.05.2 minCpk == −− = 1.33 4 1.0 6 3-7 6σ LSLUSL Cp = = − minutes6.51.55.0 4 1 35.0zσXUCL xx =+= +=+= minutes3.51.55.0 4 1 35.0zσXLCL xx =−= −=−=
33.
© Wiley 2010 SQC
Across the Organization SQC requires input from other organizational functions, influences their success, and are actually used in designing and evaluating their tasks Marketing – provides information on current and future quality standards Finance – responsible for placing financial values on SQC efforts Human resources – the role of workers change with SQC implementation. Requires workers with right skills Information systems – makes SQC information accessible for all.
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© Wiley 2010 There’s
$$ is SQC! “I also discovered that the work I had done for Motorola in my first year out of college had a name. I was doing Operations Management, by measuring service quality for paging by using statistical process control methods.” -Michele Davies, Businessweek MBA Journals, May 2001 http://www.businessweek.com/bschools/mbajournal/00davies/6.htm?chan=search
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Long Life? http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_35/b3897017_mz072.htm?chan=searchhttp://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_35/b3897017_mz072.htm?chan=search
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6 Highlights SQC refers to statistical tools t hat can be sued by quality professionals. SQC an be divided into three categories: traditional statistical tools, acceptance sampling, and statistical process control (SPC). Descriptive statistics are sued to describe quality characteristics, such as the mean, range, and variance. Acceptance sampling is the process of randomly inspecting a sample of goods and deciding whether to accept or reject the entire lot. Statistical process control involves inspecting a random sample of output from a process and deciding whether the process in producing products with characteristics that fall within preset specifications.
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6 Highlights - continued Two causes of variation in the quality of a product or process: common causes and assignable causes. Common causes of variation are random causes that we cannot identify. Assignable causes of variation are those that can be identified and eliminated. A control chart is a graph used in SPC that shows whether a sample of data falls within the normal range of variation. A control chart has upper and lower control limits that separate common from assignable causes of variation. Control charts for variables monitor characteristics that can be measured and have a continuum of values, such as height, weight, or volume. Control charts fro attributes are used to monitor characteristics that have discrete values and can be counted.
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6 Highlights - continued Control charts for variables include x-bar and R-charts. X- bar charts monitor the mean or average value of a product characteristic. R-charts monitor the range or dispersion of the values of a product characteristic. Control charts for attributes include p-charts and c-charts. P-charts are used to monitor the proportion of defects in a sample, C-charts are used to monitor the actual number of defects in a sample. Process capability is the ability of the production process to meet or exceed preset specifications. It is measured by the process capability index Cp which is computed as the ratio of the specification width to the width of the process variable.
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6 Highlights - continued The term Six Sigma indicates a level of quality in which the number of defects is no more than 2.3 parts per million. The goal of acceptance sampling is to determine criteria for the desired level of confidence. Operating characteristic curves are graphs that show the discriminating power of a sampling plan. It is more difficult to measure quality in services than in manufacturing. The key is to devise quantifiable measurements for important service dimensions.
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